Ares Capital (ARCC)
Market Price (5/13/2026): $18.8 | Market Cap: $13.5 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Ares Capital (ARCC)
Market Price (5/13/2026): $18.8Market Cap: $13.5 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, Dividend Yield is 9.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 19% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Private Credit. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -42% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 114% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.9x Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -49% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -91%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -91% Key risksARCC key risks include [1] credit defaults from its portfolio of highly leveraged middle-market companies during economic downturns, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, Dividend Yield is 9.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 19% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Private Credit. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -42% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 114% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.9x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -49% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -91%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -91% |
| Key risksARCC key risks include [1] credit defaults from its portfolio of highly leveraged middle-market companies during economic downturns, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Stable Core Earnings and Maintained Dividend Payouts Countered by an Earnings Miss. Ares Capital demonstrated underlying stability through maintained core earnings, reporting $0.47 per share in Q1 2026, which comfortably covered its consistent quarterly dividend of $0.48 per share. This commitment to shareholder distributions provided a floor for the stock. However, the Q1 2026 core earnings of $0.47 per share missed analyst estimates of $0.48 per share, and revenue of $763 million fell short of the forecasted $776.4 million, introducing some negative sentiment.
2. Significant Unrealized Losses and Modest Net Asset Value (NAV) Decline. The company's GAAP net income was notably impacted in Q1 2026 by $412 million in net unrealized losses, leading to a sharp decline in GAAP net income per share to $0.13 from $0.41 in Q4 2025. These losses were largely attributed to spread widening in the private credit markets, which resulted in market-driven unrealized depreciation and a modest decrease in NAV per share from $19.94 at December 31, 2025, to $19.59 by March 31, 2026.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -3.1% change in ARCC stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -13.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 19.36 | 18.77 | -3.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,578 | 1,362 | -13.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 86.4% | 84.4% | -2.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.1 | 11.7 | 16.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 709 | 718 | -1.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -3.1% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARCC | -3.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 60.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | -3.0% | 54.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -3.0% change in ARCC stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -13.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 19.35 | 18.77 | -3.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,578 | 1,362 | -13.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 86.4% | 84.4% | -2.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.1 | 11.7 | 16.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 709 | 718 | -1.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -3.0% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARCC | -3.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | 52.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | -0.7% | 49.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -0.2% change in ARCC stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -10.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 18.81 | 18.77 | -0.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,519 | 1,362 | -10.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 86.5% | 84.4% | -2.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.7 | 11.7 | 21.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 676 | 718 | -5.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -0.2% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARCC | -0.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 49.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 7.4% | 49.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 34.7% change in ARCC stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 80.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 13.94 | 18.77 | 34.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 755 | 1,362 | 80.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 88.3% | 84.4% | -4.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.2 | 11.7 | 5.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 534 | 718 | -25.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 34.7% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ARCC | 34.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 61.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 63.2% | 61.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ARCC Return | 36% | -4% | 20% | 20% | 1% | -5% | 80% |
| Peers Return | 31% | -12% | 34% | 26% | -5% | -10% | 66% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 97% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ARCC Win Rate | 83% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 50% | 20% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 78% | 43% | 72% | 73% | 50% | 36% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ARCC Max Drawdown | -2% | -15% | -4% | -0% | -12% | -11% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -1% | -21% | -1% | -2% | -17% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FSK, OBDC, BXSL, GBDC, MAIN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/12/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ARCC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -17.6% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 21.3% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 92 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -10.4% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11.6% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 98 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -14.5% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 17.0% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 42 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -56.0% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 127.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 291 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -12.2% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.8% | 23.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 50 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -18.0% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 21.9% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 50 days | 62 days |
In The Past
Ares Capital's stock fell -17.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 21.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | ARCC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -56.0% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 127.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 291 days | 140 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -21.5% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.4% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 66 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -74.6% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 294.2% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 195 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Ares Capital's stock fell -17.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 21.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Ares Capital (ARCC)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Ares Capital (ARCC) can be described with the following analogies:
- A Goldman Sachs for middle-market private companies.
- Like the lending division of a Blackstone or KKR, but exclusively for mid-sized private companies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Major Products/Services of Ares Capital (ARCC)
- First Lien Loans: Senior secured debt providing priority repayment, typically used for general corporate purposes or acquisitions.
- Unitranche Structures: A comprehensive debt facility that combines senior and junior debt into a single loan instrument.
- Second Lien Loans: Secured debt that ranks behind first lien loans in repayment priority during a liquidation event.
- Mezzanine Debt: A hybrid form of financing that includes both debt and equity characteristics, subordinate to senior debt.
- Subordinated Debt: Junior capital that is repaid only after other more senior debt obligations have been satisfied.
- Revolving Credit Facilities: Flexible lines of credit allowing companies to borrow, repay, and re-borrow funds as needed up to a certain limit.
- Non-Control Preferred Equity: Equity investments that offer preferential rights regarding dividends and asset distribution but do not grant control.
- Non-Control Common Equity: Minority ownership stakes taken in portfolio companies, often in conjunction with debt investments.
- Warrants: Securities that grant the holder the right to purchase a company's stock at a specified price and time.
- Acquisition Financing: Providing capital to middle market companies for the purpose of acquiring other businesses.
- Recapitalization Financing: Funds used to restructure a company's debt and equity capital structure.
- Leveraged Buyout (LBO) Financing: Capital provided to fund the acquisition of companies primarily through the use of borrowed money.
- Growth Capital: Investment specifically aimed at financing the expansion or development initiatives of companies.
- General Refinancing: Offering new debt facilities to replace or consolidate a company's existing debt obligations.
- Restructuring & Rescue Financing: Providing capital to financially challenged companies to support turnarounds or avoid insolvency.
- Distressed Debt Purchases: Opportunistically acquiring debt positions of financially stressed companies at a discount.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlAres Capital (ARCC) is a business development company (BDC) that provides financing to other companies. Its "customers" are the middle market companies to which it provides debt and equity investments.
The provided background information does not list the specific names of Ares Capital's customer companies. Instead, it describes the characteristics of the companies it invests in:
- Type of Companies: Middle market companies.
- EBITDA Range: Typically between $10 million and $250 million.
- Investment Sectors: Basic and growth manufacturing, business services, consumer products, health care products and services, information technology service sectors, restaurants, retail, oil and gas, and technology sectors.
- Investment Focus: Companies seeking acquisition, recapitalization, mezzanine debt, restructurings, rescue financing, leveraged buyouts, growth capital, and general refinancing.
Since Ares Capital's business model involves investing in a diverse portfolio of private and some public middle market companies, it does not have a few major named customers that would be publicly identifiable from this description. Its customer base is fluid, consisting of the various companies it lends to or takes equity stakes in over time.
```AI Analysis | Feedback
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Kort Schnabel, Chief Executive Officer
Kort Schnabel was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Ares Capital Corporation, effective April 30, 2025. Prior to this role, he served as Co-President of the company. Mr. Schnabel is recognized as a long-time leader within Ares.
Scott Lem, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Scott Lem became the Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of Ares Capital Corporation, effective February 15, 2024. He joined Ares in 2003 and previously held roles as Chief Accounting Officer, Vice President, and Treasurer from 2013 to 2024, and Assistant Treasurer from 2009 to 2013. Before joining Ares, Mr. Lem worked at Ernst & Young LLP and Arthur Andersen LLP. He holds B.S. degrees in Accounting and Business Administration from the University of Southern California and an MBA in Finance from UCLA's Anderson School of Management. He is also a Certified Public Accountant (inactive).
Jim Miller, President
Jim Miller serves as the President of Ares Capital Corporation. He was appointed Co-President in October 2024 and continues as the sole President.
Jana Markowicz, Chief Operating Officer
Jana Markowicz is the Chief Operating Officer of Ares Capital Corporation.
Paul Cho, Chief Accounting Officer
Paul Cho is a Managing Director and Chief Accounting Officer in the Ares Finance and Accounting Department. He also holds the position of Chief Accounting Officer for Ares Strategic Income Fund and serves as Vice President of CION Ares Diversified Credit Fund and Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund, Inc. Before joining Ares in 2008, Mr. Cho was a Senior Assurance Associate at Macias Gini & O'Connell LLP, where his work focused on audits for various governmental and financial entities. He earned a B.A. in Economics from the University of California, Berkeley.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Ares Capital's business are primarily tied to its role as a significant provider of debt and equity financing to middle-market companies, making it susceptible to macroeconomic conditions and the financial health of its diverse portfolio companies.
- Credit Risk and Portfolio Company Defaults: Ares Capital's core business involves extending various forms of debt (e.g., first lien, second lien, mezzanine debt) and, to a lesser extent, equity to private middle-market companies. The primary risk is that these portfolio companies may default on their obligations or experience a decline in value, leading to impairment or loss of principal on Ares Capital's investments. Middle-market companies, by their nature, can be more susceptible to financial distress than larger, publicly traded entities, and Ares Capital's focus across various industries means that sector-specific downturns or company-specific operational issues can directly impact its asset quality and profitability.
- Economic Downturns and Market Disruptions: Ares Capital's performance is highly sensitive to the overall economic environment. During periods of economic contraction, recessions, or significant market disruptions, the financial health of its portfolio companies is likely to deteriorate. This can result in increased default rates, lower demand for new financing (reducing Ares Capital's origination opportunities), reduced valuations for existing equity investments, and greater difficulty in exiting investments. A broad economic downturn would amplify credit risk across its entire portfolio, potentially leading to widespread losses and reduced investment income.
- Interest Rate Risk: As a lender, Ares Capital's profitability is affected by fluctuations in interest rates. While a significant portion of its debt investments may be floating-rate, potentially benefiting from rising rates, an increase in benchmark interest rates can also elevate the borrowing costs for its portfolio companies, thereby increasing their risk of default. Furthermore, Ares Capital itself uses leverage to fund its investments, and an increase in its own borrowing costs without a commensurate increase in asset yield could compress its net interest margin and negatively impact its profitability. Conversely, a significant decline in interest rates could reduce the income generated from its floating-rate assets.
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Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) primarily operates within the U.S. middle-market private credit and direct lending sectors. The addressable market for its main products and services, which involve providing debt and equity financing to middle-market companies, is substantial within the United States. The U.S. private credit market, which encompasses direct loans made to mid-market businesses by non-bank lenders, has shown significant growth. As of June 2023, the assets under management (AUM) in the U.S. private credit market surpassed $1.7 trillion. More broadly, industry-led research indicates that the global private credit market has exceeded $3 trillion in AUM, with approximately three-quarters of this market located in the United States, suggesting a U.S. market size of around $2.25 trillion in early 2025. Specifically for direct lending, a core segment of Ares Capital's activities, the U.S. market reached $1 trillion by early 2025, having more than doubled since 2019. The overall U.S. direct lending market was estimated to be $1.0 trillion as of March 31, 2022. McKinsey & Company has estimated the total addressable market for private credit in the United States could potentially exceed $30 trillion, indicating significant long-term growth potential. Ares Capital's target middle-market companies typically have EBITDA between $10 million and $250 million. This segment of the U.S. economy comprises an estimated 200,000 to 300,000 businesses, collectively generating over $10 trillion in annual revenue.AI Analysis | Feedback
Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:- Continued Portfolio Expansion and Investment Commitments: Ares Capital has demonstrated a strong ability to grow its investment portfolio through new commitments. The company reported record annual gross originations of $15.8 billion in new commitments in 2025, leading to its portfolio investments reaching $29.5 billion at fair value by the end of 2025, a 10% increase year-over-year. This expansion is expected to continue, generating higher interest income from a larger asset base.
- Growth in the Number of Portfolio Companies and Market Share Gains: The company has been actively expanding its base of borrowers, adding over 100 new companies in 2025, reaching a total of 603 portfolio companies. This increase reflects successful market share gains amid heightened transaction activity in the middle-market lending space, broadening the revenue-generating base.
- Strong Organic EBITDA Growth and Credit Performance of Portfolio Companies: The healthy financial performance of Ares Capital's portfolio companies is a significant driver. These companies exhibited a weighted average organic EBITDA growth rate of approximately 9% year-over-year in 2025, significantly outpacing broader market averages. This strong performance ensures consistent interest payments on existing debt investments and can lead to larger follow-on investment opportunities or higher returns on equity co-investments.
- Increased Capital Structuring Service Fees and Other Income: Beyond traditional interest income from loans, Ares Capital generates revenue from capital structuring service fees and other miscellaneous income streams. In the fourth quarter of 2025, total investment income increased year-over-year, partly driven by higher capital structuring service fees, indicating this component will continue to contribute to overall revenue growth.
- Realized Gains from Equity Co-Investments: Ares Capital strategically makes equity co-investments alongside its debt financings. In 2025, the company realized over $470 million in gross gains from its equity co-investments, with exits generating an average internal rate of return exceeding 25%. The successful realization of these gains from its equity portfolio adds a significant, albeit more variable, component to its total revenue.
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Share Repurchases
- Ares Capital Corporation's board authorized a stock repurchase program allowing for the repurchase of up to $1.0 billion of its outstanding common stock.
- This authorization was extended in February 2025 until February 15, 2026, with the entire $1.0 billion remaining available as of September 30, 2025.
- In February 2026, the equity buyback plan was further extended until February 15, 2027.
Share Issuance
- In January 2026, Ares Capital priced an underwritten public offering of $750 million aggregate principal amount of 5.250% unsecured notes due April 12, 2031.
- The company priced a $750 million public offering of 5.500% unsecured notes due September 1, 2030, in June 2025.
- In September 2025, Ares Capital priced a $650 million public offering of 5.100% unsecured notes due January 15, 2031.
- Shareholders authorized the board to issue common stock at a price below the net asset value per share, limited to 25% of outstanding common shares, for a 12-month period expiring August 8, 2026.
Outbound Investments
- Ares Capital made a record $15.8 billion in gross investment commitments in 2025, while exiting $12.1 billion of investments.
- As of December 31, 2025, Ares Capital's investment portfolio had a fair value of approximately $29.5 billion, comprising investments in 603 portfolio companies.
- The company originated $10 billion in gross investment commitments during the first nine months of 2025.
- Major investment areas as of September 30, 2025, included software & services (23.2%), healthcare equipment & services (11.9%), commercial & professional services (11.4%), financial services (10.5%), and insurance services (5.9%).
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 15.96 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.2 |
| Rev LTM | 465 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 181 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 133 |
| CFO LTM | 181 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 133 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -25.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 29.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | -88.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -27.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -31.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -0.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -31.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -0.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.2 |
| P/S | 11.4 |
| P/Op Inc | - |
| P/EBIT | - |
| P/E | 12.1 |
| P/CFO | -3.3 |
| Total Yield | 17.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 11.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
| D/E | 1.4 |
| Net D/E | 1.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -4.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -8.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 32.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -10.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -13.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -36.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -46.9% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $18.77 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 13.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/05/2004 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -13.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $18.47 | $19.40 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | 1.6% | -3.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 22.6% | 18.5% |
| Downside Capture | 0.63 | 0.42 |
| Upside Capture | 88.66 | 55.57 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 53.2% | 48.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.62 | 0.78 | 0.96 | 0.83 | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| Up Beta | 0.59 | 0.32 | 0.61 | 0.65 | 0.72 | 0.77 |
| Down Beta | 2.88 | 1.13 | 1.27 | 1.06 | 0.89 | 0.86 |
| Up Capture | 54% | 85% | 84% | 67% | 46% | 27% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 14 | 22 | 30 | 59 | 126 | 403 |
| Down Capture | 211% | 95% | 121% | 95% | 88% | 82% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 20 | 33 | 64 | 118 | 327 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ARCC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARCC | -2.1% | 18.6% | -0.25 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 5.1% | 14.6% | 0.12 | 48.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 28.3% | 12.5% | 1.80 | 49.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 41.3% | 26.9% | 1.26 | 4.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 47.5% | 18.0% | 2.10 | -0.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.8% | 13.5% | 0.65 | 36.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -21.0% | 41.7% | -0.46 | 34.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ARCC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARCC | 9.5% | 20.0% | 0.37 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.7% | 18.6% | 0.35 | 60.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.9% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 61.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.0% | 17.9% | 0.95 | 8.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.4% | 19.1% | 0.57 | 20.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.9% | 18.8% | 0.11 | 52.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.2% | 55.9% | 0.34 | 28.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ARCC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARCC | 12.4% | 25.6% | 0.48 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 12.7% | 22.1% | 0.53 | 60.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.1% | 18.0% | 0.72 | 57.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.70 | 3.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.7% | 17.7% | 0.46 | 23.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 57.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.2% | 66.8% | 1.07 | 16.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/28/2026 | -1.3% | 2.3% | |
| 2/4/2026 | 2.2% | 4.3% | -0.7% |
| 10/28/2025 | 0.2% | -1.5% | -0.3% |
| 7/29/2025 | -0.7% | -1.3% | -2.0% |
| 4/29/2025 | -2.7% | -3.4% | 3.5% |
| 2/5/2025 | -3.0% | -4.6% | -6.2% |
| 10/30/2024 | -0.9% | 0.3% | 3.8% |
| 7/30/2024 | -1.6% | -4.4% | -1.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 13 | 11 |
| # Negative | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 1.5% | 1.4% | 4.5% |
| Median Negative | -1.3% | -3.2% | -1.5% |
| Max Positive | 4.8% | 11.3% | 25.5% |
| Max Negative | -8.8% | -7.1% | -14.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/28/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/04/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/28/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/05/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/07/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/24/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/25/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/25/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/07/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/25/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/26/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/28/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Dividends | 0.48 | 0 | Same New | Actual: 0.48 for Q1 2026 | |||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/4/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Dividends | 0.48 | 0 | Affirmed | Actual: 0.48 for Q4 2025 | |||
| 2026 Investment Backlog | 2.20 Bil | -26.7% | Lower New | Actual: 3.00 Bil for 2025 | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lem, Scott C | CFO and Treasurer | Direct | Buy | 2092026 | 19.29 | 5,186 | 100,038 | 761,241 | Form |
| 2 | Henson, Mary Beth | Direct | Buy | 2092026 | 19.14 | 4,000 | 76,560 | 610,815 | Form | |
| 3 | Schnabel, Michael Kort | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Buy | 2092026 | 19.13 | 12,500 | 239,125 | 774,765 | Form |
| 4 | Schnabel, Michael Kort | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Buy | 11032025 | 20.39 | 13,000 | 265,070 | 570,920 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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