Tearsheet

Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae (FNMA)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $0 | Market Cap: $0
Sector: Financials | Industry: Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance

Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae (FNMA)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $0
Market Cap: $0
Sector: Financials
Industry: Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 21%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 17%, FCF Yield is 7.9%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 5928%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, CFO LTM is 5.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.6 Bil
Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 357%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Finance, Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable & Green Buildings, Fintech & Digital Payments, Show more.
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.2%
3  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 93%
4  High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 114%
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 21%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 17%, FCF Yield is 7.9%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, CFO LTM is 5.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.6 Bil
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Finance, Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable & Green Buildings, Fintech & Digital Payments, Show more.
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 5928%
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 357%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.2%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 93%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 114%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FNMA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The Federal National Mortgage Association (FNMA) experienced several key developments around December 2025 that could influence its stock performance: 1. 1. Fannie Mae confirmed its relocation of the San Francisco office to Birmingham, Alabama, scheduled for 2026. This announcement was made by Senator Tommy Tuberville on December 12, 2025, and subsequently confirmed by Fannie Mae on December 13, 2025, with Senator Tuberville stating that President Donald Trump and Federal Housing Director Bill Pulte were involved in the decision.

2. 2. Fannie Mae announced major policy updates on December 11, 2025, aimed at expanding renovation and Accessory Dwelling Unit (ADU) financing. These changes also included new eligibility for manufactured homes and updates to adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) requirements, intended to improve liquidity and expand access to affordable housing.

3.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FNMA Return-23%-66%-57%203%207%257%275%
Peers Return-14%-29%62%-0%35%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FNMA Win Rate50%33%25%58%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate58%52%43%53%53%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FNMA Max Drawdown-59%-70%-57%0%-11%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-47%-10%-11%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RKT, UWMC, PFSI, NLY, AGNC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFNMAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-85.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven591.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven683 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-64.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven182.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1747 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-75.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven314.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2195 days120 days

Compare to ESNT, WD, SNFCA, GHI, FNMA


In The Past

Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae's stock fell -85.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/26/2021. A -85.5% loss requires a 591.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae (FNMA)

Better Bets than Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae (FNMA)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FNMA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.5%16.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
11.3%11.3%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.8%-1.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.4%5.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.8%-8.8%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.5%16.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
11.3%11.3%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.8%-1.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.4%5.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.8%-8.8%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FNMARKTUWMCPFSINLYAGNCMedian
NameFederal .Rocket C.UWM PennyMac.Annaly C.AGNC Inv. 
Mkt Price11.7018.715.38130.4822.1710.3215.21
Mkt Cap68.639.41.26.714.610.912.7
Rev LTM30,1005,4861,3673,5821,7039562,643
Op Inc LTM---549--549
FCF LTM5,614-1,264-3,355-1,9471,953604-330
FCF 3Y Avg9,925-1,756-3,832-1,8301,260196-780
CFO LTM5,614-854-3,295-1,9112,857604-125
CFO 3Y Avg9,925-1,333-3,791-1,7961,976196-568

Growth & Margins

FNMARKTUWMCPFSINLYAGNCMedian
NameFederal .Rocket C.UWM PennyMac.Annaly C.AGNC Inv. 
Rev Chg LTM-1.0%41.7%63.6%50.7%473.5%-24.1%46.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.4%-0.3%-3.7%17.6%143.3%108.3%8.6%
Rev Chg Q-1.2%141.3%6.4%40.3%637.1%122.3%81.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.3%18.6%1.5%7.6%81.6%92.7%13.1%
Op Mgn LTM---15.3%--15.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg---15.2%--15.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM---3.1%--3.1%
CFO/Rev LTM18.7%-15.6%-241.0%-53.4%167.8%63.2%1.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg33.2%-32.3%-378.8%-67.8%-21.0%-32.3%
FCF/Rev LTM18.7%-23.0%-245.4%-54.4%114.7%63.2%-2.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg33.2%-42.4%-382.5%-69.1%-21.0%-42.4%

Valuation

FNMARKTUWMCPFSINLYAGNCMedian
NameFederal .Rocket C.UWM PennyMac.Annaly C.AGNC Inv. 
Mkt Cap68.639.41.26.714.610.912.7
P/S2.37.41.01.87.810.84.9
P/EBIT---11.7--11.7
P/E4.7-399.679.812.88.912.310.6
P/CFO12.6-47.8-0.4-3.44.617.12.1
Total Yield21.2%-0.3%6.2%8.8%11.3%8.1%8.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%4.9%1.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg207.4%-54.6%-473.7%-37.1%11.4%1.9%-17.6%
D/E59.50.23.03.02.20.02.6
Net D/E59.30.12.32.92.2-0.02.3

Returns

FNMARKTUWMCPFSINLYAGNCMedian
NameFederal .Rocket C.UWM PennyMac.Annaly C.AGNC Inv. 
1M Rtn28.1%9.7%5.5%3.0%2.4%2.8%4.2%
3M Rtn-20.1%-11.3%-21.5%5.0%4.3%5.1%-3.5%
6M Rtn21.6%36.0%34.1%36.8%24.1%19.5%29.1%
12M Rtn357.0%63.3%-3.7%26.3%29.0%25.1%27.7%
3Y Rtn2,817.7%147.1%52.2%142.1%53.4%57.5%99.8%
1M Excs Rtn22.6%4.7%-2.0%1.6%2.0%2.7%2.4%
3M Excs Rtn-20.9%-14.5%-23.5%2.0%0.7%1.8%-6.9%
6M Excs Rtn7.4%21.7%19.8%22.6%9.8%5.2%14.8%
12M Excs Rtn303.2%44.0%-18.5%13.7%15.7%11.6%14.7%
3Y Excs Rtn2,742.0%64.4%-30.4%56.5%-16.2%-9.5%23.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single-Family25,62426,10127,25720,05917,839
Multifamily4,6754,6214,1983,6753,576
Total30,29930,72231,45523,73421,415


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single-Family14,85510,77019,1279,88111,837
Multifamily2,5532,1533,0491,9242,323
Total17,40812,92322,17611,80514,160


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single-Family3,833,5403,844,0923,782,4473,569,1303,149,212
Multifamily491,897461,196446,719416,619354,107
Total4,325,4374,305,2884,229,1663,985,7493,503,319


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity16,322,538
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-9.0%
Average Daily Volume14,481,523
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.13
Basic Shares Quantity5,867,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-4.5%-6.4%-14.7%
7/30/20250.3%-1.7%30.9%
4/30/2025-1.1%0.3%66.8%
2/14/20255.4%8.6%-13.5%
10/31/2024-2.8%35.7%118.9%
7/30/2024-1.5%-21.2%-6.1%
4/30/2024-3.9%-2.6%-3.9%
2/15/2024-0.4%-2.7%17.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive11910
# Negative131514
Median Positive1.5%4.1%25.9%
Median Negative-2.0%-3.2%-10.7%
Max Positive6.6%35.7%118.9%
Max Negative-4.5%-21.2%-44.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022214202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021215202210-K 12/31/2021