Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae (FNMA)


Market Price (7/30/2026): $0 | Market Cap: $-Sector: Financials | Industry: Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance

Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae (FNMA)


Market Price (7/30/2026): $0
Market Cap: $-
Sector: Financials
Industry: Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 43%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 39%, FCF Yield is 118%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 142%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 142%, CFO LTM is 41 Bil, FCF LTM is 41 Bil

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Finance, Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable & Green Buildings, Fintech & Digital Payments, Show more.

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 11945%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.3%

Key risks
FNMA key risks include [1] the profound regulatory and political uncertainty of its government conservatorship, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 43%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 39%, FCF Yield is 118%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 142%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 142%, CFO LTM is 41 Bil, FCF LTM is 41 Bil
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Finance, Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable & Green Buildings, Fintech & Digital Payments, Show more.
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 11945%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.3%
5 Key risks
FNMA key risks include [1] the profound regulatory and political uncertainty of its government conservatorship, Show more.

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/29/2026

Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae (FNMA) stock has lost about 20% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Continued Uncertainty Regarding Privatization and Conservatorship Release: The stock experienced downward pressure due to ongoing uncertainty surrounding the future of Fannie Mae, particularly concerning its release from government conservatorship and the prospects of privatization. This was highlighted by analyst actions, such as Keefe cutting Fannie Mae's price target in mid-July 2026 due to a "lower probability of privatization," and BTIG downgrading the stock in late June 2026 citing "conservatorship release uncertainty."

2. Rising Mortgage Rates and Broader Housing Market Headwinds: Concerns over rising mortgage rates and their potential impact on the broader housing market contributed to negative investor sentiment. Mortgage rates increased for three consecutive weeks in July 2026, reaching multi-month highs amid surging borrowing costs. While Fannie Mae's single-family acquisition volume saw a spring surge in fiscal Q2 2026, the macroeconomic environment of higher rates often leads to investor apprehension about future housing demand and mortgage originations.

Show more
Updated on 7/29/2026

Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae (FNMA) stock has lost about 20% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Continued Uncertainty Regarding Privatization and Conservatorship Release: The stock experienced downward pressure due to ongoing uncertainty surrounding the future of Fannie Mae, particularly concerning its release from government conservatorship and the prospects of privatization. This was highlighted by analyst actions, such as Keefe cutting Fannie Mae's price target in mid-July 2026 due to a "lower probability of privatization," and BTIG downgrading the stock in late June 2026 citing "conservatorship release uncertainty."

2. Rising Mortgage Rates and Broader Housing Market Headwinds: Concerns over rising mortgage rates and their potential impact on the broader housing market contributed to negative investor sentiment. Mortgage rates increased for three consecutive weeks in July 2026, reaching multi-month highs amid surging borrowing costs. While Fannie Mae's single-family acquisition volume saw a spring surge in fiscal Q2 2026, the macroeconomic environment of higher rates often leads to investor apprehension about future housing demand and mortgage originations.

3. Increased Provision for Credit Losses, particularly in the Multifamily Segment: Despite strong overall financial results in fiscal Q2 2026, Fannie Mae's provision for credit losses significantly increased to $485 million, marking a 75% rise from $277 million in fiscal Q1 2026. Management specifically noted "multifamily market stress" and anticipated more delinquencies in this sector, indicating growing credit risk within a specific part of its business which likely weighed on investor outlook.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -17.9% change in FNMA stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -21.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120267292026Change
Stock Price ($)7.265.96-17.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)29,14729,1730.1%
Net Income Margin (%)49.3%51.7%4.9%
P/E Multiple3.02.3-21.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5,8675,8670.0%
Cumulative Contribution-17.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FNMA-17.9% 
Market (SPY)12.2%27.8%
Sector (XLF)14.8%22.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -44.5% change in FNMA stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -44.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120257292026Change
Stock Price ($)10.735.96-44.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)30,03029,173-2.9%
Net Income Margin (%)49.8%51.7%3.8%
P/E Multiple4.22.3-44.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5,8675,8670.0%
Cumulative Contribution-44.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FNMA-44.5% 
Market (SPY)7.3%19.3%
Sector (XLF)4.0%28.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The -37.5% change in FNMA stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -32.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020257292026Change
Stock Price ($)9.545.96-37.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)30,40429,173-4.0%
Net Income Margin (%)53.7%51.7%-3.6%
P/E Multiple3.42.3-32.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5,8675,8670.0%
Cumulative Contribution-37.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FNMA-37.5% 
Market (SPY)19.1%16.9%
Sector (XLF)9.5%19.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 1254.5% change in FNMA stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 1003.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020237292026Change
Stock Price ($)0.445.961254.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)29,84829,173-2.3%
Net Income Margin (%)41.2%51.7%25.6%
P/E Multiple0.22.31003.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5,8675,8670.0%
Cumulative Contribution1254.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FNMA1254.5% 
Market (SPY)70.4%17.5%
Sector (XLF)75.7%21.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
FNMA Return-66%-57%203%207%227%-43%156%
Peers Return-14%-29%62%-0%34%-19%7%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%9%98%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FNMA Win Rate33%25%58%58%58%29% 
Peers Win Rate52%43%53%53%62%43% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%43% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FNMA Max Drawdown-71%-61%-39%-47%-40%-59% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-49%-32%-24%-26%-40% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: RKT, UWMC, PFSI, NLY, AGNC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/29/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventFNMAS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-36.2%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven56.8%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven73 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-23.0%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.8%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven70 days18 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-19.2%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven23.8%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven143 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-51.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven106.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven413 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-62.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven166.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven1701 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-23.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.1%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven7 days105 days

Compare to RKT, UWMC, PFSI, NLY, AGNC

In The Past

Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae's stock fell -36.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 56.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventFNMAS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-36.2%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven56.8%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven73 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-23.0%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.8%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven70 days18 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-51.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven106.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven413 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-62.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven166.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven1701 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-23.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.1%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven7 days105 days

Compare to RKT, UWMC, PFSI, NLY, AGNC

In The Past

Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae's stock fell -36.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 56.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae (FNMA)

Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) is a crucial player in the U.S. housing finance system, primarily serving to provide liquidity and stability to the mortgage market. Its core business involves purchasing mortgage loans from originators and then pooling these loans into mortgage-backed securities (MBS) which are sold to investors. By doing so, Fannie Mae ensures that lenders have capital to issue new mortgages, making homeownership and rental housing more accessible across the country.

The company operates through two main segments: Single-Family and Multifamily. In its Single-Family segment, Fannie Mae securitizes and purchases a wide range of first-lien mortgage loans, including fixed-rate, adjustable-rate, and government-insured loans (FHA, VA, USDA), as well as manufactured housing loans. This segment also offers mortgage servicing and credit risk management. The Multifamily segment focuses on securitizing and purchasing loans for apartment buildings and other multi-unit properties, providing credit enhancement for housing bonds, and investing in low-income housing tax credit (LIHTC) projects, alongside offering various underwriting and risk management services specific to multifamily housing.

Fannie Mae's primary customers are the institutions that originate mortgage loans. These include a broad spectrum of entities such as mortgage banking companies, commercial banks, savings and loan associations, credit unions, and private mortgage originators. Additionally, it serves insurance companies and state and local housing finance agencies. Essentially, Fannie Mae functions as a vital secondary market participant, connecting mortgage lenders with capital markets to sustain the flow of mortgage credit.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae:

  • Fannie Mae is like the Visa or Mastercard for the mortgage market, providing the essential infrastructure, standardization, and guarantees that allow mortgage loans to flow smoothly between lenders and investors.
  • Fannie Mae is a bit like BlackRock or Vanguard, but specifically for mortgage-backed securities, as it is a massive issuer and manager of these pooled mortgage investments.
  • Fannie Mae acts as a kind of utility company for the housing finance sector, providing the foundational liquidity and stability needed for the mortgage market to function continuously.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS): Fannie Mae issues securities backed by pools of mortgage loans, which are sold to investors to provide liquidity to the mortgage market.
  • Mortgage Loan Purchases: Fannie Mae buys single-family and multifamily mortgage loans from lenders, providing them with capital to originate new loans.
  • Credit Enhancement Services: Fannie Mae offers credit guarantees and enhancements for various mortgage-related bonds and securities, reducing investment risk.
  • Mortgage Servicing: Fannie Mae provides or supports the administration and management of mortgage loans throughout their lifecycle.
  • Credit Risk and Loss Management Services: Fannie Mae offers services designed to manage and mitigate financial risks associated with mortgage lending.
  • Investments: Fannie Mae invests in mortgage-related assets, including agency mortgage-backed securities and low-income housing tax credit projects.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae (FNMA) sells primarily to other companies. Its major customers are categories of financial institutions and agencies involved in the mortgage market. These include:

  • Mortgage banking companies
  • Savings and loan associations
  • Savings banks
  • Commercial banks
  • Credit unions
  • Community banks
  • Insurance companies
  • Private mortgage originators
  • State and local housing finance agencies

The provided background information describes these as categories of customers rather than specific named public companies, so individual company symbols cannot be listed.

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Peter Akwaboah, Acting Chief Executive Officer and Chief Operating Officer

Peter Akwaboah was appointed Acting Chief Executive Officer of Fannie Mae in October 2025, in addition to his role as Chief Operating Officer. He has over 30 years of financial services leadership experience, focusing on operations, technology, and innovation. His prior experience includes leadership roles at Morgan Stanley, Royal Bank of Scotland, Deutsche Bank, KPMG, and IBM.

Chryssa C. Halley, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Chryssa C. Halley was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Fannie Mae in December 2021. She is responsible for Fannie Mae's financial management, enterprise modeling, and enterprise strategic planning. Halley joined Fannie Mae in 2006 and has held various positions, including Senior Vice President and Controller, Senior Vice President and Deputy Controller, and several Vice President roles in accounting and capital markets. Before joining Fannie Mae, she served as a Director of Accounting for the Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation and Senior Director, Debt and Derivative Reporting at Freddie Mac. She is a licensed Certified Public Accountant in Maryland.

John Roscoe, Co-President

John Roscoe was appointed Co-President of Fannie Mae in October 2025. Prior to this role, he served as Senior Vice President of Operations and Communications and was a former FHFA chief of staff.

Brandon Hamara, Co-President

Brandon Hamara was appointed Co-President of Fannie Mae in October 2025. He previously served as a board member at Freddie Mac.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

The Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) faces several key risks inherent to its role in the U.S. mortgage market. Here are the key risks to Fannie Mae's business:

1. Conservatorship and Regulatory/Legislative Changes

Fannie Mae has been operating under government conservatorship since September 2008, which significantly limits its operational independence and strategic decision-making. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) exercises substantial control over the company's activities. Uncertainty surrounding its future status, including potential legislative reforms or reprivatization, poses a significant risk. Any changes to its conservatorship, capital requirements, or the explicit or implicit government guarantee on its mortgage-backed securities could fundamentally alter its business model, profitability, and market position.

2. Interest Rate Risk

Fannie Mae is highly exposed to interest rate risk, particularly from its retained mortgage portfolios. Fluctuations in interest rates, especially unexpected movements or mismatches between the maturities of its assets and liabilities, can adversely affect its financial performance and solvency. The embedded prepayment option in most U.S. fixed-rate mortgages further exacerbates this risk, as borrowers tend to refinance when rates decline. While Fannie Mae employs hedging strategies, these may not perfectly mitigate all interest rate exposures.

3. Credit Risk and Economic/Market Volatility

As one of the largest guarantors of U.S. mortgages, Fannie Mae is inherently exposed to credit risk, which is the potential for losses arising from mortgage defaults. Although the company utilizes extensive credit risk management practices, including rigorous underwriting standards, collateral assessment, and credit risk transfer (CRT) programs to offload some of this risk to private investors, a severe downturn in the housing market or broader adverse economic conditions could lead to increased credit losses. The mortgage finance industry is susceptible to overall economic fluctuations, housing market dynamics, and constraints on capital market access, which can further impact Fannie Mae's financial stability and growth trajectory.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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The Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) participates in several substantial addressable markets within the United States. For its main products and services, the estimated market sizes for 2024 are as follows: * **U.S. Single-Family Mortgage Originations:** The total single-family mortgage originations in the U.S. were projected to be $1.98 trillion in 2024. Approximately 3.5 million single-family loans were originated in 2024. * **U.S. Multifamily Mortgage Originations:** The U.S. multifamily lending market originated $288.7 billion in new mortgages for multifamily properties in 2024. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, as government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs), collectively accounted for 41% of this volume. * **U.S. Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) Issuance:** Gross agency issuance of residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) in the U.S. totaled approximately $1.1 trillion in 2024. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac collectively backed about 40% of all securitized U.S. mortgages. * **U.S. Low-Income Housing Tax Credit (LIHTC) Market:** The investor equity closed into housing tax credit funds and direct investments in the U.S. was approximately $28.9 billion in 2024. The LIHTC program itself has an annual cost of roughly $13.5 billion.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) (FNMA) is expected to see several key drivers of revenue growth over the next two to three years:

  1. Growth in the Multifamily Business: Fannie Mae's multifamily guaranty book experienced substantial growth, increasing by $35 billion year-over-year to reach $535 billion by the end of 2025. This expansion contributed to the multifamily segment achieving its highest net income in four years.
  2. Increased Guarantee Fees on New Single-Family Acquisitions: The company is benefiting from higher average guarantee fees on new single-family mortgage acquisitions. In the fourth quarter of 2025, these fees were 6.7 basis points higher than the average for the entire single-family guarantee book, indicating an improved revenue yield on new business.
  3. Rebound in Mortgage Origination Volume, Driven by Purchase Mortgages: Fannie Mae's economic division forecasts a significant recovery in overall mortgage originations, projecting volumes to approach $2.5 trillion by 2027. This anticipated growth is expected to be largely fueled by an increase in purchase mortgages from homebuyers.
  4. Operational Efficiencies and Technology Investments: Management has emphasized a focus on "continued operational excellence, driven by disciplined expense management and ongoing progress to simplify our core processes and technology infrastructure." Initiatives like the new fraud detection partnership with Palantir Technologies also contribute to improving efficiency and reducing losses, thereby enhancing overall profitability and indirectly supporting revenue growth by optimizing operations.

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Share Repurchases

  • In late February 2026, Fannie Mae launched fixed-price cash tender offers to repurchase a wide range of outstanding Connecticut Avenue Securities notes as part of reshaping its credit-risk transfer capital structure.

Share Issuance

  • As of March 31, 2025, one million shares of senior preferred stock were authorized, issued, and outstanding to the U.S. Treasury, a result of its conservatorship.
  • Fannie Mae announced its 2025 Connecticut Avenue Securities (CAS) Issuance Calendar, with an expected total CAS volume of approximately $4 billion across 5-7 transactions. These are debt securities, not equity shares.
  • The company also released its 2025 Benchmark Securities Issuance Calendar for Benchmark Notes and Bills. These are debt instruments issued to provide liquidity and stability in the housing finance market.

Inbound Investments

  • Fannie Mae has been under government conservatorship since 2008, with the U.S. Department of the Treasury holding senior preferred shares.
  • Amendments to the Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement (SPSPA) with the Treasury in January 2025 clarified that it would not impact Fannie Mae's ability to retain capital or the dividends paid to the Treasury on its senior preferred shares. In 2019, the Treasury allowed the GSEs to retain a combined $45 billion in capital, with $25 billion for Fannie Mae.

Outbound Investments

  • Fannie Mae provided approximately $74 billion in financing for the multifamily housing market in 2025, marking a 34% increase from $55 billion in 2024 and its largest annual multifamily volume since 2020.
  • This multifamily financing in 2025 included over $8.3 billion for affordable housing, $7.1 billion in structured transactions, $5.9 billion in small loans, and $1.9 billion in manufactured housing.
  • The company has committed over $5 billion in Low-Income Housing Tax Credit (LIHTC) equity investments since re-entering the LIHTC market in 2018.

Capital Expenditures

  • For the full year of 2025, Fannie Mae reduced administrative expenses by $40 million and total non-interest expenses by $141 million compared to 2024.
  • The reduction in administrative expenses in 2025 was primarily achieved by decreasing its workforce by approximately 1,200 employees, scaling back contractors, and renegotiating key contracts.
  • Fannie Mae has focused on delivering innovative capabilities to enhance internal operating efficiencies and improve loan quality, fraud detection, and quality control within its operations.

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FNMARKTUWMCPFSINLYAGNCMedian
NameFederal .Rocket C.UWM PennyMac.Annaly C.AGNC Inv. 
Mkt Price5.9613.701.9886.0423.0510.9012.30
Mkt Cap35.038.70.64.517.012.214.6
Rev LTM29,1737,8502,0174,9953,1721,6054,084
Op Inc LTM---552--552
FCF LTM41,313-2,076-5,547-4,128-314848-1,195
FCF 3Y Avg14,948-1,694-4,366-1,9891,265327-683
CFO LTM41,313-1,274-5,471-4,060886848-213
CFO 3Y Avg14,948-1,086-4,316-1,9482,157327-379

Growth & Margins

FNMARKTUWMCPFSINLYAGNCMedian
NameFederal .Rocket C.UWM PennyMac.Annaly C.AGNC Inv. 
Rev Chg LTM-3.1%71.4%94.6%40.9%238.3%174.8%83.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.3%31.6%26.9%32.7%231.2%127.2%32.2%
Rev Chg Q1.5%161.3%1,124.8%-9.6%705.6%-246.2%81.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.4%25.6%29.8%-2.0%32.7%-10.7%13.0%
Op Inc Chg LTM---19.3%--19.3%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg---7.6%--7.6%
Op Mgn LTM---11.0%--11.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg---12.2%--12.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM---0.2%--0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM141.6%-16.2%-271.3%-81.3%27.9%52.8%5.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg50.7%-20.4%-316.9%-41.8%-27.5%-20.4%
FCF/Rev LTM141.6%-26.4%-275.0%-82.6%-9.9%52.8%-18.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg50.7%-31.3%-320.5%-42.8%-27.5%-31.3%

Valuation

FNMARKTUWMCPFSINLYAGNCMedian
NameFederal .Rocket C.UWM PennyMac.Annaly C.AGNC Inv. 
Mkt Cap35.038.70.64.517.012.214.6
P/S1.24.90.30.95.47.63.1
P/Op Inc---8.1--8.1
P/EBIT---8.1--8.1
P/E2.3161.98.78.85.88.38.5
P/CFO0.8-30.4-0.1-1.119.214.40.4
Total Yield43.1%0.6%27.0%12.7%29.6%25.8%26.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%15.5%1.4%12.3%13.8%6.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg86.3%-52.6%-654.6%-41.9%13.4%2.7%-19.6%
D/E119.80.79.05.72.20.04.0
Net D/E119.40.68.25.62.2-0.03.9

Returns

FNMARKTUWMCPFSINLYAGNCMedian
NameFederal .Rocket C.UWM PennyMac.Annaly C.AGNC Inv. 
1M Rtn-13.2%-11.6%-5.7%-0.1%2.9%0.2%-2.9%
3M Rtn-16.9%-4.9%-40.3%-3.2%5.7%2.7%-4.0%
6M Rtn-26.7%-34.0%-63.9%-41.1%1.6%-3.1%-30.3%
12M Rtn-30.3%-9.9%-47.3%-8.3%26.2%28.5%-9.1%
3Y Rtn1,254.5%33.7%-61.7%17.0%69.6%62.2%47.9%
1M Excs Rtn-11.6%-9.9%-4.0%1.5%4.6%1.9%-1.3%
3M Excs Rtn-19.4%-13.0%-45.7%-7.8%1.9%-0.8%-10.4%
6M Excs Rtn-34.6%-39.7%-68.5%-46.9%-3.7%-9.1%-37.1%
12M Excs Rtn-35.9%-23.4%-62.7%-21.3%12.6%14.8%-22.3%
3Y Excs Rtn1,149.3%-23.1%-121.0%-50.1%9.0%4.6%-9.3%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single-Family24,25226,02125,43326,10127,257
Multifamily4,9074,7734,6544,6214,198
Total29,15930,79430,08730,72231,455


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single-Family11,41614,43014,85510,77019,127
Multifamily2,9482,5482,5532,1533,049
Total14,36416,97817,40812,92322,176


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single-Family3,757,2613,823,8403,833,5403,844,0923,782,447
Multifamily560,277525,891491,897461,196446,719
Total4,317,5384,349,7314,325,4374,305,2884,229,166


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$5.96 
Market Cap ($ Bil)35.0 
First Trading Date02/26/2016 
Distance from 52W High-61.1% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$6.75$8.97
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-11.7%-33.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility79.0%102.5%
Downside Capture313.05184.40
Upside Capture94.22102.44
Correlation (SPY)23.6%15.0%
FNMA Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.560.831.151.291.121.18
Up Beta-1.12-0.250.581.091.011.13
Down Beta0.500.850.962.581.671.61
Up Capture71%27%78%33%54%322%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days710194393337
Down Capture146%206%234%157%128%79%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days9122361117351

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FNMA
FNMA3.2%102.5%0.46-
Sector ETF (XLF)8.1%14.8%0.3116.6%
Equity (SPY)15.6%12.8%0.8615.3%
Gold (GLD)21.6%28.1%0.681.1%
Commodities (DBC)31.5%19.7%1.27-7.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)15.9%14.0%0.824.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-46.1%42.9%-1.3213.9%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FNMA
FNMA42.8%91.9%0.79-
Sector ETF (XLF)11.0%18.4%0.4616.6%
Equity (SPY)12.4%17.1%0.5516.0%
Gold (GLD)17.1%18.4%0.75-1.6%
Commodities (DBC)9.3%19.5%0.36-0.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.9%18.9%0.059.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)14.7%53.3%0.4612.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FNMA
FNMA13.4%82.3%0.51-
Sector ETF (XLF)13.5%22.0%0.5621.6%
Equity (SPY)14.7%17.9%0.7019.8%
Gold (GLD)11.3%16.1%0.57-2.0%
Commodities (DBC)7.1%18.0%0.327.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.1%20.7%0.2113.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)57.7%66.2%0.986.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity15.1 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 63020260.6%
Average Daily Volume7.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.1 days
Basic Shares Quantity5,867.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares0.3%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 7/29/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/29/20260.0%12.4%2.9%
2/11/20260.5%-2.7%-27.3%
10/29/2025-4.5%-6.4%-14.7%
7/30/20250.3%-1.7%30.9%
4/30/2025-1.1%0.3%66.8%
2/14/20255.4%8.6%-13.5%
10/31/2024-2.8%35.7%118.9%
7/30/2024-1.5%-21.2%-6.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121010
# Negative121414
Median Positive1.2%6.3%20.9%
Median Negative-2.4%-3.3%-10.7%
Max Positive6.6%35.7%118.9%
Max Negative-4.5%-21.2%-27.3%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/29/20260.0%12.4%2.9%
2/11/20260.5%-2.7%-27.3%
10/29/2025-4.5%-6.4%-14.7%
7/30/20250.3%-1.7%30.9%
4/30/2025-1.1%0.3%66.8%
2/14/20255.4%8.6%-13.5%
10/31/2024-2.8%35.7%118.9%
7/30/2024-1.5%-21.2%-6.1%
4/30/2024-3.9%-2.6%-3.9%
2/15/2024-0.4%-2.7%17.4%
10/31/20232.6%1.6%2.9%
8/1/20236.6%2.3%24.5%
5/2/20231.5%13.1%2.6%
2/14/2023-3.0%-3.5%-16.3%
11/8/2022-3.6%-3.3%-19.7%
7/29/20221.5%4.1%-2.3%
5/3/2022-2.0%-7.0%-1.6%
2/15/20220.9%-7.7%-11.7%
10/29/2021-0.6%21.6%-0.7%
8/3/20212.0%-3.2%-19.4%
4/30/20210.2%-10.5%-9.7%
2/12/2021-1.0%-1.6%-1.0%
10/29/20200.0%-1.6%38.3%
7/30/2020-3.5%1.2%9.4%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121010
# Negative121414
Median Positive1.2%6.3%20.9%
Median Negative-2.4%-3.3%-10.7%
Max Positive6.6%35.7%118.9%
Max Negative-4.5%-21.2%-27.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/29/202610-Q
03/31/202604/29/202610-Q
12/31/202502/11/202610-K
09/30/202510/29/202510-Q
06/30/202507/30/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202402/14/202510-K
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202407/30/202410-Q
03/31/202404/30/202410-Q
12/31/202302/15/202410-K
09/30/202310/31/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/14/202310-K
09/30/202211/08/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/29/202610-Q
03/31/202604/29/202610-Q
12/31/202502/11/202610-K
09/30/202510/29/202510-Q
06/30/202507/30/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202402/14/202510-K
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202407/30/202410-Q
03/31/202404/30/202410-Q
12/31/202302/15/202410-K
09/30/202310/31/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/14/202310-K
09/30/202211/08/202210-Q
06/30/202207/29/202210-Q
03/31/202205/03/202210-Q
12/31/202102/15/202210-K
09/30/202110/29/202110-Q
06/30/202108/03/202110-Q
03/31/202104/30/202110-Q
12/31/202002/12/202110-K
09/30/202010/29/202010-Q
06/30/202007/30/202010-Q
03/31/202005/01/202010-Q
12/31/201902/13/202010-K
09/30/201910/31/201910-Q

Insider Activity

Updated 4/26/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Stucky, Michael DirectSell50820256.408,000  Form
2Stucky, Michael DirectBuy50820256.418,00051,28051,280Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Stucky, Michael DirectSell50820256.408,000  Form
2Stucky, Michael DirectBuy50820256.418,00051,28051,280Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Jul 30, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
CapWealth Advisors, LLC$181.2 Mil13.4%118Hold13F
Active Manager
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
CapWealth Advisors, LLC$181.2 Mil13.4%118Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/29/2026