Tearsheet

Essent (ESNT)


Market Price (12/22/2025): $66.15 | Market Cap: $6.4 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance

Essent (ESNT)


Market Price (12/22/2025): $66.15
Market Cap: $6.4 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.6%, FCF Yield is 13%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.8%, Dist 3Y High is -0.8%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.3%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -88%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -9.3%
Key risks
ESNT key risks include [1] adverse changes to its essential partners Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (the GSEs), Show more.
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 66%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 65%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 21%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Financial System Resilience. Themes include Mortgage Credit Risk Management, and Housing Market Stability.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.6%, FCF Yield is 13%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -88%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 66%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 65%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 21%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Financial System Resilience. Themes include Mortgage Credit Risk Management, and Housing Market Stability.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.8%, Dist 3Y High is -0.8%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -9.3%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.3%
8 Key risks
ESNT key risks include [1] adverse changes to its essential partners Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (the GSEs), Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ESNT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Essent (ESNT) experienced significant movements in the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 22, 2025, driven by a combination of company-specific financial results, strategic capital allocation, and broader market sentiment.

1. Essent's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Miss Led to Pre-Market Decline. The company reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 7, 2025, where it announced net income of $164.2 million, or $1.67 per diluted share, missing analyst expectations of $1.77 EPS. Revenue also fell short of targets, leading to a reported 5.81% stock decline in pre-market trading.

2. New Share Repurchase Authorization Bolstered Investor Confidence. Essent Group's Board of Directors approved a new $500 million share repurchase authorization extending through year-end 2027. This action, along with the repurchase of 8.7 million shares for $501 million year-to-date through October 31, 2025, signals a commitment to returning capital to shareholders, which typically supports stock valuation.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ESNT Return-16%7%-13%39%5%25%44%
Peers Return19%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ESNT Win Rate58%50%42%67%42%67% 
Peers Win Rate64%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ESNT Max Drawdown-62%-5%-23%-5%-2%-2% 
Peers Max Drawdown-6% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MTG, ACT, RDN, ACGL, NMIH. See ESNT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventESNTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-35.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven54.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven472 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-62.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven169.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven405 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-37.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven270 days120 days

Compare to FNMA, MTG, RDN, TFSL, RKT


In The Past

Essent's stock fell -35.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/28/2021. A -35.1% loss requires a 54.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Essent (ESNT)

Better Bets than Essent (ESNT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ESNT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.0%2.0%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-4.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.1%-12.1%-12.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.0%2.0%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-4.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.1%-12.1%-12.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Essent

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ESNTMTGACTRDNACGLNMIHMedian
NameEssent MGIC Inv.Enact Radian Arch Cap.NMI  
Mkt Price66.2629.6340.4036.7796.2041.0740.73
Mkt Cap6.56.86.05.035.53.26.2
Rev LTM1,2901,2161,2251,30519,0486921,258
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM837803704-5626,295387754
FCF 3Y Avg798741672-1156,008367706
CFO LTM854804704-5576,341393754
CFO 3Y Avg808742672-1056,057375707

Growth & Margins

ESNTMTGACTRDNACGLNMIHMedian
NameEssent MGIC Inv.Enact Radian Arch Cap.NMI  
Rev Chg LTM2.1%2.2%2.4%1.3%17.5%8.9%2.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.2%1.2%3.9%2.5%28.9%10.3%6.0%
Rev Chg Q-1.3%-0.7%0.6%-2.8%11.0%7.6%-0.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.3%-0.2%0.2%-0.7%2.7%1.9%-0.0%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM66.2%66.1%57.5%-42.6%33.3%56.8%57.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg67.1%62.3%56.6%-7.5%38.6%59.7%58.2%
FCF/Rev LTM64.8%66.1%57.5%-43.0%33.0%55.9%56.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg66.4%62.2%56.6%-8.3%38.2%58.4%57.5%

Valuation

ESNTMTGACTRDNACGLNMIHMedian
NameEssent MGIC Inv.Enact Radian Arch Cap.NMI  
Mkt Cap6.56.86.05.035.53.26.2
P/S5.05.64.93.91.94.64.7
P/EBIT7.56.96.76.37.66.16.8
P/E9.29.09.08.78.78.38.9
P/CFO7.68.48.5-9.15.68.17.8
Total Yield12.8%13.0%13.1%14.4%16.8%12.0%13.1%
Dividend Yield1.9%1.9%2.0%2.9%5.3%0.0%2.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.4%12.7%12.9%-1.7%17.3%-12.9%
D/E0.10.10.10.20.10.10.1
Net D/E-0.9-0.8-0.3-0.9-0.2-0.0-0.5

Returns

ESNTMTGACTRDNACGLNMIHMedian
NameEssent MGIC Inv.Enact Radian Arch Cap.NMI  
1M Rtn6.5%4.7%5.0%4.0%4.0%9.1%4.8%
3M Rtn2.0%5.2%5.7%-0.5%8.8%4.1%4.6%
6M Rtn12.4%10.9%12.6%6.7%6.7%0.5%8.8%
12M Rtn27.0%27.9%26.3%18.2%5.7%12.4%22.2%
3Y Rtn82.5%147.4%85.6%115.2%61.0%-85.6%
1M Excs Rtn6.1%3.6%5.1%3.7%2.6%8.4%4.4%
3M Excs Rtn0.8%3.8%3.6%-0.5%7.2%3.7%3.6%
6M Excs Rtn-3.9%-5.3%-4.0%-10.6%-7.8%-15.4%-6.6%
12M Excs Rtn10.9%11.6%8.9%1.6%-6.7%-4.0%5.2%
3Y Excs Rtn13.8%71.0%14.4%49.3%-3.3%-14.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mortgage Insurance1,053    
Corporate & Other57    
Single Segment 1,0011,029955868
Total1,1101,0011,029955868


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,080,580
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520256.8%
Average Daily Volume576,852
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.61
Basic Shares Quantity97,400,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/7/20250.5%0.7%2.0%
8/8/20255.7%10.2%12.5%
5/9/2025-0.3%0.5%-1.5%
2/14/2025-2.6%-3.0%-4.8%
11/1/2024-10.4%-7.9%-4.5%
8/2/2024-2.1%-2.9%5.4%
5/3/20240.5%4.1%7.0%
2/9/2024-2.2%1.1%5.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131214
# Negative111210
Median Positive1.7%2.0%4.7%
Median Negative-2.2%-3.0%-6.2%
Max Positive5.7%10.2%42.3%
Max Negative-10.4%-7.9%-34.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023216202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022217202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021216202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0KASMAR ROY JAMES 11182025Sell61.443,250199,6801,448,325Form
1Dutt Aditya 11132025Sell61.493,250199,8421,766,116Form