Freedom (FRHC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $135.12 | Market Cap: $8.1 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Financial Services
Freedom (FRHC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $135.12Market Cap: $8.1 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Diversified Financial Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 110%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 102%, CFO LTM is 2.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.1 Bil | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 2191x |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 20% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.1% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Wealth Management Technology, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 110%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 102%, CFO LTM is 2.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.1 Bil |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 20% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Wealth Management Technology, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 2191x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.1% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FRHC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate -21.5% stock movement for Freedom (FRHC) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Decline in Net Income Despite Revenue Growth: Freedom Holding Corp. reported a decrease in net income for both the first quarter (ending June 30, 2025) and second quarter (ending September 30, 2025) of fiscal year 2026, despite experiencing stable or increased revenue. The net income for Q1 FY2026 was $30.4 million, a slight decrease from the previous year, and for Q2 FY2026, it was $38.7 million, also lower than the same period a year earlier. This indicated significant margin pressures and increased operational expenses.
2. Increased Operating Expenses and Strategic Investments: The company's lower profitability was attributed to "deliberate investments aimed at building the foundation for Freedom Holding Corp.'s next phase of sustainable growth" and expanding capacity across its key business lines and digital infrastructure. Heavy capital spending on new ventures in regions like Turkey and Kazakhstan was also cited as contributing to rising expenses.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FRHC Return | 253% | 35% | -16% | 38% | 62% | 2% | 814% |
| Peers Return | 84% | 38% | -42% | 17% | 14% | 6% | 111% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FRHC Win Rate | 92% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 67% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 71% | 54% | 35% | 48% | 56% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FRHC Max Drawdown | -17% | -12% | -44% | -1% | -19% | -13% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -43% | -20% | -54% | -28% | -29% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TREE, EQH, FRHC, RILY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FRHC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -45.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 245 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -27.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 69 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -10.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 17 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -95.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2088.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3536 days | 1480 days |
Compare to TREE, EQH, FRHC, RILY
In The Past
Freedom's stock fell -45.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/8/2021. A -45.9% loss requires a 85.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FRHC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| 04302024 | FRHC | Freedom | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 62.1% | 110.0% | -2.0% |
| 06302022 | FRHC | Freedom | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 31.4% | 82.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| 04302024 | FRHC | Freedom | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 62.1% | 110.0% | -2.0% |
| 06302022 | FRHC | Freedom | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 31.4% | 82.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Freedom
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 51.17 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.4 |
| Rev LTM | 1,642 |
| Op Inc LTM | 77 |
| FCF LTM | 724 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 119 |
| CFO LTM | 766 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 167 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | -10.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -2.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -4.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 15.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.4 |
| P/S | 1.0 |
| P/EBIT | 3.1 |
| P/E | 31.1 |
| P/CFO | 8.2 |
| Total Yield | -1.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -11.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -19.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 10.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 5.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 83.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -11.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -26.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -4.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -8.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 17.2% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 6132025 | 10-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2072025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 6142024 | 10-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2092024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 10102023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 8042023 | 10-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2142023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11152022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8102022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5312022 | 10-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2092022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Lukyanov Sergey | *See Remarks | 9022025 | Buy | 171.67 | 5,725 | 982,811 | 22,733,400 | Form |
| 1 | Tukanov Renat | CHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICER | 9022025 | Sell | 173.25 | 3,005 | 520,616 | 519,923 | Form |
| 2 | Yerdessov Azamat | Freedom Life Chief Exec. Ofc. | 8282025 | Sell | 177.00 | 2,007 | 355,239 | 28,407,261 | Form |
| 3 | Lukyanov Sergey | *See Remarks | 7022025 | Buy | 144.05 | 3,800 | 547,390 | 17,804,580 | Form |
| 4 | Tashtitov Askar | President | 6202025 | Buy | 140.75 | 600 | 84,450 | 19,312,026 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |