Tearsheet

Heritage Insurance (HRTG)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $28.155 | Market Cap: $871.7 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Heritage Insurance (HRTG)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $28.155
Market Cap: $871.7 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 19%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 15%, FCF Yield is 13%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 132%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -72%
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 75%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
 
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Show more.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 19%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 15%, FCF Yield is 13%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -72%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Show more.
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 132%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 75%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HRTG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Exceptional Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Performance.

Heritage Insurance Holdings (HRTG) reported robust third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 5, 2025, which significantly exceeded analyst expectations. The company announced a net income of $50.42 million for the quarter, marking a substantial 518.5% year-over-year increase. Diluted earnings per share (EPS) for Q3 2025 were $1.63, significantly beating the consensus estimate of $0.53 by $1.10. This strong earnings beat served as a major catalyst for positive stock movement.

2. Strong Revenue Growth.

Complementing its impressive earnings, Heritage Insurance also reported solid revenue for the third quarter of 2025, reaching $212.46 million. This figure surpassed analyst revenue estimates, indicating healthy operational performance and an increase in net premiums earned.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HRTG Return-22%-40%-69%262%86%133%131%
Peers Return4%27%11%16%31%12%151%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HRTG Win Rate42%33%42%75%42%70% 
Peers Win Rate60%57%53%62%68%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HRTG Max Drawdown-30%-44%-77%0%-13%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-6%-11%-14%-1%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HIG, FNF, PGR, CB, TRV.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHRTGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-89.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven808.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven663 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1378 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-41.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven72.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven49 days120 days

Compare to HIG, FNF, PGR, CB, TRV


In The Past

Heritage Insurance's stock fell -89.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/19/2021. A -89.0% loss requires a 808.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Heritage Insurance (HRTG)

Better Bets than Heritage Insurance (HRTG)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HRTG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Heritage Insurance

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HRTGHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameHeritage.Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
Mkt Price28.15133.0458.19227.18295.05284.27180.11
Mkt Cap0.937.415.8133.2117.263.750.5
Rev LTM86227,69213,29782,37658,90048,40938,050
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM1055,8656,72716,47213,3219,9858,356
FCF 3Y Avg934,9226,25012,35013,4098,6827,466
CFO LTM1125,9886,87216,80013,3219,9858,428
CFO 3Y Avg1025,1096,38812,63413,4098,6827,535

Growth & Margins

HRTGHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameHeritage.Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
Rev Chg LTM6.9%6.9%7.4%21.5%6.7%6.7%6.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.6%8.6%-0.7%20.0%12.2%10.1%9.9%
Rev Chg Q0.3%6.4%16.8%21.3%8.2%4.8%7.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.1%1.6%4.0%4.9%2.2%1.2%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM13.0%21.6%51.7%20.4%22.6%20.6%21.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.2%19.6%51.9%18.0%24.8%19.4%19.5%
FCF/Rev LTM12.1%21.2%50.6%20.0%22.6%20.6%20.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.0%18.9%50.8%17.6%24.8%19.4%19.1%

Valuation

HRTGHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameHeritage.Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
Mkt Cap0.937.415.8133.2117.263.750.5
P/S0.91.41.11.91.91.31.3
P/EBIT3.78.19.111.78.58.18.3
P/E5.210.514.215.011.610.711.1
P/CFO6.96.32.29.38.46.36.6
Total Yield19.1%11.1%10.6%8.5%10.0%10.2%10.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.6%3.6%1.8%1.3%0.8%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.8%15.8%50.1%10.3%12.9%17.2%14.8%
D/E0.10.10.30.00.20.10.1
Net D/E-0.7-0.5-1.8-0.0-0.2-1.4-0.6

Returns

HRTGHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameHeritage.Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
1M Rtn21.2%7.5%5.1%11.5%6.0%6.2%6.9%
3M Rtn16.8%0.4%-1.7%-7.9%6.4%3.2%1.8%
6M Rtn17.0%4.9%9.4%-19.4%1.8%5.4%5.1%
12M Rtn132.3%12.0%-4.2%-11.7%4.5%10.9%7.7%
3Y Rtn1,546.2%85.9%75.3%76.6%40.7%58.9%75.9%
1M Excs Rtn21.2%7.6%5.1%11.6%6.1%6.2%6.9%
3M Excs Rtn9.7%-6.1%-8.2%-14.1%0.4%-3.2%-4.7%
6M Excs Rtn2.3%-9.9%-5.3%-34.1%-12.9%-9.3%-9.6%
12M Excs Rtn112.9%-3.4%-18.6%-27.3%-10.0%-4.9%-7.5%
3Y Excs Rtn1,564.9%16.1%-0.1%7.2%-29.7%-11.1%3.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Residential property insurance735662632593511
Total735662632593511


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,502,725
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202518.3%
Average Daily Volume542,071
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.77
Basic Shares Quantity30,962,464
Short % of Basic Shares4.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024313202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023313202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022313202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021314202210-K 12/31/2021