Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.4%, FCF Yield is 7.0%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -0.5%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.8%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, Electrification of Everything, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.4%, FCF Yield is 7.0%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, Electrification of Everything, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -0.5%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.8%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NEU Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period for NewMarket (NEU) stock movement, from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, is in the future. Therefore, an analysis of specific stock movement and its causal factors for this period cannot be provided.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NEU Return-16%-12%-7%79%-1%44%75%
Peers Return6%27%-14%1%-2%10%27%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NEU Win Rate42%33%58%75%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate45%53%37%37%43%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NEU Max Drawdown-32%-24%-17%0%-6%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-6%-25%-19%-13%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SXT, FUL, NGVT, VRDE, SHW. See NEU Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNEUS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven52.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven311 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-32.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1316 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven475 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-73.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven275.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven301 days1480 days

Compare to SXT, FUL, NGVT, VRDE, SHW


In The Past

NewMarket's stock fell -34.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/6/2021. A -34.3% loss requires a 52.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About NewMarket (NEU)

Better Bets than NewMarket (NEU)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NEU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
NEU_9302020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302020NEUNewMarketDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.1%1.1%-10.9%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
NEU_9302020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302020NEUNewMarketDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.1%1.1%-10.9%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for NewMarket

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NEUSXTFULNGVTVRDESHWMedian
NameNewMarketSensient.H.B. Ful.Ingevity Verde Bi.Sherwin-. 
Mkt Price756.4992.6258.9252.54-339.2492.62
Mkt Cap7.13.93.21.9-83.53.9
Rev LTM2,7441,5953,5021,452-23,2762,744
Op Inc LTM566211349264-3,680349
FCF LTM54524121240-2,426240
FCF 3Y Avg48158220132-2,305220
CFO LTM609105242299-3,294299
CFO 3Y Avg538136348222-3,225348

Growth & Margins

NEUSXTFULNGVTVRDESHWMedian
NameNewMarketSensient.H.B. Ful.Ingevity Verde Bi.Sherwin-. 
Rev Chg LTM-1.1%4.2%-1.3%1.1%-1.0%1.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.1%3.7%-1.7%-3.2%-2.4%1.1%
Rev Chg Q-4.8%5.0%-2.8%-0.2%-3.2%-0.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.2%1.2%-0.7%-0.0%-0.8%-0.0%
Op Mgn LTM20.6%13.2%10.0%18.2%-15.8%15.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.6%12.2%10.5%16.8%-15.8%15.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.1%0.3%0.2%-0.3%--0.0%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM22.2%6.6%6.9%20.6%-14.2%14.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg19.5%8.9%9.8%14.5%-13.9%13.9%
FCF/Rev LTM19.9%1.5%3.5%16.5%-10.4%10.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg17.5%3.8%6.2%8.7%-10.0%8.7%

Valuation

NEUSXTFULNGVTVRDESHWMedian
NameNewMarketSensient.H.B. Ful.Ingevity Verde Bi.Sherwin-. 
Mkt Cap7.13.93.21.9-83.53.9
P/S2.82.50.91.4-3.72.5
P/EBIT12.418.810.6-5.9-22.812.4
P/E17.328.528.5-30.4-33.128.5
P/CFO12.737.913.56.7-25.913.5
Total Yield6.4%3.5%4.7%-3.3%-3.9%3.9%
Dividend Yield0.6%0.0%1.1%0.0%-0.9%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.6%1.7%5.7%7.1%-2.9%5.7%
D/E0.10.20.60.6-0.20.2
Net D/E0.10.20.60.6-0.20.2

Returns

NEUSXTFULNGVTVRDESHWMedian
NameNewMarketSensient.H.B. Ful.Ingevity Verde Bi.Sherwin-. 
1M Rtn-1.4%1.2%2.7%-2.4%--1.6%-1.4%
3M Rtn-6.5%-17.8%0.3%-9.2%--6.3%-6.5%
6M Rtn21.0%-2.3%6.0%26.8%--5.9%6.0%
12M Rtn42.3%20.8%-21.4%7.7%--13.4%7.7%
3Y Rtn148.4%30.7%-23.8%-32.3%-35.2%30.7%
1M Excs Rtn-1.4%1.3%2.7%-2.4%--1.6%-1.4%
3M Excs Rtn-12.8%-22.9%-8.8%-16.1%--12.4%-12.8%
6M Excs Rtn6.3%-17.0%-8.7%12.0%--20.6%-8.7%
12M Excs Rtn30.7%7.9%-35.7%-5.4%--27.4%-5.4%
3Y Excs Rtn83.6%-38.7%-94.3%-104.3%--30.9%-38.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Petroleum additives2,6902,7542,3442,0022,176
All other91012914
Specialty materials0    
Total2,6982,7652,3562,0112,190


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Petroleum additives514378281333359
Specialty materials0    
All other -2-2-0-2
Total514376280333358


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity161,181
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120258.4%
Average Daily Volume68,070
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.37
Basic Shares Quantity9,360,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241024202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022215202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221025202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021215202210-K 12/31/2021