Robinhood Ventures Fund II (RVII)
Market Price (10/21/2026): $18.24 | Market Cap: $-Sector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Robinhood Ventures Fund II (RVII)
Market Price (10/21/2026): $18.24Market Cap: $-Sector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Venture Capital. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -98% | Key risksRVII key risks include [1] a high-risk strategy focused on illiquid, Show more. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Venture Capital. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -98% |
| Key risksRVII key risks include [1] a high-risk strategy focused on illiquid, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Robinhood Ventures Fund II (RVII) stock has lost about 20% since it went public on 8/13/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Immediate Post-IPO Trading Discount and Lack of Sustained Market Enthusiasm. Robinhood Ventures Fund II (RVII) priced its Initial Public Offering (IPO) at $25.00 per share on August 13, 2026, but commenced trading at $22.50 per share, an immediate 10% discount from its IPO price. The stock has consistently traded below its IPO price since its debut in Q3 2026, indicating a lower-than-expected initial market reception and a sustained lack of investor enthusiasm. As of October 17, 2026, RVII shares had decreased by 26.1% from their closing price of $24.44 on August 14, 2026, trading at $18.07. This decline aligns with the reported loss of approximately 20% since its public listing.
2. Inherent High-Risk Investment Strategy and High Fee Structure. RVII employs a high-risk strategy focused on illiquid, early-stage private companies, primarily those associated with the Y Combinator accelerator program, which inherently carries a substantial chance of loss. The fund also operates with a high fee structure, including a 2.00% annual base management fee of net assets and a 20% incentive fee on realized capital gains (after deducting losses and depreciation), with total estimated annual expenses reaching 4.18%. These significant fees must be covered by portfolio performance before generating positive shareholder returns, amplifying downside risk for investors.
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Robinhood Ventures Fund II (RVII) stock has lost about 20% since it went public on 8/13/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Immediate Post-IPO Trading Discount and Lack of Sustained Market Enthusiasm. Robinhood Ventures Fund II (RVII) priced its Initial Public Offering (IPO) at $25.00 per share on August 13, 2026, but commenced trading at $22.50 per share, an immediate 10% discount from its IPO price. The stock has consistently traded below its IPO price since its debut in Q3 2026, indicating a lower-than-expected initial market reception and a sustained lack of investor enthusiasm. As of October 17, 2026, RVII shares had decreased by 26.1% from their closing price of $24.44 on August 14, 2026, trading at $18.07. This decline aligns with the reported loss of approximately 20% since its public listing.
2. Inherent High-Risk Investment Strategy and High Fee Structure. RVII employs a high-risk strategy focused on illiquid, early-stage private companies, primarily those associated with the Y Combinator accelerator program, which inherently carries a substantial chance of loss. The fund also operates with a high fee structure, including a 2.00% annual base management fee of net assets and a 20% incentive fee on realized capital gains (after deducting losses and depreciation), with total estimated annual expenses reaching 4.18%. These significant fees must be covered by portfolio performance before generating positive shareholder returns, amplifying downside risk for investors.
3. Market Discount to Net Asset Value (NAV) for Business Development Companies (BDCs). As a Business Development Company (BDC), RVII's shares are susceptible to trading at a significant discount to its Net Asset Value (NAV). This market dynamic is common for BDCs, where share prices can reflect continuously updated investor expectations regarding asset values, liquidity, credit losses, and broader market sentiment, often before these factors are fully incorporated into the reported quarterly NAVs. The market's perception of the illiquidity and valuation challenges of RVII's underlying private assets likely contributes to its shares trading below their intrinsic value.
4. Cautious Broader Venture Capital Market Sentiment for Diverse Early-Stage Portfolios. While global venture funding reached a record $679 billion through the first three quarters of 2026, this capital flow has been highly concentrated in a small number of mega-rounds, particularly within the artificial intelligence (AI) sector. Despite these headline figures, the broader venture market for most early-stage startups appears less robust, and a significant rebound in IPO exits for a wider range of companies has not fully materialized. This concentrated investment environment and a generally cautious sentiment towards a diversified portfolio of early-stage private companies may have contributed to RVII's weaker performance since its IPO.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
6/30/2026 to 10/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RVII | ||
| Market (SPY) | 3.0% | 41.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 3.9% | 14.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 10/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RVII | ||
| Market (SPY) | 18.6% | 41.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 13.3% | 14.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 10/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RVII | ||
| Market (SPY) | 16.4% | 41.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 4.7% | 14.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
9/30/2023 to 10/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RVII | ||
| Market (SPY) | 86.1% | 41.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 75.4% | 14.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RVII Return | - | - | - | - | - | -22% | -22% |
| Peers Return | 37% | -15% | 29% | 7% | -5% | -16% | 29% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 104% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RVII Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 70% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 55% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RVII Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -11% | -31% | -18% | -20% | -28% | -28% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HTGC, TPVG, HRZN, ARCC, FSK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/20/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
RVII has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -15.5% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 80 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -10.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 26 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 270 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 467 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 289 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -19.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.5% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 123 days | 105 days |
In The Past
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
RVII has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 467 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 289 days | 140 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -21.4% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.3% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 272 days | 62 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.3% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 162 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -78.3% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 359.8% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2329 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Robinhood Ventures Fund II (RVII)
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Vlad Tenev
Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
Vlad Tenev co-founded Robinhood in 2013 and has served as CEO and President since November 2020, setting the strategic vision and spearheading global growth. Before co-founding Robinhood, he established two financial startups in New York, building deep experience in algorithmic trading and fintech innovation. He met his co-founder, Baiju Bhatt, at Stanford in the physics department.
Shiv Verma
Chief Financial Officer
Shiv Verma is listed as the Chief Financial Officer of Robinhood Markets, Inc.
Sarah Pinto
Head of Robinhood Ventures
Sarah Pinto serves as the Head of Robinhood Ventures, the investment adviser for Robinhood Ventures Fund II (RVII).
Rich Aberman
Portfolio Manager for Robinhood Ventures Fund II
Rich Aberman recently joined as the Portfolio Manager for Robinhood Ventures Fund II.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to the business of Robinhood Ventures Fund II (symbol: RVII) are primarily related to its investment strategy in early-stage private companies, the potential illiquidity of its own shares, and its fee structure and use of leverage.
- High-Risk Investment Strategy in Early-Stage, Illiquid Private Companies with Substantial Risk of Loss and Volatile Net Asset Value (NAV): RVII invests in a diversified portfolio of early-stage private companies, an inherently high-risk strategy that carries a substantial risk of loss. Seed-stage investing, which RVII focuses on, has a very high failure rate, with venture-backed companies having a failure rate of roughly 75% to 90%. The underlying holdings are private and illiquid, meaning there is no assurance that these companies will ever have a liquidity event, making the fund's NAV per share volatile and dependent on such events, which can be distant.
- Potential Illiquidity of RVII Shares and Risk of Trading at a Discount to NAV: Although RVII's shares are expected to be listed on the New York Stock Exchange, there is no guarantee that an active, orderly public trading market for these shares will develop or be sustained. This means shareholders may not be able to liquidate their investment for an indefinite period, or sell their shares at or above the initial purchase price. As a closed-end fund, RVII shares frequently trade at a discount to their net asset value, and funds holding illiquid assets typically experience wider disparities.
- High Fees and Use of Leverage: RVII charges significant fees, including a 2.00% annual base management fee on net assets and a 20% incentive fee on realized capital gains. Total estimated annual expenses can reach 4.18%, meaning the fund's holdings must generate returns exceeding this threshold before shareholders see any positive returns. Additionally, RVII intends to use leverage of approximately 67% of its total assets, which, while potentially boosting returns, also amplifies downside risks in the event of investment failures. The performance fee structure may also incentivize the investment adviser to make riskier and more speculative investments.
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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Robinhood Ventures Fund II (RVII) over the next 2-3 years:
- Increased Assets Under Management (AUM) from Retail Investor Inflows: As a business development company (BDC), RVII's revenue, particularly its base management fee, is directly tied to the size of its assets under management. The fund's unique proposition of offering retail investors access to early-stage and growth-stage private companies, a market traditionally exclusive to accredited investors and venture capital firms, is a significant draw. The successful IPO, which aimed to raise $200 million, demonstrates initial investor interest. Continued investor confidence and the "democratization of finance" strategy are expected to drive further capital inflows, thereby increasing AUM and, consequently, management fee revenue.
- Successful Exits and Realized Capital Gains from Portfolio Companies: A key component of RVII's revenue comes from incentive fees, which are 20% of realized capital gains from its investments. RVII invests in a diversified portfolio of "Promising Companies"—early-stage and growth-stage private companies, often linked to the Y Combinator accelerator program, that demonstrate significant growth potential. The successful growth and subsequent liquidity events (such as acquisitions or initial public offerings) of these underlying private companies at higher valuations will directly contribute to realized capital gains and, in turn, drive incentive fee revenue for RVII.
- Continuous Investment in New Y Combinator Cohorts: RVII's investment strategy includes regularly adding selected companies from new Y Combinator cohorts to its portfolio, with plans to do so quarterly. This ongoing replenishment and expansion of its investment portfolio ensure a continuous pipeline of potential high-growth companies. As these new investments mature, they increase the overall potential for future realized capital gains and, consequently, incentive fee generation.
- Leverage to Amplify Returns: RVII has the option to utilize leverage, which, if managed effectively, could magnify the returns generated from its investment portfolio. Higher returns on the underlying investments would directly contribute to greater realized capital gains, thereby increasing the incentive fees earned by the fund. This strategy could enhance overall revenue growth, though it also carries increased risk.
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Share Issuance
- Robinhood Ventures Fund II completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) on August 13, 2026, issuing 8.0 million shares at $25 per share.
- The IPO raised $200 million in gross proceeds for the fund.
- The total size of the fund at the time of its IPO pricing was $225.5 million.
Inbound Investments
- The primary inbound investment for Robinhood Ventures Fund II was the capital raised through its Initial Public Offering, totaling $200 million.
Outbound Investments
- Robinhood Ventures Fund II's investment strategy focuses on investing in a diversified portfolio of early-stage and growth-stage private companies.
- The fund primarily targets private companies that are current or previous participants in the Y Combinator startup accelerator program.
- At the time of its IPO, RVII's portfolio included approximately 80 private companies, with plans to add more over time.
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 13.26 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.9 |
| Rev LTM | 46 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 8 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 43 |
| CFO LTM | 9 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 43 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -14.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | -19.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -6.1% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -28.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -43.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -28.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -43.3% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $18.20 | |
| First Trading Date | 08/13/2026 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -27.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | ||
| DMA Trend | ||
| Distance from DMA | ||
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 45.1% | 45.1% |
| Downside Capture | ||
| Upside Capture | ||
| Correlation (S&P 500) |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.91 | -0.48 | -0.97 | -0.17 | 1.25 | -0.42 |
| Up Beta | -1.31 | -0.11 | -0.57 | 3.32 | 1.55 | -0.89 |
| Down Beta | 2.99 | 2.80 | 0.49 | -0.02 | 0.12 | -0.16 |
| Up Capture | 81% | 45% | 28% | 10% | 4% | 0% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 6 | 16 | 27 | 66 | 132 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| Down Capture | 122% | 119% | 74% | 42% | 22% | 13% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 16 | 26 | 37 | 60 | 120 | 328 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RVII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RVII | -20.8% | 45.1% | -2.64 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.1% | 14.5% | 0.31 | 14.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.8% | 12.7% | 0.93 | 41.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | -2.9% | 29.3% | -0.10 | 35.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 52.5% | 20.7% | 1.93 | -4.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 13.8% | 0.11 | 22.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -23.7% | 43.6% | -0.50 | 10.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RVII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RVII | -4.5% | 45.1% | -2.64 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 9.5% | 18.3% | 0.38 | 14.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.6% | 17.1% | 0.61 | 41.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.1% | 18.9% | 0.77 | 35.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.7% | 19.5% | 0.38 | -4.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.4% | 18.9% | -0.03 | 22.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.7% | 51.7% | 0.33 | 10.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RVII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RVII | -2.3% | 45.1% | -2.64 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.0% | 22.1% | 0.53 | 14.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 41.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.1% | 16.4% | 0.60 | 35.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 18.1% | 0.37 | -4.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 22.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 62.9% | 66.2% | 1.03 | 10.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
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