Tearsheet

Visa (V)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $324.73 | Market Cap: $420.2 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services

Visa (V)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $324.73
Market Cap: $420.2 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, E-commerce & Digital Retail, Cybersecurity, and AI in Financial Services. Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, E-commerce & Digital Retail, Cybersecurity, and AI in Financial Services. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

V Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining Visa's (V) stock movement of approximately -6.1% between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025: 1. Deterioration in Net Profit Margin: Visa reported a net profit margin of 50.1% for its fiscal fourth quarter and full-year 2025, a decrease from 54.2% in the previous year, indicating a compression in margins.

2. Slowdown in Earnings Growth Rate: The company experienced a notable deceleration in its annual earnings growth, which slowed to 3.1% recently, falling below its five-year average annual growth rate of 14.4%.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
V Return17%-0%-3%26%22%5%83%
Peers Return8%26%-10%24%35%10%125%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
V Win Rate50%42%42%75%67%40% 
Peers Win Rate60%62%43%58%70%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
V Max Drawdown-28%-13%-18%-0%-2%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-40%-8%-23%-5%-3%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MA, AXP, COF, ADP, V. See V Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-29.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven417 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-36.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven57.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven158 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-19.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven23.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven78 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-52.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven108.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven332 days1480 days

Compare to MA, AXP, COF, ADP, V


In The Past

Visa's stock fell -29.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/27/2021. A -29.2% loss requires a 41.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Visa (V)

Interactive Breakdown

Visa Interactive Breakdown Analysis

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to V. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
V_12312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper12312022VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
14.8%26.3%-0.2%
V_6302022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper06302022VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.3%21.9%-9.6%
V_11302021_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302021VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.9%13.1%-7.8%
V_10312020_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312020VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
28.9%17.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
V_12312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper12312022VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
14.8%26.3%-0.2%
V_6302022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper06302022VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.3%21.9%-9.6%
V_11302021_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302021VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.9%13.1%-7.8%
V_10312020_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312020VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
28.9%17.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Visa

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VMAAXPCOFADPMedian
NameVisa Masterca.American.Capital .Automati. 
Mkt Price------
Mkt Cap------
Rev LTM------
Op Inc LTM------
FCF LTM------
FCF 3Y Avg------
CFO LTM------
CFO 3Y Avg------

Growth & Margins

VMAAXPCOFADPMedian
NameVisa Masterca.American.Capital .Automati. 
Rev Chg LTM------
Rev Chg 3Y Avg------
Rev Chg Q------
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM------
Op Mgn LTM------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM------
CFO/Rev LTM------
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg------
FCF/Rev LTM------
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg------

Valuation

VMAAXPCOFADPMedian
NameVisa Masterca.American.Capital .Automati. 
Mkt Cap------
P/S------
P/EBIT------
P/E------
P/CFO------
Total Yield------
Dividend Yield------
FCF Yield 3Y Avg------
D/E------
Net D/E------

Returns

VMAAXPCOFADPMedian
NameVisa Masterca.American.Capital .Automati. 
1M Rtn------
3M Rtn------
6M Rtn------
12M Rtn------
3Y Rtn------
1M Excs Rtn------
3M Excs Rtn------
6M Excs Rtn------
12M Excs Rtn------
3Y Excs Rtn------

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity22,171,040
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-7.2%
Average Daily Volume5,779,170
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.84
Basic Shares Quantity1,294,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-K 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024131202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024724202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024424202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023126202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231115202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023726202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022127202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221116202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021128202210-Q 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0CARNEY LLOYD 11052025Sell336.48900302,832830,433Form