Tearsheet

NexPoint Real Estate Finance (NREF)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $14.77 | Market Cap: $261.6 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Mortgage REITs

NexPoint Real Estate Finance (NREF)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $14.77
Market Cap: $261.6 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Mortgage REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 44%, Dividend Yield is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 40%, FCF Yield is 16%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -50%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1799%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1066%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%
  
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -74%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Real Estate Investment & Finance. Themes include Commercial Real Estate Debt, and Real Estate Preferred Equity.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 44%, Dividend Yield is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 40%, FCF Yield is 16%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1066%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -74%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Real Estate Investment & Finance. Themes include Commercial Real Estate Debt, and Real Estate Preferred Equity.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -50%
7 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1799%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NREF Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Based on the most recent available information for NexPoint Real Estate Finance (NREF), here are key points influencing its stock, noting that information for the specific future period requested is not available. 1. Q3 2025 Earnings Beat. NexPoint Real Estate Finance reported strong third-quarter 2025 results, with earnings of $0.51 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.42 per share. This positive earnings surprise indicates better-than-expected financial performance.

2. Dividend Declaration. The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.50 per share. This consistent dividend payout can be a positive factor for income-focused investors, signaling financial stability.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NREF Return-28%-9%17%14%2%58%
Peers Return-14%10%-19%2%6%2%-15%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NREF Win Rate50%58%67%42%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate53%57%50%45%55%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NREF Max Drawdown--2%-17%-17%-15%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-64%-6%-34%-22%-11%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DX, IVR, RC, LOAN, NLY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNREFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-50.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-67.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven203.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven255 days148 days

Compare to DX, IVR, RC, LOAN, NLY


In The Past

NexPoint Real Estate Finance's stock fell -50.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/17/2022. A -50.9% loss requires a 103.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About NexPoint Real Estate Finance (NREF)

Better Bets than NexPoint Real Estate Finance (NREF)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NREF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for NexPoint Real Estate Finance

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NREFDXIVRRCLOANNLYMedian
NameNexPoint.Dynex Ca.Invesco .Ready Ca.Manhatta.Annaly C. 
Mkt Price14.7913.898.192.784.7322.8211.04
Mkt Cap0.31.90.60.50.115.00.5
Rev LTM99230722271,70386
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM3812215947251,953140
FCF 3Y Avg327119632951,260133
CFO LTM3812215947252,857140
CFO 3Y Avg327119632951,976133

Growth & Margins

NREFDXIVRRCLOANNLYMedian
NameNexPoint.Dynex Ca.Invesco .Ready Ca.Manhatta.Annaly C. 
Rev Chg LTM1,066.4%87.1%-29.9%-73.3%-3.5%473.5%41.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg304.5%63.4%241.0%-52.8%2.5%143.3%103.3%
Rev Chg Q322.3%309.0%27.8%-29.1%-9.2%637.1%168.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM39.7%113.8%21.1%-45.4%-2.2%81.6%30.4%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM38.9%52.8%220.1%2,181.7%71.0%167.8%119.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-77.6%790.7%851.6%70.9%-434.2%
FCF/Rev LTM38.9%52.8%220.1%2,181.7%71.0%114.7%92.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-77.6%790.7%851.6%70.8%-434.2%

Valuation

NREFDXIVRRCLOANNLYMedian
NameNexPoint.Dynex Ca.Invesco .Ready Ca.Manhatta.Annaly C. 
Mkt Cap0.31.90.60.50.115.00.5
P/S2.57.37.129.38.87.87.5
P/EBIT-------
P/E3.49.09.6-2.011.98.99.0
P/CFO6.413.73.21.312.44.65.5
Total Yield44.1%11.1%10.4%-27.7%16.8%11.3%11.2%
Dividend Yield14.4%0.0%0.0%21.4%8.4%0.0%4.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.6%6.8%40.1%36.2%8.5%11.4%12.0%
D/E18.00.00.06.00.22.21.2
Net D/E18.0-0.3-0.15.70.22.21.2

Returns

NREFDXIVRRCLOANNLYMedian
NameNexPoint.Dynex Ca.Invesco .Ready Ca.Manhatta.Annaly C. 
1M Rtn12.3%5.9%8.6%-4.1%-4.8%7.1%6.5%
3M Rtn1.8%14.6%8.1%-32.2%-10.4%9.9%5.0%
6M Rtn6.3%24.9%19.5%-29.7%-3.4%29.0%12.9%
12M Rtn-4.5%30.4%19.1%-56.6%-6.1%33.1%7.3%
3Y Rtn21.0%60.5%3.7%-68.6%5.7%58.4%13.4%
1M Excs Rtn12.3%6.0%8.7%-4.1%-4.8%7.2%6.6%
3M Excs Rtn-6.6%7.8%2.0%-38.0%-15.6%3.0%-2.3%
6M Excs Rtn-8.4%10.1%4.8%-44.5%-18.1%14.3%-1.8%
12M Excs Rtn-19.2%15.8%4.5%-70.9%-17.7%18.2%-6.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-50.3%-8.7%-65.4%-141.0%-64.9%-8.9%-57.6%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity287,689
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120256.7%
Average Daily Volume62,558
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.60
Basic Shares Quantity17,712,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024327202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024514202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023322202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211109202110-Q 9/30/2021