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Royal Bank of Canada (RY)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $160.57 | Market Cap: $226.0 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Banks

Royal Bank of Canada (RY)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $160.57
Market Cap: $226.0 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Diversified Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.1%, FCF Yield is 46%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 135%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 132%, CFO LTM is 87 Bil, FCF LTM is 85 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 18%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.1%, FCF Yield is 46%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 135%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 132%, CFO LTM is 87 Bil, FCF LTM is 85 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 18%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate 8.9% stock movement for Royal Bank of Canada (RY) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Record-Breaking Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings: Royal Bank of Canada reported exceptional financial results for the fourth quarter ended October 31, 2025, with net income climbing to $5.4 billion, a substantial 29% increase from the prior year. This performance, along with diluted earnings per share of $3.76, surpassed analyst expectations, signaling robust profitability.

2. Strong Growth Across Core Business Segments: The bank experienced significant growth across its diverse business segments. Capital Markets saw a 45.3% rise in net income, while Wealth Management earnings increased by 32.5%. Personal Banking achieved 20% earnings growth, and Commercial Banking reported a solid 7% increase, driven by higher net interest income from improved spreads and volume growth.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RY Return8%34%-8%12%24%33%147%
Peers Return-14%35%-16%18%38%33%111%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RY Win Rate75%67%42%50%50%70% 
Peers Win Rate50%60%42%55%62%68% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RY Max Drawdown-37%-0%-17%-13%-5%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-49%-2%-27%-13%-4%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: C, JPM, BAC, WFC, RY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven306 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-40.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven66.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven246 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-23.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven30.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven788 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-65.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven186.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven393 days1480 days

Compare to C, JPM, BAC, WFC, RY


In The Past

Royal Bank of Canada's stock fell -34.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/18/2022. A -34.2% loss requires a 51.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Royal Bank of Canada (RY)

Better Bets than Royal Bank of Canada (RY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Royal Bank of Canada

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RYCJPMBACWFCMedian
NameRoyal Ba.CitigroupJPMorgan.Bank of .Wells Fa. 
Mkt Price156.68106.72312.1354.0989.35106.72
Mkt Cap220.5194.3862.2403.8284.3284.3
Rev LTM64,39985,244179,430107,26482,53285,244
Op Inc LTM------
FCF LTM84,806-75,968-119,74861,472-14,218-14,218
FCF 3Y Avg37,133-64,799-65,10734,2449,1729,172
CFO LTM87,171-69,391-119,74861,472-14,218-14,218
CFO 3Y Avg39,625-58,153-65,10734,2449,1729,172

Growth & Margins

RYCJPMBACWFCMedian
NameRoyal Ba.CitigroupJPMorgan.Bank of .Wells Fa. 
Rev Chg LTM16.4%8.4%8.6%8.9%0.2%8.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.9%5.0%13.4%5.2%2.9%5.2%
Rev Chg Q15.5%9.6%8.8%10.8%5.3%9.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.7%2.3%2.1%2.6%1.3%2.3%
Op Mgn LTM------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM------
CFO/Rev LTM135.4%-81.4%-66.7%57.3%-17.2%-17.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg66.0%-72.0%-36.4%32.7%11.2%11.2%
FCF/Rev LTM131.7%-89.1%-66.7%57.3%-17.2%-17.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg61.6%-80.3%-36.4%32.7%11.2%11.2%

Valuation

RYCJPMBACWFCMedian
NameRoyal Ba.CitigroupJPMorgan.Bank of .Wells Fa. 
Mkt Cap220.5194.3862.2403.8284.3284.3
P/S2.92.24.93.63.23.2
P/EBIT------
P/E9.712.615.013.012.712.7
P/CFO2.1-2.7-7.36.3-18.8-2.7
Total Yield10.3%8.0%6.7%7.7%9.9%8.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%2.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg22.1%-55.7%-7.5%11.7%6.9%6.9%
D/E2.82.00.60.90.80.9
Net D/E0.4-1.2-0.3-0.7-0.6-0.6

Returns

RYCJPMBACWFCMedian
NameRoyal Ba.CitigroupJPMorgan.Bank of .Wells Fa. 
1M Rtn6.3%5.0%0.9%1.0%2.9%2.9%
3M Rtn8.7%13.0%4.7%8.1%11.6%8.7%
6M Rtn25.4%41.4%19.3%23.3%19.9%23.3%
12M Rtn30.3%53.6%30.2%18.2%23.1%30.2%
3Y Rtn76.7%151.9%148.7%61.4%110.4%110.4%
1M Excs Rtn6.3%5.1%0.9%1.0%2.9%2.9%
3M Excs Rtn3.2%5.2%-2.1%1.5%4.4%3.2%
6M Excs Rtn10.6%26.7%4.6%8.6%5.1%8.6%
12M Excs Rtn15.8%41.2%14.1%3.0%6.3%14.1%
3Y Excs Rtn5.7%79.2%77.3%-13.9%32.9%32.9%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,251,607
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-35.9%
Average Daily Volume1,128,388
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.77
Basic Shares Quantity1,407,280,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
430202152720216-K 4/30/2021
131202122420216-K 1/31/2021
103120201202202040-F 10/31/2020
731202082620206-K 7/31/2020
430202052720206-K 4/30/2020
103120191204201940-F 10/31/2019
731201982120196-K 7/31/2019
430201952320196-K 4/30/2019
131201922220196-K 1/31/2019
103120181128201840-F 10/31/2018
731201882220186-K 7/31/2018
430201852420186-K 4/30/2018
131201822320186-K 1/31/2018
103120171129201740-F 10/31/2017
731201782320176-K 7/31/2017
430201752520176-K 4/30/2017