Corteva (CTVA)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $66.39 | Market Cap: $45.1 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals
Corteva (CTVA)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $66.39Market Cap: $45.1 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, CFO LTM is 3.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.7 Bil | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -58% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.8% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.8% | Key risksCTVA key risks include [1] unpredictable regulatory approvals for its specific biotechnology and crop protection pipeline, Show more. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 26% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Advanced Materials, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, CFO LTM is 3.2 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.7 Bil |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.8% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 26% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Advanced Materials, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -58% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.8% |
| Key risksCTVA key risks include [1] unpredictable regulatory approvals for its specific biotechnology and crop protection pipeline, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CTVA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, Corteva's stock experienced a decline of over 10%. The stock fell from a 52-week high of $77.41 on July 3, 2025, to $65.48 by December 16, 2025, representing a decrease of approximately 15.41%. Several factors likely contributed to this downward movement.
1. Planned Spin-Off of Seeds Business: On November 5, 2025, Corteva announced plans to spin off its Seeds business by mid-2026, with the Crop Protection business retaining the Corteva name. Such announcements can introduce market uncertainty as investors evaluate the future prospects of the separated entities.
2. Broad Agricultural Sector Headwinds: Throughout 2025, the agricultural sector faced various challenges, including fluctuating input costs, trade restrictions, extreme weather events, and the ongoing impacts of climate change. Projections from early 2025 indicated a decrease in agricultural prices for the year, which could have dampened investor sentiment for companies in the sector like Corteva.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CTVA Return | 33% | 24% | 26% | -18% | 20% | 16% | 139% |
| Peers Return | -1% | 45% | 17% | -28% | -22% | -10% | -16% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CTVA Win Rate | 67% | 67% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 60% | 52% | 43% | 40% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CTVA Max Drawdown | -30% | -1% | -4% | -25% | -7% | -2% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -50% | -6% | -8% | -41% | -29% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FMC, NTR, CF, MOS, AVD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CTVA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 54.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 546 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -34.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 206 days | 148 days |
Compare to CBUS, CTVA, NTR, CF, MOS
In The Past
Corteva's stock fell -35.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/2/2022. A -35.3% loss requires a 54.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CTVA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Corteva
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 43.66 |
| Mkt Cap | 10.2 |
| Rev LTM | 9,315 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,560 |
| FCF LTM | 852 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 967 |
| CFO LTM | 1,867 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,919 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -11.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 10.2 |
| P/S | 1.1 |
| P/EBIT | 8.8 |
| P/E | 9.7 |
| P/CFO | 6.2 |
| Total Yield | 6.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -17.4% |
| 6M Rtn | -15.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -4.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | -26.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -18.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -27.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -19.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -97.8% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | 1.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% |
| 8/6/2025 | -0.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% |
| 5/7/2025 | 7.0% | 8.2% | 14.9% |
| 2/5/2025 | -2.3% | -2.8% | -4.9% |
| 11/6/2024 | -5.0% | -6.6% | -3.4% |
| 7/31/2024 | -5.5% | -9.5% | 1.6% |
| 5/1/2024 | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| 1/31/2024 | 18.9% | 18.9% | 18.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| # Negative | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% |
| Median Negative | -3.8% | -6.4% | -4.9% |
| Max Positive | 18.9% | 18.9% | 23.2% |
| Max Negative | -11.0% | -9.5% | -7.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2092023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2102022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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