Tearsheet

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $91.56 | Market Cap: $85.0 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Banks

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $91.56
Market Cap: $85.0 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Diversified Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.7%, Dist 3Y High is -1.7%
Key risks
CM key risks include [1] its significant exposure to the Canadian housing market and potential mortgage delinquencies.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, CFO LTM is 14 Bil, FCF LTM is 13 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 18%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, CFO LTM is 14 Bil, FCF LTM is 13 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 18%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.7%, Dist 3Y High is -1.7%
5 Key risks
CM key risks include [1] its significant exposure to the Canadian housing market and potential mortgage delinquencies.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM) experienced a significant upward movement in its stock price between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, driven by several key factors.

1. Record Financial Performance and Q4 Earnings Beat: CIBC announced record financial performance for fiscal year 2025, along with strong fourth-quarter results for the period ended October 31, 2025, on December 4, 2025. The bank reported increased revenue and net income, surpassing analysts' earnings and revenue estimates for Q4 2025.

2. Increased Dividend: Following its robust financial performance, CIBC's Board of Directors approved an increase in the common share dividend for the first quarter of fiscal 2026. This dividend raise signals confidence in the bank's financial health and future prospects.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CM Return9%42%-27%26%38%52%202%
Peers Return3%38%-15%14%15%48%134%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CM Win Rate58%58%42%50%67%75% 
Peers Win Rate60%63%47%53%53%82% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CM Max Drawdown-44%-1%-29%-10%-8%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-42%-1%-25%-12%-9%-9% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RY, TD, BMO, BNS, JPM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-47.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven90.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven405 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-44.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven79.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven240 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven813 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-73.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven281.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4448 days1480 days

Compare to C, JPM, BAC, WFC, RY


In The Past

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce's stock fell -47.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/18/2022. A -47.4% loss requires a 90.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM)

Better Bets than Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CMRYTDBMOBNSJPMMedian
NameCanadian.Royal Ba.Toronto-.Bank of .Bank of .JPMorgan. 
Mkt Price91.59165.2991.15128.4171.48314.98110.00
Mkt Cap74.2206.8135.892.988.7870.1114.3
Rev LTM29,01366,53261,28136,09937,097179,43049,189
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM12,72952,977-71,7918,5115,060-119,7486,786
FCF 3Y Avg11,28932,395-28,72613,85517,168-65,10712,572
CFO LTM13,83855,220-69,64610,2405,407-119,7487,824
CFO 3Y Avg12,36034,813-26,67015,51117,594-65,10713,936

Growth & Margins

CMRYTDBMOBNSJPMMedian
NameCanadian.Royal Ba.Toronto-.Bank of .Bank of .JPMorgan. 
Rev Chg LTM13.7%15.7%8.9%12.7%10.4%8.6%11.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.1%10.9%10.4%11.4%6.1%13.4%10.7%
Rev Chg Q14.4%14.2%7.8%11.3%12.9%8.8%12.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.4%3.3%1.9%2.7%3.0%2.1%2.9%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM47.7%83.0%-113.7%28.4%14.6%-66.7%21.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg47.8%57.9%-47.6%47.5%53.7%-36.4%47.6%
FCF/Rev LTM43.9%79.6%-117.2%23.6%13.6%-66.7%18.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg43.6%53.7%-51.2%42.5%52.5%-36.4%43.1%

Valuation

CMRYTDBMOBNSJPMMedian
NameCanadian.Royal Ba.Toronto-.Bank of .Bank of .JPMorgan. 
Mkt Cap74.2206.8135.892.988.7870.1114.3
P/S2.63.12.22.62.44.92.6
P/EBIT-------
P/E8.810.26.610.711.415.010.4
P/CFO5.43.7-1.99.116.4-7.34.6
Total Yield11.4%9.8%15.1%9.4%11.8%6.7%10.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%3.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg----28.6%-7.5%10.5%
D/E----3.50.62.1
Net D/E----2.3-0.31.0

Returns

CMRYTDBMOBNSJPMMedian
NameCanadian.Royal Ba.Toronto-.Bank of .Bank of .JPMorgan. 
1M Rtn5.5%12.3%11.9%5.2%6.1%4.9%5.8%
3M Rtn15.5%14.1%17.8%-0.1%11.9%1.5%13.0%
6M Rtn36.8%31.5%30.9%23.3%35.2%16.1%31.2%
12M Rtn45.6%38.6%82.4%36.6%38.1%34.9%38.4%
3Y Rtn165.0%98.8%66.9%67.8%80.3%162.3%89.5%
1M Excs Rtn4.7%11.6%11.2%4.4%5.4%4.1%5.1%
3M Excs Rtn13.9%12.9%16.5%-1.2%10.6%-0.3%11.8%
6M Excs Rtn24.4%19.1%18.5%10.9%22.8%3.7%18.8%
12M Excs Rtn33.7%26.6%68.9%24.3%25.4%23.0%26.0%
3Y Excs Rtn85.3%23.1%-10.7%-7.6%3.1%84.3%13.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2025202420232022
Canadian Personal and Business Banking9,4168,9098,1507,922
Capital Markets and Direct Financial Services5,4885,0014,5204,053
Canadian Commercial Banking and Wealth Management5,4035,2544,6704,121
U.S. Commercial Banking and Wealth Management2,6922,4572,1942,043
Corporate and Other333212481602
Income from equity-accounted associates and joint ventures   -79
Total23,33221,83320,01518,662


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Canadian Personal and Business Banking2,3642,2492,4941,785
Capital Markets and Direct Financial Services1,9861,9081,8571,308
Canadian Commercial Banking and Wealth Management1,8781,8951,6651,202
U.S. Commercial Banking and Wealth Management379760926375
Corporate and Other-1,606-592-513-880
Total5,0016,2206,4293,790


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,296,722
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520250.8%
Average Daily Volume1,055,262
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.81
Basic Shares Quantity928,732,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
430202152720216-K 4/30/2021
131202122520216-K 1/31/2021
731202082720206-K 7/31/2020
430202052820206-K 4/30/2020
131202022620206-K 1/31/2020
731201982220196-K 7/31/2019
430201952220196-K 4/30/2019
131201922820196-K 1/31/2019
731201882320186-K 7/31/2018
430201852320186-K 4/30/2018
131201822220186-K 1/31/2018
731201782420176-K 7/31/2017
430201752520176-K 4/30/2017
131201722320176-K 1/31/2017
731201682520166-K 7/31/2016
430201652620166-K 4/30/2016