Freedom (FRHC)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $133.47 | Market Cap: $8.0 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Financial Services
Freedom (FRHC)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $133.47Market Cap: $8.0 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Diversified Financial Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 110%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 102%, CFO LTM is 2.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.1 Bil | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.16 | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 2,191x |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 20% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.1% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% | Key risksFRHC key risks include [1] severe regulatory and compliance failings, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Wealth Management Technology, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 110%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 102%, CFO LTM is 2.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.1 Bil |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 20% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Wealth Management Technology, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.16 |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 2,191x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.1% |
| Key risksFRHC key risks include [1] severe regulatory and compliance failings, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FRHC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, Freedom Holding Corp. (FRHC) experienced a significant stock price decline, with several key factors contributing to this movement. These primarily revolve around changes in the company's profitability and financial outlook as reported in its earnings statements and assessments by rating agencies.
1. The diluted earnings per share for Fiscal Year 2025 saw a substantial decrease, falling to $1.40 from $6.33 in Fiscal Year 2024. This significant decline in annual profitability, reported on June 15, 2025, likely had a strong negative impact on investor sentiment in the subsequent months.
2. The company reported diluted earnings per share of $1.13 for the first half of Fiscal Year 2026, which concluded on September 30, 2025. These results, released on October 11, 2025, indicated ongoing pressure on profitability despite robust revenue growth, potentially falling short of market expectations.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FRHC Return | 253% | 35% | -16% | 38% | 62% | 1% | 811% |
| Peers Return | 19% | 43% | -8% | 12% | 52% | 42% | 278% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FRHC Win Rate | 92% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 67% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 67% | 48% | 50% | 65% | 67% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FRHC Max Drawdown | -17% | -12% | -44% | -1% | -19% | -13% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -39% | -2% | -29% | -16% | -5% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: IBKR, SCHW, MS, GS, JPM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FRHC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -45.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 245 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -27.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 69 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -10.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 17 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -95.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2088.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3,536 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to TREE, EQH, FRHC, RILY
In The Past
Freedom's stock fell -45.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/8/2021. A -45.9% loss requires a 85.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FRHC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
| 04302024 | FRHC | Freedom | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 62.1% | 110.0% | -2.0% |
| 06302022 | FRHC | Freedom | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 31.4% | 82.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
| 04302024 | FRHC | Freedom | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 62.1% | 110.0% | -2.0% |
| 06302022 | FRHC | Freedom | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 31.4% | 82.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Freedom
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 154.04 |
| Mkt Cap | 222.3 |
| Rev LTM | 40,806 |
| Op Inc LTM | 4,491 |
| FCF LTM | 356 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -11,841 |
| CFO LTM | 764 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -10,157 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 12.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 16.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 55.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 64.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 13.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -26.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 10.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -28.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 222.3 |
| P/S | 4.5 |
| P/EBIT | 11.6 |
| P/E | 18.2 |
| P/CFO | -2.7 |
| Total Yield | 5.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -6.2% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 3.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 17.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 37.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 142.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 5.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 25.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 65.0% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/13/2024 | -2.4% | -6.4% | -10.8% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | -2.4% | -6.4% | -10.8% |
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | -2.4% | -6.4% | -10.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 6132025 | 10-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2072025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 6142024 | 10-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2092024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 10102023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 8042023 | 10-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2142023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11152022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8102022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5312022 | 10-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2092022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Lukyanov Sergey | *See Remarks | 9022025 | Buy | 171.67 | 5,725 | 982,811 | 22,733,400 | Form |
| 1 | Tukanov Renat | CHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICER | 9022025 | Sell | 173.25 | 3,005 | 520,616 | 519,923 | Form |
| 2 | Yerdessov Azamat | Freedom Life Chief Exec. Ofc. | 8282025 | Sell | 177.00 | 2,007 | 355,239 | 28,407,261 | Form |
| 3 | Lukyanov Sergey | *See Remarks | 7022025 | Buy | 144.05 | 3,800 | 547,390 | 17,804,580 | Form |
| 4 | Tashtitov Askar | President | 6202025 | Buy | 140.75 | 600 | 84,450 | 19,312,026 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |