Metalla Royalty & Streaming (MTA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $7.5 | Market Cap: $693.9 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Precious Metals & Minerals
Metalla Royalty & Streaming (MTA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $7.5Market Cap: $693.9 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Precious Metals & Minerals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 71% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.8%, Dist 3Y High is -0.8% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.9 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -23% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -24% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 43x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 249x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Economic Resilience. Themes include Precious Metals as Store of Value, and Inflation Protection. | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 118%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 149% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.6% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 71% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Economic Resilience. Themes include Precious Metals as Store of Value, and Inflation Protection. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.8%, Dist 3Y High is -0.8% |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -24% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.9 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -23% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 43x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 249x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 118%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 149% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.6% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MTA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Metalla Royalty & Streaming (MTA) experienced a 36.7% stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors:
**1. Strong Financial Performance and Near-Term Growth Catalysts**
Metalla reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with royalty revenue increasing by 208% year-over-year, attributed to 840 gold equivalent ounces at realized prices of approximately $3,289 per ounce. The company also saw a significant increase in adjusted EBITDA. These results were bolstered by the recommissioning of the Endeavor Mine and anticipated ramp-up of Amalgamated Kirkland, contributing to expected near-term revenue growth.
**2. Increased Royalty Stake and Strategic Asset Development**
Metalla increased its royalty interest in the Côté & Gosselin project to 1.5% in November 2025. The Gosselin deposit is a significant focus of IAMGOLD's 2025 exploration budget and is expected to substantially enhance Metalla's value by 2026–2027.
**3. Positive Outlook on Gold Market and Organic Growth**
In September 2025, Metalla's CEO highlighted a structural shift in the gold market, with strong gold prices (e.g., $3,600 per ounce). The company anticipates a 30-35% compounded annual growth rate in revenue or gold equivalent ounces by the end of the decade, largely driven by its existing portfolio of royalties and streams.
**4. Advancement of Key Royalty Assets Towards Production**
Several core royalty assets showed significant progress. The Endeavor Mine recommenced operations, with Metalla expecting its first royalty check from the asset in Q3 2025. Additionally, the Amalgamated Kirkland asset is projected to commence production in Q4 2025, with further ramp-up expected into 2026. Other assets like La Parrilla also show potential for production in early 2026.
**5. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Revisions**
Metalla Royalty & Streaming received a consensus "Buy" rating from analysts, with several firms increasing their price targets for the stock in November 2025. This positive analyst coverage and upward revision in price targets reflect growing market confidence in the company's future prospects.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MTA Return | 133% | -45% | -29% | -37% | -19% | 193% | 37% |
| Peers Return | 54% | 326% | -35% | 8% | 62% | 84% | 1282% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MTA Win Rate | 58% | 33% | 42% | 42% | 50% | 90% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 28% | 40% | 50% | 43% | 66% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MTA Max Drawdown | -35% | -50% | -51% | -47% | -22% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -22% | -14% | -49% | -22% | -30% | -32% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PLG, LODE, TFPM, PPTA, SLSR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MTA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -80.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 405.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 83.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 136 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -23.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 69 days | 120 days |
Compare to PLG, LODE, TFPM, PPTA, SLSR
In The Past
Metalla Royalty & Streaming's stock fell -80.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2021. A -80.2% loss requires a 405.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Can Metalla Royalty & Streaming Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MTA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Metalla Royalty & Streaming
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 7.62 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.0 |
| Rev LTM | 1 |
| Op Inc LTM | -14 |
| FCF LTM | -2 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -13 |
| CFO LTM | -1 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -9 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 49.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 45.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 26.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 6.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -23.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -99.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 4.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -4.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 16.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -95.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.0 |
| P/S | 43.5 |
| P/EBIT | -24.7 |
| P/E | -25.7 |
| P/CFO | 7.4 |
| Total Yield | -2.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -4.1% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 17.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 40.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 51.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 114.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 36.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 17.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 32.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 36.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 106.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -15.6% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acquisition and management of gold, silver, and copper royalties, streams, and similar production-based interests | 5 | ||||
| Aranzazu | 0 | ||||
| Cap-Oeste Sur East property (COSE) | 0 | 1 | 0 | ||
| El Realito | 0 | 0 | |||
| Joaquin | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| La Encantada | 0 | ||||
| Other fixed royalty payments | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Wharf | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||
| Revenue from royalty interests | 0 | ||||
| Revenue from stream interest | 3 | ||||
| Total | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5152025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3272025 | 40-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11142024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5152024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3282024 | 40-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8112023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5122023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3312023 | 40-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8122022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3252022 | 40-F 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11152021 | 6-K 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |