Century Aluminum (CENX)
Market Price (12/24/2025): $39.0 | Market Cap: $3.6 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Aluminum
Century Aluminum (CENX)
Market Price (12/24/2025): $39.0Market Cap: $3.6 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Aluminum
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Wind Energy Development, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 32x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 89x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 43x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 124%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 107% | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.9% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 108% | ||
| Key risksCENX key risks include [1] operational challenges from an aging asset base and execution risk in restarting idled smelters, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Wind Energy Development, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 32x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 89x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 43x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 124%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 107% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.9% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 108% |
| Key risksCENX key risks include [1] operational challenges from an aging asset base and execution risk in restarting idled smelters, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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The stock of Century Aluminum (CENX) moved by 74.5% between August 31, 2025, and December 24, 2025, driven by several key factors:1. Increased Section 232 Tariffs on Aluminum: The U.S. government increased Section 232 tariffs on aluminum to 50% in June 2025. This move was explicitly cited by Century Aluminum in August 2025 as a benefit, contributing to favorable market conditions for its domestic operations.
2. Restart and Expansion of Mt. Holly Plant: In August 2025, Century Aluminum announced plans to restart over 50,000 tonnes of idled production at its Mt. Holly facility, aiming for full capacity by Q2 2026. This strategic initiative was intended to capitalize on the increased tariffs and favorable market conditions, with the restart project expected to add $25 million in EBITDA per quarter once operational.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 45.1% change in CENX stock from 9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 100.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 9232025 | 12232025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 26.85 | 38.97 | 45.14% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2432.00 | 2525.10 | 3.83% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.84% | 3.37% | -30.22% |
| P/E Multiple | 21.30 | 42.67 | 100.33% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 93.30 | 93.30 | 0.00% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 45.14% |
Market Drivers
9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CENX | 45.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.7% | 41.3% |
| Sector (XLB) | 1.6% | 40.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 124.5% change in CENX stock from 6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 215.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 6242025 | 12232025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 17.36 | 38.97 | 124.48% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2364.70 | 2525.10 | 6.78% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.06% | 3.37% | -33.34% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.53 | 42.67 | 215.38% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 93.30 | 93.30 | 0.00% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 124.48% |
Market Drivers
6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CENX | 124.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 13.7% | 39.0% |
| Sector (XLB) | 4.9% | 39.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 106.5% change in CENX stock from 12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 683.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12232024 | 12232025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 18.87 | 38.97 | 106.52% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2101.70 | 2525.10 | 20.15% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 15.30% | 3.37% | -77.95% |
| P/E Multiple | 5.45 | 42.67 | 683.73% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 92.80 | 93.30 | -0.54% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 106.51% |
Market Drivers
12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CENX | 106.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.7% | 50.5% |
| Sector (XLB) | 9.1% | 54.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 394.5% change in CENX stock from 12/24/2022 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 847.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12242022 | 12232025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.88 | 38.97 | 394.54% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2906.50 | 2525.10 | -13.12% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.50% | 3.37% | -38.63% |
| P/E Multiple | 4.50 | 42.67 | 847.88% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 91.30 | 93.30 | -2.19% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 394.31% |
Market Drivers
12/24/2023 to 12/23/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CENX | 208.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.4% | 44.2% |
| Sector (XLB) | 10.4% | 49.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CENX Return | 47% | 50% | -51% | 48% | 50% | 104% | 395% |
| Peers Return | 2% | 56% | -12% | 21% | -9% | 53% | 135% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CENX Win Rate | 67% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 60% | 44% | 52% | 48% | 71% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CENX Max Drawdown | -60% | -12% | -68% | -29% | -18% | -25% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -59% | -12% | -32% | -19% | -24% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AA, KALU, CSTM, RS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/23/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CENX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -82.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 458.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,098 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -62.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 163.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 119 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -78.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 372.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 917 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -98.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 7446.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1,480 days |
Compare to AA, KALU, CENX, CSTM
In The Past
Century Aluminum's stock fell -82.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/4/2022. A -82.1% loss requires a 458.5% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
- Purity Aluminum: High-grade aluminum used for specialized applications requiring exceptional material purity.
- Standard-Grade Primary Aluminum: Basic aluminum ingots or sows used across a wide range of industrial applications.
- Foundry Alloys: Aluminum alloys specifically formulated for casting into various components.
- Billet: Semi-finished aluminum products, typically cylindrical, used for extrusion into various shapes.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Century Aluminum (symbol: CENX) sells primarily to other companies (business-to-business).
Based on their public filings, such as their 2023 Annual Report on Form 10-K, Century Aluminum explicitly states that "no single customer accounting for 10% or more of our net sales." This means that specific "major customers" by name are not publicly disclosed at the threshold typically required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
However, Century Aluminum supplies primary aluminum to companies across a wide variety of industries that rely heavily on this raw material. These industries represent their major customer segments, and the companies within them are their likely customers. The primary industries served include:
- Automotive Industry: Manufacturers of automobiles and automotive components use aluminum for lightweighting, improved fuel efficiency, and structural integrity. Examples of public companies in this sector that are significant consumers of primary aluminum include Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F), General Motors Company (NYSE: GM), and Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA).
- Packaging Industry: Producers of beverage cans, food containers, and other packaging materials are major consumers of primary aluminum. Prominent public companies include Ball Corporation (NYSE: BALL) and Crown Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: CCK).
- Aerospace Industry: Manufacturers of aircraft and aerospace components require high-strength, lightweight aluminum alloys. Examples of public companies in this sector include The Boeing Company (NYSE: BA) and Lockheed Martin Corporation (NYSE: LMT).
- Construction Industry: Aluminum is used in various building and construction applications, such as architectural elements, windows, doors, and structural components. While specific major public customers of CENX in this sector are not individually disclosed, companies involved in building product manufacturing, infrastructure, and large-scale construction projects are significant consumers of primary aluminum.
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- Landsvirkjun
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Jesse E. Gary, President, Chief Executive Officer and Director
Mr. Gary joined Century Aluminum in 2010. He has held various leadership positions within the company, including Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary, and Chief Operating Officer. Mr. Gary was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer in July 2021. Prior to his tenure at Century, he practiced law at Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz and Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP & Affiliates. He holds a Doctor of Law (JD) degree from Cornell Law School and a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from the University of California, Berkeley.
Peter A. Trpkovski, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Mr. Trpkovski became part of Century Aluminum in 2013. He has served in several senior finance and investor relations roles, including Director of Financial Planning and Analysis, Vice President, Finance and Investor Relations, and Senior Vice President, Finance and Treasurer. In March 2025, Mr. Trpkovski was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Before joining Century, he worked at Citigroup as a Senior Financial Analyst and in finance and engineering roles at Johnson Controls. He holds degrees in Electrical and Computer Engineering and Finance from the University of Michigan.
Gunnar Guðlaugsson, Executive Vice President, Global Operations and Managing Director of Nordural
Mr. Guðlaugsson joined Century in 2008. He was appointed Plant Manager of Nordural Grundartangi ehf. in 2009, and later Vice President, European and Asian Operations and Plant Manager, Nordural Grundartangi in 2017. He became Managing Director of Nordural in 2019 and Executive Vice President, Global Operations in 2021. Before his time at Century, Mr. Guðlaugsson held numerous senior management positions with Rio Tinto Alcan in Straumsvik for over a decade.
John DeZee, Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary
Mr. DeZee joined Century in 2008 as Associate General Counsel, taking on roles of increasing responsibility before being promoted to Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary in May 2021. He began his legal career at Paul Hastings LLP in Los Angeles and also served as in-house counsel at James Hardie Building Products. Mr. DeZee received his B.A. from Whitman College and his J.D. from the University of California at Berkeley Law School.
Agust Hafberg, Senior Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer
Mr. Hafberg has been with Century since 2007, serving in various commercial and business development capacities. He was promoted to Senior Vice President & Chief Commercial Officer in February 2019. Prior to joining Century, Mr. Hafberg held several management positions in shipping, logistics, and consulting in Europe. He holds a degree in Mechanical Engineering and an MBA from the University of Iceland.
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Key Risks to Century Aluminum (CENX)
- Aluminum Price Volatility and Global Competition: Century Aluminum's profitability is highly susceptible to the fluctuating prices of aluminum on the London Metal Exchange (LME) and regional premiums, such as the Midwest Premium. Market volatility, influenced by global supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical events, and economic conditions, can significantly impact the company's sales and margins. A decrease in LME aluminum prices can directly and substantially reduce the company's EBITDA. Furthermore, the company faces competition from producers with potentially lower production costs or government subsidies, and there is a risk that China could flood the market with low-cost aluminum, dampening U.S. pricing power. The potential easing or removal of trade tariffs, which currently benefit the company, also poses a significant risk to its financial performance.
- Operational Challenges and High Energy Costs: Century Aluminum faces significant operational risks, particularly concerning the stability and execution of its production facilities. The company's aging operational base has experienced issues such as transformer failures at smelters and production instability, highlighting the sensitivity of its operations. Restarting idled capacity at U.S. smelters, such as Mt. Holly, introduces additional execution risk. A major component of the company's cost of production is electrical power, which can represent approximately 30-35% of total production expenses. Fluctuations in energy costs, as well as the need to secure competitive power arrangements, can significantly impact profitability and have led to production curtailments in the past.
- Financial Leverage and Free Cash Flow: Century Aluminum operates with a leveraged capital structure, which is typical for a capital-intensive business like aluminum production. A key concern for the company is its negative free cash flow, which was reported at US$71 million over a recent twelve-month period. The company's liabilities have exceeded its cash and near-term receivables, with liabilities totaling approximately US$1.22 billion more than its combined cash and receivables, a deficit that has been higher than its market capitalization. This indicates that debt is not well covered by operating cash flow, posing risks to the company's financial stability.
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One clear emerging threat for Century Aluminum (CENX) is the development and potential widespread adoption of **inert anode technology** for aluminum smelting.
Traditional aluminum smelters, like those operated by Century Aluminum, use carbon anodes which are consumed during the electrolysis process, releasing significant amounts of greenhouse gases (primarily CO2) and perfluorocarbons (PFCs). Inert anode technology, exemplified by initiatives like Elysis (a joint venture between Alcoa and Rio Tinto), aims to replace these carbon anodes with non-consumable, inert materials. This process produces oxygen instead of CO2, drastically reducing the carbon footprint of primary aluminum production.
If this technology scales successfully to commercial viability and becomes cost-effective, it could fundamentally disrupt the industry by:
- Setting a new, much lower environmental standard for primary aluminum.
- Potentially creating a significant cost advantage (especially in regions with carbon taxes or stricter environmental regulations) for producers adopting it.
- Making traditional carbon-anode smelters less competitive or obsolete over the long term, particularly as global pressure for decarbonization intensifies.
While still in the development and demonstration phases, the active investment and progress by major industry players indicate it is a tangible and emerging threat with the potential to reshape the competitive landscape in a manner analogous to how new digital technologies displaced older physical ones in other industries.
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The addressable markets for Century Aluminum's main products are detailed below. Century Aluminum is a primary aluminum producer, supplying standard-grade, high-purity, and value-added primary aluminum products, including Natur-Alâ„¢ Standard Ingot, Primary Foundry Alloy (A356), and Billet.
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Global Primary Aluminum Market: The global primary aluminum market was valued at US$107.23 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach US$152.85 billion by 2032, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.59% from 2025-2032. Another estimate placed the global primary aluminum market at USD 105.17 billion in 2023, expected to reach USD 141.50 billion by 2030 with a CAGR of 3.6% from 2024-2030.
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North American Primary Aluminum Market: The North American aluminum market, which includes primary aluminum, was valued at USD 66.34 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach USD 97.54 billion by 2031, with a CAGR of 4.4% from 2024-2031. The value of primary aluminum in the North America Aluminum Market is forecasted at USD 24.0 billion in 2024. Another report indicated the North America Aluminum Market size was valued at USD 27.11 billion in 2024 and is predicted to reach USD 35.53 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 4.6% from 2025 to 2030.
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European Primary Aluminum Market: The Europe aluminum market, encompassing primary aluminum, was valued at USD 71.76 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 4.7% from 2024 to 2031. Other estimates show the Europe Aluminum Market valued at US$56.72 billion in 2024, expected to reach US$74.14 billion by 2031, with a CAGR of 3.9% from 2025-2031, or valued at USD 29.0 billion in 2024, with an expectation to reach USD 50.6 billion by 2035 at a CAGR of 5.2% from 2025 to 2035.
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Century Aluminum (CENX) is expected to experience future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key factors:
- Mount Holly Smelter Restart and Expansion: The full restart of the Mount Holly smelter, anticipated to reach full production by mid-2026, is a significant driver. This expansion is projected to increase U.S. primary aluminum production by nearly 10% and contribute substantially to future revenue and EBITDA.
- Favorable Aluminum Pricing and Tariffs: Expected higher realized London Metal Exchange (LME) prices and increased U.S. Midwest premiums are crucial for revenue growth. This trend is reinforced by U.S. trade policies, including the Section 232 tariffs on aluminum imports, which create a competitive advantage for domestic producers.
- Increased Domestic Demand for Aluminum: There is an anticipated rise in demand for domestically produced aluminum, particularly billets, in the U.S. This demand is influenced by revised Section 232 tariffs and the broader trend of reshoring manufacturing supply chains, allowing Century Aluminum to capitalize on a growing domestic market.
- Operational Enhancements and Capacity Optimization: Ongoing operational improvements at Century Aluminum's facilities are set to boost production volume and efficiency. This includes the Grundartangi smelter returning to full production, planned enhancements at the Jamalco refinery with a new steam turbine by year-end 2025, and major maintenance at the Sebree plant to improve reliability.
- Development of New U.S. Smelter Project: Progress on a new U.S. smelter project represents a long-term growth opportunity. If this project materializes within the next 2-3 years, it would further significantly expand the company's production capacity and revenue potential.
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Capital Allocation Decisions (Last 3-5 Years)
Share Repurchases
- Century Aluminum has an existing share repurchase program with $43.7 million remaining under the authorization as of September 30, 2025.
- No share repurchases were made during 2022, 2023, 2024, or the first nine months of 2025.
- The company anticipates providing details on potential new share repurchase programs in 2026, following shareholder feedback.
Share Issuance
- Between December 31, 2024, and June 30, 2025, issued shares increased by approximately 50,556, and outstanding shares also increased by roughly 50,556.
Inbound Investments
- Century Aluminum was selected to receive a $500.0 million grant from the U.S. Department of Energy for building a new aluminum smelter.
- The company accrued $220 million in Section 45X tax credits as of September 30, 2025, covering production from 2023, 2024, and year-to-date 2025, and received $75 million in October 2025 for fiscal year 2024.
- Higher proceeds were received from a joint venture partner to fund co-tenancy asset construction, contributing to a decrease in net cash used in investing activities during the first nine months of 2025.
Outbound Investments
- In 2023, Century Aluminum acquired a 55% interest in Jamalco, a bauxite mining and alumina refining operation.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were $95 million in 2023 and $82 million in 2024.
- Projected capital expenditures are $79 million for 2025 and $80 million for 2026.
- The Mt. Holly restart project is currently underway with an estimated cost of around $50 million, aiming for full production by Q3 2026.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to CENX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.2% | 8.2% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.4% | -1.4% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 53.6% | 53.6% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 28.6% | 28.6% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.8% | 5.8% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Century Aluminum
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 53.65 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.6 |
| Rev LTM | 7,969 |
| Op Inc LTM | 344 |
| FCF LTM | 13 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -16 |
| CFO LTM | 332 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 362 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -2.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 5.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 0.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -0.2% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $38.97 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 3.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/29/1996 | |
| Distance from 52W High | 0.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $30.60 | $22.96 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 27.4% | 69.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 73.7% | 70.2% |
| Downside Capture | 294.20 | 178.95 |
| Upside Capture | 425.51 | 224.82 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 41.4% | 50.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.93 | 2.11 | 2.33 | 2.03 | 1.77 | 1.99 |
| Up Beta | -1.69 | 1.56 | 1.78 | 0.81 | 1.53 | 1.74 |
| Down Beta | 2.02 | 0.01 | 1.08 | 1.24 | 1.90 | 2.12 |
| Up Capture | 264% | 314% | 425% | 486% | 336% | 2220% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 20 | 33 | 64 | 115 | 366 |
| Down Capture | 272% | 287% | 243% | 200% | 140% | 111% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 21 | 29 | 60 | 130 | 374 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of CENX With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CENX | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 109.6% | 9.2% | 18.8% | 72.9% | 9.0% | 3.7% | -11.4% |
| Annualized Volatility | 69.9% | 20.0% | 19.5% | 19.2% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.35 | 0.33 | 0.76 | 2.72 | 0.36 | 0.05 | -0.14 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 54.1% | 50.5% | 25.7% | 33.4% | 34.9% | 28.9% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLB, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of CENX With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CENX | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 29.5% | 7.2% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 11.8% | 4.7% | 35.5% |
| Annualized Volatility | 74.2% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.9% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.67 | 0.29 | 0.70 | 0.98 | 0.51 | 0.16 | 0.62 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 57.7% | 45.5% | 24.3% | 39.4% | 34.1% | 25.7% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLB, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of CENX With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CENX | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 26.5% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 69.1% |
| Annualized Volatility | 72.4% | 20.8% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.65 | 0.43 | 0.71 | 0.85 | 0.31 | 0.23 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 52.9% | 44.0% | 15.3% | 39.5% | 30.8% | 16.7% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLB, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/7/2025 | 1.6% | 4.1% | -4.0% |
| 5/7/2025 | -2.0% | 7.8% | 23.5% |
| 2/20/2025 | -13.3% | -3.3% | -3.6% |
| 11/4/2024 | 20.0% | 26.3% | 35.5% |
| 8/8/2024 | -2.5% | 4.9% | -6.7% |
| 5/1/2024 | -7.7% | 1.2% | 10.8% |
| 2/21/2024 | -3.3% | -4.9% | 19.4% |
| 11/8/2023 | 3.0% | 17.5% | 22.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 13 | 10 |
| # Negative | 11 | 8 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 4.8% | 6.4% | 27.6% |
| Median Negative | -7.7% | -6.4% | -6.7% |
| Max Positive | 20.0% | 37.6% | 44.8% |
| Max Negative | -19.1% | -13.6% | -45.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3032025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5022022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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