Warrior Met Coal (HCC)


Market Price (9/23/2026): $92.5 | Market Cap: $4.9 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Steel

Warrior Met Coal (HCC)


Market Price (9/23/2026): $92.5
Market Cap: $4.9 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Steel

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Industrial Base Materials. Themes include Metallurgical Coal Production.

Key risks
HCC key risks include [1] operational challenges with its significant Blue Creek expansion project and [2] labor relations.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Industrial Base Materials. Themes include Metallurgical Coal Production.
2 Key risks
HCC key risks include [1] operational challenges with its significant Blue Creek expansion project and [2] labor relations.

HCC in ETFs

Weight = HCC's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWM0.16%
IJR0.22%
VB0.07%
VIOV0.35%
IJS0.33%
SLYV0.31%
+13 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 9/15/2026

Warrior Met Coal (HCC) stock has remained largely at the same level since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Overvaluation concerns contributed to a downward pressure on the stock.

On September 15, 2026, Warrior Met Coal (HCC) was deemed "significantly overvalued," trading at a 33.4% premium to its estimated fair value of $68.66. The company's current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 22.0x was considerably higher than its 5-year median P/E of 8.0x, suggesting that the stock was trading at elevated valuation levels compared to historical averages and implying a potential market correction.

2. Significant insider selling activity likely impacted investor sentiment.

Insiders at Warrior Met Coal sold $26.4 million worth of stock in the 12 months leading up to September 15, 2026. During fiscal Q2 2026, insiders collectively sold approximately $11.25 million in shares. Notably, CEO Walter J. Scheller's sale of $16.7 million worth of stock within the past 24 months signaled a lack of confidence or substantial profit-taking by key executives.

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Updated on 9/15/2026

Warrior Met Coal (HCC) stock has remained largely at the same level since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Overvaluation concerns contributed to a downward pressure on the stock.

On September 15, 2026, Warrior Met Coal (HCC) was deemed "significantly overvalued," trading at a 33.4% premium to its estimated fair value of $68.66. The company's current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 22.0x was considerably higher than its 5-year median P/E of 8.0x, suggesting that the stock was trading at elevated valuation levels compared to historical averages and implying a potential market correction.

2. Significant insider selling activity likely impacted investor sentiment.

Insiders at Warrior Met Coal sold $26.4 million worth of stock in the 12 months leading up to September 15, 2026. During fiscal Q2 2026, insiders collectively sold approximately $11.25 million in shares. Notably, CEO Walter J. Scheller's sale of $16.7 million worth of stock within the past 24 months signaled a lack of confidence or substantial profit-taking by key executives.

3. A post-earnings rally was followed by a sharp stock price pullback.

Despite Warrior Met Coal reporting strong fiscal Q2 2026 results on August 5, 2026, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.65 (beating analyst estimates of $1.40 by $0.25) and revenue increasing 71.3% year-over-year to $509.7 million, the stock experienced a significant decline after an initial surge. Although the stock climbed approximately 13.6% from early August to early September, it subsequently decreased by 13.2% in the week prior to September 15, 2026, which contributed to the overall loss observed during the specified period.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -2.5% change in HCC stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/22/2026 was primarily driven by a -38.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)53120269222026Change
Stock Price ($)94.4692.10-2.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,4691,68114.4%
Net Income Margin (%)9.4%13.0%39.4%
P/E Multiple36.222.2-38.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5353-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution-2.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2026 to 9/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
HCC-2.5% 
Market (SPY)2.5%16.7%
Sector (XLB)-0.8%31.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 10.8% change in HCC stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 199.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)22820269222026Change
Stock Price ($)83.0992.1010.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,3101,68128.3%
Net Income Margin (%)4.4%13.0%199.9%
P/E Multiple76.722.2-71.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5353-0.5%
Cumulative Contribution10.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 9/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
HCC10.8% 
Market (SPY)13.3%4.0%
Sector (XLB)-4.6%20.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 51.2% change in HCC stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 295.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)83120259222026Change
Stock Price ($)60.9192.1051.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,2231,68137.5%
Net Income Margin (%)3.3%13.0%295.5%
P/E Multiple79.422.2-72.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5353-0.5%
Cumulative Contribution51.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 9/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
HCC51.2% 
Market (SPY)21.2%9.6%
Sector (XLB)11.5%21.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 138.4% change in HCC stock from 8/31/2023 to 9/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 410.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120239222026Change
Stock Price ($)38.6392.10138.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,6241,6813.5%
Net Income Margin (%)28.5%13.0%-54.2%
P/E Multiple4.322.2410.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5253-1.6%
Cumulative Contribution138.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2023 to 9/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
HCC138.4% 
Market (SPY)78.3%20.9%
Sector (XLB)29.2%30.2%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
HCC Return22%41%82%-10%63%1%363%
Peers Return339%87%38%-22%23%-9%889%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HCC Win Rate58%58%58%58%67%44% 
Peers Win Rate62%48%54%35%50%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%56% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HCC Max Drawdown-38%-36%-23%-29%-29%-30% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-31%-39%-45%-53%-48% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AMR, BTU, METC, SXC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/22/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventHCCS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-18.4%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven20 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-14.7%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.2%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven83 days18 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-12.7%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven14.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven20 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-50.4%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven101.6%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven174 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-23.2%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.2%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven65 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-13.7%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven15.9%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven20 days6 days

Compare to AMR, BTU, METC, SXC

In The Past

Warrior Met Coal's stock fell -18.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 22.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventHCCS&P 500
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-50.4%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven101.6%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven174 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-23.2%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.2%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven65 days105 days

Compare to AMR, BTU, METC, SXC

In The Past

Warrior Met Coal's stock fell -18.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 22.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Warrior Met Coal (HCC)

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) is a U.S.-based company specializing in the production and export of non-thermal metallurgical coal. Operating two underground mines located in Alabama, the company primarily extracts this specific type of coal, which is essential for the steel manufacturing process.

The metallurgical coal produced by Warrior Met Coal is sold to blast furnace steel producers, with its primary customer base situated in international markets such as Europe, South America, and Asia. Beyond its core coal operations, the company also generates revenue from selling natural gas, which is a byproduct of its coal extraction activities.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Warrior Met Coal (HCC):

  • Warrior Met Coal is like BHP Group or Rio Tinto, but exclusively mines the metallurgical (coking) coal essential for steel production globally.
  • Warrior Met Coal is like Peabody Energy, but focuses entirely on digging up the high-grade metallurgical coal used in steel mills, not the thermal coal for power plants.

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  • Non-thermal Metallurgical Coal: This is the primary product, used by blast furnace steel producers for steel manufacturing.
  • Natural Gas: A byproduct extracted during the coal production process, which the company also sells.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Warrior Met Coal (HCC) sells its metallurgical coal to a diversified customer base of blast furnace steel producers. The company does not disclose specific customer names, as no single customer accounts for 10% or more of its total consolidated revenues.

Its customers can be categorized as:

  1. Blast furnace steel producers in Europe
  2. Blast furnace steel producers in South America
  3. Blast furnace steel producers in Asia

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  • CSX Transportation, Inc. (CSX)
  • McDuffie Coal Terminal

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```html Walter J. Scheller III, Chief Executive Officer and Director Mr. Scheller was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Warrior Met Coal in March 2016. Prior to this, he served as CEO of Walter Energy, Inc. from September 2011 to March 2016, during which certain mining assets of Walter Energy were acquired by Warrior Met Coal, LLC, the company's predecessor. He also held the role of President and Chief Operating Officer of Jim Walter Resources, Inc., a primary subsidiary of Walter Energy, from June 2010 to September 2011. His career spans over 40 years, including senior management and operational positions at Peabody Energy Corporation (Senior Vice President – Strategic Operations), CNX Gas Corporation (Vice President), and CONSOL Energy Inc. (various executive and operational roles, including Vice President – Operations). Dale W. Boyles, Chief Financial Officer Mr. Boyles has served as Chief Financial Officer of Warrior Met Coal since January 2017. From November to December 2016, he provided consulting services to Warrior Met Coal, LLC. Previously, he was the Chief Financial Officer of Noranda Aluminum Holding Corporation from November 2013 to November 2016, where he oversaw its voluntary reorganization under Chapter 11 of the Bankruptcy Code in 2016. From 2006 to June 2012, Mr. Boyles held several positions at Hanesbrands, Inc., including Operating Chief Financial Officer, Interim Chief Financial Officer, and Vice President, Controller, and Chief Accounting Officer. He also has experience as an Audit Partner at KPMG LLP and as Corporate Division Controller for Collins & Aikman Corporation. Jack K. Richardson, Chief Operating Officer Mr. Richardson serves as the Chief Operating Officer of Warrior Met Coal. Kelli K. Gant, Chief Administrative Officer and Corporate Secretary Ms. Gant holds the titles of Chief Administrative Officer and Corporate Secretary for Warrior Met Coal. Charles Lussier, Chief Commercial Officer Mr. Lussier is the Chief Commercial Officer at Warrior Met Coal.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Warrior Met Coal's business are:
  1. Dependence on the Steelmaking Coal Market and Price Volatility

    Warrior Met Coal is a pure-play producer of metallurgical coal, making its revenue and profitability highly susceptible to fluctuations in global steel demand and met coal prices. Downturns in the steel industry, changes in global economic conditions, or oversupply in the market could adversely impact demand and pricing for its product.
  2. Structural Decarbonization and Environmental/Regulatory Risks

    The long-term global push towards decarbonization and increasingly stringent environmental regulations on fossil fuels pose a fundamental threat to the coal industry, including metallurgical coal. This could lead to reduced demand for coal in steelmaking over time, increased compliance costs, and potential disruptions to operations.
  3. Trade and Geopolitical Risks

    As a company that exports its metallurgical coal primarily to Europe, South America, and Asia, Warrior Met Coal is exposed to global trade policies, tariffs, and geopolitical instabilities. For instance, trade tensions, such as those between the US and China, can significantly impact the competitiveness and volume of its exports. Fluctuations in currency exchange rates also affect the cost-effectiveness of its products for international buyers.

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The clear emerging threat for Warrior Met Coal is the global steel industry's accelerating transition towards "green steel" production methods, particularly hydrogen-based direct reduction of iron (H-DRI). This technology aims to produce steel without using coking coal in the ironmaking process, fundamentally disrupting the primary demand driver for metallurgical coal. Significant investments and pilot projects are underway globally to scale these technologies, posing a long-term existential threat to companies reliant on traditional blast furnace steel production.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) primarily produces and exports non-thermal metallurgical coal for the steel industry. The company sells its metallurgical coal to customers mainly located in Europe, South America, and Asia. It also sells natural gas, which is extracted as a byproduct from coal production.

Addressable Market Sizes for Metallurgical Coal:

The global metallurgical coal market is a significant addressable market for Warrior Met Coal. In 2025, the global metallurgical coal market size was valued at approximately between USD 81 billion and USD 126.35 billion, with projections indicating growth to USD 166.34 billion by 2034 at a CAGR of 3.06% during 2026-2034. As of 2024, global metallurgical coal production stands at approximately 1.2 billion metric tons annually, with consumption closely matching this figure. Global consumption of metallurgical coal is projected to reach approximately 1,114 million tonnes in 2025.

  • Asia (Asia-Pacific): The Asia-Pacific region represents the largest addressable market for metallurgical coal. The market in this region was valued at an estimated USD 41.70 billion in 2025. Asia-Pacific is estimated to contribute 60.3% to the growth of the global market. The region consumes over 700 million metric tons of metallurgical coal annually. China, a major consumer within Asia-Pacific, consumed over 676 million tonnes of coking coal in 2023.
  • Europe: The European metallurgical coal market is a key addressable region, with a valuation of approximately USD 24.06 billion in 2025. Europe has a stable annual metallurgical coal consumption of around 55 million metric tons, importing more than 30 million metric tons each year to meet its steel industry demands. In 2023, coke ovens in 13 EU countries consumed 37 million tonnes of coking coal.
  • South America (Latin America): The Latin America metallurgical coal market was valued at an estimated USD 13.70 billion in 2025.

Addressable Market Size for Natural Gas (byproduct):

The provided information does not readily quantify a specific addressable market size for natural gas extracted as a byproduct from Warrior Met Coal's operations. The market data predominantly focuses on metallurgical coal for steel production, and the natural gas byproduct is mentioned as a secondary product without specific market sizing details in the context of Warrior Met Coal's overall business.

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Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for Warrior Met Coal (HCC) over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Ramp-up and Full Production of the Blue Creek Mine: The commissioning of the Blue Creek mine's longwall operations, which began ahead of schedule in October 2025, is expected to be completed in early 2026. This transformational mine is anticipated to increase Warrior Met Coal's total production capacity by approximately 75%, contributing significantly to sales volumes. The company expects 2026 sales volumes to increase by more than 30% and production volumes by more than 20% compared to 2025, largely due to Blue Creek's full-year contribution.
  2. Increased Sales and Production Volumes: Driven by the Blue Creek mine and continued strong performance from existing operations, Warrior Met Coal has already achieved record sales and production volumes. Total sales volume for 2025 reached 9.6 million short tons, a 21% increase over the prior year, while production volume hit a record 10.2 million short tons, up 24% from 2024. The company forecasts total sales and production volumes to be "significantly higher" in 2026, aiming for 12.5-13.5 million short tons in sales and 12.0-13.0 million short tons in production.
  3. Favorable Metallurgical Coal Market Conditions and Pricing: Although global steelmaking coal markets have faced challenges, Warrior Met Coal's expanded capacity and lower cost structure position it to capitalize on any market improvements. While the company anticipates markets to remain consistent with 2025 levels, any strengthening in metallurgical coal prices would directly enhance revenue due to the company's increased sales volumes.
  4. Enhanced Cost Efficiency from Blue Creek: The Blue Creek mine is expected to contribute to a structurally lower cost base for Warrior Met Coal, improving its global cost curve positioning and generating incremental profit and cash flows. This improved cost efficiency allows the company to maintain strong margins even in volatile markets and ensures profitability as volumes increase, indirectly driving revenue growth by strengthening the company's competitive position.

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Share Repurchases

  • Warrior Met Coal reported significant share repurchases, with the largest being $919.66 million as of March 31, 2023.
  • The company executed quarterly buybacks of $12.00 million on March 31, 2024, and $9.38 million on March 31, 2025.
  • As of December 31, 2025, quarterly stock buybacks amounted to $48.77 million.

Outbound Investments

  • Warrior Met Coal secured 58 million short tons of high-quality steelmaking coal reserves through a federal coal lease sale, expanding its reserve base and extending the life of its core mining operations.

Capital Expenditures

  • In 2024, capital expenditures and mine development for the Blue Creek growth project amounted to $488.3 million.
  • For 2025, the company projected sustaining capital expenditures of approximately $90-$100 million and discretionary capital spending of $225-$250 million for Blue Creek development.
  • Total Blue Creek project capital expenditures are estimated to be between $995 million and $1.075 billion, with the majority of the remaining investment expected by the end of the first quarter of 2026.

Better Bets vs. Warrior Met Coal (HCC)

Peer Outperformance in Steel

HCC has outperformed 100% of its 12 Steel peers over 5Y. Steel ranks 4th of 15 industries in Materials by median 5Y return.
Share of Steel constituents that HCC has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
73%
of 15 industry peers · 49.5% return
3Y
77%
of 13 industry peers · 106.2% return
5Y
100%
of 12 industry peers · 359.5% return
No Steel peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten HCC by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Materials sector, ranked by 5Y. Steel is HCC's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Copper 7 84.0%109.5%344.8% COPR 937% · TGB 426% · HBM 377%
Silver 6 86.1%352.8%183.7% AYA 363% · HL 259% · SVM 221%
Gold 38 23.6%214.8%172.2% AUGO 1099% · IAG 854% · AU 660%
Steel ← 13 16.3%40.3%166.2% HCC 360% · NWPX 341% · STLD 326%
Aluminum 4 55.0%97.7%47.4% CENX 180% · KALU 66% · CSTM 29%
Construction Materials 9 -19.3%20.5%44.6% USLM 373% · CRH 86% · TGLS 77%
Diversified Metals & Mining 24 -17.1%-11.7%24.1% ATLX 218471% · USAR 56913% · TII 769%
Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials 7 11.3%12.6%-6.1% PKG 93% · CCK 9% · SON 1%
Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers 12 -4.0%16.2%-12.2% KRT 205% · MYE 83% · GEF 56%
Specialty Chemicals 42 9.4%3.3%-13.3% ODC 486% · NEU 193% · CMT 103%
Precious Metals & Minerals 8 32.7%185.1%-23.0% ASM 665% · PPTA 379% · MTA 49%
Diversified Chemicals 4 -1.7%-27.3%-26.1% CBT 76% · ASH -17% · CC -35%
Commodity Chemicals 12 16.1%-14.1%-27.5% HWKN 277% · KOP 55% · MEOH 40%
Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals 10 -10.7%-3.2%-38.0% CF 150% · CTVA 100% · NTR 39%
Paper Products 4 -20.8%-49.4%-67.4% SLVM 67% · CLW -39% · ITP -96%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HCCAMRBTUMETCSXCMedian
NameWarrior .Alpha Me.Peabody .Ramaco R.SunCoke . 
Mkt Price92.10188.5726.799.709.8326.79
Mkt Cap4.92.43.30.60.82.4
Rev LTM1,6812,0654,0115151,8981,898
Op Inc LTM229-45-154-7339-45
FCF LTM6-1-178-13629-1
FCF 3Y Avg-2720713-118113
CFO LTM301138219-42111138
CFO 3Y Avg36738342268158367

Growth & Margins

HCCAMRBTUMETCSXCMedian
NameWarrior .Alpha Me.Peabody .Ramaco R.SunCoke . 
Rev Chg LTM37.5%-12.9%-0.7%-17.7%2.8%-0.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.6%-15.1%-10.0%-1.9%-2.5%-2.5%
Rev Chg Q71.3%-10.4%12.7%-5.3%9.5%9.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM14.4%-2.7%2.9%-1.6%2.2%2.2%
Op Inc Chg LTM789.7%-101.5%-193.0%-305.3%-68.0%-101.5%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg225.5%-83.7%-109.6%-156.7%-26.8%-83.7%
Op Mgn LTM13.6%-2.2%-3.8%-14.1%2.1%-2.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg14.4%4.3%4.5%-2.8%5.0%4.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM3.9%-0.7%-1.6%-1.1%1.0%-0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM17.9%6.7%5.5%-8.2%5.9%5.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg23.0%13.6%10.2%9.2%8.3%10.2%
FCF/Rev LTM0.4%-0.1%-4.4%-26.3%1.5%-0.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3.3%6.9%0.3%-3.9%4.3%0.3%

Valuation

HCCAMRBTUMETCSXCMedian
NameWarrior .Alpha Me.Peabody .Ramaco R.SunCoke . 
Mkt Cap4.92.43.30.60.82.4
P/S2.91.20.81.20.41.2
P/Op Inc21.2-53.5-21.2-8.621.4-8.6
P/EBIT20.1-35.4-18.8-8.8-16.5-16.5
P/E22.2-52.0-17.9-10.1-15.4-15.4
P/CFO16.117.314.9-14.87.614.9
Total Yield4.9%-1.9%-4.5%-9.9%-1.6%-1.9%
Dividend Yield0.4%0.0%1.1%0.0%4.9%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.7%8.0%2.1%0.1%10.8%2.1%
D/E0.10.00.10.70.80.1
Net D/E-0.0-0.1-0.00.30.7-0.0

Returns

HCCAMRBTUMETCSXCMedian
NameWarrior .Alpha Me.Peabody .Ramaco R.SunCoke . 
1M Rtn-13.7%-10.2%-3.0%-18.5%1.4%-10.2%
3M Rtn7.0%13.1%10.9%-24.4%19.0%10.9%
6M Rtn-3.5%-13.5%-29.4%-32.1%54.4%-13.5%
12M Rtn49.5%16.5%17.5%-68.0%33.3%17.5%
3Y Rtn106.2%-19.8%21.3%15.2%18.3%18.3%
1M Excs Rtn-14.9%-11.4%-4.1%-19.7%0.3%-11.4%
3M Excs Rtn1.6%7.7%5.4%-29.8%13.5%5.4%
6M Excs Rtn-11.3%-24.0%-41.8%-46.0%48.9%-24.0%
12M Excs Rtn30.5%-3.0%2.7%-84.6%15.4%2.7%
3Y Excs Rtn25.2%-97.8%-58.2%-59.8%-54.6%-58.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Mining1,2771,5001,6481,7081,028
All other3325293131
Total1,3101,5251,6771,7391,059


Assets by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Mining2,6322,4572,2211,845
All other152135136183
Total2,7842,5922,3572,028


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$92.10 
Market Cap ($ Bil)4.9 
First Trading Date04/13/2017 
Distance from 52W High-16.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$93.18$89.95
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-1.2%2.4%
 3M1YR
Volatility41.7%51.9%
Downside Capture14.5527.14
Upside Capture44.0868.77
Correlation (SPY)16.3%10.6%
HCC Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.290.650.780.190.460.68
Up Beta-0.270.54-1.10-0.77-0.240.49
Down Beta7.683.652.041.731.200.90
Up Capture222%122%128%29%68%60%
Bmk +ve Days10213268138427
Stock +ve Days13263466136388
Down Capture-522%-196%67%-34%16%80%
Bmk -ve Days11213259113324
Stock -ve Days8163061115361

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with HCC
HCC47.2%51.9%0.91-
Sector ETF (XLB)13.3%17.9%0.5421.5%
Equity (SPY)17.6%13.0%0.9810.4%
Gold (GLD)18.0%29.3%0.5616.2%
Commodities (DBC)46.6%20.7%1.7521.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.2%13.6%0.12-7.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-26.0%44.9%-0.549.3%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with HCC
HCC33.2%48.8%0.75-
Sector ETF (XLB)6.1%19.1%0.2134.0%
Equity (SPY)13.3%17.2%0.5923.3%
Gold (GLD)18.9%18.8%0.8115.8%
Commodities (DBC)10.8%19.6%0.4328.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.0%18.9%-0.0517.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)12.7%52.6%0.4213.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with HCC
HCC30.2%52.2%0.74-
Sector ETF (XLB)9.9%20.7%0.4240.1%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7331.7%
Gold (GLD)12.2%16.4%0.6110.5%
Commodities (DBC)8.3%18.1%0.3730.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.7%20.7%0.1922.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)64.0%66.2%1.0412.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date8312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 8152026-6.8%
Average Daily Volume0.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity52.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares7.6%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 9/8/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/5/20266.3%14.8%22.6%
4/30/2026-4.0%-2.1%18.4%
2/12/20260.2%-1.3%-1.5%
11/5/202523.1%27.4%19.8%
8/6/20258.8%16.6%10.8%
4/30/2025-5.0%-4.0%-4.8%
2/13/2025-8.4%-14.6%-10.5%
10/30/20242.2%19.8%14.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive10815
# Negative14169
Median Positive3.4%15.7%14.0%
Median Negative-5.0%-6.0%-10.5%
Max Positive23.1%27.4%34.5%
Max Negative-22.6%-20.6%-36.6%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/5/20266.3%14.8%22.6%
4/30/2026-4.0%-2.1%18.4%
2/12/20260.2%-1.3%-1.5%
11/5/202523.1%27.4%19.8%
8/6/20258.8%16.6%10.8%
4/30/2025-5.0%-4.0%-4.8%
2/13/2025-8.4%-14.6%-10.5%
10/30/20242.2%19.8%14.0%
8/1/2024-4.3%-6.1%-5.4%
5/1/2024-3.5%-4.4%0.9%
2/14/2024-3.3%-5.1%-10.6%
11/1/2023-1.9%-8.1%17.6%
8/2/2023-11.7%-6.5%-8.5%
5/3/20236.5%17.1%4.5%
2/15/2023-1.0%-6.2%-15.9%
11/2/20223.6%-2.8%6.9%
8/3/2022-9.6%-1.3%4.1%
5/5/2022-5.2%-6.0%10.2%
2/22/20220.1%6.6%23.5%
11/2/2021-5.5%-12.0%-11.8%
8/4/20213.3%2.5%34.5%
5/5/2021-5.0%-7.2%11.6%
2/24/2021-22.6%-20.6%-36.6%
10/28/20200.8%9.6%29.9%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive10815
# Negative14169
Median Positive3.4%15.7%14.0%
Median Negative-5.0%-6.0%-10.5%
Max Positive23.1%27.4%34.5%
Max Negative-22.6%-20.6%-36.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/05/202610-Q
03/31/202604/30/202610-Q
12/31/202502/12/202610-K
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202402/13/202510-K
09/30/202410/30/202410-Q
06/30/202408/01/202410-Q
03/31/202405/01/202410-Q
12/31/202302/14/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/02/202310-Q
03/31/202305/03/202310-Q
12/31/202202/15/202310-K
09/30/202211/02/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/05/202610-Q
03/31/202604/30/202610-Q
12/31/202502/12/202610-K
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202402/13/202510-K
09/30/202410/30/202410-Q
06/30/202408/01/202410-Q
03/31/202405/01/202410-Q
12/31/202302/14/202410-K
09/30/202311/01/202310-Q
06/30/202308/02/202310-Q
03/31/202305/03/202310-Q
12/31/202202/15/202310-K
09/30/202211/02/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q
03/31/202205/05/202210-Q
12/31/202102/22/202210-K
09/30/202111/02/202110-Q
06/30/202108/04/202110-Q
03/31/202105/05/202110-Q
12/31/202002/24/202110-K
09/30/202010/28/202010-Q
06/30/202008/05/202010-Q
03/31/202004/29/202010-Q
12/31/201902/19/202010-K
09/30/201910/30/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 8/6/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Coal productionReported12.50 Mil13.00 Mil13.50 Mil4.0% RaisedGuidance: 12.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Depreciation and depletionReported225.00 Mil237.50 Mil250.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 237.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Coal salesReported13.00 Mil13.50 Mil14.00 Mil3.8% RaisedGuidance: 13.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Cash cost of sales (free-on-board port)Reported95100105-2.4% LoweredGuidance: 102 for 2026
2026 Selling, general and administrative expensesReported75.00 Mil80.00 Mil85.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 80.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Interest expenseReported20.00 Mil22.50 Mil25.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 22.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Interest incomeReported3.00 Mil5.50 Mil8.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 5.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital expenditures for sustaining existing minesReported105.00 Mil110.00 Mil115.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 110.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital expenditures for Blue Creek projectReported50.00 Mil62.50 Mil75.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 62.50 Mil for 2026


Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/30/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Coal productionReported12.00 Mil12.50 Mil13.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 12.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Depreciation and depletionReported225.00 Mil237.50 Mil250.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 237.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Coal salesReported12.50 Mil13.00 Mil13.50 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 13.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Cash cost of sales (free-on-board port)Reported951021100 AffirmedGuidance: 102 for 2026
2026 Selling, general and administrative expensesReported75.00 Mil80.00 Mil85.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 80.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Interest expenseReported20.00 Mil22.50 Mil25.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 22.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Interest incomeReported3.00 Mil5.50 Mil8.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 5.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital expenditures for sustaining existing minesReported105.00 Mil110.00 Mil115.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 110.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital expenditures for Blue Creek projectReported50.00 Mil62.50 Mil75.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 62.50 Mil for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/12/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Coal productionReported12.00 Mil12.50 Mil13.00 Mil30.2% Higher NewGuidance: 9.60 Mil for 2025
2026 Depreciation and depletionReported225.00 Mil237.50 Mil250.00 Mil20.3% Higher NewGuidance: 197.50 Mil for 2025
2026 Coal salesReported12.50 Mil13.00 Mil13.50 Mil38.3% Higher NewGuidance: 9.40 Mil for 2025
2026 Cash cost of sales (free-on-board port)Reported95102110-4.7% Lower NewGuidance: 108 for 2025
2026 Selling, general and administrative expensesReported75.00 Mil80.00 Mil85.00 Mil14.3% Higher NewGuidance: 70.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Interest expenseReported20.00 Mil22.50 Mil25.00 Mil80.0% Higher NewGuidance: 12.50 Mil for 2025
2026 Interest incomeReported3.00 Mil5.50 Mil8.00 Mil-68.6% Lower NewGuidance: 17.50 Mil for 2025
2026 Capital expenditures for sustaining existing minesReported105.00 Mil110.00 Mil115.00 Mil15.8% Higher NewGuidance: 95.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Capital expenditures for Blue Creek projectReported50.00 Mil62.50 Mil75.00 Mil-73.7% Lower NewGuidance: 237.50 Mil for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/5/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Coal productionReported9.40 Mil9.60 Mil9.80 Mil10.3% RaisedGuidance: 8.70 Mil for 2025
2025 Mine development costs for Blue Creek projectReported85.00 Mil92.50 Mil100.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 92.50 Mil for 2025
2025 Depreciation and depletionReported185.00 Mil197.50 Mil210.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 197.50 Mil for 2025
2025 Coal salesReported9.20 Mil9.40 Mil9.60 Mil2.7% RaisedGuidance: 9.15 Mil for 2025
2025 Cash cost of sales (free-on-board port)Reported105108110-6.5% LoweredGuidance: 115 for 2025
2025 Selling, general and administrative expensesReported65.00 Mil70.00 Mil75.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 70.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Interest expenseReported10.00 Mil12.50 Mil15.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 12.50 Mil for 2025
2025 Interest incomeReported15.00 Mil17.50 Mil20.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 17.50 Mil for 2025
2025 Capital expenditures for sustaining existing minesReported90.00 Mil95.00 Mil100.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 95.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Capital expenditures for Blue Creek projectReported225.00 Mil237.50 Mil250.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 237.50 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 8/26/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Scheller, Walter JCHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICERDirectSell8262026110.0050,0005,500,00029,457,230Form
2Chopin, Brian MCHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICERDirectSell8212026104.023,232336,1932,195,862Form
3Scheller, Walter JCHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICERDirectSell8212026105.0050,0005,250,00033,368,265Form
4Williams, Stephen D DirectSell8212026104.234,800500,3043,158,482Form
5Gant, Kelli KSee remarksDirectSell6042026110.0020,0002,200,0007,455,250Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Scheller, Walter JCHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICERDirectSell8262026110.0050,0005,500,00029,457,230Form
2Chopin, Brian MCHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICERDirectSell8212026104.023,232336,1932,195,862Form
3Scheller, Walter JCHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICERDirectSell8212026105.0050,0005,250,00033,368,265Form
4Williams, Stephen D DirectSell8212026104.234,800500,3043,158,482Form
5Gant, Kelli KSee remarksDirectSell6042026110.0020,0002,200,0007,455,250Form
6Scheller, Walter JCHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICERDirectSell1132026100.31100,00010,031,00029,509,497Form
7Gant, Kelli KSee remarksDirectSell1132026100.0010,0001,000,0007,058,000Form
8Chopin, Brian MCHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICERDirectSell1114202580.541,498120,6491,596,625Form
9Chopin, Brian MCHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICERDirectSell1114202584.7558549,5791,807,040Form
10Scheller, Walter JCHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICERDirectSell1107202575.0018,9661,422,45029,563,725Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Sep 23, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Dalal Street, LLC$168.7 Mil39.9%3Hold13F
Ashoka WhiteOak Capital Pte Ltd$12.4 Mil4.7%18ADD +207.2%13F
Summit Street Capital Management, LLC$32.8 Mil4.6%31Hold13F
Mudita Advisors LLP$16.2 Mil3.3%28TRIM -67.5%13F
Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, LLC$55.7 Mil3.0%43New13F
Hi-Line Capital Management, LLC$7.4 Mil2.3%32Hold13F
High Ground Investment Management LLP$10.9 Mil2.0%5TRIM -26.1%13F
Forest Avenue Capital Management LP$26.6 Mil1.7%25TRIM -29.9%13F
Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc.$13.3 Mil0.4%44TRIM -91.3%13F
Progeny 3, Inc.$5.1 Mil0.3%32Hold13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, LLC$55.7 Mil3.0%43New13F
Ashoka WhiteOak Capital Pte Ltd$12.4 Mil4.7%18ADD +207.2%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Encompass Capital Advisors LLC$33.1 Mil1.6%48ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc.$13.3 Mil0.4%44TRIM -91.3%Mar 31, 202613F
Mudita Advisors LLP$16.2 Mil3.3%28TRIM -67.5%Mar 31, 202613F
Forest Avenue Capital Management LP$26.6 Mil1.7%25TRIM -29.9%Mar 31, 202613F
High Ground Investment Management LLP$10.9 Mil2.0%5TRIM -26.1%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Dalal Street, LLC$168.7 Mil39.9%3Hold13F
Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, LLC$55.7 Mil3.0%43New13F
Summit Street Capital Management, LLC$32.8 Mil4.6%31Hold13F
Forest Avenue Capital Management LP$26.6 Mil1.7%25TRIM -29.9%13F
Mudita Advisors LLP$16.2 Mil3.3%28TRIM -67.5%13F
Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc.$13.3 Mil0.4%44TRIM -91.3%13F
Ashoka WhiteOak Capital Pte Ltd$12.4 Mil4.7%18ADD +207.2%13F
High Ground Investment Management LLP$10.9 Mil2.0%5TRIM -26.1%13F
Hi-Line Capital Management, LLC$7.4 Mil2.3%32Hold13F
Progeny 3, Inc.$5.1 Mil0.3%32Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/22/2026