SiriusPoint (SPNT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $21.43 | Market Cap: $2.5 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Reinsurance
SiriusPoint (SPNT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $21.43Market Cap: $2.5 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Reinsurance
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 11% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -115% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, and ESG Investing & Green Bonds. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 11% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -115% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, and ESG Investing & Green Bonds. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SPNT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate 13.9% movement in SiriusPoint (SPNT) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results. SiriusPoint reported robust Q3 2025 results on October 30, 2025, with a core combined ratio of 89.1%, underwriting income increasing 11% to $70 million, and a return on equity of 17.7%, surpassing its target range. The company also saw a 41% increase in operating earnings per share and 26% growth in gross premiums written for its core business.
2. Positive Outlook Upgrades from Rating Agencies. S&P Global Ratings revised its outlook on SiriusPoint to Positive from Stable on October 2, 2025, citing consistent underwriting profits and a significantly reduced risk profile. Earlier in 2025, Fitch Ratings and AM Best also upgraded their outlooks to Positive, acknowledging improvements in the company's balance sheet, reduced catastrophe exposure, and overall underwriting performance.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SPNT Return | -10% | -15% | -27% | 97% | 41% | 29% | 101% |
| Peers Return | -18% | 9% | 13% | 25% | 23% | 1% | 56% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SPNT Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 50% | 67% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 57% | 50% | 63% | 55% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SPNT Max Drawdown | -43% | -20% | -49% | -1% | -5% | -15% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -52% | -11% | -16% | -4% | -1% | -13% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RGA, RNR, MTG, GLRE, EG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SPNT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -63.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 170.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 391 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -47.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 88.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1368 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -47.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 90.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2286 days | 120 days |
Compare to RGA, RNR, MTG, GLRE, EG
In The Past
SiriusPoint's stock fell -63.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -63.0% loss requires a 170.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| null | |||
| SPNT Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| SiriusPoint Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 41.3% in 2024 and 26.3% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average) | |||
| null | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | December 2nd, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SPNT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 15.2% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.5% | -2.5% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.2% | -6.2% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 15.2% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.5% | -2.5% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.2% | -6.2% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for SiriusPoint
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 108.80 |
| Mkt Cap | 9.3 |
| Rev LTM | 7,472 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 2,396 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,040 |
| CFO LTM | 2,397 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,041 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 13.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | -0.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 23.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 28.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 23.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 28.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 9.3 |
| P/S | 0.8 |
| P/EBIT | 7.2 |
| P/E | 9.6 |
| P/CFO | 3.2 |
| Total Yield | 9.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 22.2% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | -0.9 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 4.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 3.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -7.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 60.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -11.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -20.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -10.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5052025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2212025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |