Ares Capital (ARCC)
Market Price (12/28/2025): $20.24 | Market Cap: $14.4 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Ares Capital (ARCC)
Market Price (12/28/2025): $20.24Market Cap: $14.4 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, Dividend Yield is 8.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -36% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 102% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.2x | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Private Credit. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -100%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -100% | ||
| Key risksARCC key risks include [1] credit defaults from its portfolio of highly leveraged middle-market companies during economic downturns, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, Dividend Yield is 8.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Private Credit. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -36% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 102% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.2x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -100%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -100% |
| Key risksARCC key risks include [1] credit defaults from its portfolio of highly leveraged middle-market companies during economic downturns, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Tightening Dividend Coverage and Declining Net Investment Income: Ares Capital's third-quarter 2025 net investment income (NII) of $338 million represented a decrease from $361 million in the prior year and $342 million in the second quarter of 2025. This led to a tight dividend coverage of 100% for its $0.48 per share quarterly dividend, raising concerns among investors regarding the sustainability of future payouts.
2. Risk of a Future Dividend Cut: Closely related to the tight dividend coverage, analyst commentary indicated a potential for a dividend reduction for ARCC, possibly in early 2026. This outlook stemmed from declining yield spreads and overall net investment income, which could serve as a significant negative catalyst for income-focused shareholders.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 1.1% change in ARCC stock from 9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 2.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 9282025 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 19.99 | 20.20 | 1.06% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1527.00 | 1551.00 | 1.57% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 88.61% | 87.88% | -0.82% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.27 | 10.51 | 2.33% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 695.00 | 709.00 | -2.01% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 1.01% |
Market Drivers
9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARCC | 1.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.3% | 47.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | 3.3% | 43.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -3.7% change in ARCC stock from 6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -4.9% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 6292025 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 20.98 | 20.20 | -3.73% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1492.00 | 1551.00 | 3.95% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 88.07% | 87.88% | -0.22% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.79 | 10.51 | -2.66% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 676.00 | 709.00 | -4.88% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -3.96% |
Market Drivers
6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARCC | -3.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.6% | 40.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | 7.4% | 40.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 0.3% change in ARCC stock from 12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 29.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12282024 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 20.14 | 20.20 | 0.32% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1747.00 | 1551.00 | -11.22% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 90.33% | 87.88% | -2.71% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.10 | 10.51 | 29.68% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 635.00 | 709.00 | -11.65% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -1.04% |
Market Drivers
12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARCC | 0.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 17.0% | 71.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 15.3% | 67.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 43.3% change in ARCC stock from 12/29/2022 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 65.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 12292022 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 14.10 | 20.20 | 43.31% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 937.00 | 1551.00 | 65.53% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 86.23% | 87.88% | 1.91% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.77 | 10.51 | 19.74% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 503.00 | 709.00 | -40.95% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 19.27% |
Market Drivers
12/29/2023 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARCC | 20.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.4% | 64.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 51.8% | 63.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ARCC Return | 1% | 36% | -4% | 20% | 20% | -0% | 90% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 38% | -12% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 150% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ARCC Win Rate | 58% | 83% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 65% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ARCC Max Drawdown | -55% | -2% | -15% | -4% | -0% | -12% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -26% | -7% | -9% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ARCC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -23.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 944 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -58.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 138.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 353 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -16.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 123 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -84.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 537.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4,593 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL
In The Past
Ares Capital's stock fell -23.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -23.7% loss requires a 31.1% gain to breakeven.
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```htmlHere are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Ares Capital (ARCC):
- A specialized bank for private, mid-sized companies.
- A publicly traded investment company that lends to and invests in private, middle-market businesses.
- Like a REIT, but for business loans and investments in private companies instead of real estate.
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- Senior Secured Loans: Providing capital to middle-market companies primarily through first and second lien senior secured loans, which are secured by the company's assets and have high repayment priority.
- Unitranche Loans: Offering a hybrid debt solution that combines both senior and subordinated debt into a single, comprehensive facility, simplifying capital structures for borrowers.
- Subordinated Debt: Supplying unsecured loans that rank below senior debt but above equity, often incorporating equity-like features such as warrants for additional returns.
- Equity Investments: Making direct minority equity investments in private middle-market companies, frequently alongside debt financing to provide a complete capital solution.
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Ares Capital (ARCC) is a Business Development Company (BDC) that primarily provides debt and equity financing to middle-market companies. Therefore, its "customers" are the companies in which it invests, meaning it sells primarily to other companies rather than individuals.
Ares Capital maintains a highly diversified portfolio, typically consisting of hundreds of portfolio companies. As such, no single "customer" represents an overwhelming portion of its investments. However, based on its most recent public filings (e.g., 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023), some of its largest portfolio companies by fair value of investment include:
- United States Infrastructure Corporation (USIC): A private company providing subsurface utility engineering and damage prevention services.
- Veritas Technologies LLC: A private company offering data protection, availability, and insights solutions.
- Ivy Technology Limited: A private company focused on customer interaction solutions and business process outsourcing.
- Integra Global Solutions, LLC (dba Integra): A private company providing IT and business services.
- Press Ganey Associates, Inc.: A private company offering patient experience and healthcare performance solutions.
These companies are currently private, and therefore do not have public stock symbols.
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Ares Management Corporation (ARES)
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)
Bank of America Corporation (BAC)
Wells Fargo & Company (WFC)
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Kort Schnabel, Chief Executive Officer
Kort Schnabel was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Ares Capital Corporation, effective April 30, 2025. He joined Ares Management Corporation in 2001 and was a founding member of its U.S. Direct Lending strategy in 2004. Prior to joining Ares, Mr. Schnabel was in the Corporate Development Group at Walker Digital Corporation, where he was responsible for corporate finance, merger and acquisition, and strategic planning activities. He previously worked in the Corporate Finance Group at Morgan Stanley, performing financial analyses for mergers and acquisitions, leveraged buyouts, and equity/debt offerings.
Scott Lem, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Scott Lem has served as the Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of Ares Capital Corporation since 2024. He joined Ares in July 2003 and previously held various executive officer roles, including Chief Accounting Officer from December 2013 and Vice President and Treasurer from May 2013. Prior to joining Ares, he was a Senior Associate at Ernst & Young LLP and Arthur Andersen LLP, where he conducted audits for clients in various industries.
Kipp deVeer, Director, Executive Vice President
Kipp deVeer served as Chief Executive Officer of Ares Capital Corporation from July 2014 to April 2025. He is currently a Director and Executive Vice President of Ares Capital Corporation. Mr. deVeer joined Ares in 2004. Previously, he was a Partner at RBC Capital Partners, where he led the firm's middle market financing and principal investment business. He also served as a Vice President in the Merchant Banking Group at Indosuez Capital. Mr. deVeer began his career at J.P. Morgan and Co.
Mitchell Goldstein, Co-Chairman of the Board of Directors
Mitchell Goldstein serves as a Director and Co-Chairman of the Board of Directors of Ares Capital Corporation. He joined Ares in May 2005. Prior to Ares, Mr. Goldstein was a Managing Director in the Financial Sponsors Group at Credit Suisse First Boston, and before that, a Principal at Indosuez Capital, where he was a member of the investment committee. His responsibilities at these firms included originating, structuring, and executing leveraged transactions.
Michael L. Smith, Co-Chairman of the Board of Directors
Michael L. Smith serves as a Director and Co-Chairman of the Board of Directors of Ares Capital Corporation. He joined Ares in May 2004. Prior to joining Ares, Mr. Smith was a Partner at RBC Capital Partners, where he led the firm's middle market financing and principal investment business. He previously worked at Indosuez Capital in their Merchant Banking Group, Kenter, Glastris & Company, and Salomon Brothers Inc in their Debt Capital Markets Group and Financial Institutions Group.
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Ares Capital (ARCC) faces several key risks inherent to its business model as a Business Development Company (BDC) specializing in lending to middle-market companies. The most significant risks include:
- Credit Risk and Economic Downturns: Ares Capital's primary business involves providing debt and equity financing to privately held U.S. middle-market companies. These companies are often highly leveraged and may be considered higher-risk than those served by traditional banks. Consequently, ARCC is significantly exposed to credit risk. During economic downturns or recessions, these portfolio companies are more vulnerable to financial distress, which can lead to increased loan defaults, a rise in non-accrual loans (loans where interest payments are significantly past due), and potential losses for Ares Capital. Maintaining the quality of its loan portfolio and managing non-accrual rates are critical aspects of its risk management.
- Interest Rate Volatility: The company's revenue is largely derived from interest payments on its investments, a significant portion of which are floating-rate loans. This makes Ares Capital's net investment income highly sensitive to fluctuations in benchmark interest rates. While rising rates can increase interest income, a rapid or significant decline in interest rates could shrink the spread between the rates ARCC earns on its investments and its own cost of borrowing, thereby negatively impacting net investment income and potentially challenging its ability to sustain dividends.
- Competition and Narrowing Lending Spreads: The direct lending market in which Ares Capital operates is highly competitive. An increase in competition among lenders can lead to compressed lending spreads, which means ARCC may have to accept lower returns for the risks it undertakes. This intensified competition could also force the company to take on more risk to achieve comparable returns, ultimately impacting its net investment income margins and profitability.
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Ares Capital (ARCC) primarily operates in the direct lending and middle-market lending segments of the private credit market.
The addressable markets for Ares Capital's main products and services are substantial, particularly in the United States:
- Private Credit Market: The global private credit market reached approximately $3 trillion in assets under management (AUM) in 2024. It is projected to grow to $3 trillion by 2025 and an estimated $5 trillion by 2029. The United States accounts for a significant portion, representing about three-quarters of the global private credit market. Specifically, the U.S. private credit market was approximately $1.25 trillion in 2024 and is expected to reach $1.67 trillion in 2025 and $2.9 trillion by 2030.
- Direct Lending Market: As a subset of private credit, direct lending is a dominant strategy. Globally, direct lending represented about 50% of private credit AUM, totaling approximately $1.5 trillion in 2025. In the U.S., direct lending funds deployed roughly $500 billion in new loans in 2025. As of late 2023, direct lending constituted the largest private debt strategy in the U.S., with $241 billion in assets under management.
- Middle Market Lending: Ares Capital focuses on providing financing solutions to U.S. middle-market companies. The U.S. middle market comprises approximately 200,000 companies, which collectively generate $13 trillion in annual revenue and employ over 40 million people. In 2022, the total overall middle market lending activity in the U.S., including syndicated and direct lending, was approximately $280 billion. The lower middle market, which consists of companies with annual revenues between $10 million and $150 million, has seen average transaction values exceeding $400 billion per year since 2021.
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Ares Capital (ARCC) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:- Growth in Investment Portfolio and New Investment Commitments: Ares Capital consistently focuses on increasing its total investment portfolio through new commitments. For instance, in Q2 2025, the company originated over $2.5 billion in new investment commitments, leading to a 3% increase in its portfolio value to $27.9 billion. The portfolio at fair value further grew to $28.7 billion in Q3 2025, representing a nearly 3% quarter-over-quarter and over 10% year-over-year increase. This sustained expansion of the investment base directly contributes to higher interest and dividend income, which are primary revenue sources for the company.
- Strategic Expansion into Higher-Yielding Opportunities and Off-Balance Sheet Vehicles: Ares Capital aims to capitalize on higher-yielding opportunities, particularly within its 30% non-qualifying asset basket, which includes strategic investments like Ivy Hill and SDLP. Additionally, the strategic expansion of off-balance sheet vehicles is a key component of ARCC's robust market positioning, allowing for expanded investment capacity and potential revenue generation.
- Increased Transaction Activity and Velocity of Capital Deployment: The company anticipates more normalized transaction activity in the second half of 2025. Coupled with its significant origination scale, Ares Capital foresees a potential for increased velocity of capital deployment. A more active investment environment and efficient allocation of capital are expected to translate into a greater volume of revenue-generating investments.
- Continued Focus on the Middle Market Segment: Ares Capital's strategic emphasis on the core middle market segment, which includes companies with $50-100 million in EBITDA, is crucial for its stable growth. This specialized market focus allows ARCC to leverage its expertise and relationships to secure consistent deal flow and maintain a robust pipeline of investment opportunities.
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Ares Capital (ARCC) Capital Allocation Decisions (Last 3-5 Years)
Share Repurchases
- Ares Capital's board of directors authorized an amendment in April 2023 to increase the total stock repurchase program from $500 million to $1.0 billion.
- In February 2025, the stock repurchase program, with an authorization of up to $1.0 billion, was extended to expire on February 15, 2026.
- No shares were repurchased under the stock repurchase program during the year ended December 31, 2024.
Share Issuance
- For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024, Ares Capital issued and sold 65.2 million shares of common stock through 'at the market' offerings, generating net proceeds of $1.36 billion.
- In October 2024, the company issued 30,000,000 shares of Series B mandatory convertible preferred stock for total proceeds of $1,462.5 million.
- During the third quarter of 2025, Ares Capital sold approximately 9.3 million shares for about $204 million.
Inbound Investments
- In November 2024, Ares Capital completed a $544 million term debt securitization (ADL CLO 4) to enhance its capital structure.
- In May 2025, Ares Capital priced a $750 million offering of 5.500% unsecured notes due 2030, aimed at bolstering financial flexibility.
- In July 2025, the company priced a $650 million public offering of 5.100% unsecured notes due 2031, with proceeds intended for existing debt repayment and general corporate purposes, including portfolio investments.
Outbound Investments
- Ares Capital's gross investment commitments were $15.6 billion in 2021, $9.9 billion in 2022, $6.0 billion in 2023, and $15.1 billion in 2024.
- In the first quarter of 2025, new investment commitments were approximately $3.5 billion, with about $2.2 billion funded, primarily in first lien senior secured loans (92%).
- As of September 30, 2025, the investment portfolio at fair value rose to $28.693 billion, and new investment commitments in Q3 2025 were $735 million (as of October 23, 2025), with 95% in first lien senior secured loans.
Capital Expenditures
- Ares Capital reported $0 in capital expenditures historically from 2020 through 2024 and projects $0 for the years 2025 through 2029.
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Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons for Ares Capital
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 51.32 |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| Rev LTM | 56,496 |
| Op Inc LTM | 11,544 |
| FCF LTM | 7,327 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,366 |
| CFO LTM | 8,590 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 8,697 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.1% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $20.20 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 14.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/05/2004 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -9.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $19.91 | $20.39 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | indeterminate |
| Distance from DMA | 1.4% | -0.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 19.2% | 22.3% |
| Downside Capture | 87.32 | 67.71 |
| Upside Capture | 74.59 | 57.33 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 47.3% | 71.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.82 | 0.85 | 0.74 | 0.62 | 0.81 | 0.74 |
| Up Beta | 0.50 | 0.87 | 0.83 | 0.48 | 0.91 | 0.77 |
| Down Beta | -0.20 | 0.41 | 0.45 | 0.56 | 0.93 | 0.86 |
| Up Capture | 121% | 97% | 49% | 45% | 47% | 33% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 23 | 31 | 65 | 136 | 408 |
| Down Capture | 95% | 108% | 110% | 90% | 76% | 86% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 105 | 320 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of ARCC With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARCC | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 3.3% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 72.1% | 8.6% | 4.4% | -8.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 22.1% | 19.0% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.07 | 0.67 | 0.72 | 2.70 | 0.34 | 0.09 | -0.08 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 67.5% | 71.2% | 4.2% | 34.3% | 55.2% | 23.1% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of ARCC With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARCC | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 14.1% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 30.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 19.6% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.6% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.60 | 0.71 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.50 | 0.16 | 0.57 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 59.3% | 61.5% | 7.6% | 22.9% | 52.2% | 24.3% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of ARCC With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARCC | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 13.8% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 69.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 25.5% | 22.3% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.53 | 0.55 | 0.71 | 0.86 | 0.32 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 60.7% | 57.7% | 2.1% | 25.3% | 57.4% | 14.4% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/28/2025 | 0.2% | -1.5% | -0.3% |
| 7/29/2025 | -0.7% | -1.3% | -2.0% |
| 4/29/2025 | -2.7% | -3.4% | 3.5% |
| 2/5/2025 | -3.0% | -4.6% | -6.2% |
| 10/30/2024 | -0.9% | 0.3% | 3.8% |
| 7/30/2024 | -1.6% | -4.4% | -1.5% |
| 5/1/2024 | 1.2% | 0.9% | 3.9% |
| 2/7/2024 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| # Negative | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 1.3% | 1.0% | 4.5% |
| Median Negative | -1.2% | -3.1% | -2.0% |
| Max Positive | 4.8% | 11.3% | 25.5% |
| Max Negative | -8.8% | -7.1% | -25.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10282025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7292025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4292025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2052025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7302024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2072024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10242023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7252023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4252023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2072023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10252022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7262022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4262022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2092022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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