Tearsheet

Ellington Financial (EFC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $13.7 | Market Cap: $1.3 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Specialized Finance

Ellington Financial (EFC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $13.7
Market Cap: $1.3 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Specialized Finance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 25%, Dividend Yield is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 21%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.9%, Dist 3Y High is -0.9%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1178%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -24%
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -217%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -217%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 25%, Dividend Yield is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 21%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.9%, Dist 3Y High is -0.9%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -24%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1178%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -217%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -217%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

EFC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the 3.3% stock movement for Ellington Financial (EFC) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Exceed Expectations

Ellington Financial reported impressive third-quarter 2025 results, with GAAP net income of $0.29 per share and a record adjusted distributable earnings (ADE) of $0.53 per share, significantly outpacing its dividends. The company beat analysts' consensus estimates for both earnings per share and revenue, with revenues up 23.6% year-on-year. This robust performance was attributed to increased net interest income from loan portfolios and substantial gains in proprietary reverse mortgage securitizations.

2. Consistent Monthly Dividend Declarations Reinforce Shareholder Value

During this period, Ellington Financial continued its pattern of declaring monthly common stock dividends. On September 8, 2025, the company announced a $0.13 per share dividend for October, and again on November 10, 2025, for its December payment. These consistent declarations highlight the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders and can positively influence investor confidence and market positioning.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
EFC Return-10%26%-18%18%9%25%49%
Peers Return48%6%-31%10%5%27%60%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EFC Win Rate67%75%50%42%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate62%54%42%42%50%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EFC Max Drawdown-78%-2%-29%-10%-12%-2% 
Peers Max Drawdown-63%-15%-43%-29%-15%-8% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HASI, EFC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventEFCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-79.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven382.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven419 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-14.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven16.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven367 days120 days

Compare to HASI, EFC


In The Past

Ellington Financial's stock fell -41.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/12/2021. A -41.2% loss requires a 69.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Ellington Financial (EFC)

Better Bets than Ellington Financial (EFC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to EFC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ellington Financial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

EFCHASIMedian
NameEllingto.HA Susta. 
Mkt Price13.6833.3323.50
Mkt Cap1.34.22.7
Rev LTM286566426
Op Inc LTM---
FCF LTM-619-92-355
FCF 3Y Avg-349-13-181
CFO LTM-619-92-355
CFO 3Y Avg-349-13-181

Growth & Margins

EFCHASIMedian
NameEllingto.HA Susta. 
Rev Chg LTM0.9%36.9%18.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg380.1%63.0%221.6%
Rev Chg Q1.1%18,666.3%9,333.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.3%38.4%19.4%
Op Mgn LTM---
Op Mgn 3Y Avg---
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM---
CFO/Rev LTM-216.9%-16.2%-116.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-129.0%3.4%-62.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-216.9%-16.2%-116.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-129.0%3.4%-62.8%

Valuation

EFCHASIMedian
NameEllingto.HA Susta. 
Mkt Cap1.34.22.7
P/S4.46.85.6
P/EBIT---
P/E8.812.410.6
P/CFO-2.0-41.8-21.9
Total Yield25.1%13.4%19.3%
Dividend Yield13.7%5.4%9.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-30.9%-0.2%-15.6%
D/E11.91.46.7
Net D/E11.81.36.5

Returns

EFCHASIMedian
NameEllingto.HA Susta. 
1M Rtn2.4%18.5%10.5%
3M Rtn3.0%21.3%12.2%
6M Rtn16.1%36.9%26.5%
12M Rtn25.5%15.2%20.3%
3Y Rtn47.0%23.4%35.2%
1M Excs Rtn2.5%18.5%10.5%
3M Excs Rtn-2.6%15.2%6.3%
6M Excs Rtn1.3%22.2%11.8%
12M Excs Rtn11.2%-0.8%5.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-24.1%-43.0%-33.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Investment Portfolio Segment357158197  
Longbridge Segment13743   
Corporate/ Other451-2  
Single Segment   4793
Total5392021954793


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Investment Portfolio Segment113-59189  
Longbridge Segment1014   
Corporate/ Other-62-40-64  
Total61-85125  


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Longbridge Segment9,093    
Investment Portfolio Segment5,979    
Corporate/ Other244    
Total15,316    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,854,375
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-8.6%
Average Daily Volume1,319,954
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.68
Basic Shares Quantity95,861,993
Short % of Basic Shares5.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211109202110-Q 9/30/2021