Core Molding Technologies (CMT)
Market Price (5/26/2026): $23.6 | Market Cap: $202.3 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Specialty Chemicals
Core Molding Technologies (CMT)
Market Price (5/26/2026): $23.6Market Cap: $202.3 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Specialty Chemicals
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 41% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Lightweight Composites, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -16%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 52x Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.7% Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.7% Key risksCMT key risks include [1] significant dependence on a few major customers and the potential completion of their production programs and [2] heavy exposure to cyclical demand in the truck and powersports markets, Show more. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 41% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Lightweight Composites, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -16%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 52x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.7% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.7% |
| Key risksCMT key risks include [1] significant dependence on a few major customers and the potential completion of their production programs and [2] heavy exposure to cyclical demand in the truck and powersports markets, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Core Molding Technologies (CMT) stock has gained about 20% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Core Molding Technologies significantly surpassed Q4 2025 earnings expectations. The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.47 on March 9, 2026, exceeding analysts' estimates of $0.23 by 104.35%. Revenue also beat forecasts, coming in at $74.68 million against an estimated $67.10 million. This strong financial performance for the quarter ending December 31, 2025, served as a significant positive catalyst at the beginning of the specified period.
2. The company announced a $7.5 million stock repurchase program. On March 12, 2026, Core Molding Technologies' Board of Directors authorized a stock buyback program, allowing the company to repurchase up to $7.5 million in shares. This move signals management's confidence in the company's valuation and future prospects, aiming to enhance shareholder value by reducing the outstanding share count.
Show more
1. Core Molding Technologies significantly surpassed Q4 2025 earnings expectations. The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.47 on March 9, 2026, exceeding analysts' estimates of $0.23 by 104.35%. Revenue also beat forecasts, coming in at $74.68 million against an estimated $67.10 million. This strong financial performance for the quarter ending December 31, 2025, served as a significant positive catalyst at the beginning of the specified period.
2. The company announced a $7.5 million stock repurchase program. On March 12, 2026, Core Molding Technologies' Board of Directors authorized a stock buyback program, allowing the company to repurchase up to $7.5 million in shares. This move signals management's confidence in the company's valuation and future prospects, aiming to enhance shareholder value by reducing the outstanding share count.
Show more
Holding a concentrated position? Know your true downside before the momentum shifts.
Protect Your Wealth →
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 20.5% change in CMT stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/25/2026 was primarily driven by a 15.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5252026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 19.52 | 23.53 | 20.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 262 | 271 | 3.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.1% | 3.5% | 15.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 20.7 | 21.0 | 1.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 9 | 9 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 20.5% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/25/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CMT | 20.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| Sector (XLB) | 2.5% | 2.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 31.4% change in CMT stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/25/2026 was primarily driven by a 27.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5252026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 17.91 | 23.53 | 31.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 276 | 271 | -1.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 16.4 | 21.0 | 27.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 9 | 9 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 31.4% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/25/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CMT | 31.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 9.2% |
| Sector (XLB) | 18.5% | 13.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 53.0% change in CMT stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/25/2026 was primarily driven by a 109.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5252026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 15.38 | 23.53 | 53.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 302 | 271 | -10.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.4% | 3.5% | -19.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.0 | 21.0 | 109.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 9 | 9 | 0.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 53.0% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/25/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CMT | 53.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 36.0% | 13.4% |
| Sector (XLB) | 22.2% | 21.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 25.5% change in CMT stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/25/2026 was primarily driven by a 62.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5252026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 18.75 | 23.53 | 25.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 377 | 271 | -28.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.2% | 3.5% | 9.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 12.9 | 21.0 | 62.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 9 | -1.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 25.5% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/25/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CMT | 25.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 86.3% | 22.3% |
| Sector (XLB) | 32.4% | 29.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CMT Return | -40% | 53% | 43% | -11% | 21% | 21% | 72% |
| Peers Return | 19% | -10% | 49% | -1% | 9% | -3% | 67% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CMT Win Rate | 25% | 50% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 43% | 58% | 55% | 57% | 44% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CMT Max Drawdown | -53% | -35% | -46% | -27% | -21% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -23% | -36% | -24% | -30% | -35% | -29% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: OC, CSL, PATK, MYE, ROCK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/22/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CMT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -29.8% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.5% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 882 days | 24 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -64.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 185.0% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 33 days | 140 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -15.6% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.4% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 19 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -56.9% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 131.9% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 513 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -32.1% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.2% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 162 days | 15 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -28.3% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.4% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 126 days | 123 days |
In The Past
Core Molding Technologies's stock fell -7.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 7.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | CMT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -29.8% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.5% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 882 days | 24 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -64.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 185.0% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 33 days | 140 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -56.9% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 131.9% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 513 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -32.1% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.2% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 162 days | 15 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -28.3% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.4% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 126 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -83.1% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 492.5% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 741 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Core Molding Technologies's stock fell -7.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 7.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Core Molding Technologies (CMT)
Core Molding Technologies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a molder of thermoplastic and thermoset structural products. The company offers a range of manufacturing processes that include compression molding of sheet molding compound, resin transfer molding, liquid molding of dicyclopentadiene, spray-up and hand-lay-up, direct long-fiber thermoplastics, and structural foam and structural web injection molding. It serves various markets, including medium and heavy-duty truck, automobile, power sport, construction, agriculture, building products, and other commercial markets in the United States, Mexico, Canada, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Core Materials Corporation and changed its name to Core Molding Technologies, Inc. in August 2002. Core Molding Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Columbus, Ohio.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Core Molding Technologies is like Magna International, but for heavy-duty plastic and composite structural parts for trucks, construction, and agricultural equipment.
- Core Molding Technologies is like a specialized 3M, manufacturing complex plastic and composite structural parts for industrial equipment and vehicles.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Thermoplastic and Thermoset Structural Products: These are molded components and parts made from various plastic and composite materials, serving industries such as automotive, construction, and agriculture.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
David L. Duvall President and Chief Executive Officer
David L. Duvall joined Core Molding Technologies on October 22, 2018, as President and Chief Executive Officer. He is slated to retire on May 31, 2026. Before joining Core, Mr. Duvall served as Group President of the Global Equipment & Tools division at Signode Industrial Group, a Carlyle Group company, from January 2017 until its sale to Crown Holdings Inc. in October 2018. Prior to Signode, he was Senior Vice President and General Manager of Danfoss' Global Hydrostatics Division from 2012 to 2017. From 2008 to 2012, he was Vice President and General Manager for the Global Valves business at Danfoss, where he led its carve-out to form a standalone business.
Alex J. Panda Executive Vice President, Secretary, Treasurer and Chief Financial Officer
Alex J. Panda will assume the role of Chief Financial Officer effective June 1, 2025. He joined Core Molding Technologies on October 1, 2014, and has held several key leadership positions within the Accounting and Finance department, including Vice President, Corporate Controller, and Operations Controller. Mr. Panda played a pivotal role in the company's successful turnaround in 2019 and 2020, contributed to operational performance analysis, the refinancing of credit facilities, helped complete two acquisitions, and oversaw the implementation of the company's international tax strategy. Before Core, he worked as an assurance professional at KPMG LLP, serving large public manufacturing clients.
Eric L. Palomaki Chief Operating Officer
Eric L. Palomaki joined Core Molding Technologies on September 19, 2018, as Vice President of Operations. He was promoted to Executive Vice President of Operations, Research and Development in November 2020, and became Chief Operating Officer in March 2024. Mr. Palomaki is slated to succeed David Duvall as President and CEO, effective June 1, 2026. Prior to Core, he was Vice President of Advanced Manufacturing Engineering at Acuity Brands Lighting from 2013 to 2017. He also held various roles in the automotive industry at North American Lighting (2012-2013) and TRW Automotive (2007-2012).
Stephanie Pulliam Executive Vice President of Human Resources
Stephanie Pulliam joined Core Molding Technologies on March 15, 2021, and was appointed Executive Vice President, Human Resources on January 1, 2025.
Alex Bantz Chief Commercial Officer
Alex Bantz joined Core Molding Technologies with over 25 years of experience in sales and operations. He most recently served as Vice President of Sales and Marketing for Milsco Manufacturing from 2018 through 2024, and as Business Unit Director from 2014 through 2018. Prior to Milsco, Mr. Bantz held leadership positions at Veyance Technologies from 2007 through 2014.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Core Molding Technologies (CMT) primarily stem from its customer relationships, the cyclical nature of its served markets, and the volatility of raw material costs.
- Customer Concentration: Core Molding Technologies faces significant risk due to its high customer concentration. In 2025, sales to its five major customers accounted for approximately 65% of its total sales, with no other single customer contributing more than 10%. This heavy reliance on a small number of clients means that the loss of any one of these significant customers, or a material reduction in their orders, could have a substantial adverse impact on the company's business, financial condition, and results of operations.
- Dependence on Cyclical End Markets: The company's business is heavily dependent on highly cyclical industries, particularly the North American medium and heavy-duty truck market, which represented about 44% of its product sales in 2025. Other significant markets include power sports, construction, agriculture, and automotive. Weakness, uncertainty, or downturns in these key end markets directly translate to reduced demand for CMT’s molded products, leading to revenue declines and potential earnings volatility. For instance, fiscal year 2025 revenues declined 9.5% primarily due to continued weakness in the truck sector.
- Raw Material Price Volatility and Supply Chain Disruptions: As a molder of thermoplastic and thermoset structural products, Core Molding Technologies is exposed to the volatility of raw material prices, primarily resins and fiberglass. Increases in the cost of these raw materials, whether due to inflation, tariffs, or other market factors, can significantly affect the company’s operating results and financial condition. Furthermore, disruptions in the supply chain for these critical materials can impede production and increase costs. The company's fixed-price customer contracts may not always allow for the full recovery of such increased operating costs, further impacting profitability.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Core Molding Technologies (CMT) operates in several addressable markets for its thermoplastic and thermoset structural products. The addressable market sizes for their main products and services across various regions are as follows: * **Global Thermoset Composites Market:** This market was valued at approximately USD 42.73 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 89.27 billion by 2033. Another source estimates the market size at USD 46.65 billion in 2024, expected to reach around USD 68.4 billion by 2034. North America holds a significant share, estimated at 30% to 40% of the global market. * **Global Thermoplastic Composites Market:** The global market size for thermoplastic composites was estimated at USD 19.3 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 30.8 billion by 2033. Another report valued this market at USD 37.08 billion in 2025, projected to increase to approximately USD 80.78 billion by 2035. North America generated more than 30% of the revenue share in 2025. * **Global Automotive Composites Market:** This market was valued at USD 21.70 billion in 2024, with projections to grow at a CAGR of 6.5% from 2025–2034. Another estimate places the global automotive composite market size at USD 22.47 billion in 2025, projected to reach USD 36.13 billion by 2033. The U.S. automotive composites market alone was projected to reach USD 3.22 billion by 2026. * **Global Heavy-Truck Composite Component Market:** This specific segment was valued at USD 15.9 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 28.8 billion by 2035. Key growth regions include North America, Asia-Pacific, and Europe. * **Global Construction Composites Market:** The global construction composites market size was valued at USD 60.56 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 93.29 billion by 2032. Another source reported the market size at USD 54.9 billion in 2023, expected to reach USD 93.4 billion by 2033. In 2024, North America held over 40% of the global revenue for building and construction composites, with a market size of USD 21.06 billion. * **Global Sports Composites Market:** The global sports composites market size was valued at USD 4.9 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 7.2 billion by 2033. Asia Pacific dominated this market in 2025 with a 43.30% share. * **Global Molded Plastics Market:** The broader global molded plastics market was valued at USD 390.7 billion in 2022 and is expected to reach USD 671.2 billion by 2032. The injection molded plastics market specifically was valued at USD 358.71 billion in 2025 and is predicted to reach approximately USD 511.9 billion by 2035. * **Global Agriculture Equipment Market (including parts):** The global agriculture equipment market size was valued at USD 207.21 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 402.18 billion by 2034. The agriculture machinery parts market, a component of this, was valued at USD 155.48 billion in 2024. North America held over 40% of the global revenue for agricultural machinery parts in 2024, representing a market size of USD 62.19 billion.AI Analysis | Feedback
Core Molding Technologies (CMT) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market recoveries:
- Strategic Diversification and New Business Wins: The company successfully secured $63 million in new business in 2025. Over 65% of these new wins are in markets outside of their traditional medium and heavy-duty truck and powersports segments, significantly supporting strategic diversification efforts. These new programs are anticipated to begin impacting revenue primarily in the second half of 2026 and continue into 2027.
- Expansion in the Building Products Market via Sheet Molding Compound (SMC): Core Molding Technologies has identified the building products sector as a significant growth area, leveraging its proprietary sheet molding compounds (SMC). This segment contributed approximately $10 million in revenue in Q4 2025 and $21 million for the full year 2025, and is viewed as a "second growth engine." New SMC capacity is poised to generate up to $20 million in annual revenue from molded and assembled sleeper roof products, with SMC compound wins commencing production by the end of Q3 2026.
- Powersports Market Recovery and Increased Content: Core Molding Technologies has observed early indications of a recovery in the powersports industry. The company has secured additional content on multiple new products, such as watercraft, skid plates, and cargo boxes, launched by major original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). This led to two consecutive quarters of revenue growth in powersports during 2025.
- Mexico Facility Expansion: To support anticipated growth and new business, Core Molding Technologies is expanding its Matamoros facility and establishing a new plant in Monterrey, Mexico. These projects are progressing on schedule and within budget, backed by existing business commitments. These strategic expansions are projected to contribute an additional $150 million in incremental revenue over the coming years, helping the company achieve a target of exceeding $300 million in total product revenue by 2027.
- Recovery of the Truck Sector: Despite recent weakness, management anticipates a recovery in the highly cyclical North American medium and heavy-duty truck market to commence in the second half of 2026, with this positive momentum expected to extend through 2027. This market recovery is a key factor in the company's outlook for overall revenue growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Core Molding Technologies' Board of Directors authorized a stock repurchase program of up to $7.5 million of the company's common stock in March 2026.
- This authorization included an increase of approximately $6.5 million to the existing program, bringing the total repurchase authority to $7.5 million in March 2026.
- Management has been actively repurchasing shares as part of its capital allocation strategy.
Share Issuance
- The number of shares outstanding for Core Molding Technologies decreased by 1.47% in one year.
- Core Molding had 9 million shares outstanding in Q4 2025, representing a 3.9% decrease from the prior quarter.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures totaled approximately $17.3 million in 2025, $11.5 million in 2024, and $9.1 million in 2023.
- These capital expenditures primarily focused on building and equipment improvements, additional production equipment, capacity expansion, automation, and the Mexico expansion project.
- The company anticipates spending approximately $25 million to $30 million on capital expenditures during 2026, with about $18 million to $20 million specifically allocated for the Mexico expansion project, including bringing a new plant in Monterrey online.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Core Molding Technologies Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Is Core Molding Technologies Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to CMT.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04302026 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | AXTA | Axalta Coating Systems | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.7% |
| 03272026 | IFF | International Flavors & Fragrances | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -1.1% | -1.1% | -3.0% |
| 03272026 | PATK | Patrick Industries | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -13.4% | -13.4% | -13.4% |
| 03132026 | IP | International Paper | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -18.3% | -18.3% | -18.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 64.03 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.0 |
| Rev LTM | 2,595 |
| Op Inc LTM | 182 |
| FCF LTM | 139 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 200 |
| CFO LTM | 194 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 255 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -0.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -2.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | -2.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.5% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -13.6% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -6.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.0 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/Op Inc | 11.5 |
| P/EBIT | 12.8 |
| P/E | 19.9 |
| P/CFO | 10.3 |
| Total Yield | 4.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 9.1% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -6.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -12.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 11.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -1.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 26.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -12.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -21.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 2.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -30.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -55.1% |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $23.53 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 09/16/1988 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -17.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $24.12 | $20.51 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -2.4% | 14.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 53.7% | 41.4% |
| Downside Capture | 19.24 | 37.37 |
| Upside Capture | 85.74 | 73.59 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 6.1% | 15.1% |
CMT Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.30 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.42 | 0.47 | 0.69 |
| Up Beta | 0.11 | -0.35 | 0.01 | 0.43 | 0.44 | 0.82 |
| Down Beta | 9.47 | -0.52 | -0.28 | -0.10 | 0.24 | 0.55 |
| Up Capture | 110% | 187% | 117% | 112% | 81% | 36% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 22 | 32 | 68 | 136 | 385 |
| Down Capture | -439% | -84% | -63% | 13% | 27% | 86% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 20 | 31 | 56 | 113 | 360 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CMT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMT | 49.0% | 41.3% | 1.07 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 19.4% | 16.8% | 0.88 | 22.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 29.5% | 12.0% | 1.86 | 14.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 35.5% | 26.8% | 1.11 | -1.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 42.9% | 18.7% | 1.77 | -1.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 15.2% | 13.1% | 0.82 | 20.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -31.3% | 41.8% | -0.78 | 7.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CMT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMT | 11.5% | 45.0% | 0.39 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 4.6% | 18.9% | 0.14 | 27.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.0% | 0.64 | 22.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.8% | 18.0% | 0.85 | 4.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.4% | 19.4% | 0.42 | 6.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.8% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 19.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.6% | 55.3% | 0.41 | 9.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CMT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMT | 6.4% | 61.4% | 0.36 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 10.3% | 20.6% | 0.45 | 19.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.7% | 17.9% | 0.75 | 19.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.0% | 16.0% | 0.67 | 0.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.8% | 17.9% | 0.35 | 7.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.5% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 16.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.7% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 3.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/10/2026 | 8.4% | 9.4% | 27.5% |
| 11/4/2025 | -0.2% | 7.6% | 2.2% |
| 8/5/2025 | 3.0% | 1.5% | 13.6% |
| 3/11/2025 | -0.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% |
| 11/5/2024 | -2.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% |
| 8/6/2024 | 2.5% | -0.6% | 2.9% |
| 3/12/2024 | -0.7% | -6.5% | -7.7% |
| 11/7/2023 | -8.1% | -3.7% | 9.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 5 | 8 | 11 |
| # Negative | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| Median Positive | 4.2% | 6.8% | 12.2% |
| Median Negative | -1.3% | -2.1% | -7.7% |
| Max Positive | 11.0% | 19.2% | 45.8% |
| Max Negative | -8.1% | -6.5% | -7.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/10/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/11/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/12/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/14/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 0.0% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 2.5% for 2026 |
| 2026 Gross Margin | 17.0% | 18.0% | 19.0% | ||||
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 25.00 Mil | 27.50 Mil | 30.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 27.50 Mil for 2026 | |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/10/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Total Sales Growth | 0.0% | 2.5% | 5.0% | -122.7% | Higher New | Guidance: -11.0% for 2025 | |
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 25.00 Mil | 27.50 Mil | 30.00 Mil | 150.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 11.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Mexico Expansion Capital Expenditures | 18.00 Mil | 19.00 Mil | 20.00 Mil | ||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gayford, Michael James | EVP of Operations | Direct | Buy | 3192026 | 20.12 | 500 | 10,060 | 546,600 | Form |
| 2 | Duvall, David L | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 9112025 | 20.32 | 50,000 | 1,016,205 | 3,023,820 | Form |
| 3 | Jauchius, Matthew | Direct | Sell | 9112025 | 19.84 | 6,020 | 119,411 | 1,021,975 | Form | |
| 4 | Panda, Alex Joseph | EVP, Treasurer, Secretary, CFO | Direct | Buy | 8282025 | 19.10 | 200 | 3,820 | 584,384 | Form |
| 5 | Cellitti, Thomas R | Direct | Sell | 8272025 | 18.64 | 3,103 | 57,843 | 1,792,621 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.