HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (HASI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $33.32 | Market Cap: $4.2 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Specialized Finance
HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (HASI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $33.32Market Cap: $4.2 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Specialized Finance
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 5.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.3% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.0%, Dist 3Y High is -3.0% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 128% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -43% | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -41% | Short seller report | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, and Battery Storage & Grid Modernization. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 5.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.3% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -41% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, and Battery Storage & Grid Modernization. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.0%, Dist 3Y High is -3.0% |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -43% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 128% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16% |
| Short seller report |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
HASI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (HASI) reported record-breaking Third Quarter 2025 results, with Adjusted Earnings Per Share reaching $0.80, significantly exceeding Wall Street estimates of $0.69. This represented a 54% increase in Adjusted EPS compared to the third quarter of 2024, showcasing robust profitability.
2. The company announced a significant new $1.2 billion structured equity investment in the 2.6 GW SunZia utility-scale renewable project, alongside overall strong managed asset growth. As of September 30, 2025, HASI's managed assets expanded by 15% year-over-year to $15 billion, with expectations for total transaction volumes to surpass $3 billion for the full year 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HASI Return | 106% | -14% | -43% | 1% | 2% | 30% | 34% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 13% | -25% | 12% | -3% | 20% | 28% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HASI Win Rate | 58% | 33% | 33% | 42% | 50% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 50% | 45% | 48% | 55% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HASI Max Drawdown | -49% | -28% | -57% | -48% | -19% | -14% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -58% | -9% | -39% | -25% | -15% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NLY, AGNC, STWD, ACRE, HASI. See HASI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | HASI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -79.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 388.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -58.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 138.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 145 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -30.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 43.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 370 days | 120 days |
Compare to NLY, AGNC, STWD, ACRE, HASI
In The Past
HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital's stock fell -79.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2021. A -79.5% loss requires a 388.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to HASI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| 01312021 | HASI | HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -2.8% | -28.1% | -36.3% |
| 02292020 | HASI | HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 28.5% | 72.7% | -51.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| 01312021 | HASI | HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -2.8% | -28.1% | -36.3% |
| 02292020 | HASI | HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 28.5% | 72.7% | -51.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 18.41 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.2 |
| Rev LTM | 798 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 604 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 196 |
| CFO LTM | 604 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 196 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -18.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 63.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 122.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 38.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 86.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 28.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 82.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 27.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 6.2 |
| P/S | 8.5 |
| P/EBIT | - |
| P/E | 12.3 |
| P/CFO | 9.2 |
| Total Yield | 11.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 5.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| D/E | 1.4 |
| Net D/E | 1.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 9.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 24.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 15.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 23.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 7.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 3.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 9.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -0.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -43.0% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2162024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2212023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2222022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
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