Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -64%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -67%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -133%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.2
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 159%
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -10 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -13%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials.
  Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 170%
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -15%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.5%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -520%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 175%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -64%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 159%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -67%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -133%
4 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.2
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -10 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -13%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 170%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -15%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.5%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -520%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 175%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ITP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points that contributed to the movement of IT Tech Packaging (ITP) stock during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Improved Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Per Share (EPS). IT Tech Packaging reported its Q3 2025 earnings on November 13, 2025, with an actual EPS of -$0.11. This represented a 45.92% improvement compared to the prior year's Q3 EPS of -$0.196, indicating a positive trend in the company's financial performance.

2. Positive Technical Buy Signals and Subsequent Price Increase. On November 21, 2025, a buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point for ITP stock, leading to a subsequent rise of 10.82% in its price. This indicated strong positive technical momentum in the market.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ITP Return-41%-59%-80%-33%94%-62%-98%
Peers Return3%-7%-17%-16%17%-47%-58%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ITP Win Rate25%17%25%50%42%30% 
Peers Win Rate37%43%43%47%52%30% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ITP Max Drawdown-55%-59%-80%-39%-35%-73% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-20%-42%-34%-30%-60% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MERC, SLVM, MAGN, CLW, ITP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventITPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven5061.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-55.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven125.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven139 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-68.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven217.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-96.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2400.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven285 days1480 days

Compare to MERC, SLVM, MAGN, CLW, ITP


In The Past

IT Tech Packaging's stock fell -98.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2021. A -98.1% loss requires a 5061.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About IT Tech Packaging (ITP)

Better Bets than IT Tech Packaging (ITP)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ITP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for IT Tech Packaging

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ITPMERCSLVMMAGNCLWMedian
NameIT Tech .Mercer I.Sylvamo Magnera Clearwat. 
Mkt Price0.241.9248.1913.9818.1613.98
Mkt Cap0.00.11.90.50.30.3
Rev LTM781,9073,4312,6971,5561,907
Op Inc LTM-10-6927667-4-4
FCF LTM4-62106-41-135-41
FCF 3Y Avg-0-104211-37-0-0
CFO LTM43433819-2819
CFO 3Y Avg81143049211

Growth & Margins

ITPMERCSLVMMAGNCLWMedian
NameIT Tech .Mercer I.Sylvamo Magnera Clearwat. 
Rev Chg LTM12.3%-5.8%-8.9%106.4%23.0%12.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-15.0%-4.9%-0.3%34.5%0.3%-0.3%
Rev Chg Q-5.5%-8.8%-12.3%154.7%1.4%-5.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.8%-2.3%-3.4%23.3%0.4%-1.8%
Op Mgn LTM-13.1%-3.6%8.0%2.5%-0.3%-0.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-9.5%-2.6%10.6%1.9%2.3%1.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.1%-4.0%-1.1%0.3%-0.4%-1.1%
CFO/Rev LTM4.9%1.8%9.9%0.7%-1.8%1.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.7%0.6%11.8%0.1%8.6%8.6%
FCF/Rev LTM4.5%-3.2%3.1%-1.5%-8.7%-1.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1.4%-5.1%5.7%-2.1%1.3%-1.4%

Valuation

ITPMERCSLVMMAGNCLWMedian
NameIT Tech .Mercer I.Sylvamo Magnera Clearwat. 
Mkt Cap0.00.11.90.50.30.3
P/S0.00.10.50.20.20.2
P/EBIT-0.2-2.76.0-13.8-4.5-2.7
P/E-0.2-1.19.8-3.22.4-0.2
P/CFO0.65.75.222.5-12.15.2
Total Yield-515.7%-79.0%14.4%227.1%42.4%14.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%10.4%4.2%258.3%0.0%4.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-40.8%-26.4%9.4%-26.6%-5.2%-26.4%
D/E4.68.10.54.81.04.6
Net D/E1.77.60.44.10.91.7

Returns

ITPMERCSLVMMAGNCLWMedian
NameIT Tech .Mercer I.Sylvamo Magnera Clearwat. 
1M Rtn0.7%0.5%22.8%58.5%0.3%0.7%
3M Rtn16.8%-38.9%10.4%20.4%-15.4%10.4%
6M Rtn27.3%-47.4%-7.6%14.1%-38.7%-7.6%
12M Rtn5.1%-67.6%-45.8%-30.1%-32.6%-32.6%
3Y Rtn-61.6%-84.7%-5.3%-69.7%-53.7%-61.6%
1M Excs Rtn0.7%0.6%22.8%58.5%0.3%0.7%
3M Excs Rtn15.6%-45.2%3.7%11.7%-22.5%3.7%
6M Excs Rtn12.5%-62.1%-22.3%-0.6%-53.4%-22.3%
12M Excs Rtn-10.7%-81.7%-59.6%-45.3%-46.6%-46.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-132.6%-157.5%-71.2%-143.9%-124.5%-132.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Dongfang Paper859915291113
Tengsheng Paper11985
Baoding Shengde00610
Elimination of Inter-segment00   
Not Attributable to Segments00   
Total87100166101118


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Elimination of Inter-segment00   
Not Attributable to Segments-01 -3-0
Dongfang Paper-01738
Baoding Shengde-1-1-0-0-0
Tengsheng Paper-9-17-11-6-5
Total-10-17-4-62


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Tengsheng Paper12811894102100
Dongfang Paper57631097973
Baoding Shengde818291917
Not Attributable to Segments25900
Elimination of Inter-segment00   
Total195204242200190


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity639,166
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-25.3%
Average Daily Volume932,748
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity11,905,787
Short % of Basic Shares5.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024411202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241115202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024812202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023327202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022324202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021315202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211110202110-Q 9/30/2021