Tearsheet

Packaging of America (PKG)


Market Price (4/15/2026): $209.83 | Market Cap: $18.7 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

Packaging of America (PKG)


Market Price (4/15/2026): $209.83
Market Cap: $18.7 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%, Dividend Yield is 2.4%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -8.4%

Key risks
PKG key risks include [1] its substantial reliance on the North American market, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%, Dividend Yield is 2.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -8.4%
5 Key risks
PKG key risks include [1] its substantial reliance on the North American market, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Packaging of America (PKG) stock has remained largely at the same level since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Packaging Corporation of America reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, coupled with a positive outlook for the subsequent period.

Despite missing analyst estimates for Q4 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) at $2.32 versus an expected $2.41, the company achieved a 10.1% year-over-year increase in Q4 2025 net sales, reaching $2.4 billion. Full-year 2025 adjusted EPS of $9.84 also surpassed consensus estimates, driven by a 7.2% increase in net sales to $9.0 billion. Management highlighted significantly improved demand in January 2026 and strong performance in its paper business due to higher volumes and price realization. The company also repurchased 760,000 shares during the fourth quarter at an average price of $201 per share.

2. The successful integration and anticipated synergies from the Greif containerboard acquisition served as a significant tailwind.

The acquisition of Greif's containerboard assets added an additional 450,000 tons of capacity for Packaging Corporation of America. The full realization of synergies from this acquisition is estimated to contribute $50 million annually, providing a major boost to earnings over the next 18 months. This strategic expansion and operational synergy were noted as catalysts for the company's stock performance.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 2.4% change in PKG stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 18.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120254142026Change
Stock Price ($)205.03209.932.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8,7728,9892.5%
Net Income Margin (%)10.2%8.6%-15.5%
P/E Multiple20.524.218.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)89890.1%
Cumulative Contribution2.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 4/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PKG2.4% 
Market (SPY)-5.4%43.9%
Sector (XLB)14.7%60.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -2.5% change in PKG stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -17.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)93020254142026Change
Stock Price ($)215.34209.93-2.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8,6418,9894.0%
Net Income Margin (%)10.5%8.6%-17.7%
P/E Multiple21.324.213.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)89890.0%
Cumulative Contribution-2.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 4/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PKG-2.5% 
Market (SPY)-2.9%36.8%
Sector (XLB)16.7%64.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 8.6% change in PKG stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 13.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120254142026Change
Stock Price ($)193.27209.938.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8,3838,9897.2%
Net Income Margin (%)9.6%8.6%-10.3%
P/E Multiple21.424.213.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)8989-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution8.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2025 to 4/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PKG8.6% 
Market (SPY)16.3%52.8%
Sector (XLB)22.8%70.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 64.0% change in PKG stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 115.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120234142026Change
Stock Price ($)127.99209.9364.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8,4788,9896.0%
Net Income Margin (%)12.1%8.6%-29.1%
P/E Multiple11.224.2115.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)90891.3%
Cumulative Contribution64.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2023 to 4/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PKG64.0% 
Market (SPY)63.3%46.3%
Sector (XLB)36.2%64.1%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
PKG Return2%-3%32%42%-6%1%75%
Peers Return13%4%5%14%-15%-2%18%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-0%81%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PKG Win Rate50%50%50%83%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate58%50%42%52%42%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PKG Max Drawdown-6%-16%-2%-1%-21%-1% 
Peers Max Drawdown-5%-14%-12%-9%-28%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: IP, SON, GPK, GEF. See PKG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/14/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPKGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-32.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven430 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven178 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-39.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven66.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven687 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-69.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven224.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,255 days1,480 days

Compare to IP, SON, GPK, GEF

In The Past

Packaging of America's stock fell -32.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -32.4% loss requires a 47.9% gain to breakeven.

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About Packaging of America (PKG)

Packaging Corporation of America manufactures and sells containerboard and corrugated packaging products in the United States. The company operates through Packaging and Paper segments. The Packaging segment offers various containerboard and corrugated packaging products, such as conventional shipping containers used to protect and transport manufactured goods; multi-color boxes and displays that help to merchandise the packaged product in retail locations; and honeycomb protective packaging products, as well as packaging for meat, fresh fruit and vegetables, processed food, beverages, and other industrial and consumer products. This segment sells its corrugated products through a direct sales and marketing organization, independent brokers, and distribution partners. The Paper segment manufactures and sells commodity and specialty papers, as well as communication papers, including cut-size office papers, and printing and converting papers. This segment sells white papers through its sales and marketing organization. Packaging Corporation of America was founded in 1867 and is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Packaging Corporation of America (PKG):

  • They're like Nucor for paper and cardboard instead of steel.
  • They're like Corning for packaging, making the essential boxes and paper that hold almost everything else.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Containerboard: A type of paperboard used as a raw material for making corrugated packaging.
  • Corrugated Packaging Products: Various packaging solutions, including conventional shipping containers and multi-color boxes and displays for retail.
  • Honeycomb Protective Packaging Products: Specialized lightweight and strong packaging designed for product protection during transport.
  • Communication Papers: A range of paper products including cut-size office papers, and papers used for printing and converting.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) primarily operates as a business-to-business (B2B) supplier. It manufactures and sells containerboard, corrugated packaging products, and various types of paper products to other companies.

Due to the highly diversified nature of its customer base and the broad applicability of its packaging and paper products across numerous industries, PKG does not publicly disclose specific "major customers" that account for a material portion of its revenue. Instead, it serves a vast array of companies that require packaging for their own manufactured goods, agricultural products, food and beverages, or paper for their operational needs.

Based on the company's product offerings, PKG's customers are typically found across the following industries:

  • Consumer Goods Manufacturers: Companies that produce processed foods, beverages, personal care items, household goods, and other consumer products, requiring packaging for protection, transport, and retail merchandising.
  • Industrial Manufacturers: Businesses producing various industrial products, equipment, or components that need durable packaging for shipping and storage.
  • Agricultural and Food Processing Companies: Producers of fresh fruits, vegetables, meat, and other agricultural commodities, as well as food processing companies, utilizing specialized packaging for product integrity, safety, and distribution.
  • Retailers and E-commerce Businesses: While often indirect, these entities utilize packaging for in-store displays, shipping of goods, and other logistical purposes within their supply chains.
  • Commercial and Office Businesses: Companies that purchase communication papers, cut-size office papers, and printing and converting papers for their daily operations, printing, and various business needs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Mark W. Kowlzan, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Mr. Kowlzan has served as Chairman of Packaging Corporation of America since January 2016 and as Chief Executive Officer and a director since July 2010. He joined PCA in 1996 and, prior to becoming CEO, served as Senior Vice President-Containerboard for ten years, leading the company's containerboard mill system from 1998 through June 2010. Mr. Kowlzan began his career in 1981 at International Paper Company, holding various positions in process engineering and manufacturing management.

Kent A. Pflederer, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Pflederer will assume the role of Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer on May 1, 2025. He joined PCA in 2007 as General Counsel and previously served as Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary from 2013 to 2025, and as Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary from 2007 to 2013. Mr. Pflederer possesses a strong accounting and finance background.

Thomas A. Hassfurther, President

Mr. Hassfurther was named President of PCA in February 2025. He joined the company in 1977 and has led PCA's corrugated products business since 2009. In his role as President, he oversees PCA's strategic growth efforts in addition to continuing to lead the corrugated products business.

Charles J. Carter, Executive Vice President — Mill Operations

Mr. Carter serves as the Executive Vice President of Mill Operations for Packaging Corporation of America.

D. Ray Shirley, Executive Vice President — Corrugated Products

Mr. Shirley was appointed Executive Vice President, Corrugated Products in February 2025. He has been with PCA since 1996, working in various business and operational roles across the company's containerboard and corrugated products systems. Prior to his current role, he served as Senior Vice President, Corporate Engineering and Process Technology since 2019 and continues to oversee the engineering and technology organization.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The public company Packaging Corporation of America (symbol: PKG) faces several key risks to its business operations.

Key Risks to Packaging Corporation of America (PKG)

1. Volatile Raw Material and Energy Costs, and Supply Chain Disruptions: Packaging Corporation of America is highly dependent on the price and availability of key raw materials, such as paper and pulp, which are subject to market fluctuations and supply chain disruptions. Increases in the cost of wood, recycled fiber, and energy (including natural gas, fuel oil, and electricity) can significantly impact the company's manufacturing and distribution costs and ultimately its financial performance and profitability. Furthermore, disruptions in the global supply chain, due to factors like natural disasters, geopolitical tensions, and transportation issues, can affect the timely delivery of raw materials and finished products, leading to operational inefficiencies and increased expenses.

2. Intense Competition and Macroeconomic Headwinds: The containerboard, corrugated packaging, and paper industries in which PKG operates are highly competitive, with numerous companies vying for market share. This intense competition can lead to pricing pressures and impact PKG's margins and profitability. Additionally, macroeconomic factors, including weak consumer spending, rising operating costs, and inflationary pressures, pose significant industry headwinds. These conditions can affect sales volumes and profitability, making it challenging for the company to maintain consistent pricing and profit margins.

3. Evolving Environmental Regulations and Demand for Sustainable Packaging: Changes in environmental regulations and increasing consumer and customer demands for sustainable packaging solutions pose ongoing challenges for PKG. The company must continuously adapt to evolving standards related to product safety, waste management, and environmental footprints. Meeting these demands often requires substantial investments in research and development, as well as alterations to existing manufacturing processes, to reduce waste, increase recyclability, and develop eco-friendly alternatives, which can incur significant costs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The increasing adoption of digital communication, cloud-based document storage, and paperless office environments poses a clear emerging threat to Packaging Corporation of America's Paper segment by steadily reducing demand for cut-size office papers, printing, and converting papers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Packaging Corporation of America (symbol: PKG) operates in several addressable markets related to containerboard, corrugated packaging products, and various paper products.

Containerboard Market

  • The global containerboard market size was valued at approximately USD 141.43 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 175.89 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 2.51% from 2026–2034.
  • Another estimate places the global containerboard market size at USD 123.83 billion in 2025, expecting it to reach USD 156.97 billion by 2035 with a CAGR of 2.4% between 2026-2035.
  • The U.S. containerboard market is projected to reach USD 23.53 billion by 2026. Additionally, the U.S. market is projected to grow significantly, reaching USD 41.1 billion by 2034.

Corrugated Packaging Products Market

  • The global corrugated packaging market was valued at USD 233.8 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to approximately USD 380 billion by 2034, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5% between 2025 and 2034.
  • Another report estimates the global corrugated packaging market size at USD 325.37 billion in 2025, predicted to reach around USD 496.29 billion by 2035, expanding at a CAGR of 4.31% from 2026 to 2035.
  • The North America corrugated packaging market size is expected to reach USD 135.5 billion in 2025 and is further anticipated to reach USD 318.7 billion by 2033 at a CAGR of 10.0%.

Paper Packaging Market (Broader Category including Containerboard and Corrugated)

  • The global paper packaging market was valued at USD 410.5 billion in 2024, with expectations to reach USD 596.5 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 3.8%.
  • Another estimate for the global paper packaging market size is USD 448.9 billion in 2025, projected to reach USD 552.0 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 2.25% from 2026-2034.
  • The U.S. paper packaging market generated a revenue of USD 38,665.6 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 71,761.2 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 10.5% from 2025 to 2030.
  • Additionally, the U.S. paper packaging industry is valued at USD 41.5 billion in 2025 with an approximated CAGR of 4% from 2025-2030. Another source states the U.S. paper packaging market size reached USD 84.2 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 98.9 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 1.80% during 2026-2034.

Printing and Writing Paper Market

  • The global printing and writing paper market size is 77.78 million tonnes in 2025 and is projected to decline to 75.81 million tonnes by 2030, translating into a -0.51% CAGR.
  • In value terms, the global printing and writing paper market was valued at USD 133,762.37 million in 2025 and is expected to increase to USD 225,556.27 million by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 7.8%.
  • The printing and writing paper market size in the United States rose markedly to $12.5 billion in 2024. The U.S. market value is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +2.3% for the period from 2024 to 2035, projected to bring the market value to $16 billion by the end of 2035.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Price Increases for Containerboard and Corrugated Packaging: Packaging Corporation of America is implementing a $70 per ton containerboard price increase, which commenced in January. This strategic pricing action is expected to contribute to revenue growth. Higher prices and a favorable product mix in the Packaging segment have already been identified as primary drivers of increased earnings in previous quarters.
  2. Increased Demand for Corrugated Packaging, particularly from E-commerce: The company anticipates continued growth in corrugated demand, with e-commerce specifically highlighted as the leading growth segment in corrugated packaging. Robust demand, evidenced by double-digit increases in bookings and billings in January, is expected to drive solid year-over-year growth.
  3. Synergies and Performance from Acquisitions: Packaging Corporation of America expects to realize $300 million in synergies from the acquisition of Greif mills. The acquired plants have already performed well, exceeding expectations and showing a strong start to the year, contributing to increased shipments.
  4. Operational Efficiencies and Cost Savings: Strategic operational realignments, including the Wallula mill reconfiguration, are projected to generate annual savings of $75 million to $85 million. Investments in energy projects are also underway to reduce costs and enhance independence from the grid, which can indirectly support revenue growth by improving competitiveness and freeing up capital for growth initiatives.
  5. Diversification into Higher-Margin Specialty Paper Products: To counteract weak consumer spending on traditional paper products, PKG has been diversifying its portfolio and investing in higher-margin specialty paper products. This shift aims to capitalize on increased demand and improve profitability within its Paper segment.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Packaging Corporation of America repurchased 760,000 shares in the fourth quarter of 2025 at an average price of $201 per share, totaling $153 million.
  • Share repurchases contributed to a lower share count, positively impacting earnings per share in full year 2023.
  • Over the last five years, the company has reduced its share count by 4.7% through buybacks.

Outbound Investments

  • In September 2025, Packaging Corporation of America acquired Greif's containerboard business for $1.8 billion.
  • This acquisition included two mills (Massillon, Ohio, and Riverville, Virginia) and associated converting facilities.
  • The Greif acquisition is projected to generate $300 million in synergies.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures were $605.1 million in 2021, $824.2 million in 2022, $469.7 million in 2023, $669.7 million in 2024, and $828.9 million for the full year 2025.
  • Expected capital expenditures for 2026 are between $840 million and $870 million, including a $250 million investment in energy projects.
  • The primary focus of capital expenditures has been on plant and mill upgrades, including projects to reduce electric costs, enhance operational efficiency, and support paper-to-containerboard conversion activities at the Jackson, AL mill.

Better Bets vs. Packaging of America (PKG)

Trade Ideas

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ARIS_3062026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03062026ARISAris MiningDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
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9.8%9.8%-6.0%
PKG_9302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302022PKGPackaging of AmericaDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
26.0%41.9%0.0%
PKG_12312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12312018PKGPackaging of AmericaDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
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18.9%38.4%-0.7%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PKGIPSONGPKGEFMedian
NamePackagin.Internat.Sonoco P.Graphic .Greif  
Mkt Price209.9336.5454.869.7268.4854.86
Mkt Cap18.719.35.42.93.25.4
Rev LTM8,98924,8967,5198,6174,7818,617
Op Inc LTM1,2556712845382712
FCF LTM729-159346-81137137
FCF 3Y Avg698430435-35244430
CFO LTM1,5581,698690841279841
CFO 3Y Avg1,3551,736802942428942

Growth & Margins

PKGIPSONGPKGEFMedian
NamePackagin.Internat.Sonoco P.Graphic .Greif  
Rev Chg LTM7.2%44.3%41.7%-2.2%-1.4%7.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.2%9.2%10.7%-3.0%-6.5%2.2%
Rev Chg Q10.1%53.1%29.7%0.4%-10.1%10.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%9.1%5.7%0.1%-2.3%2.5%
Op Mgn LTM14.0%0.0%9.5%9.8%8.0%9.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg14.1%2.8%9.2%11.9%8.4%9.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.8%-0.4%0.5%-1.4%-0.3%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM17.3%6.8%9.2%9.8%5.8%9.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg16.1%9.3%13.7%10.5%9.6%10.5%
FCF/Rev LTM8.1%-0.6%4.6%-0.9%2.9%2.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.4%2.7%7.5%-0.5%5.5%5.5%

Valuation

PKGIPSONGPKGEFMedian
NamePackagin.Internat.Sonoco P.Graphic .Greif  
Mkt Cap18.719.35.42.93.25.4
P/S2.10.80.70.30.70.7
P/EBIT16.9-7.15.43.66.45.4
P/E24.2-5.55.46.510.96.5
P/CFO12.011.47.93.411.511.4
Total Yield6.5%-13.2%22.3%19.8%13.1%13.1%
Dividend Yield2.4%5.1%3.8%4.4%3.9%3.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.1%2.9%8.9%-0.6%6.8%4.1%
D/E0.20.50.82.00.40.5
Net D/E0.20.50.81.90.30.5

Returns

PKGIPSONGPKGEFMedian
NamePackagin.Internat.Sonoco P.Graphic .Greif  
1M Rtn-2.1%-1.9%2.9%-0.1%2.4%-0.1%
3M Rtn-3.4%-13.3%16.2%-36.8%-3.0%-3.4%
6M Rtn0.8%-19.9%41.8%-43.5%18.8%0.8%
12M Rtn12.8%-20.0%30.2%-60.0%34.8%12.8%
3Y Rtn61.3%16.4%2.4%-58.3%20.3%16.4%
1M Excs Rtn-7.2%-7.0%-2.2%-5.2%-2.6%-5.2%
3M Excs Rtn-2.6%-12.7%16.7%-37.0%-2.4%-2.6%
6M Excs Rtn-3.6%-24.6%35.3%-49.8%13.8%-3.6%
12M Excs Rtn-16.3%-49.8%2.9%-91.0%6.9%-16.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-8.4%-52.9%-65.7%-128.6%-47.1%-52.9%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Packaging7,6917,1367,7817,0535,920
Paper625595622600675
Corporate and Other2472482437864
Elimination of intersegment sales-179-176-168  
Total8,3837,8028,4787,7306,658


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Packaging1,1021,0741,4241,306830
Paper13011910339-20
Corporate and Other-130-118-106-104-86
Elimination of intersegment sales  0  
Total1,1011,0751,4211,241724


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Packaging7,2536,9046,9866,6035,744
Corporate and Other1,2041,3936148351,192
Paper376384403399497
Elimination of intersegment sales  0  
Total8,8338,6818,0047,8377,433


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$209.93 
Market Cap ($ Bil)18.7 
First Trading Date01/28/2000 
Distance from 52W High-14.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$221.56$208.20
DMA Trendupindeterminate
Distance from DMA-5.2%0.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility27.3%25.8%
Downside Capture0.340.31
Upside Capture77.4860.39
Correlation (SPY)39.8%38.7%
PKG Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.090.950.950.770.770.74
Up Beta1.692.011.231.170.830.77
Down Beta1.121.531.310.940.840.80
Up Capture86%61%93%56%54%43%
Bmk +ve Days7162765139424
Stock +ve Days10233565130390
Down Capture113%55%58%62%73%85%
Bmk -ve Days12233358110323
Stock -ve Days12192861122360

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PKG
PKG16.1%25.8%0.54-
Sector ETF (XLB)35.2%16.9%1.6165.8%
Equity (SPY)24.2%12.9%1.4940.2%
Gold (GLD)53.4%27.6%1.55-3.9%
Commodities (DBC)26.8%16.2%1.472.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)18.7%13.8%1.0044.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-6.8%42.9%-0.0517.1%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PKG
PKG12.0%24.9%0.44-
Sector ETF (XLB)7.6%18.9%0.3065.6%
Equity (SPY)11.1%17.0%0.5050.4%
Gold (GLD)22.5%17.8%1.034.9%
Commodities (DBC)11.7%18.8%0.5114.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.9%18.8%0.1147.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)5.8%56.5%0.3215.9%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PKG
PKG16.9%27.1%0.61-
Sector ETF (XLB)11.1%20.6%0.4869.0%
Equity (SPY)14.0%17.9%0.6757.7%
Gold (GLD)14.3%15.9%0.75-0.8%
Commodities (DBC)8.8%17.6%0.4218.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.4%20.7%0.2349.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.7%66.9%1.079.2%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3.3 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 3152026-36.1%
Average Daily Volume1.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.6 days
Basic Shares Quantity89.3 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares3.7%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
1/28/20261.2%6.8%6.7%
10/23/2025-4.0%-8.0%-7.5%
7/24/20250.3%-5.9%3.3%
4/23/20252.2%0.5%4.2%
1/29/2025-0.4%-2.2%-0.9%
10/23/2024-0.5%0.1%7.3%
7/24/20240.5%3.4%4.4%
4/23/20241.8%1.2%6.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121415
# Negative12109
Median Positive1.3%3.3%4.2%
Median Negative-0.9%-3.6%-2.9%
Max Positive2.6%8.1%15.6%
Max Negative-4.0%-8.0%-7.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/26/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/29/202410-K
09/30/202311/03/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/03/202310-Q
12/31/202202/23/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/05/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/28/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 EPS 2.2 -8.3% Lower NewActual: 2.4 for Q4 2025

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/23/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 EPS 2.4 -14.3% Lower NewActual: 2.8 for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 Maintenance Outage Expense Change 0.29    

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Kowlzan, Mark WChairman & CEODirectSell9152025215.9725,0005,399,25094,460,527Form
2Hassfurther, Thomas APresidentDirectSell2092026230.5012,1292,795,73445,422,791Form