Mercer International (MERC)


Market Price (8/29/2026): $0.3662 | Market Cap: $24.5 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Paper Products

Mercer International (MERC)


Market Price (8/29/2026): $0.3662
Market Cap: $24.5 Mil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Paper Products

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -73%

Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 19%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, Waste-to-Energy Solutions, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -130%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -169%

Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.4

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -222 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -12%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 5976%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.0%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.6%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.3%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -1964%

Key risks
MERC key risks include [1] a highly leveraged balance sheet burdened by increased interest costs from recent debt refinancing and [2] the potential for cash flow to be insufficient to cover both interest expenses and capital expenditures.

0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -73%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 19%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, Waste-to-Energy Solutions, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -130%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -169%
4 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.4
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -222 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -12%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 5976%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.0%
8 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.6%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.3%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -1964%
10 Key risks
MERC key risks include [1] a highly leveraged balance sheet burdened by increased interest costs from recent debt refinancing and [2] the potential for cash flow to be insufficient to cover both interest expenses and capital expenditures.

MERC in ETFs

Weight = MERC's share of each fund

DFAS0.00%
SCHA0.00%
DFAC0.00%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/20/2026

Mercer International (MERC) stock has lost about 65% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Deterioration in Fiscal Q2 2026 Financial Performance: Mercer International reported a significant worsening of its financial results for fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026. The company posted a diluted net loss per share of $1.13, missing analysts' consensus estimates of -$0.95 by $0.18. Operating EBITDA remained negative at $21.0 million, a decline from positive $7.8 million in fiscal Q1 2026. The net loss also widened to $76.0 million in fiscal Q2 2026 from $52.0 million in fiscal Q1 2026.

2. Elevated Fiber Costs and Lower Pulp Realizations: A primary contributor to Mercer's negative operating results was persistently high European fiber costs and decreased pulp realizations, particularly for northern bleached softwood kraft (NBSK) pulp. In fiscal Q2 2026, the company incurred a substantial non-cash inventory impairment of $29.0 million, primarily impacting pulp and fiber inventory, which was significantly higher than the $11.0 million recorded a year prior. Furthermore, per-unit fiber costs for lumber production surged by approximately 28% in fiscal Q2 2026 compared to the same period in the previous year. Management anticipates that German fiber costs will remain elevated into fiscal Q3 2026.

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Updated on 8/20/2026

Mercer International (MERC) stock has lost about 65% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Deterioration in Fiscal Q2 2026 Financial Performance: Mercer International reported a significant worsening of its financial results for fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 30, 2026. The company posted a diluted net loss per share of $1.13, missing analysts' consensus estimates of -$0.95 by $0.18. Operating EBITDA remained negative at $21.0 million, a decline from positive $7.8 million in fiscal Q1 2026. The net loss also widened to $76.0 million in fiscal Q2 2026 from $52.0 million in fiscal Q1 2026.

2. Elevated Fiber Costs and Lower Pulp Realizations: A primary contributor to Mercer's negative operating results was persistently high European fiber costs and decreased pulp realizations, particularly for northern bleached softwood kraft (NBSK) pulp. In fiscal Q2 2026, the company incurred a substantial non-cash inventory impairment of $29.0 million, primarily impacting pulp and fiber inventory, which was significantly higher than the $11.0 million recorded a year prior. Furthermore, per-unit fiber costs for lumber production surged by approximately 28% in fiscal Q2 2026 compared to the same period in the previous year. Management anticipates that German fiber costs will remain elevated into fiscal Q3 2026.

3. Heightened Liquidity Concerns and Capital Structure Weakness: Mercer International is actively exploring strategic alternatives to address upcoming debt maturities, bolster liquidity, and strengthen its capital structure, including ongoing discussions with holders of its 2028 and 2029 senior notes. The company's aggregate liquidity notably decreased by $37 million in fiscal Q2 2026, settling at approximately $192 million, primarily due to weak operating performance. This follows a downgrade by S&P Global Ratings in February 2026 to 'CCC+' from 'B-', citing unsustainable capital structure, high unit costs, and a forecast of adjusted debt to EBITDA exceeding 10x in 2026.

4. Negative Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Downgrades: Following the release of the fiscal Q2 2026 earnings, analyst sentiment remained largely negative, leading to further price target reductions. CIBC lowered its price target for Mercer to $0.75 from $1, while RBC Capital maintained a "Hold" rating, having previously cut its price target earlier in July 2026. The overall consensus rating from analysts for Mercer International is predominantly "Strong Sell" or "Hold," reflecting concerns about the company's near-term prospects.

5. Weak Industry Conditions and Production Cuts: The broader pulp and lumber industry faces ongoing challenges. While demand for packaging and hygiene products shows resilience, the market for traditional printing and writing papers continues its decline. Mercer's management expects overall lumber demand to remain soft in fiscal Q3 2026 due to macroeconomic factors like high U.S. interest rates and persistent European economic headwinds. In response to fiber constraints, Mercer strategically reduced pulp production at its German mills by approximately 26,000 tonnes in fiscal Q2 2026, with further reductions anticipated in fiscal Q3 2026. Additionally, softwood and hardwood pulp pricing is expected to decrease in fiscal Q3 2026.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -65.6% change in MERC stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/28/2026 was primarily driven by a -65.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268282026Change
Stock Price ($)1.120.39-65.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,8681,857-0.6%
P/S Multiple0.00.0-65.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6767-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution-65.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/28/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MERC-65.6% 
Market (SPY)7.1%21.2%
Sector (XLB)3.3%11.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -81.0% change in MERC stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/28/2026 was primarily driven by a -80.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120268282026Change
Stock Price ($)2.030.39-81.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,9071,857-2.6%
P/S Multiple0.10.0-80.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6767-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution-81.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/28/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MERC-81.0% 
Market (SPY)11.5%26.3%
Sector (XLB)8.4%18.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -89.6% change in MERC stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/28/2026 was primarily driven by a -89.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120258282026Change
Stock Price ($)3.710.39-89.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,9511,857-4.8%
P/S Multiple0.10.0-89.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6767-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution-89.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/28/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MERC-89.6% 
Market (SPY)22.7%31.6%
Sector (XLB)23.0%27.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -95.4% change in MERC stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/28/2026 was primarily driven by a -94.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120238282026Change
Stock Price ($)8.310.39-95.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,2111,857-16.0%
P/S Multiple0.20.0-94.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6667-1.2%
Cumulative Contribution-95.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/28/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MERC-95.4% 
Market (SPY)74.0%30.7%
Sector (XLB)31.0%33.2%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
MERC Return19%-1%-16%-29%-69%-80%-96%
Peers Return-8%-1%-12%28%-53%-25%-63%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MERC Win Rate42%67%33%42%33%12% 
Peers Win Rate42%50%48%52%31%31% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MERC Max Drawdown-41%-33%-41%-48%-81%-86% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-50%-37%-42%-64%-49% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SLVM, CLW, MERC, ITP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/28/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventMERCS&P 500
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-25.1%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.5%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven195 days18 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-35.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven54.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven77 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-40.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven67.6%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven133 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-47.2%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven89.5%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven329 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-38.6%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven62.9%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven69 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-32.4%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven47.9%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven751 days123 days

Compare to SLVM, CLW, MERC, ITP

In The Past

Mercer International's stock fell -25.1% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 33.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventMERCS&P 500
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-25.1%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.5%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven195 days18 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-35.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven54.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven77 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-40.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven67.6%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven133 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-47.2%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven89.5%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven329 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-38.6%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven62.9%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven69 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-32.4%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven47.9%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven751 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-27.8%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.5%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven27 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-96.5%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven2792.9%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven662 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-28.9%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven40.7%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven1285 days47 days

Compare to SLVM, CLW, MERC, ITP

In The Past

Mercer International's stock fell -25.1% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 33.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Mercer International (MERC)

Mercer International Inc. (MERC) is a global forest products company primarily engaged in the manufacturing and sale of northern bleached softwood kraft (NBSK) pulp. This foundational product is derived from various wood sources like chips, logs, and sawlogs, and is a crucial input for a wide array of paper products. Operating across Europe, the United States, Asia, and other international markets, Mercer has established itself as a significant supplier in the global pulp industry.

Beyond its core pulp operations, Mercer International diversifies its business through two additional key segments. The company is a producer and distributor of lumber and other wood residuals, serving various sectors from construction to retail. Furthermore, Mercer generates and sells carbon-neutral green energy, produced from biomass cogeneration plants using bio-fuels like black liquor and wood waste, supplying this sustainable energy to third-party utilities.

Mercer's customer base is diverse, with its NBSK pulp sold to manufacturers of tissue, specialty paper, and printing and writing paper. Its lumber and wood products reach distributors, construction firms, secondary manufacturers, retail yards, and home centers. This integrated approach, combining pulp, wood products, and green energy, positions Mercer as a comprehensive player in the global forest products and renewable energy sectors.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are a few brief analogies for Mercer International (MERC):

  • Like the raw materials division of International Paper, manufacturing pulp for paper products and lumber for construction.
  • Similar to Weyerhaeuser, but with a greater emphasis on producing pulp (the key ingredient for paper) and also generating green energy.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Northern Bleached Softwood Kraft (NBSK) Pulp: A primary product manufactured and sold for use by tissue, specialty paper, and printing and writing paper manufacturers.
  • Green Energy: The company generates and sells carbon-neutral green energy produced from biomass cogeneration power plants.
  • Lumber and Wood Residuals: Mercer manufactures, distributes, and sells various lumber products and other wood residuals.
  • Tall Oil: This product is produced for its use as a chemical additive and a green energy source.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Mercer International (MERC) primarily sells its products and energy to other companies (B2B). The provided company description does not list specific named customer companies or their symbols, but it identifies the following categories of business customers:

  • Pulp Customers: These include manufacturers of tissue, specialty paper, printing and writing paper, and other manufacturers that utilize Northern Bleached Softwood Kraft (NBSK) pulp.
  • Lumber and Wood Residuals Customers: This category encompasses distributors, construction firms, secondary manufacturers, retail yards, and home centers that purchase lumber and other wood residuals.
  • Green Energy Customers: Third-party utilities that purchase green energy produced from Mercer's biomass cogeneration power plants.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Juan Carlos Bueno, Chief Executive Officer, President and Director

Juan Carlos Bueno joined Mercer as President, Chief Executive Officer, and Director in May 2022. Since 2018, he has served as the Chairman of the Board and co-founder of Global Energy, a company that produces novel green energy generation devices. From 2011 to 2017, he was Executive Vice President and Divisional CEO, Biomaterials, for Stora Enso, where he designed and led their new biomaterials division, achieving growth in sales and profitability. Mr. Bueno has also held executive positions with EI DuPont de Nemours & Company in various international locations, including Brazil, the UK, Argentina, Colombia, and the USA.

Richard Short, Chief Financial Officer and Secretary

Richard Short was appointed Chief Financial Officer with Mercer in June 2023. He previously served as Mercer's Vice President, Controller from 2014 to June 2023. His career at Mercer began in July 2007 as Director, Corporate Finance, and he also served as Controller from 2010 to 2014. Prior to joining Mercer, Mr. Short held roles such as Controller, Financial Reporting (2006-2007) and Director, Corporate Finance (2004-2006) with Catalyst Paper Corporation, and Assistant Controller at The Alderwoods Group Inc.

Wolfgang Beck, Senior Vice President, Global Wood Sourcing

Wolfgang Beck has served as Senior Vice President, Global Wood Sourcing since 2022. He has held various leadership roles within Mercer's German wood business since 2005, most recently as Managing Director of Mercer Holz since 2016. Earlier in his career, Mr. Beck worked for a German state forest organization and in the German financial sector. He has also been Managing Director of wood2M, a joint venture involving Mercer and another pulp and paper manufacturer, since 2016.

Brian Merwin, Senior Vice President, Mass Timber

Brian Merwin was appointed Senior Vice President, Mass Timber in June 2023, where he leads all aspects of Mercer's mass timber business. Since joining Mercer in 2005, he has served as Director, Strategic and Business Initiatives and Business Analyst. Through his previous role as Vice President, Corporate Development, he was actively involved in mass timber since Mercer's market entry. Mr. Merwin's past experience also includes serving as Co-Chairman at BC Pulp & Paper Coalition from 2022 to 2023 and as a Director at Cariboo Pulp & Paper Co. Ltd. from 2018 to 2023.

Shahed Tootoonian, Vice President, Corporate Development

Shahed Tootoonian has been Vice President, Corporate Development since July 2023. Prior to this role, she served as Director, Finance & Sustainability from October 2022 and Senior Manager, Finance since 2020. Ms. Tootoonian began her professional career at PricewaterhouseCoopers before joining Mercer in 2013 as a Senior Analyst, External Reporting. In 2016, she moved into Corporate Development, where she played key roles in Mercer's acquisition of the Mercer Timber Products' sawmill in Friesau and Mercer Peace River pulp mill in Alberta, as well as the subsequent expansion of MTP.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Mercer International's business, based on recent analysis and reports, primarily revolve around the cyclical nature of its core markets, its financial leverage, and operational challenges.

  1. Cyclicality of Pulp and Lumber Markets: Mercer International operates in mature pulp and lumber markets where profitability is highly cyclical and sensitive to demand and pricing fluctuations. The company is currently experiencing historically low margins due to weak pulp demand and prices, particularly from China, which significantly impacts its EBITDA generation. The lumber segment also faces challenges from post-pandemic price declines and weak consumer demand in the housing market, limiting recovery prospects.
  2. High Financial Leverage and Liquidity Risk: The company's financial position is considered precarious due to a leveraged balance sheet and increased interest costs from recent refinancing. Mercer International has a high debt-to-equity ratio, and its current cash flow struggles to cover both maintenance capital expenditures and interest expenses. This creates significant liquidity risks and raises concerns about potential financial distress or shareholder dilution if market conditions do not improve. Fitch Ratings downgraded Mercer's credit rating, citing persistent market weakness and projected high leverage.
  3. Operational Challenges and Volatile Input Costs: Mercer International has faced significant market headwinds that have led to non-cash impairments and a deterioration in operational efficiency and margins. The company's profitability is exposed to volatility in commodity pricing and rising input costs, particularly higher fiber costs, further exacerbated by currency fluctuations. Additionally, pulp and paper mills inherently face high explosion and fire hazards due to the chemical nature of raw materials and processes involved.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Addressable Markets for Mercer International (MERC)

Mercer International Inc. operates in several key markets, including northern bleached softwood kraft (NBSK) pulp, green energy from biomass, lumber and other wood residuals, and tall oil. The addressable markets for these products and services are sized as follows:

  • Northern Bleached Softwood Kraft (NBSK) Pulp: The global Northern Bleached Softwood Kraft (NBSK) pulp market was valued at approximately USD 9.142 billion in 2025. Some estimates place the market higher, around USD 24.6 billion in 2025. The market is projected to reach approximately USD 20.5 billion by 2032, or USD 25 billion by 2033. North America is a dominant region in the NBSK pulp market, contributing over 45% of the global supply in 2024. The Asia-Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest growth rate in this market. Global demand for NBSK pulp exceeded 19 million metric tons in 2024.
  • Green Energy (Biomass Power): The global biomass power market was valued at approximately USD 140.12 billion in 2024. This market is projected to reach USD 223.33 billion by 2032 or USD 251.60 billion by 2034. Europe currently dominates the biomass power market, holding the largest revenue share. However, the Asia Pacific region is also a significant market and is poised for substantial growth, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) exceeding 10.8% between 2024 and 2030. In 2024, Asia Pacific dominated the biomass power generation market with a 39.01% share.
  • Lumber and Other Wood Residuals: The global softwood lumber market, a primary product category for Mercer, was valued at USD 640.35 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 872.74 billion by 2033. The broader global lumber market was recorded at USD 331.429 billion in 2021 and is expected to reach USD 378.43 billion by the end of 2025, further growing to USD 493.373 billion by 2033. North America held a significant market share for lumber, representing over 40% of the global revenue in 2024.
  • Tall Oil: The global crude tall oil market was valued at USD 1.81 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 3.71 billion by 2035. The global crude tall oil derivative market reached USD 2.1 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 3.0 billion by 2033. More specifically, the global tall oil fatty acid market was valued at USD 1.26 billion in 2025 and is projected to increase to USD 1.89 billion by 2034. North America is noted as dominating the crude tall oil market, while Europe contributes close to 50% of global crude tall oil production.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Mercer International (MERC) over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Growth in Mass Timber Business: Mercer International's mass timber business is projected to be a significant driver of revenue growth. The company anticipates its 2026 mass timber revenue to exceed $120 million, which would be more than double its 2025 levels. This growth is supported by a robust order backlog, which reached $163 million by the end of Q4 2025, up from $80 million in Q3 2025. Mercer holds a substantial share of North American cross-laminated timber (CLT) production capacity and is strategically positioned to meet the increasing demand for sustainable building solutions.
  2. Pulp Market Improvements and Pricing: The company anticipates modest improvements in pulp prices, particularly in Europe and China, in the first quarter of 2026, with North American prices expected to remain stable. This outlook suggests a recovery in pulp markets, which, combined with Mercer's significant production capacity, is expected to contribute to revenue growth.
  3. Lumber Market Recovery and Price Increases: Mercer International foresees an improving lumber pricing environment. The company expects U.S. and European lumber prices to modestly increase in the first quarter of 2026. This anticipated increase is attributed to reduced overall supply, including lower production from Canadian producers, and rising fiber costs in Europe. Enhancements to lumber capacity at mills like Torgau are also underway, aiming to produce more valuable end products.
  4. Diversification into Bio-chemicals (Lignin) and Green Energy: Mercer's strategic direction includes diversifying its product portfolio into higher-value, sustainable offerings such as bio-chemicals, specifically lignin, and expanding its green energy sales. A pilot production and research facility for lignin was commissioned in 2023, indicating ongoing efforts to commercialize these new bio-products and access higher-margin, sustainability-linked demand. Initiatives to increase mill green-power sales are also a strategic focus for the 2024-2026 period, creating additional revenue streams through sustainable practices.

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Share Issuance

  • As of February 10, 2026, Mercer International Inc. had 66,982,506 shares of common stock outstanding.
  • The company's stock incentive plan includes various equity awards, and 2,241,640 Performance Share Units (PSUs) were granted during the three months ended March 31, 2025.
  • As of April 29, 2025, Mercer had 66,870,774 shares of common stock outstanding.

Capital Expenditures

  • Mercer International's planned capital expenditures for 2026 are projected to be between $60 million and $80 million, primarily allocated to maintenance, environmental, and safety projects.
  • In the fourth quarter of 2025, the company invested $14 million in maintenance capital across its facilities.
  • The Peace River mill commenced operation of a carbon capture demonstration unit in 2025, a project jointly developed with Svante Technologies Inc.

Better Bets vs. Mercer International (MERC)

Peer Outperformance in Paper Products

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Share of Paper Products constituents that MERC has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
insufficient peer history
3Y
insufficient peer history
5Y
insufficient peer history
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Median price return by industry across the Materials sector, ranked by 5Y. Paper Products is MERC's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Copper 7 114.3%88.9%310.6% COPR 1027% · TGB 422% · HBM 378%
Silver 6 164.4%304.6%167.4% AYA 254% · HL 243% · SVM 201%
Gold 32 50.6%194.2%155.5% IAG 758% · CNL 533% · KGC 464%
Steel 13 25.9%47.1%125.1% AMR 511% · HCC 431% · NWPX 337%
Aluminum 3 103.9%132.2%49.5% CENX 276% · KALU 49% · AA 20%
Diversified Metals & Mining 24 4.7%-1.8%48.9% ATLX 224900% · USAR 60269% · FMST 939%
Construction Materials 7 -14.0%27.8%42.5% USLM 308% · CRH 91% · VMC 52%
Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers 11 -2.8%4.9%5.6% KRT 173% · MYE 67% · GEF 58%
Precious Metals & Minerals 9 46.3%151.7%-6.4% ASM 625% · PPTA 383% · ELE 114%
Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials 7 11.1%13.1%-6.7% PKG 84% · CCK 14% · SON 5%
Specialty Chemicals 40 11.2%-0.8%-14.1% LWLG 758% · ODC 482% · NEU 194%
Commodity Chemicals 13 26.3%13.9%-15.2% HWKN 226% · MEOH 75% · LXU 63%
Diversified Chemicals 4 5.6%-28.3%-26.4% CBT 69% · ASH -6% · CC -47%
Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals 10 -6.1%-2.3%-36.4% CF 209% · CTVA 100% · NTR 43%
Paper Products ← 3 -14.1%-50.9%-95.4% CLW -36% · ITP -95% · MERC -96%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MERCSLVMCLWITPMedian
NameMercer I.Sylvamo Clearwat.IT Tech . 
Mkt Price0.3936.3720.820.1910.60
Mkt Cap0.01.40.30.00.2
Rev LTM1,8573,2971,520791,689
Op Inc LTM-222192-61-10-36
FCF LTM-154-11574-4
FCF 3Y Avg-9915611-15
CFO LTM-85209108456
CFO 3Y Avg-1237699853

Growth & Margins

MERCSLVMCLWITPMedian
NameMercer I.Sylvamo Clearwat.IT Tech . 
Rev Chg LTM-4.8%-7.1%-1.9%-0.3%-3.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.0%-4.2%8.8%-13.0%-4.6%
Rev Chg Q1.5%1.5%-4.3%2.1%1.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.4%0.4%-1.1%0.7%0.4%
Op Inc Chg LTM-3,038.8%-40.9%-789.9%-38.6%-415.4%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-1,007.9%-27.8%-209.9%-54.9%-132.4%
Op Mgn LTM-12.0%5.8%-4.0%-12.4%-8.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-4.1%8.3%-1.3%-9.4%-2.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.0%-0.6%-3.1%0.7%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM-4.6%6.3%7.1%4.9%5.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-0.7%10.6%8.2%9.2%8.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-8.3%-0.3%3.7%4.8%1.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-5.2%4.3%1.9%-1.0%0.5%

Valuation

MERCSLVMCLWITPMedian
NameMercer I.Sylvamo Clearwat.IT Tech . 
Mkt Cap0.01.40.30.00.2
P/S0.00.40.20.00.1
P/Op Inc-0.17.5-5.5-0.3-0.2
P/EBIT-0.17.7-3.9-0.3-0.2
P/E-0.119.0-6.8-0.2-0.1
P/CFO-0.36.93.10.71.9
Total Yield-1,959.9%10.3%-14.7%-423.2%-218.9%
Dividend Yield19.2%5.0%0.0%0.0%2.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-128.1%6.3%0.3%-57.6%-28.6%
D/E62.80.71.13.92.5
Net D/E59.80.60.80.80.8

Returns

MERCSLVMCLWITPMedian
NameMercer I.Sylvamo Clearwat.IT Tech . 
1M Rtn-36.2%-4.9%-3.7%11.2%-4.3%
3M Rtn-58.5%-6.3%27.7%-1.5%-3.9%
6M Rtn-78.6%-19.7%38.9%-5.5%-12.6%
12M Rtn-88.1%-17.4%-2.6%-10.8%-14.1%
3Y Rtn-95.5%-3.9%-43.6%-58.3%-50.9%
1M Excs Rtn-38.3%-6.8%-5.2%8.9%-6.0%
3M Excs Rtn-60.3%-8.0%26.0%-3.3%-5.7%
6M Excs Rtn-90.7%-31.8%26.8%-17.6%-24.7%
12M Excs Rtn-107.1%-35.1%-21.9%-27.3%-31.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-169.1%-71.7%-116.7%-134.4%-125.6%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Pulp1,3881,5491,5171,8661,483
Solid Wood513520513443313
Sandalwood business revenues1496  
Intersegment revenues-46-35-42  
Elimination of intersegment revenues   -34 
Santanol chemical revenues   6 
Corporate and Other    7
Total1,8682,0431,9942,2811,803


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Corporate expenses and eliminations-13-14-19-19 
Solid Wood-92-89-8871106
Pulp-293118-48341252
Impairment of sandalwood business  -34  
Corporate and Other    -11
Total-39815-189392347


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20232022202120202019
Pulp1,7281,7691,8821,7401,782
Solid Wood69761331311283
Corporate and Other238343156277201
Total2,6632,7252,3512,1292,066


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$0.39 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.0 
First Trading Date03/26/1990 
Distance from 52W High-88.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$0.66$1.36
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-42.0%-71.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility96.8%79.6%
Downside Capture416.01328.71
Upside Capture-29.2314.27
Correlation (SPY)24.7%28.3%
MERC Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.241.531.321.541.971.26
Up Beta-1.291.942.811.982.251.16
Down Beta7.482.101.791.382.171.40
Up Capture-11%5%-59%-1%34%28%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days10172748106351
Down Capture57%220%195%211%179%111%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days12263573137381

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MERC
MERC-88.2%79.4%-2.33-
Sector ETF (XLB)17.2%17.8%0.7425.6%
Equity (SPY)20.1%12.8%1.1628.8%
Gold (GLD)30.9%29.0%0.924.1%
Commodities (DBC)39.9%20.3%1.54-13.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)9.9%13.7%0.4423.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-27.5%43.6%-0.6117.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MERC
MERC-47.4%55.8%-0.94-
Sector ETF (XLB)6.9%19.1%0.2535.2%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.2%0.5931.2%
Gold (GLD)19.7%18.7%0.857.0%
Commodities (DBC)11.5%19.6%0.466.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.0%18.9%0.0028.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)10.4%52.6%0.3813.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MERC
MERC-23.8%50.2%-0.35-
Sector ETF (XLB)10.2%20.7%0.4439.6%
Equity (SPY)15.2%17.9%0.7236.4%
Gold (GLD)12.2%16.3%0.613.5%
Commodities (DBC)7.3%18.0%0.3313.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.2031.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)64.0%66.1%1.0411.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date8142026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 731202612.2%
Average Daily Volume0.5 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.3 days
Basic Shares Quantity67.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares5.4%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/26/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/6/2026-12.1%-25.4% 
5/7/2026-11.7%-15.9%-28.0%
2/12/20264.7%21.2%-14.1%
11/6/2025-2.1%-8.5%-2.7%
7/31/2025-18.6%-18.6%-10.2%
5/1/2025-7.1%-15.2%-14.0%
2/20/202516.9%24.0%-1.1%
10/31/2024-1.2%4.1%-7.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive789
# Negative181715
Median Positive7.4%9.2%10.8%
Median Negative-2.6%-5.0%-8.5%
Max Positive16.9%24.0%31.5%
Max Negative-18.6%-25.4%-28.0%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/6/2026-12.1%-25.4% 
5/7/2026-11.7%-15.9%-28.0%
2/12/20264.7%21.2%-14.1%
11/6/2025-2.1%-8.5%-2.7%
7/31/2025-18.6%-18.6%-10.2%
5/1/2025-7.1%-15.2%-14.0%
2/20/202516.9%24.0%-1.1%
10/31/2024-1.2%4.1%-7.1%
8/8/20245.5%-5.0%-2.3%
5/9/2024-2.8%-4.3%-18.0%
2/15/20247.4%9.1%17.1%
11/2/202313.3%9.3%16.1%
8/3/20239.8%-5.0%9.8%
5/4/2023-3.8%-3.9%-6.6%
2/16/2023-1.1%-6.3%-15.4%
10/27/2022-4.9%-12.3%-5.7%
7/28/2022-1.1%-7.2%0.7%
4/28/2022-1.8%-0.2%-8.5%
2/17/2022-0.9%0.8%9.5%
10/28/2021-1.6%-4.8%2.1%
7/29/2021-2.4%-4.1%-1.6%
4/29/2021-1.8%-4.7%-11.7%
2/16/2021-3.8%-0.9%10.8%
10/29/20201.0%9.5%31.5%
7/31/2020-3.5%1.6%12.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive789
# Negative181715
Median Positive7.4%9.2%10.8%
Median Negative-2.6%-5.0%-8.5%
Max Positive16.9%24.0%31.5%
Max Negative-18.6%-25.4%-28.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/06/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/12/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/20/202510-K
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202302/15/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/16/202310-K
09/30/202210/27/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/06/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/12/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/20/202510-K
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202302/15/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/16/202310-K
09/30/202210/27/202210-Q
06/30/202207/28/202210-Q
03/31/202204/28/202210-Q
12/31/202102/17/202210-K
09/30/202110/28/202110-Q
06/30/202107/29/202110-Q
03/31/202104/29/202110-Q
12/31/202002/16/202110-K
09/30/202010/29/202010-Q
06/30/202007/31/202010-Q
03/31/202004/30/202010-Q
12/31/201902/13/202010-K
09/30/201910/31/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 8/7/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/6/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q3 2026 Planned Maintenance Downtime 40    

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Cost Savings 100.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 100.00 Mil for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/12/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Cost Savings and Operational Improvements 100.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 100.00 Mil for 2026

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Planned Maintenance Downtime 18    
2025 Cost Savings 30.00 Mil 20.0% RaisedGuidance: 25.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Cost Savings 100.00 Mil    

Insider Activity

Updated 7/8/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Kellogg, Peter RDirectBuy70820260.9251,44147,5461,280,757Form
2Kellogg, Peter RDirectBuy70820260.86136,000116,9461,147,305Form
3Kellogg, Peter RDirectBuy70820260.8236,00029,675987,702Form
4Kellogg, Peter RDirectBuy70820260.7923,63718,763922,579Form
5Kellogg, Peter RDirectBuy70820260.8034,73327,731909,053Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Kellogg, Peter RDirectBuy70820260.9251,44147,5461,280,757Form
2Kellogg, Peter RDirectBuy70820260.86136,000116,9461,147,305Form
3Kellogg, Peter RDirectBuy70820260.8236,00029,675987,702Form
4Kellogg, Peter RDirectBuy70820260.7923,63718,763922,579Form
5Kellogg, Peter RDirectBuy70820260.8034,73327,731909,053Form
6Kellogg, Peter RDirectBuy70820260.8536,00030,593938,061Form
7Kellogg, Peter RDirectBuy70820260.8936,00032,018949,756Form
8Kellogg, Peter RDirectBuy70820260.921,047959944,669Form
9Kellogg, Peter RDirectBuy70820260.9064,88558,434928,328Form
10Kellogg, Peter RVia HarcoBuy52020260.97105,000102,3441,907,488Form
11Kellogg, Peter RVia HarcoBuy52020260.96380,000366,5101,786,254Form
12Kellogg, Peter RVia HarcoBuy52020260.95215,000203,5841,393,837Form
13Kellogg, Peter RVia HarcoBuy51520260.88200,000176,2201,107,543Form
14Kellogg, Peter RVia E.G. Anderson Inc.Buy51520260.8443,00036,172212,824Form
15Kellogg, Peter RVia HarcoBuy51520260.8857,00050,006927,306Form
16Kellogg, Peter RVia Peter and Cynthia Kellogg FoundationBuy31020263.3870,000236,6003,380,000Form
17Laberge, Alice Registered Retirement Savings PlanBuy22720261.901,0001,9003,800Form
18Kellogg, Peter RVia HarcoBuy120920251.73225,000389,5002,285,067Form
19Kellogg, Peter RVia HarcoBuy120920251.69295,000498,6502,569,315Form
20Kellogg, Peter RVia Non Marital PRK TrustBuy120920251.7054,00091,5972,236,564Form
21Kellogg, Peter RVia Non Marital PRK TrustBuy120920251.87130,000243,2262,365,913Form
22Kellogg, Peter RVia Non Marital PRK TrustBuy120920251.9097,938186,2412,157,465Form
23Kellogg, Peter RVia Non Marital PRK TrustBuy120920251.9336,60270,6422,000,642Form
24Kellogg, Peter RVia Non Marital PRK TrustBuy120920252.1125,16053,0882,110,000Form
25Kellogg, Peter RDirectBuy120920252.0736,00074,5201,337,220Form
26Kellogg, Peter RVia Non Marital PRK TrustBuy120920252.2758,540132,7162,210,056Form
27Kellogg, Peter RVia Non Marital PRK TrustBuy120920252.4449,478120,7262,235,772Form
28Kellogg, Peter RVia Non Marital PRK TrustBuy120920252.796,82219,0332,418,433Form
29Welty, Linda J DirectBuy81820253.0910,00030,866112,013Form
30Laberge, Alice DirectBuy80820252.982,0005,95735,937Form
31Laberge, Alice DirectBuy80720252.992,0005,98030,094Form
32Kellogg, Peter RVia SpouseBuy72320253.25760,0002,470,0007,475,000Form
33Kellogg, Peter RVia Non Marital PRK TrustBuy70920253.7233,420124,2763,198,001Form
34Kellogg, Peter RVia Non Marital PRK TrustBuy70920253.7426,60099,5593,093,822Form
35Kellogg, Peter RVia Bermuda PartnersBuy70920253.7531,800119,1537,493,916Form
36Kellogg, Peter RVia Bermuda PartnersBuy70920253.6250,200181,8517,129,853Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 29, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Redwood Capital Management, LLC$6.6 Mil1.0%22Hold13F
Active Manager
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Redwood Capital Management, LLC$6.6 Mil1.0%22Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/28/2026