Tearsheet

Packaging of America (PKG)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $197.8 | Market Cap: $17.7 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

Packaging of America (PKG)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $197.8
Market Cap: $17.7 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PKG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Lower-than-expected Q3 2025 Earnings: On October 22, 2025, Packaging Corporation of America's (PKG) stock fell 7.5% in extended trading after the company reported third-quarter earnings of $2.73 per share, which missed Wall Street's consensus estimate of $2.82 per share. 2. Weak Q4 2025 Earnings Guidance: The company's forecast for fourth-quarter earnings of $2.40 per share, excluding special items, also came in below analysts' expectations of $2.60 per share, contributing to investor concerns about future performance.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PKG Return27%2%-3%32%42%-13%105%
Peers Return11%4%-5%4%22%-19%14%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PKG Win Rate58%50%50%50%83%50% 
Peers Win Rate48%43%38%35%63%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PKG Max Drawdown-31%-6%-16%-2%-1%-21% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-5%-15%-11%-4%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KMB, IP, AMCR, SW, PKG. See PKG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPKGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-32.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven430 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven178 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-39.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven66.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven687 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-69.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven224.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1255 days1480 days

Compare to KMB, IP, AMCR, SW, PKG


In The Past

Packaging of America's stock fell -32.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -32.4% loss requires a 47.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Packaging of America (PKG)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PKG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
PKG_9302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302022PKGPackaging of AmericaDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
26.0%41.9%0.0%
PKG_12312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12312018PKGPackaging of AmericaDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.9%38.4%-0.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
PKG_9302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302022PKGPackaging of AmericaDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
26.0%41.9%0.0%
PKG_12312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12312018PKGPackaging of AmericaDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.9%38.4%-0.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Packaging of America

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PKGKMBIPAMCRSWMedian
NamePackagin.Kimberly.Internat.Amcor Smurfit . 
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Growth & Margins

PKGKMBIPAMCRSWMedian
NamePackagin.Kimberly.Internat.Amcor Smurfit . 
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Valuation

PKGKMBIPAMCRSWMedian
NamePackagin.Kimberly.Internat.Amcor Smurfit . 
Mkt Cap------
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Returns

PKGKMBIPAMCRSWMedian
NamePackagin.Kimberly.Internat.Amcor Smurfit . 
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Packaging7,1367,7817,0535,9205,905
Paper595622600675964
Corporate and Other248243786495
Elimination of intersegment sales-176-168   
Total7,8028,4787,7306,6586,964


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Packaging1,0741,4241,306830963
Paper11910339-20175
Corporate and Other-118-106-104-86-85
Elimination of intersegment sales 0   
Total1,0751,4211,2417241,054


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Packaging6,9046,9866,6035,7445,492
Corporate and Other1,3936148351,192953
Paper384403399497791
Elimination of intersegment sales 0   
Total8,6818,0047,8377,4337,236


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,437,202
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-8.6%
Average Daily Volume811,130
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3
Basic Shares Quantity89,400,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0KOWLZAN MARK WChairman & CEO9152025Sell215.9725,0005,399,25094,460,527Form
1Vaughn JosephSVP12042024Sell244.892,300563,2532,252,275Form