Koppers (KOP)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $28.34 | Market Cap: $557.0 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Commodity Chemicals
Koppers (KOP)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $28.34Market Cap: $557.0 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Commodity Chemicals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 17% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -78%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 180% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more. | Key risksKOP key risks include [1] its heavy debt load and [2] losing margin and market share in its key Performance Chemicals segment due to intensifying competition. |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 17% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -78%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 180% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12% |
| Key risksKOP key risks include [1] its heavy debt load and [2] losing margin and market share in its key Performance Chemicals segment due to intensifying competition. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
KOP Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Based on the available information for Koppers (KOP) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, here are key points explaining potential downward stock movement:
1. Weaker-than-expected Q3 2025 Financial Results: Koppers reported its third-quarter 2025 results on November 7, 2025, with sales of $485.3 million, a 12.4% decrease compared to the prior year. Adjusted EPS was $1.21, missing analysts' consensus estimates of $1.25.
2. Revised Downward 2025 Outlook: Following the Q2 2025 earnings in August, Koppers reduced its 2025 financial forecast, with adjusted EBITDA revised to approximately $250 million to $270 million and adjusted EPS to approximately $4.00 to $4.60 per share, citing a continued reduction in demand due to current market conditions. This outlook was further tightened in November for adjusted EBITDA to approximately $255 million to $260 million and adjusted EPS to approximately $4.00 to $4.15 per share.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KOP Return | -18% | 0% | -9% | 83% | -36% | -11% | -23% |
| Peers Return | � | 26% | 5% | 8% | -2% | -9% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KOP Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 33% | 67% | 25% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 60% | 48% | 47% | 53% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KOP Max Drawdown | -78% | -9% | -34% | 0% | -39% | -27% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | -6% | -19% | -21% | -24% | -36% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CBT, OEC, WFG, NGVT, VMI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | KOP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -46.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 87.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 307 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -78.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 356.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 399 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -68.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 220.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,828 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -81.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 432.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3,167 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to MEOH, NOVS, DOW, HWKN, HUN
In The Past
Koppers's stock fell -46.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/7/2021. A -46.6% loss requires a 87.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to KOP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Koppers
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 59.94 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.9 |
| Rev LTM | 2,818 |
| Op Inc LTM | 227 |
| FCF LTM | 167 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 102 |
| CFO LTM | 370 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 343 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -5.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -2.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | -5.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.9 |
| P/S | 1.0 |
| P/EBIT | 5.6 |
| P/E | -1.3 |
| P/CFO | 6.1 |
| Total Yield | 0.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 9.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -6.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -7.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -19.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -7.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -9.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -19.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -33.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -79.7% |
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Railroad and Utility Products and Services | 744 | 661 | 594 | 583 | 562 |
| Carbon Materials and Chemicals | 539 | 500 | 447 | 424 | 502 |
| Performance Chemicals | 521 | 517 | 587 | 536 | 458 |
| All other | 32 | 33 | 34 | ||
| Other assets | 55 | ||||
| Deferred taxes | 17 | ||||
| Income tax receivable | 2 | ||||
| Operating lease right-of-use assets | 13 | ||||
| Prepaid insurance and other assets | 5 | ||||
| Property, plant and equipment, net | 5 | ||||
| Total | 1,835 | 1,711 | 1,662 | 1,599 | 1,565 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/7/2025 | -4.1% | 5.6% | 0.1% |
| 8/8/2025 | -13.3% | -7.9% | -13.6% |
| 5/9/2025 | 3.4% | 20.1% | 26.0% |
| 2/27/2025 | -9.4% | -11.5% | -9.5% |
| 11/8/2024 | -2.1% | -1.2% | -7.9% |
| 8/8/2024 | 0.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% |
| 5/3/2024 | -16.9% | -17.8% | -16.0% |
| 2/28/2024 | 7.6% | 0.9% | 3.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| # Negative | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 3.4% | 4.4% | 10.0% |
| Median Negative | -7.2% | -8.3% | -8.7% |
| Max Positive | 22.2% | 22.7% | 70.4% |
| Max Negative | -18.3% | -21.3% | -65.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |