HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (HASI)
Market Price (8/24/2026): $39.5 | Market Cap: $5.0 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Specialized Finance
HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (HASI)
Market Price (8/24/2026): $39.5Market Cap: $5.0 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Specialized Finance
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, Dividend Yield is 4.4% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, and Battery Storage & Grid Modernization. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 14.17 | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -17 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.7% Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 103% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 11x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 24x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 59x Short seller report Key risksHASI key risks include [1] compressed profit margins from interest rate risk, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, Dividend Yield is 4.4% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, and Battery Storage & Grid Modernization. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 14.17 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -17 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.7% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 103% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 11x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 24x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 59x |
| Short seller report |
| Key risksHASI key risks include [1] compressed profit margins from interest rate risk, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (HASI) stock has lost about 5% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Performance and Raised Guidance.
HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (HASI) reported a robust fiscal Q2 2026 (ending June 30, 2026) with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.75, surpassing the analyst consensus of $0.73, and revenue of $120.79 million, exceeding estimates by 22.8%. The company further bolstered investor confidence by raising its 2028 Adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $3.55-$3.65, up from $3.50-$3.60, indicating an optimistic outlook for future profitability. These positive company-specific financial results and forward-looking statements provided significant upward momentum, particularly towards the end of the specified period.
2. Sustained Operational Growth and Investment Activity.
HASI continued to demonstrate strong operational expansion, with managed assets increasing 20% year-over-year to $17.6 billion as of June 30, 2026. The company also successfully closed over $1.1 billion in new transactions during fiscal Q2 2026, driven by higher-yielding assets that contributed to a portfolio yield of 9.2% for the quarter, an increase from 8.2% in fiscal Q2 2025. This consistent growth in core business activities and effective capital deployment provided a foundational level of support for the stock price.
Show more
HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (HASI) stock has lost about 5% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Performance and Raised Guidance.
HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (HASI) reported a robust fiscal Q2 2026 (ending June 30, 2026) with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.75, surpassing the analyst consensus of $0.73, and revenue of $120.79 million, exceeding estimates by 22.8%. The company further bolstered investor confidence by raising its 2028 Adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $3.55-$3.65, up from $3.50-$3.60, indicating an optimistic outlook for future profitability. These positive company-specific financial results and forward-looking statements provided significant upward momentum, particularly towards the end of the specified period.
2. Sustained Operational Growth and Investment Activity.
HASI continued to demonstrate strong operational expansion, with managed assets increasing 20% year-over-year to $17.6 billion as of June 30, 2026. The company also successfully closed over $1.1 billion in new transactions during fiscal Q2 2026, driven by higher-yielding assets that contributed to a portfolio yield of 9.2% for the quarter, an increase from 8.2% in fiscal Q2 2025. This consistent growth in core business activities and effective capital deployment provided a foundational level of support for the stock price.
3. Valuation Concerns and Specific Impairment.
Despite positive operational results, HASI's stock faced scrutiny regarding its valuation. It was noted to be trading at an elevated earnings multiple of 88.7 times and was considered 16.2% overvalued relative to its GF Value™ of $32.91. Additionally, a $70 million other-than-temporary impairment recorded on two equity method investments in fiscal Q2 2026 contributed to a decline in first-half net income compared to the prior year, which likely tempered investor enthusiasm and limited sustained upward movement.
4. Insider Selling Activity Exceeding Threshold.
Insider selling activity, totaling over $5.27 million in HASI shares by insiders within the last 24 months, could have acted as a moderating factor on the stock's appreciation. This level of insider selling can signal a lack of strong conviction from individuals most knowledgeable about the company's prospects, potentially influencing broader market sentiment and contributing to the stock remaining largely within a consistent range.
Show less
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -4.8% change in HASI stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/23/2026 was primarily driven by a -59.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 4302026 | 8232026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 41.49 | 39.48 | -4.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 401 | 463 | 15.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 46.1% | 18.6% | -59.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 28.4 | 58.6 | 106.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 126 | 128 | -1.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -4.8% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 8/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HASI | -4.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 6.5% | 42.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 10.3% | 24.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 17.3% change in HASI stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 331.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 8232026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 33.65 | 39.48 | 17.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 387 | 463 | 19.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 79.7% | 18.6% | -76.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.6 | 58.6 | 331.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 125 | 128 | -2.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 17.3% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 8/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HASI | 17.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 11.0% | 43.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 8.1% | 21.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 59.6% change in HASI stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 165.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 8232026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 24.73 | 39.48 | 59.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 375 | 463 | 23.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 35.7% | 18.6% | -47.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 22.1 | 58.6 | 165.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 119 | 128 | -6.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 59.6% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 8/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HASI | 59.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 22.2% | 41.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 11.1% | 29.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 76.7% change in HASI stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 126.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 7312023 | 8232026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 22.34 | 39.48 | 76.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 247 | 463 | 87.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.2% | 18.6% | 126.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 100.5 | 58.6 | -41.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 91 | 128 | -28.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 76.7% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2023 to 8/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HASI | 76.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 73.2% | 32.2% |
| Sector (XLF) | 70.0% | 29.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HASI Return | -14% | -43% | 1% | 2% | 24% | 32% | -17% |
| Peers Return | 21% | -9% | -22% | -9% | 42% | -9% | 1% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 103% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HASI Win Rate | 33% | 33% | 42% | 50% | 67% | 62% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 61% | 53% | 47% | 40% | 67% | 59% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HASI Max Drawdown | -35% | -58% | -61% | -26% | -23% | -16% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -41% | -32% | -49% | -29% | -28% | -34% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BEPC, CWEN, ORA, AMRC. See HASI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/21/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | HASI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -20.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 36 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -46.2% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.9% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 69 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -34.7% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 53.2% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 365 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -56.5% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 129.9% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 140 days | 140 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -20.7% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.0% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 98 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -15.0% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 17.6% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 10 days | 62 days |
In The Past
HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital's stock fell -20.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 25.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | HASI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -20.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 36 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -46.2% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.9% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 69 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -34.7% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 53.2% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 365 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -56.5% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 129.9% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 140 days | 140 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -20.7% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.0% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 98 days | 6 days |
In The Past
HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital's stock fell -20.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 25.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (HASI)
Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. (HASI) is a financial company that provides capital and services to projects focused on energy efficiency, renewable energy, and other sustainable infrastructure across the United States. Its core business involves investing in assets that support the transition to a cleaner economy, generating returns through a diversified portfolio of these vital projects.
The company's primary investments fall into three categories. First, HASI finances energy efficiency initiatives for buildings, supporting projects that reduce energy usage and costs through technologies such as on-site solar generation, energy storage, advanced HVAC systems, LED lighting, and overall building envelope improvements. Second, it provides capital for large-scale, grid-connected renewable energy projects, predominantly solar and wind power generation. Third, HASI invests in other essential sustainable infrastructure, including upgrades to electricity transmission and distribution systems, as well as critical water and stormwater management infrastructure.
HASI operates as a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), a structure designed to provide investors with income-producing assets. This classification means the company typically avoids federal corporate income taxes as long as it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders, making it a compelling option for investors looking for exposure to sustainable infrastructure with a focus on dividend distributions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (HASI):
- American Tower (a REIT for cell towers), but for sustainable energy infrastructure like solar farms, wind farms, and energy-efficient buildings.
- Brookfield Asset Management, but entirely dedicated to investing in and financing sustainable infrastructure projects.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Sustainable Infrastructure Financing: Provides capital for projects focused on energy efficiency, renewable energy generation (solar, wind), and other critical sustainable infrastructure like upgraded utility systems and water infrastructure.
- Sustainable Infrastructure Project Services: Offers expert services to facilitate and support the development, structuring, and execution of sustainable infrastructure projects.
AI Analysis | Feedback
HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (HASI) - Major Customers
Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (HASI) primarily provides capital and services to other companies and entities involved in the energy efficiency, renewable energy, and sustainable infrastructure markets. Its business model focuses on financing projects rather than selling directly to individual consumers.
Based on the provided background information, specific names of major customer companies are not listed. However, HASI's 'customers' are the entities that receive capital and services for the projects it finances. These typically include:
- Project Developers: Companies that originate, build, and operate renewable energy (such as solar and wind farms) and energy efficiency projects. HASI provides financing solutions to these developers.
- Utilities and Grid Operators: Entities involved in deploying cleaner energy sources and upgrading transmission or distribution systems.
- Commercial, Industrial, and Government Entities: Organizations undertaking significant energy efficiency improvements in their buildings or developing various sustainable infrastructure projects, including water and stormwater systems.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Clearway Energy Inc. (CWEN, CWEN.A)
- Ørsted A/S (ORSTED)
- ENGIE S.A. (ENGI.PA)
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (HASI) are:
- Financial Leverage and Interest Rate Risk: As a specialty finance company, HASI relies significantly on debt to fund its investments and amplify returns. Consequently, fluctuations in interest rates directly impact the company's borrowing costs and the profitability of its financing deals, posing a constant threat to its net investment income. While the company manages its debt-to-tangible equity ratio within a target range, high leverage exposes it to greater vulnerability if market conditions or project performance decline. Continued access to favorable capital markets is crucial for its operational model.
- Regulatory and Political Headwinds: HASI operates in the sustainable infrastructure market, which is susceptible to regulatory and political changes. Political resistance to ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) investing in the U.S. and any potential rollback of tax-equity incentives could diminish the pool of viable projects and reduce the demand for HASI's financing services, thereby impacting its growth and profitability.
- Project Performance and Credit Risk: HASI's business model involves providing capital for a diverse portfolio of energy efficiency, renewable energy, and other sustainable infrastructure projects. There is an inherent risk that specific projects within its portfolio may underperform or default. Such underperformance or defaults could lead to credit losses for HASI, negatively affecting its financial results and the overall quality of its assets.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
The addressable markets for HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (HASI) products and services are substantial, primarily within the United States, with a broader global sustainable infrastructure market also showing significant growth.
- The U.S. sustainable infrastructure investment is forecast to be $4 trillion between 2025 and 2050, representing a key addressable market for HASI.
- In the North American market, there is an investment opportunity exceeding $150 billion for energy efficiency through 2035, specifically for Behind-the-Meter (BTM) projects.
- The U.S. renewable energy market size is estimated at $132.03 billion in 2026.
- Globally, the sustainable infrastructure market is projected to expand from $71.04 billion in 2025 to approximately $405.08 billion by 2034, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21.34%.
HASI focuses its investments across various sustainable infrastructure assets in the U.S., including utility-scale solar, storage, and onshore wind projects; distributed solar and storage; renewable natural gas; energy efficiency; clean transportation fleets; and ecological restoration projects.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Increased Investment Volume and Managed Assets Growth: The company has demonstrated significant growth in new investments, closing a record $4.3 billion in transactions in 2025, an 87% increase from 2024. This expansion has led to an 18% year-over-year growth in managed assets, reaching $16.1 billion in 2025. A robust investment pipeline, exceeding $6.5 billion at the end of 2025, further indicates continued deployment of capital into sustainable infrastructure assets.
- Higher Yields on New Investments: HASI has consistently achieved attractive yields on new investments, with new asset yields on its portfolio investments exceeding 10.5% for the second consecutive year in 2025. These higher yields are a significant contributor to strong margins and Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS) growth.
- Growth in Adjusted Recurring Net Investment Income: A strategic focus for HASI is to enhance and grow its recurring net investment income, which is identified as the largest component and primary driver of its earnings growth. In 2025, Adjusted Recurring Net Investment Income surged by 25% to $362 million.
- Strategic Partnerships and Co-investment Vehicles: Initiatives like the CarbonCount Holdings 1 LLC (CCH1) joint venture with KKR are crucial for scaling investments. This vehicle is designed to invest $2 billion in sustainable infrastructure assets and provides a source of funding that is not dependent on capital markets. As of the third quarter of 2025, CCH1 had already funded $1.2 billion in investments, contributing to an increased Adjusted Return on Equity (ROE).
- Strong Market Demand for Sustainable Infrastructure: The company benefits from a highly attractive market for sustainable infrastructure projects. Management noted an "unprecedented volume of new climate-focused transactions" and "sustained demand for project-level capital." The residential solar lease/power purchase agreement (PPA) market is projected to grow over 20% year-over-year in 2026, and renewables/storage are expected to constitute 99% of new power capacity in 2026, indicating significant ongoing demand for HASI's investment areas.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- Hannon Armstrong issued $500 million in Green Junior Subordinated Notes in November 2025, with the intention to fund new investments and reduce future common stock issuances.
- In June 2025, the company issued $1 billion in green senior unsecured notes, followed by a tender offer to repurchase and repay approximately $900 million in nearer-term debt, including $200 million of convertible notes due in 2025.
- The firm's enhanced capital structure, which includes the hybrid offering and the CCH1 co-investment vehicle, has improved equity efficiency by over 400%, allowing $1.35 billion of new investments for every $100 of new equity.
Inbound Investments
- In May 2024, HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (HASI) and KKR formed CarbonCount Holdings 1 LLC (CCH1) to invest up to $2 billion in climate-positive projects, with each party committing up to $1 billion.
- As of the third quarter of 2025, CCH1 had completed funding $1.2 billion of investments.
- HASI's proportionate share of the co-investment vehicle CCH1 increased to $638 million as of December 31, 2025, from $309 million as of December 31, 2024.
Outbound Investments
- HASI closed a record $4.3 billion of new investments in 2025, representing an 87% increase year-over-year.
- The investment volume retained on the company's balance sheet and included in CCH1 totaled $3.6 billion in 2025, an increase of approximately 140% year-over-year from $1.5 billion in 2024.
- The investment pipeline remained strong, exceeding $6.5 billion at the end of 2025, with new investments yielding above 10.5% for two consecutive years.
Peer Outperformance in Specialized Finance
null| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investment Banking & Brokerage | 13 | 5.7% | 134.1% | 133.9% | IBKR 512% · SNEX 252% · GS 187% |
| Reinsurance | 6 | 19.3% | 80.7% | 117.8% | SPNT 140% · MTG 130% · RGA 128% |
| Diversified Banks | 12 | 37.4% | 131.6% | 101.7% | JPM 153% · CM 148% · RY 135% |
| Life & Health Insurance | 19 | 11.2% | 56.2% | 84.8% | UNM 285% · FG 197% · MFC 172% |
| Regional Banks | 263 | 25.9% | 86.0% | 64.5% | GCBC 395% · ESQ 364% · NBN 297% |
| Property & Casualty Insurance | 42 | 11.1% | 74.2% | 63.8% | ASIC 2583900% · HRTG 433% · UVE 278% |
| Multi-line Insurance | 9 | 13.5% | 78.4% | 57.8% | GNW 176% · L 101% · SLF 86% |
| Consumer Finance | 30 | 10.1% | 87.8% | 34.4% | ENVA 660% · EZPW 391% · FCFS 185% |
| Multi-Sector Holdings | 6 | 1.4% | 16.7% | 33.9% | JEF 78% · BRK-B 73% · VOYA 66% |
| Insurance Brokers | 15 | -9.5% | 11.4% | 33.7% | LIFE 571% · AJG 94% · ARX 87% |
| Asset Management & Custody Banks | 83 | -8.7% | 23.5% | 25.5% | SII 341% · WT 303% · VCTR 289% |
| Financial Exchanges & Data | 15 | -1.6% | 14.2% | 13.9% | VIRT 216% · CBOE 156% · CME 69% |
| Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance | 12 | -31.1% | 19.6% | 4.5% | FNMA 474% · FMCC 460% · ESNT 60% |
| Specialized Finance ← | 3 | 18.7% | 53.6% | 3.7% | EFC 36% · CACC 4% · HASI -14% |
| Mortgage REITs | 34 | -7.2% | 13.6% | -11.5% | RITM 61% · NREF 53% · DX 41% |
| Transaction & Payment Processing Services | 15 | 1.4% | 8.4% | -41.3% | MA 65% · V 65% · CPAY 58% |
| Diversified Capital Markets | 21 | -29.3% | -4.7% | -45.9% | BTCS 584% · OPY 176% · LPLA 153% |
| Diversified Financial Services | 5 | -6.3% | 63.2% | -58.0% | FRHC 166% · EQH 80% · TMS -58% |
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 33.25 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.0 |
| Rev LTM | 1,574 |
| Op Inc LTM | 227 |
| FCF LTM | -265 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -219 |
| CFO LTM | 279 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 351 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 14.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 23.9% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 23.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -13.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -9.9% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $39.48 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 5.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/18/2013 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -7.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $38.90 | $36.42 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | 1.5% | 8.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 27.7% | 30.3% |
| Downside Capture | 105.86 | 97.70 |
| Upside Capture | 84.88 | 119.76 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 45.8% | 43.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.69 | 0.74 | 0.75 | 0.88 | 0.99 | 0.92 |
| Up Beta | 0.12 | 0.34 | 0.37 | 0.58 | 0.72 | 0.43 |
| Down Beta | 0.18 | 0.99 | 0.90 | 1.04 | 1.06 | 0.98 |
| Up Capture | 87% | 54% | 48% | 96% | 129% | 169% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 35 | 67 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 22 | 30 | 65 | 128 | 386 |
| Down Capture | 118% | 95% | 109% | 93% | 93% | 105% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 28 | 59 | 114 | 326 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 21 | 33 | 61 | 124 | 366 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with HASI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HASI | 48.9% | 30.7% | 1.31 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 10.1% | 14.6% | 0.44 | 29.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.1% | 12.9% | 1.22 | 43.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 37.5% | 28.8% | 1.10 | 29.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 43.2% | 20.2% | 1.66 | -7.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.9% | 13.8% | 0.64 | 42.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -31.6% | 44.1% | -0.73 | 23.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with HASI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HASI | -3.0% | 47.0% | 0.09 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 10.1% | 18.4% | 0.41 | 36.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.9% | 17.2% | 0.57 | 42.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.6% | 18.6% | 0.90 | 17.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.4% | 19.6% | 0.41 | 16.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.3% | 18.9% | 0.02 | 52.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 10.4% | 52.8% | 0.38 | 23.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with HASI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HASI | 10.7% | 42.2% | 0.39 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.5% | 22.0% | 0.56 | 40.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.2% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 47.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.7% | 16.2% | 0.64 | 15.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.0% | 18.0% | 0.36 | 20.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 20.7% | 0.20 | 53.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 63.1% | 66.1% | 1.03 | 19.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 8/17/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/6/2026 | 6.4% | 10.7% | |
| 5/7/2026 | -3.3% | -2.5% | -12.0% |
| 2/12/2026 | 10.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| 11/6/2025 | 12.2% | 15.5% | 14.9% |
| 8/7/2025 | 5.5% | 9.4% | 13.9% |
| 5/7/2025 | 0.5% | 5.7% | -1.4% |
| 2/13/2025 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 6.1% |
| 11/7/2024 | -10.9% | -14.2% | -1.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 20 | 15 | 13 |
| # Negative | 5 | 10 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 4.5% | 9.0% | 13.1% |
| Median Negative | -3.1% | -3.3% | -5.5% |
| Max Positive | 16.3% | 21.4% | 35.9% |
| Max Negative | -10.9% | -14.2% | -31.5% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/6/2026 | 6.4% | 10.7% | |
| 5/7/2026 | -3.3% | -2.5% | -12.0% |
| 2/12/2026 | 10.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| 11/6/2025 | 12.2% | 15.5% | 14.9% |
| 8/7/2025 | 5.5% | 9.4% | 13.9% |
| 5/7/2025 | 0.5% | 5.7% | -1.4% |
| 2/13/2025 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 6.1% |
| 11/7/2024 | -10.9% | -14.2% | -1.6% |
| 8/1/2024 | -3.1% | -2.7% | 0.8% |
| 5/7/2024 | 16.3% | 21.4% | 21.4% |
| 2/15/2024 | 2.8% | -3.9% | -0.7% |
| 11/2/2023 | 15.7% | 3.7% | 35.9% |
| 8/3/2023 | 0.2% | -5.2% | -5.5% |
| 5/4/2023 | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| 2/16/2023 | -2.2% | -9.3% | -31.5% |
| 11/3/2022 | 3.2% | 20.5% | 19.1% |
| 8/4/2022 | 4.9% | 12.6% | -0.6% |
| 5/3/2022 | 3.1% | -5.8% | -5.8% |
| 2/17/2022 | 10.9% | 17.0% | 13.1% |
| 11/4/2021 | 0.3% | -0.4% | -9.4% |
| 8/5/2021 | 0.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% |
| 5/4/2021 | -2.3% | -2.7% | -1.4% |
| 2/18/2021 | 10.4% | -1.2% | -7.0% |
| 11/5/2020 | 3.8% | 9.0% | 18.9% |
| 8/6/2020 | 4.0% | 4.4% | 9.8% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 20 | 15 | 13 |
| # Negative | 5 | 10 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 4.5% | 9.0% | 13.1% |
| Median Negative | -3.1% | -3.3% | -5.5% |
| Max Positive | 16.3% | 21.4% | 35.9% |
| Max Negative | -10.9% | -14.2% | -31.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/13/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/14/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/16/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/21/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/13/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/14/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/16/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/21/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/06/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/22/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/05/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/06/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/07/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/22/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/06/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/07/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/11/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/25/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/01/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 8/7/2026Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/6/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2028 Adjusted EPS | 3.55 | 3.6 | 3.65 | 1.4% | Raised | Guidance: 3.55 for 2028 | |
| 2028 Adjusted ROE | 0.17 | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.17 for 2028 | |||
| 2026 New balance sheet/CCH1 investments | 2.00 Bil | 2.50 Bil | 3.00 Bil | ||||
Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2028 Adjusted EPS | 3.5 | 3.55 | 3.6 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 3.55 for 2028 | |
| 2028 Adjusted ROE | 0.17 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.17 for 2028 | |||
| 2028 Payout Ratio | 0.5 | ||||||
| 2030 Payout Ratio | 0.4 | ||||||
Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2028 Adjusted EPS | 3.5 | 3.55 | 3.6 | ||||
| 2028 Adjusted Return on Equity | 0.17 | ||||||
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Adjusted EPS Growth | 10.0% | ||||||
| 2027 Adjusted EPS Growth | 9.0% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 9.0% for 2027 | |||
| 2027 Adjusted EPS | 3.15 | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 3.15 for 2027 | |||
| 2027 Dividend Payout Ratio | 0.57 | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.57 for 2027 | |||
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Aug 24, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager |
|---|
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.