Tearsheet

Ares Capital (ARCC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $20.85 | Market Cap: $14.8 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Ares Capital (ARCC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $20.85
Market Cap: $14.8 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, Dividend Yield is 8.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -29%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 101%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.3x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Private Credit.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -100%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -100%
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, Dividend Yield is 8.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Private Credit.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -29%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 101%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.3x
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -100%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -100%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ARCC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

ARCC experienced a stock movement of approximately -5% between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, with its stock price decreasing by 5.22% in 2025. Several key factors during this period may have contributed to this decline.

1. Ares Capital's Q3 2025 earnings slightly missed analyst estimates. The company reported core earnings per share of $0.50, which was marginally below the analyst consensus estimate of $0.5124. Additionally, its total investment income of $782 million also came in slightly under the estimated $783.97 million.

2. Q3 2025 saw a decline in GAAP net income per share and net investment income compared to the prior year. Despite an increase in portfolio investments and total assets, Ares Capital's GAAP net income per share decreased slightly compared to the previous year, and net investment income also experienced a decline.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ARCC Return1%36%-4%20%20%1%91%
Peers Return23%18%-13%10%1%1%42%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ARCC Win Rate58%83%42%67%75%40% 
Peers Win Rate67%50%35%56%48%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ARCC Max Drawdown-55%-2%-15%-4%-0%-12% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-13%-31%-11%-12%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, BLKS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventARCCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-23.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven944 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-58.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven138.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven353 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-16.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven123 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-84.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven537.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4593 days1480 days

Compare to VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, BLKS


In The Past

Ares Capital's stock fell -23.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -23.7% loss requires a 31.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ares Capital (ARCC)

Better Bets than Ares Capital (ARCC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ARCC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ares Capital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ARCCVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameAres Cap.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Mkt Price20.82163.1616.02116.902.60-20.82
Mkt Cap14.81.10.90.30.1-0.9
Rev LTM1,55187410015216-152
Op Inc LTM-179-44-8-44
FCF LTM-1,55870104-35-9--9
FCF 3Y Avg-1,08912513816-10-16
CFO LTM-1,55877104-32-9--9
CFO 3Y Avg-1,08913213817-9-17

Growth & Margins

ARCCVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameAres Cap.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Rev Chg LTM-11.2%-1.2%-6.2%2.9%-8.5%--6.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg20.8%-2.4%159.6%-2.1%13.5%-13.5%
Rev Chg Q5.5%-4.8%8.2%-2.0%-37.1%--2.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.6%-1.2%2.1%-0.6%-16.9%--0.6%
Op Mgn LTM-20.5%-28.8%-49.1%-20.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-18.9%-26.5%-74.1%-18.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.1%--0.2%-6.5%--0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-100.5%8.9%104.5%-21.2%-55.2%--21.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-63.3%15.6%142.9%11.7%-56.6%-11.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-100.5%8.0%104.5%-23.1%-55.2%--23.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-63.3%14.7%142.9%11.0%-66.7%-11.0%

Valuation

ARCCVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameAres Cap.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Mkt Cap14.81.10.90.30.1-0.9
P/S9.31.58.32.53.4-3.4
P/EBIT-3.6-8.72.8-3.6
P/E10.69.49.38.14.3-9.3
P/CFO-9.316.68.0-11.8-6.1--6.1
Total Yield18.0%15.6%21.5%16.6%23.4%-18.0%
Dividend Yield8.6%5.0%10.7%4.3%0.0%-5.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-7.6%8.7%16.7%2.9%-17.7%-2.9%
D/E1.12.01.40.01.1-1.1
Net D/E1.01.60.9-0.1-0.9-0.9

Returns

ARCCVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameAres Cap.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
1M Rtn2.0%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.4%-2.0%
3M Rtn-4.7%-14.1%-0.8%-14.0%-15.9%--14.0%
6M Rtn-0.8%-1.2%0.7%-10.1%20.6%--0.8%
12M Rtn2.5%-30.3%5.6%-24.3%43.6%-2.5%
3Y Rtn42.9%-7.0%43.3%-24.8%31.3%-31.3%
1M Excs Rtn2.0%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.5%-2.0%
3M Excs Rtn-10.2%-21.2%-6.9%-21.0%-18.7%--18.7%
6M Excs Rtn-15.6%-15.9%-14.1%-24.8%5.9%--15.6%
12M Excs Rtn-10.9%-44.0%-8.0%-37.4%29.3%--10.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-29.3%-75.8%-22.7%-96.4%-43.4%--43.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment2,8701,6522,6891,2591,510
Total2,8701,6522,6891,2591,510


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity18,896,506
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120259.1%
Average Daily Volume3,489,113
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.42
Basic Shares Quantity709,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024205202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023207202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231024202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023725202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023425202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022207202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221025202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022726202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022426202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021209202210-K 12/31/2021