Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -72%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -117%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 56%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, Health & Wellness Trends, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -17%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.4%
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, Health & Wellness Trends, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -72%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -117%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 56%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -17%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.4%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ASH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for Ashland (ASH) stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Ashland reported its Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2025 results on November 4, 2025, which saw the stock gain 6.1% the day after the announcement. Although sales were down by 8% year-over-year and the company reported a fiscal 2025 net loss of $845 million largely due to non-cash impairments, the market reacted positively to aspects like the outlook for fiscal year 2026, which projected organic growth of approximately one to five percent and adjusted EBITDA between $400 million and $430 million.

2. Investment firm Standard Investments LLC disclosed a 5.7% stake in Ashland on December 1, 2025, causing the stock to jump 9%. Standard Investments stated it acquired the shares as an "attractive investment opportunity" and indicated plans to engage with Ashland's management and board regarding business strategy, capital allocation, corporate governance, and potential strategic alternatives. The value of this stake exceeded USD 5 million.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ASH Return5%38%1%-20%-14%-17%-17%
Peers Return26%29%-19%27%-0%-12%48%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ASH Win Rate50%67%50%50%42%40% 
Peers Win Rate62%67%42%50%48%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ASH Max Drawdown-48%-0%-21%-32%-14%-34% 
Peers Max Drawdown-45%-6%-32%-7%-15%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ESI, BCPC, AVNT, KWR, CBT. See ASH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventASHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-36.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-51.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven104.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven235 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven745 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-92.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1146.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1220 days1480 days

Compare to ESI, BCPC, AVNT, KWR, CBT


In The Past

Ashland's stock fell -36.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/2/2022. A -36.2% loss requires a 56.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ashland (ASH)

Better Bets than Ashland (ASH)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ASH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ashland

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ASHESIBCPCAVNTKWRCBTMedian
NameAshland Element .Balchem Avient Quaker H.Cabot  
Mkt Price58.2825.95154.0531.31135.9864.5461.41
Mkt Cap2.76.35.02.92.43.53.2
Rev LTM1,9502,4991,0143,2461,8643,8152,225
Op Inc LTM113347204250172634227
FCF LTM3326816215197348156
FCF 3Y Avg6271147137173351160
CFO LTM144336202256153650229
CFO 3Y Avg148331186256214613235

Growth & Margins

ASHESIBCPCAVNTKWRCBTMedian
NameAshland Element .Balchem Avient Quaker H.Cabot  
Rev Chg LTM-7.6%3.9%7.6%1.0%0.1%-3.6%0.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.3%-1.3%3.2%-1.6%-0.7%-2.5%-1.5%
Rev Chg Q-16.7%1.7%11.5%-1.1%6.8%-9.2%0.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-4.7%0.4%2.8%-0.3%1.7%-2.4%0.1%
Op Mgn LTM5.8%13.9%20.2%7.7%9.3%16.6%11.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.4%12.8%18.4%7.1%10.5%15.0%11.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.9%0.2%0.1%-0.3%-0.2%0.3%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM7.4%13.4%19.9%7.9%8.2%17.0%10.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.6%13.7%19.3%7.9%11.2%15.5%12.5%
FCF/Rev LTM1.7%10.7%15.9%4.7%5.2%9.1%7.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg0.9%11.2%15.3%4.2%9.1%8.9%9.0%

Valuation

ASHESIBCPCAVNTKWRCBTMedian
NameAshland Element .Balchem Avient Quaker H.Cabot  
Mkt Cap2.76.35.02.92.43.53.2
P/S1.22.44.80.91.21.11.2
P/EBIT-14.517.123.712.047.56.114.5
P/E-21.125.432.526.6-254.19.417.4
P/CFO16.418.124.011.815.06.215.7
Total Yield-3.1%5.2%3.7%7.0%0.7%13.0%4.4%
Dividend Yield1.6%1.3%0.6%3.2%1.1%2.4%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.3%4.8%3.0%3.9%6.2%8.2%4.3%
D/E0.60.30.00.70.40.30.3
Net D/E0.60.20.00.50.30.20.3

Returns

ASHESIBCPCAVNTKWRCBTMedian
NameAshland Element .Balchem Avient Quaker H.Cabot  
1M Rtn21.8%-4.0%1.0%-2.4%2.2%-1.4%-0.2%
3M Rtn8.5%3.6%-4.0%-13.8%1.4%-19.1%-1.3%
6M Rtn18.8%21.0%-7.4%-12.8%27.2%-13.0%5.7%
12M Rtn-23.7%-5.7%-13.0%-37.3%-11.7%-40.2%-18.3%
3Y Rtn-45.2%37.7%11.0%-5.0%-27.1%-8.4%-6.7%
1M Excs Rtn21.8%-4.0%1.0%-2.4%2.2%-1.3%-0.1%
3M Excs Rtn3.0%-4.1%-9.9%-20.8%-8.6%-25.1%-9.3%
6M Excs Rtn4.1%6.3%-22.1%-27.6%12.5%-27.7%-9.0%
12M Excs Rtn-36.6%-21.6%-27.8%-50.8%-25.9%-53.3%-32.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-116.5%-28.3%-60.0%-69.3%-97.2%-77.8%-73.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Life Sciences869815737708 
Specialty Additives600719655589 
Personal Care598678592615 
Intermediates185256178129119
Intersegment sales-61-77-51-25 
Specialty Ingredients    2,470
Total2,1912,3912,1112,0162,589


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Life Sciences172155130123 
Personal Care5210273-296 
Intermediates508735-1017
Specialty Additives1010361-132 
Unallocated and other-112-114-107-148-229
Specialty Ingredients    314
Total172333192-463102


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Life Sciences1,904  1,974 
Specialty Additives1,580  1,666 
Unallocated and other1,315  2,1372,112
Personal Care1,004  939 
Intermediates136  161192
Specialty Ingredients    5,955
Total5,939  6,8778,259


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,439,160
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202561.2%
Average Daily Volume1,059,817
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.25
Basic Shares Quantity47,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares7.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024129202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241118202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023131202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231117202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022201202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221121202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021203202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211122202110-K 9/30/2021