EZCORP (EZPW)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $19.81 | Market Cap: $1.2 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Consumer Finance
EZCORP (EZPW)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $19.81Market Cap: $1.2 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Consumer Finance
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.0%, FCF Yield is 9.2% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19% | Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 15.87 |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% | Key risksEZPW key risks include [1] concentrated regulatory pressure due to its significant store presence in Florida and Texas and [2] major financial exposure to gold price fluctuations, Show more. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.0%, FCF Yield is 9.2% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 15.87 |
| Key risksEZPW key risks include [1] concentrated regulatory pressure due to its significant store presence in Florida and Texas and [2] major financial exposure to gold price fluctuations, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
EZPW Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining EZCORP's (EZPW) stock movement for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Strong Fiscal 2025 Financial Performance: EZCORP reported record revenue of $1.3 billion for the full fiscal year 2025, a 12% increase year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA of $191.2 million, up 26%. Net income also rose 30% to $110.7 million. This strong performance, including diluted earnings per share of $0.34 in Q4 2025 which exceeded analyst expectations, significantly contributed to positive investor sentiment.
2. Continued Strategic Store Expansion: The company demonstrated robust expansion, particularly in Latin America. It added 52 new stores during Q3 fiscal 2025, including 40 acquired in Mexico, and further expanded its footprint post-year-end by acquiring an additional 14 stores in Mexico and 3 in Texas. This ongoing growth in its store base across five countries signaled strong future growth prospects.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| EZPW Return | -30% | 54% | 11% | 7% | 40% | 67% | 199% |
| Peers Return | � | 45% | -35% | 62% | 17% | 19% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| EZPW Win Rate | 25% | 50% | 67% | 42% | 42% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 58% | 37% | 58% | 48% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| EZPW Max Drawdown | -49% | -6% | -25% | -6% | -4% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | -11% | -53% | -2% | -11% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FCFS, ENVA, PRG, UPBD, WRLD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | EZPW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 150 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -48.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 94.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 415 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -67.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 207.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,953 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -49.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 96.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 346 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to PRAA, GFCX, SUIG, AXP, COF
In The Past
EZCORP's stock fell -35.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/18/2021. A -35.9% loss requires a 56.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to EZPW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for EZCORP
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 88.31 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.2 |
| Rev LTM | 2,774 |
| Op Inc LTM | 381 |
| FCF LTM | 275 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 239 |
| CFO LTM | 282 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 246 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 13.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.2 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | 7.1 |
| P/E | 13.0 |
| P/CFO | 5.4 |
| Total Yield | 9.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 13.5% |
| D/E | 0.7 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 10.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -1.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 18.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 40.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 111.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 9.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 5.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 27.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 25.2% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/13/2025 | 2.0% | 1.1% | |
| 7/30/2025 | 7.5% | 15.3% | 24.0% |
| 4/28/2025 | -2.3% | -4.9% | -19.6% |
| 2/5/2025 | 1.0% | 13.6% | 9.0% |
| 11/13/2024 | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% |
| 7/31/2024 | 0.7% | 7.6% | 13.2% |
| 5/1/2024 | -4.4% | -6.3% | -4.9% |
| 1/31/2024 | 11.5% | 16.7% | 19.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 16 | 16 | 13 |
| # Negative | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 5.9% | 5.4% | 13.2% |
| Median Negative | -2.8% | -3.7% | -4.9% |
| Max Positive | 18.4% | 20.3% | 25.9% |
| Max Negative | -7.3% | -6.3% | -19.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11132025 | 10-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4282025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2052025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 10-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 1312024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11152023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2012023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11162022 | 10-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2022022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |