Tearsheet

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $86.4 | Market Cap: $80.5 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Banks

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $86.4
Market Cap: $80.5 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Diversified Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.1%, FCF Yield is 24%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.4%, Dist 3Y High is -0.4%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 128%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 62%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58%, CFO LTM is 17 Bil, FCF LTM is 16 Bil
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.23
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 18%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.1%, FCF Yield is 24%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 62%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58%, CFO LTM is 17 Bil, FCF LTM is 16 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 18%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.4%, Dist 3Y High is -0.4%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.23
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 128%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the 13.7% movement in Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM) stock during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Strong Financial Performance in Q3 and Q4 2025: CIBC reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial results on August 28, 2025, showing a 17% year-over-year increase in reported net income and an 18% rise in reported diluted earnings per share. This positive momentum continued with the announcement of record financial performance for fiscal year 2025 and better-than-expected fourth-quarter adjusted earnings per share and revenue on December 4, 2025.

2. Increased Quarterly Dividend: Following the strong fourth-quarter results, CIBC announced an increase in its quarterly dividend from CDN$0.97 to CDN$1.07 per share, signaling confidence in its sustained profitability and enhancing shareholder value.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CM Return9%42%-27%26%38%42%181%
Peers Return-14%35%-16%18%38%33%111%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CM Win Rate58%58%42%50%67%70% 
Peers Win Rate50%60%42%55%62%68% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CM Max Drawdown-44%-1%-29%-10%-8%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-49%-2%-27%-13%-4%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: C, JPM, BAC, WFC, RY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-47.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven90.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven405 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-44.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven79.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven240 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven813 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-73.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven281.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4448 days1480 days

Compare to C, JPM, BAC, WFC, RY


In The Past

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce's stock fell -47.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/18/2022. A -47.4% loss requires a 90.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM)

Better Bets than Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CMCJPMBACWFCRYMedian
NameCanadian.CitigroupJPMorgan.Bank of .Wells Fa.Royal Ba. 
Mkt Price86.84106.72312.1354.0989.35156.6898.03
Mkt Cap81.0194.3862.2403.8284.3220.5252.4
Rev LTM28,06185,244179,430107,26482,53264,39983,888
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM16,173-75,968-119,74861,472-14,21884,806978
FCF 3Y Avg15,674-64,799-65,10734,2449,17237,13312,423
CFO LTM17,287-69,391-119,74861,472-14,21887,1711,534
CFO 3Y Avg16,746-58,153-65,10734,2449,17239,62512,959

Growth & Margins

CMCJPMBACWFCRYMedian
NameCanadian.CitigroupJPMorgan.Bank of .Wells Fa.Royal Ba. 
Rev Chg LTM13.2%8.4%8.6%8.9%0.2%16.4%8.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.4%5.0%13.4%5.2%2.9%9.9%7.3%
Rev Chg Q9.7%9.6%8.8%10.8%5.3%15.5%9.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.3%2.3%2.1%2.6%1.3%3.7%2.3%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM61.6%-81.4%-66.7%57.3%-17.2%135.4%20.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg65.9%-72.0%-36.4%32.7%11.2%66.0%21.9%
FCF/Rev LTM57.6%-89.1%-66.7%57.3%-17.2%131.7%20.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg61.6%-80.3%-36.4%32.7%11.2%61.6%21.9%

Valuation

CMCJPMBACWFCRYMedian
NameCanadian.CitigroupJPMorgan.Bank of .Wells Fa.Royal Ba. 
Mkt Cap81.0194.3862.2403.8284.3220.5252.4
P/S2.42.24.93.63.22.93.1
P/EBIT-------
P/E8.112.615.013.012.79.712.6
P/CFO3.8-2.7-7.36.3-18.82.1-0.3
Total Yield12.3%8.0%6.7%7.7%9.9%10.3%8.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%2.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg31.9%-55.7%-7.5%11.7%6.9%22.1%9.3%
D/E3.42.00.60.90.82.81.5
Net D/E1.3-1.2-0.3-0.7-0.60.4-0.5

Returns

CMCJPMBACWFCRYMedian
NameCanadian.CitigroupJPMorgan.Bank of .Wells Fa.Royal Ba. 
1M Rtn3.6%5.0%0.9%1.0%2.9%6.3%3.3%
3M Rtn12.1%13.0%4.7%8.1%11.6%8.7%10.1%
6M Rtn30.8%41.4%19.3%23.3%19.9%25.4%24.3%
12M Rtn43.1%53.6%30.2%18.2%23.1%30.3%30.2%
3Y Rtn130.6%151.9%148.7%61.4%110.4%76.7%120.5%
1M Excs Rtn3.6%5.1%0.9%1.0%2.9%6.3%3.3%
3M Excs Rtn5.7%5.2%-2.1%1.5%4.4%3.2%3.8%
6M Excs Rtn16.1%26.7%4.6%8.6%5.1%10.6%9.6%
12M Excs Rtn26.7%41.2%14.1%3.0%6.3%15.8%14.9%
3Y Excs Rtn40.8%79.2%77.3%-13.9%32.9%5.7%36.8%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,014,570
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-10.1%
Average Daily Volume819,080
Days-to-Cover Short Interest12.23
Basic Shares Quantity932,258,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
430202152720216-K 4/30/2021
131202122520216-K 1/31/2021
731202082720206-K 7/31/2020
430202052820206-K 4/30/2020
131202022620206-K 1/31/2020
731201982220196-K 7/31/2019
430201952220196-K 4/30/2019
131201922820196-K 1/31/2019
731201882320186-K 7/31/2018
430201852320186-K 4/30/2018
131201822220186-K 1/31/2018
731201782420176-K 7/31/2017
430201752520176-K 4/30/2017
131201722320176-K 1/31/2017
731201682520166-K 7/31/2016
430201652620166-K 4/30/2016