NexPoint Real Estate Finance (NREF)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $14.52 | Market Cap: $257.3 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Mortgage REITs
NexPoint Real Estate Finance (NREF)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $14.52Market Cap: $257.3 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Mortgage REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 53%, Dividend Yield is 14% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.3%, Dist 3Y High is -4.3% | Key risksNREF key risks include its external management structure, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 583% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -21%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -46% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21% | ||
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -56% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Real Estate Investment & Finance. Themes include Commercial Real Estate Debt, and Real Estate Preferred Equity. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 53%, Dividend Yield is 14% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 583% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -56% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Real Estate Investment & Finance. Themes include Commercial Real Estate Debt, and Real Estate Preferred Equity. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.3%, Dist 3Y High is -4.3% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -21%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -46% |
| Key risksNREF key risks include its external management structure, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NREF Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points highlighting why NexPoint Real Estate Finance (NREF) stock may have moved by 3.5% during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Successful Preferred Stock Offerings: NexPoint Real Estate Finance announced the full subscription and closing of its 9.00% Series B Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock offering, raising approximately $404.5 million in gross proceeds on December 10, 2025. Concurrently, the company launched a new $200 million 8.00% Series C Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock offering. This significant capital infusion, particularly the Series C offering with a lower coupon rate, demonstrates strong investor confidence and could reduce the company's long-term funding costs, positively impacting the stock.
2. Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: On October 30, 2025, NREF reported its financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. The company announced net income attributable to common stockholders of $35.0 million, or $1.14 per diluted share. While net income rose significantly, earnings available for distribution and cash available for distribution per diluted share declined compared to the same period in 2024, presenting a mixed financial picture for investors.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NREF Return | � | 28% | -9% | 17% | 14% | 4% | � |
| Peers Return | -20% | 29% | -17% | 20% | -7% | 10% | 4% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NREF Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 67% | 42% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 62% | 48% | 53% | 53% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NREF Max Drawdown | � | -2% | -17% | -17% | -15% | -16% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -68% | -4% | -25% | -17% | -18% | -8% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: STWD, BXMT, ARI, KREF, LADR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NREF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -50.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 103.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -67.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 203.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 255 days | 148 days |
Compare to DX, IVR, RC, LOAN, NLY
In The Past
NexPoint Real Estate Finance's stock fell -50.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/17/2022. A -50.9% loss requires a 103.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NREF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for NexPoint Real Estate Finance
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 12.93 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.4 |
| Rev LTM | 252 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 64 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 130 |
| CFO LTM | 129 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 177 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -9.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -5.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 52.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 61.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 32.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 46.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.4 |
| P/S | 5.5 |
| P/EBIT | - |
| P/E | 13.7 |
| P/CFO | 8.0 |
| Total Yield | 14.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 10.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 10.2% |
| D/E | 5.2 |
| Net D/E | 5.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 9.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 4.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 29.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -2.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -8.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -45.8% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | 1.1% | 0.5% | 8.7% |
| 7/31/2025 | -3.8% | -3.3% | 3.9% |
| 2/27/2025 | 1.2% | -0.9% | -1.6% |
| 10/31/2024 | 6.5% | 11.3% | 25.1% |
| 8/1/2024 | -1.0% | -2.4% | 14.6% |
| 2/29/2024 | 5.0% | 7.0% | 11.2% |
| 11/2/2023 | 3.2% | -0.5% | 9.5% |
| 7/27/2023 | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 12 | 16 |
| # Negative | 8 | 8 | 4 |
| Median Positive | 3.0% | 4.2% | 8.7% |
| Median Negative | -1.6% | -2.0% | -3.3% |
| Max Positive | 12.6% | 11.6% | 63.8% |
| Max Negative | -7.4% | -8.5% | -17.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11132025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5142024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3312023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |