Tearsheet

Hercules Capital (HTGC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $18.76 | Market Cap: $3.4 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Hercules Capital (HTGC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $18.76
Market Cap: $3.4 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 19%, Dividend Yield is 9.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -3.1%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 63%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 8.4x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -99%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -99%
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 19%, Dividend Yield is 9.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -3.1%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 63%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 8.4x
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -99%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -99%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HTGC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Mixed Q3 2025 Earnings Performance: Hercules Capital reported mixed financial results for the third quarter of 2025. While total investment income and revenue exceeded analyst estimates, the reported non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $0.47 missed some consensus estimates of $0.49. This mixed performance and a subsequent slight negative reaction in after-hours trading contributed to the stock's movement.

2. Sizable One-Time Loss: For the twelve months ending September 30, 2025, Hercules Capital reported a significant one-time loss of $71.1 million. This loss impacted the company's net profit margins, causing them to slip from 57.2% to 50.9%, potentially affecting investor sentiment.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HTGC Return15%26%-10%43%33%1%152%
Peers Return23%18%-13%10%1%1%42%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HTGC Win Rate67%75%50%75%83%60% 
Peers Win Rate67%50%35%56%48%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HTGC Max Drawdown-51%-1%-24%-10%0%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-13%-31%-11%-12%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, BLKS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHTGCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-39.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven65.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven573 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-58.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven140.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven327 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-22.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven28.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven64 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-75.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven311.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1611 days1480 days

Compare to VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, BLKS


In The Past

Hercules Capital's stock fell -39.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -39.5% loss requires a 65.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Hercules Capital (HTGC)

Better Bets than Hercules Capital (HTGC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HTGC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Hercules Capital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HTGCVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameHercules.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Mkt Price18.76163.1616.02116.902.60-18.76
Mkt Cap3.41.10.90.30.1-0.9
Rev LTM40587410015216-152
Op Inc LTM-179-44-8-44
FCF LTM-39970104-35-9--9
FCF 3Y Avg-16212513816-10-16
CFO LTM-39977104-32-9--9
CFO 3Y Avg-16213213817-9-17

Growth & Margins

HTGCVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameHercules.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Rev Chg LTM-1.5%-1.2%-6.2%2.9%-8.5%--1.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg67.7%-2.4%159.6%-2.1%13.5%-13.5%
Rev Chg Q60.5%-4.8%8.2%-2.0%-37.1%--2.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM15.6%-1.2%2.1%-0.6%-16.9%--0.6%
Op Mgn LTM-20.5%-28.8%-49.1%-20.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-18.9%-26.5%-74.1%-18.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.1%--0.2%-6.5%--0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-98.7%8.9%104.5%-21.2%-55.2%--21.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-40.9%15.6%142.9%11.7%-56.6%-11.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-98.7%8.0%104.5%-23.1%-55.2%--23.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-41.1%14.7%142.9%11.0%-66.7%-11.0%

Valuation

HTGCVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameHercules.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Mkt Cap3.41.10.90.30.1-0.9
P/S8.41.58.32.53.4-3.4
P/EBIT-3.6-8.72.8-3.6
P/E11.09.49.38.14.3-9.3
P/CFO-8.516.68.0-11.8-6.1--6.1
Total Yield18.5%15.6%21.5%16.6%23.4%-18.5%
Dividend Yield9.4%5.0%10.7%4.3%0.0%-5.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-5.2%8.7%16.7%2.9%-17.7%-2.9%
D/E0.62.01.40.01.1-1.1
Net D/E0.61.60.9-0.1-0.9-0.6

Returns

HTGCVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameHercules.Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
1M Rtn8.1%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.4%-4.2%
3M Rtn-0.2%-14.1%-0.8%-14.0%-15.9%--14.0%
6M Rtn11.4%-1.2%0.7%-10.1%20.6%-0.7%
12M Rtn8.9%-30.3%5.6%-24.3%43.6%-5.6%
3Y Rtn85.2%-7.0%43.3%-24.8%31.3%-31.3%
1M Excs Rtn8.2%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.5%-4.2%
3M Excs Rtn-5.9%-21.2%-6.9%-21.0%-18.7%--18.7%
6M Excs Rtn-3.3%-15.9%-14.1%-24.8%5.9%--14.1%
12M Excs Rtn-4.1%-44.0%-8.0%-37.4%29.3%--8.0%
3Y Excs Rtn12.1%-75.8%-22.7%-96.4%-43.4%--43.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment494239310357298
Total494239310357298


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,877,531
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202511.1%
Average Daily Volume1,335,174
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.65
Basic Shares Quantity180,360,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021222202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211028202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0CROWELL GAYLE A11042025Buy17.776,000106,6471,399,333Form