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    Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae (FNMA)

    Market Price (9/13/2026): $0 | Market Cap: $-Sector: Financials | Industry: Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance

    Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae (FNMA)

    Market Price (9/13/2026): $0
    Market Cap: $-
    Sector: Financials
    Industry: Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance

    Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

    0

    Attractive yield
    Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 45%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 41%, FCF Yield is 123%

    Attractive cash flow generation
    CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 142%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 142%, CFO LTM is 41 Bil, FCF LTM is 41 Bil

    Megatrend and thematic drivers
    Megatrends include Sustainable Finance, Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable & Green Buildings, Fintech & Digital Payments, Show more.

    Debt is significant
    Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 12403%

    Weak revenue growth
    Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.3%

    Key risks
    FNMA key risks include [1] the profound regulatory and political uncertainty of its government conservatorship, Show more.

    0 Attractive yield
    Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 45%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 41%, FCF Yield is 123%
    1 Attractive cash flow generation
    CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 142%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 142%, CFO LTM is 41 Bil, FCF LTM is 41 Bil
    2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
    Megatrends include Sustainable Finance, Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable & Green Buildings, Fintech & Digital Payments, Show more.
    3 Debt is significant
    Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 12403%
    4 Weak revenue growth
    Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.3%
    5 Key risks
    FNMA key risks include [1] the profound regulatory and political uncertainty of its government conservatorship, Show more.

    Valuation & Metrics

    FYE: 12/31FNMA [1]S&P 500 [2]
    REVENUE GROWTH
    LTM Revenue [3]$29.2 Bil—
    FY 2026 Sales$29.3 Bil—
    FY 2027 Sales$30.0 Bil—
    FY 2026 Sales Growth0.5%—
    FY 2027 Sales Growth2.2%13.0%
    EARNINGS
    LTM Net Income (GAAP) [3]$15.1 Bil—
    FY 2026 Net Income (Non-GAAP)$15.5 Bil—
    FY 2027 Net Income (Non-GAAP)$15.9 Bil—
    FY 2027 Net Income Growth2.3%18.4%
    FY 2026 EPS (Non-GAAP)$2.63—
    FY 2027 EPS (Non-GAAP)$2.69—
    FY 2027 EPS Growth2.1%—
    VALUATION
    FY 2026 P/S—1.6
    FY 2027 P/S——
    FY 2026 P/E—7.4
    FY 2027 P/E——

    [1] FNMA forward figures are analyst consensus for the next two fiscal years (fiscal year end 12/31). Net Income and EPS are non-GAAP (adjusted) consensus. P/S and P/E divide the current market cap by the consensus figure.
    [2] S&P 500 figures are the SPY ETF's holdings-weighted forward aggregate. P/S and P/E reflect FY1/FY2 consensus blended to the 12-month window ending 9/30/27 (~one year forward), shown when ≥90% of index weight has estimates. Growth is the aggregate next-fiscal-year vs current-fiscal-year (FY1→FY2) change. Index-level dollar Sales, Net Income and EPS are not applicable.
    [3] LTM = reported trailing-twelve-month actuals (GAAP).
    null

    AI Analysis | Feedback

    MetricValueDateSource
    Single-Family Acquisition Volume904000000009302025Link
    Multifamily New Business Volume5500000000012312024Link
    Single-Family Serious Delinquency Rate0.00549302025Link
    Multifamily Serious Delinquency Rate0.00689302025Link
    Guaranty Book41000000000009302025Link
    Households Helped (Buy, Refinance, or Rent)4000009302025Link
    First-Time Homebuyers Helped2070009302025Link
    Green Financing Loan Production Volume1510000000012312024Link
    Single-Family Weighted-Average FICO Score at Origination7539302025Link
    Single-Family Weighted-Average Loan-to-Value Ratio0.509302025Link
    Average Charged Guaranty Fee on New Conventional Single-Family Acquisitions0.005639302025Link
    Unpaid Principal Balance of Single-Family Loans Covered by Credit Insurance Risk Transfer (CIRT)10000000000009302025Link

    Price Chart

    No Events

    Why The Stock Moved

    Qualitative Assessment

    AI Analysis | Feedback

    Updated on 9/1/2026

    Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae (FNMA) stock has lost about 20% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

    1. Persistent Conservatorship and Substantial Capital Shortfall. Fannie Mae remains under government conservatorship, a status that continues to weigh on investor sentiment. As of June 30, 2026, which marks the end of fiscal Q2 2026, the company's available risk-based capital stood at $5 billion, significantly below the statutory required level of $117 billion. This $112 billion capital deficit highlights the extensive financial requirements needed for an eventual exit from conservatorship and suggests a prolonged timeline for privatization. Congressional discussions in June 2026 about establishing a roadmap to end the conservatorship further underscore the ongoing uncertainty and lack of an immediate resolution to this long-standing issue.

    2. Elevated and Stabilized Mortgage Interest Rates. A primary macroeconomic factor impacting Fannie Mae's stock performance has been the sustained elevated level of 30-year fixed mortgage rates. These rates averaged around 6.66% to 6.78% throughout July and August 2026. The Federal Reserve's decision to hold its target rate steady in July 2026, with some committee members favoring an increase, and Chairman Kevin Warsh's emphasis on inflation concerns in late August, signaled that near-term rate relief is unlikely. This high-rate environment continues to suppress mortgage demand and housing market activity, directly affecting Fannie Mae's business volume.

    Show more
    Updated on 9/1/2026

    Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae (FNMA) stock has lost about 20% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

    1. Persistent Conservatorship and Substantial Capital Shortfall. Fannie Mae remains under government conservatorship, a status that continues to weigh on investor sentiment. As of June 30, 2026, which marks the end of fiscal Q2 2026, the company's available risk-based capital stood at $5 billion, significantly below the statutory required level of $117 billion. This $112 billion capital deficit highlights the extensive financial requirements needed for an eventual exit from conservatorship and suggests a prolonged timeline for privatization. Congressional discussions in June 2026 about establishing a roadmap to end the conservatorship further underscore the ongoing uncertainty and lack of an immediate resolution to this long-standing issue.

    2. Elevated and Stabilized Mortgage Interest Rates. A primary macroeconomic factor impacting Fannie Mae's stock performance has been the sustained elevated level of 30-year fixed mortgage rates. These rates averaged around 6.66% to 6.78% throughout July and August 2026. The Federal Reserve's decision to hold its target rate steady in July 2026, with some committee members favoring an increase, and Chairman Kevin Warsh's emphasis on inflation concerns in late August, signaled that near-term rate relief is unlikely. This high-rate environment continues to suppress mortgage demand and housing market activity, directly affecting Fannie Mae's business volume.

    3. Deteriorating Housing Market Outlook and Reduced Activity. The housing market showed signs of slowing, influenced by the elevated mortgage rates. Pending home sales declined 5.4% from May to June 2026, while new home sales fell 10.5% in July. Although existing home inventory increased 1.3% year-over-year in June and new listings rose 2.4% year-over-year in June, the market is described as "recalibrating" with buyers gaining more negotiating power. Fannie Mae's own economic forecast in August 2026 reflected this challenging outlook, revising its projection for the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate upward to 6.8% for fiscal Q4 2026 through the first half of 2027, an increase from its July outlook of 6.4%.

    4. Analyst Downgrades and Price Target Reductions. During the specified period, several financial analysts expressed a less favorable outlook for Fannie Mae. In June 2026, BTIG Research downgraded the stock from a "buy" to a "neutral" rating. Subsequently, in July 2026, B. Riley Financial decreased its price target for Fannie Mae from $8.00 to $7.00. These actions by analysts likely contributed to negative market sentiment and downward pressure on the stock price.

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    Stock Movement Drivers

    Fundamental Drivers

    The -19.0% change in FNMA stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -22.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
    (LTM values as of)53120269122026Change
    Stock Price ($)7.085.74-19.0%
    Change Contribution By: 
    Total Revenues ($ Mil)29,06429,1730.4%
    Net Income Margin (%)49.6%51.7%4.2%
    P/E Multiple2.92.2-22.5%
    Shares Outstanding (Mil)5,8675,8670.0%
    Cumulative Contribution-19.0%

    LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

    Market Drivers

    5/31/2026 to 9/12/2026
    ReturnCorrelation
    FNMA-19.0% 
    Market (SPY)1.0%15.0%
    Sector (XLF)11.0%13.6%

    Fundamental Drivers

    The -20.3% change in FNMA stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -24.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
    (LTM values as of)22820269122026Change
    Stock Price ($)7.205.74-20.3%
    Change Contribution By: 
    Total Revenues ($ Mil)29,14729,1730.1%
    Net Income Margin (%)49.3%51.7%4.9%
    P/E Multiple2.92.2-24.1%
    Shares Outstanding (Mil)5,8675,8670.0%
    Cumulative Contribution-20.3%

    LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

    Market Drivers

    2/28/2026 to 9/12/2026
    ReturnCorrelation
    FNMA-20.3% 
    Market (SPY)11.7%15.1%
    Sector (XLF)11.9%24.5%

    Fundamental Drivers

    The -49.2% change in FNMA stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -49.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
    (LTM values as of)83120259122026Change
    Stock Price ($)11.295.74-49.2%
    Change Contribution By: 
    Total Revenues ($ Mil)30,11629,173-3.1%
    Net Income Margin (%)50.3%51.7%2.8%
    P/E Multiple4.42.2-49.0%
    Shares Outstanding (Mil)5,8675,8670.0%
    Cumulative Contribution-49.2%

    LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

    Market Drivers

    8/31/2025 to 9/12/2026
    ReturnCorrelation
    FNMA-49.2% 
    Market (SPY)19.5%18.3%
    Sector (XLF)7.3%22.0%

    Fundamental Drivers

    The 814.6% change in FNMA stock from 8/31/2023 to 9/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 665.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
    (LTM values as of)83120239122026Change
    Stock Price ($)0.635.74814.6%
    Change Contribution By: 
    Total Revenues ($ Mil)29,01329,1730.6%
    Net Income Margin (%)43.5%51.7%18.8%
    P/E Multiple0.32.2665.4%
    Shares Outstanding (Mil)5,8675,8670.0%
    Cumulative Contribution814.6%

    LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

    Market Drivers

    8/31/2023 to 9/12/2026
    ReturnCorrelation
    FNMA814.6% 
    Market (SPY)75.7%20.0%
    Sector (XLF)74.0%23.8%

    Return vs. Risk

    Price Returns Compared

     202120222023202420252026Total [1]
    Returns
    FNMA Return-66%-57%203%207%227%-47%138%
    Peers Return-14%-29%62%-0%34%-27%-3%
    S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%11%102%

    Monthly Win Rates [3]
    FNMA Win Rate33%25%58%58%58%33% 
    Peers Win Rate52%43%53%53%62%38% 
    S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%44% 

    Max Drawdowns [4]
    FNMA Max Drawdown-71%-61%-39%-47%-40%-59% 
    Peers Max Drawdown-34%-49%-32%-24%-26%-43% 
    S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 

    [1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
    [2] Peers: RKT, UWMC, PFSI, NLY, AGNC.
    [3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
    [4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
    [5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/11/2026 (YTD)

    How Low Can It Go

    EventFNMAS&P 500
    2025 US Tariff Shock
      % Loss-36.2%-18.8%
      % Gain to Breakeven56.8%23.1%
      Time to Breakeven73 days79 days
    2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
      % Loss-23.0%-7.8%
      % Gain to Breakeven29.8%8.5%
      Time to Breakeven70 days18 days
    2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
      % Loss-19.2%-6.7%
      % Gain to Breakeven23.8%7.1%
      Time to Breakeven143 days31 days
    2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
      % Loss-51.5%-24.5%
      % Gain to Breakeven106.3%32.4%
      Time to Breakeven413 days427 days
    2020 COVID-19 Crash
      % Loss-62.5%-33.7%
      % Gain to Breakeven166.4%50.9%
      Time to Breakeven1701 days140 days
    Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
      % Loss-23.7%-19.2%
      % Gain to Breakeven31.1%23.8%
      Time to Breakeven7 days105 days

    Compare to RKT, UWMC, PFSI, NLY, AGNC

    In The Past

    Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae's stock fell -36.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 56.8% gain to breakeven.

    Preserve Wealth

    Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

    Asset Allocation

    Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

    EventFNMAS&P 500
    2025 US Tariff Shock
      % Loss-36.2%-18.8%
      % Gain to Breakeven56.8%23.1%
      Time to Breakeven73 days79 days
    2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
      % Loss-23.0%-7.8%
      % Gain to Breakeven29.8%8.5%
      Time to Breakeven70 days18 days
    2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
      % Loss-51.5%-24.5%
      % Gain to Breakeven106.3%32.4%
      Time to Breakeven413 days427 days
    2020 COVID-19 Crash
      % Loss-62.5%-33.7%
      % Gain to Breakeven166.4%50.9%
      Time to Breakeven1701 days140 days
    Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
      % Loss-23.7%-19.2%
      % Gain to Breakeven31.1%23.8%
      Time to Breakeven7 days105 days

    Compare to RKT, UWMC, PFSI, NLY, AGNC

    In The Past

    Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae's stock fell -36.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 56.8% gain to breakeven.

    Preserve Wealth

    Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

    Asset Allocation

    Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

    About Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae (FNMA)

    Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) is a crucial player in the U.S. housing finance system, primarily serving to provide liquidity and stability to the mortgage market. Its core business involves purchasing mortgage loans from originators and then pooling these loans into mortgage-backed securities (MBS) which are sold to investors. By doing so, Fannie Mae ensures that lenders have capital to issue new mortgages, making homeownership and rental housing more accessible across the country.

    The company operates through two main segments: Single-Family and Multifamily. In its Single-Family segment, Fannie Mae securitizes and purchases a wide range of first-lien mortgage loans, including fixed-rate, adjustable-rate, and government-insured loans (FHA, VA, USDA), as well as manufactured housing loans. This segment also offers mortgage servicing and credit risk management. The Multifamily segment focuses on securitizing and purchasing loans for apartment buildings and other multi-unit properties, providing credit enhancement for housing bonds, and investing in low-income housing tax credit (LIHTC) projects, alongside offering various underwriting and risk management services specific to multifamily housing.

    Fannie Mae's primary customers are the institutions that originate mortgage loans. These include a broad spectrum of entities such as mortgage banking companies, commercial banks, savings and loan associations, credit unions, and private mortgage originators. Additionally, it serves insurance companies and state and local housing finance agencies. Essentially, Fannie Mae functions as a vital secondary market participant, connecting mortgage lenders with capital markets to sustain the flow of mortgage credit.

    AI Analysis | Feedback

    Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae:

    • Fannie Mae is like the Visa or Mastercard for the mortgage market, providing the essential infrastructure, standardization, and guarantees that allow mortgage loans to flow smoothly between lenders and investors.
    • Fannie Mae is a bit like BlackRock or Vanguard, but specifically for mortgage-backed securities, as it is a massive issuer and manager of these pooled mortgage investments.
    • Fannie Mae acts as a kind of utility company for the housing finance sector, providing the foundational liquidity and stability needed for the mortgage market to function continuously.

    AI Analysis | Feedback

    • Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS): Fannie Mae issues securities backed by pools of mortgage loans, which are sold to investors to provide liquidity to the mortgage market.
    • Mortgage Loan Purchases: Fannie Mae buys single-family and multifamily mortgage loans from lenders, providing them with capital to originate new loans.
    • Credit Enhancement Services: Fannie Mae offers credit guarantees and enhancements for various mortgage-related bonds and securities, reducing investment risk.
    • Mortgage Servicing: Fannie Mae provides or supports the administration and management of mortgage loans throughout their lifecycle.
    • Credit Risk and Loss Management Services: Fannie Mae offers services designed to manage and mitigate financial risks associated with mortgage lending.
    • Investments: Fannie Mae invests in mortgage-related assets, including agency mortgage-backed securities and low-income housing tax credit projects.

    AI Analysis | Feedback

    ```html

    Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae (FNMA) sells primarily to other companies. Its major customers are categories of financial institutions and agencies involved in the mortgage market. These include:

    • Mortgage banking companies
    • Savings and loan associations
    • Savings banks
    • Commercial banks
    • Credit unions
    • Community banks
    • Insurance companies
    • Private mortgage originators
    • State and local housing finance agencies

    The provided background information describes these as categories of customers rather than specific named public companies, so individual company symbols cannot be listed.

    ```

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    Peter Akwaboah, Acting Chief Executive Officer and Chief Operating Officer

    Peter Akwaboah was appointed Acting Chief Executive Officer of Fannie Mae in October 2025, in addition to his role as Chief Operating Officer. He has over 30 years of financial services leadership experience, focusing on operations, technology, and innovation. His prior experience includes leadership roles at Morgan Stanley, Royal Bank of Scotland, Deutsche Bank, KPMG, and IBM.

    Chryssa C. Halley, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

    Chryssa C. Halley was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Fannie Mae in December 2021. She is responsible for Fannie Mae's financial management, enterprise modeling, and enterprise strategic planning. Halley joined Fannie Mae in 2006 and has held various positions, including Senior Vice President and Controller, Senior Vice President and Deputy Controller, and several Vice President roles in accounting and capital markets. Before joining Fannie Mae, she served as a Director of Accounting for the Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation and Senior Director, Debt and Derivative Reporting at Freddie Mac. She is a licensed Certified Public Accountant in Maryland.

    John Roscoe, Co-President

    John Roscoe was appointed Co-President of Fannie Mae in October 2025. Prior to this role, he served as Senior Vice President of Operations and Communications and was a former FHFA chief of staff.

    Brandon Hamara, Co-President

    Brandon Hamara was appointed Co-President of Fannie Mae in October 2025. He previously served as a board member at Freddie Mac.

    ```

    AI Analysis | Feedback

    The Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) faces several key risks inherent to its role in the U.S. mortgage market. Here are the key risks to Fannie Mae's business:

    1. Conservatorship and Regulatory/Legislative Changes

    Fannie Mae has been operating under government conservatorship since September 2008, which significantly limits its operational independence and strategic decision-making. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) exercises substantial control over the company's activities. Uncertainty surrounding its future status, including potential legislative reforms or reprivatization, poses a significant risk. Any changes to its conservatorship, capital requirements, or the explicit or implicit government guarantee on its mortgage-backed securities could fundamentally alter its business model, profitability, and market position.

    2. Interest Rate Risk

    Fannie Mae is highly exposed to interest rate risk, particularly from its retained mortgage portfolios. Fluctuations in interest rates, especially unexpected movements or mismatches between the maturities of its assets and liabilities, can adversely affect its financial performance and solvency. The embedded prepayment option in most U.S. fixed-rate mortgages further exacerbates this risk, as borrowers tend to refinance when rates decline. While Fannie Mae employs hedging strategies, these may not perfectly mitigate all interest rate exposures.

    3. Credit Risk and Economic/Market Volatility

    As one of the largest guarantors of U.S. mortgages, Fannie Mae is inherently exposed to credit risk, which is the potential for losses arising from mortgage defaults. Although the company utilizes extensive credit risk management practices, including rigorous underwriting standards, collateral assessment, and credit risk transfer (CRT) programs to offload some of this risk to private investors, a severe downturn in the housing market or broader adverse economic conditions could lead to increased credit losses. The mortgage finance industry is susceptible to overall economic fluctuations, housing market dynamics, and constraints on capital market access, which can further impact Fannie Mae's financial stability and growth trajectory.

    AI Analysis | Feedback

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    The Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) participates in several substantial addressable markets within the United States. For its main products and services, the estimated market sizes for 2024 are as follows: * **U.S. Single-Family Mortgage Originations:** The total single-family mortgage originations in the U.S. were projected to be $1.98 trillion in 2024. Approximately 3.5 million single-family loans were originated in 2024. * **U.S. Multifamily Mortgage Originations:** The U.S. multifamily lending market originated $288.7 billion in new mortgages for multifamily properties in 2024. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, as government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs), collectively accounted for 41% of this volume. * **U.S. Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) Issuance:** Gross agency issuance of residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) in the U.S. totaled approximately $1.1 trillion in 2024. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac collectively backed about 40% of all securitized U.S. mortgages. * **U.S. Low-Income Housing Tax Credit (LIHTC) Market:** The investor equity closed into housing tax credit funds and direct investments in the U.S. was approximately $28.9 billion in 2024. The LIHTC program itself has an annual cost of roughly $13.5 billion.

    AI Analysis | Feedback

    The Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) (FNMA) is expected to see several key drivers of revenue growth over the next two to three years:

    1. Growth in the Multifamily Business: Fannie Mae's multifamily guaranty book experienced substantial growth, increasing by $35 billion year-over-year to reach $535 billion by the end of 2025. This expansion contributed to the multifamily segment achieving its highest net income in four years.
    2. Increased Guarantee Fees on New Single-Family Acquisitions: The company is benefiting from higher average guarantee fees on new single-family mortgage acquisitions. In the fourth quarter of 2025, these fees were 6.7 basis points higher than the average for the entire single-family guarantee book, indicating an improved revenue yield on new business.
    3. Rebound in Mortgage Origination Volume, Driven by Purchase Mortgages: Fannie Mae's economic division forecasts a significant recovery in overall mortgage originations, projecting volumes to approach $2.5 trillion by 2027. This anticipated growth is expected to be largely fueled by an increase in purchase mortgages from homebuyers.
    4. Operational Efficiencies and Technology Investments: Management has emphasized a focus on "continued operational excellence, driven by disciplined expense management and ongoing progress to simplify our core processes and technology infrastructure." Initiatives like the new fraud detection partnership with Palantir Technologies also contribute to improving efficiency and reducing losses, thereby enhancing overall profitability and indirectly supporting revenue growth by optimizing operations.

    AI Analysis | Feedback

    Share Repurchases

    • In late February 2026, Fannie Mae launched fixed-price cash tender offers to repurchase a wide range of outstanding Connecticut Avenue Securities notes as part of reshaping its credit-risk transfer capital structure.

    Share Issuance

    • As of March 31, 2025, one million shares of senior preferred stock were authorized, issued, and outstanding to the U.S. Treasury, a result of its conservatorship.
    • Fannie Mae announced its 2025 Connecticut Avenue Securities (CAS) Issuance Calendar, with an expected total CAS volume of approximately $4 billion across 5-7 transactions. These are debt securities, not equity shares.
    • The company also released its 2025 Benchmark Securities Issuance Calendar for Benchmark Notes and Bills. These are debt instruments issued to provide liquidity and stability in the housing finance market.

    Inbound Investments

    • Fannie Mae has been under government conservatorship since 2008, with the U.S. Department of the Treasury holding senior preferred shares.
    • Amendments to the Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement (SPSPA) with the Treasury in January 2025 clarified that it would not impact Fannie Mae's ability to retain capital or the dividends paid to the Treasury on its senior preferred shares. In 2019, the Treasury allowed the GSEs to retain a combined $45 billion in capital, with $25 billion for Fannie Mae.

    Outbound Investments

    • Fannie Mae provided approximately $74 billion in financing for the multifamily housing market in 2025, marking a 34% increase from $55 billion in 2024 and its largest annual multifamily volume since 2020.
    • This multifamily financing in 2025 included over $8.3 billion for affordable housing, $7.1 billion in structured transactions, $5.9 billion in small loans, and $1.9 billion in manufactured housing.
    • The company has committed over $5 billion in Low-Income Housing Tax Credit (LIHTC) equity investments since re-entering the LIHTC market in 2018.

    Capital Expenditures

    • For the full year of 2025, Fannie Mae reduced administrative expenses by $40 million and total non-interest expenses by $141 million compared to 2024.
    • The reduction in administrative expenses in 2025 was primarily achieved by decreasing its workforce by approximately 1,200 employees, scaling back contractors, and renegotiating key contracts.
    • Fannie Mae has focused on delivering innovative capabilities to enhance internal operating efficiencies and improve loan quality, fraud detection, and quality control within its operations.

    Peer Outperformance in Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance

    FNMA has outperformed 100% of its 11 Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance peers over 5Y. Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance ranks 14th of 18 industries in Financials by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
    Share of Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance constituents that FNMA has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
    1Y
    29%
    of 14 industry peers · -60.8% return
    3Y
    100%
    of 12 industry peers · 728.9% return
    5Y
    100%
    of 11 industry peers · 468.0% return
    No Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten FNMA by more than 20pp over 5Y.
    Median price return by industry across the Financials sector, ranked by 5Y. Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance is FNMA's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
    Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
    Investment Banking & Brokerage 13 4.4%115.9%133.5% IBKR 504% · SNEX 259% · GS 184%
    Reinsurance 6 18.8%75.0%128.6% SPNT 164% · RGA 139% · RNR 130%
    Diversified Banks 12 37.8%130.5%117.6% JPM 153% · CM 150% · RY 141%
    Life & Health Insurance 20 8.2%55.1%98.8% JXN 535% · UNM 318% · FG 203%
    Multi-Sector Holdings 4 3.5%56.7%80.3% JONE 361% · BRK-B 82% · VOYA 78%
    Regional Banks 265 26.8%88.4%67.0% GCBC 365% · ESQ 361% · VBNK 332%
    Property & Casualty Insurance 42 9.4%71.1%65.5% ASIC 2746900% · HRTG 461% · UVE 304%
    Multi-line Insurance 9 8.9%79.6%60.7% GNW 185% · L 105% · SLF 90%
    Financial Exchanges & Data 15 -6.5%13.6%30.1% VIRT 207% · CBOE 141% · CME 80%
    Consumer Finance 30 5.7%90.3%29.6% ENVA 588% · EZPW 373% · FCFS 176%
    Diversified Financial Services 4 0.9%12.2%22.0% FRHC 171% · EQH 102% · TMS -58%
    Insurance Brokers 16 -17.9%-3.4%18.7% LIFE 340% · ARX 89% · AJG 75%
    Asset Management & Custody Banks 83 -10.8%14.5%13.3% WT 326% · SII 288% · VCTR 281%
    Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance ← 12 -48.2%30.3%1.8% FNMA 468% · FMCC 441% · ESNT 65%
    Specialized Finance 3 27.4%41.6%-1.5% EFC 30% · CACC -1% · HASI -15%
    Mortgage REITs 33 -13.2%9.8%-14.7% NREF 52% · RITM 47% · DX 36%
    Diversified Capital Markets 21 -33.6%5.8%-35.8% BTCS 569% · OPY 212% · LPLA 150%
    Transaction & Payment Processing Services 15 2.2%-8.2%-43.1% V 71% · MA 69% · CPAY 57%
    Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

    Latest Trefis Analyses

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    Peers to compare with:

    Financials

    FNMARKTUWMCPFSINLYAGNCMedian
    NameFederal .Rocket C.UWM PennyMac.Annaly C.AGNC Inv. 
    Mkt Price5.7413.181.3570.3621.9010.1511.66
    Mkt Cap33.737.40.53.716.211.714.0
    Rev LTM29,1738,9571,2535,0363,1722,4014,104
    Op Inc LTM---506--506
    FCF LTM41,313-1,436-4,922-1,853-314886-875
    FCF 3Y Avg14,948-2,063-3,638-2,0181,265420-799
    CFO LTM41,313-634-4,861-1,786886886126
    CFO 3Y Avg14,948-1,396-3,586-1,9772,157420-488

    Growth & Margins

    FNMARKTUWMCPFSINLYAGNCMedian
    NameFederal .Rocket C.UWM PennyMac.Annaly C.AGNC Inv. 
    Rev Chg LTM-3.1%94.2%-6.9%33.9%238.3%384.1%64.0%
    Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.3%41.3%2.7%30.9%231.2%252.2%36.1%
    Rev Chg Q1.5%86.0%-117.2%4.4%705.6%710.7%45.2%
    QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.4%14.2%-37.8%0.8%32.7%49.6%7.5%
    Op Inc Chg LTM---25.0%--25.0%
    Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg---10.7%--10.7%
    Op Mgn LTM---10.1%--10.1%
    Op Mgn 3Y Avg---11.6%--11.6%
    QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM----1.0%---1.0%
    CFO/Rev LTM141.6%-7.1%-387.8%-35.5%27.9%36.9%10.4%
    CFO/Rev 3Y Avg50.7%-28.5%-300.5%-55.1%-37.7%-28.5%
    FCF/Rev LTM141.6%-16.0%-392.7%-36.8%-9.9%36.9%-13.0%
    FCF/Rev 3Y Avg50.7%-40.3%-304.6%-56.1%-37.7%-40.3%

    Valuation

    FNMARKTUWMCPFSINLYAGNCMedian
    NameFederal .Rocket C.UWM PennyMac.Annaly C.AGNC Inv. 
    Mkt Cap33.737.40.53.716.211.714.0
    P/S1.24.20.40.75.14.92.7
    P/Op Inc---7.2--7.2
    P/EBIT---7.2--7.2
    P/E2.279.3-12.39.35.55.25.3
    P/CFO0.8-59.0-0.1-2.018.313.30.4
    Total Yield44.8%1.3%14.6%12.5%31.2%34.2%22.9%
    Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%22.8%1.7%13.0%14.9%7.3%
    FCF Yield 3Y Avg86.3%-73.3%-488.4%-42.0%13.4%3.6%-19.2%
    D/E124.40.713.56.52.40.04.4
    Net D/E124.00.712.46.32.3-0.04.3

    Returns

    FNMARKTUWMCPFSINLYAGNCMedian
    NameFederal .Rocket C.UWM PennyMac.Annaly C.AGNC Inv. 
    1M Rtn-7.6%-12.4%-17.2%-11.1%-6.4%-6.4%-9.4%
    3M Rtn-11.6%0.8%-40.7%-13.5%2.9%1.8%-5.4%
    6M Rtn-6.0%-6.8%-60.3%-15.8%7.1%6.2%-6.4%
    12M Rtn-60.8%-37.5%-78.0%-42.8%13.5%14.2%-40.1%
    3Y Rtn728.9%43.0%-66.6%6.8%61.1%58.8%50.9%
    1M Excs Rtn-6.4%-5.0%-9.4%-7.1%-4.1%-4.5%-5.7%
    3M Excs Rtn-10.6%-5.4%-44.5%-16.0%-0.7%-1.7%-8.0%
    6M Excs Rtn-19.3%-24.4%-75.9%-31.0%-8.4%-10.2%-21.8%
    12M Excs Rtn-76.0%-54.2%-95.1%-58.0%-4.2%-3.8%-56.1%
    3Y Excs Rtn697.8%-36.9%-140.0%-67.4%-6.6%-8.6%-22.8%

    Comparison Analyses

    null

    Financials

    $ Mil | FY: 12/312026Q22026Q12025Q42025Q32025Q22025Q12024Q42024Q32024Q22024Q12023Q42023Q3
    Period End6/30/20263/31/202612/31/20259/30/20256/30/20253/31/202512/31/20249/30/20246/30/20243/31/202412/31/20239/30/2023
    Filing Date7/29/20264/29/20262/11/202610/29/20257/30/20254/30/20252/14/202510/31/20247/30/20244/30/20242/15/202410/31/2023
    Key Financials Quarterly            
    Total Revenue7,5427,1247,1887,3197,4337,2078,0717,4057,7217,5977,4688,099
    Net Income3,9823,7203,5273,8593,3173,6614,1304,0444,4844,3203,9434,699
    EPS0.030.013.050.000.000.000.00-0.000.00-0.00-0.000.00
    Key Financials TTM            
    Total Revenue TTM29,17329,06429,14730,03030,11630,40430,79430,19130,88530,69830,08729,763
    Net Income TTM15,08814,42314,36414,96715,15216,31916,97816,79117,44617,95617,40814,891
    Growth Rates Quarterly            
    Total Revenue Growth1.5%-1.2%-10.9%-1.2%-3.7%-5.1%8.1%-8.6%2.5%8.7%4.5%10.2%
    Net Income Growth20.0%1.6%-14.6%-4.6%-26.0%-15.3%4.7%-13.9%-10.2%14.5%176.5%92.9%
    Margins Quarterly            
    Net Income Margin52.8%52.2%49.1%52.7%44.6%50.8%51.2%54.6%58.1%56.9%52.8%58.0%
    Cash & Debt            
    Total Cash11,41711,48911,82712,54338,66739,79713,94638,63842,41813,05936,38148,606
    Total Debt4,188,2584,172,8024,180,4294,203,3354,210,5124,228,6584,228,0974,217,7784,212,9644,216,5744,222,7184,231,762
    Net Debt / (Cash)4,176,8414,161,3134,168,6024,190,7924,171,8454,188,8614,214,1514,179,1404,170,5464,203,5154,186,3374,183,156
    Cash Flows Quarterly            
    FCF from Operations9,25316,4845,9919,5854,9083,505-12,384-6,7581,4877,1352,0353,603
    Cash Flows TTM            
    FCF from Operations TTM41,31336,96823,9895,614-10,729-14,150-10,5203,89914,26015,00311,88320,263
    Returns to Shareholders Quarterly            
    Dividends000000000000
    Share Repurchases-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0
    Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) Quarterly            
    ROIC0.4%0.3%0.3%0.4%0.3%0.3%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%
    Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) TTM            
    ROIC TTM0.4%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.3%

    Segment Financials

    Revenue by Segment
    $ Mil20252024202320222021
    Single-Family24,25226,02125,43326,10127,257
    Multifamily4,9074,7734,6544,6214,198
    Total29,15930,79430,08730,72231,455


    Net Income by Segment
    $ Mil20252024202320222021
    Single-Family11,41614,43014,85510,77019,127
    Multifamily2,9482,5482,5532,1533,049
    Total14,36416,97817,40812,92322,176


    Assets by Segment
    $ Mil20252024202320222021
    Single-Family3,757,2613,823,8403,833,5403,844,0923,782,447
    Multifamily560,277525,891491,897461,196446,719
    Total4,317,5384,349,7314,325,4374,305,2884,229,166


    Price Behavior

    Price Behavior
    Market Price$5.74 
    Market Cap ($ Bil)33.7 
    First Trading Date02/26/2016 
    Distance from 52W High-60.8% 
       50 Days200 Days
    DMA Price$6.16$7.99
    DMA Trenddowndown
    Distance from DMA-6.8%-28.2%
     3M1YR
    Volatility51.9%96.1%
    Downside Capture122.33209.82
    Upside Capture40.9047.19
    Correlation (SPY)19.2%16.0%
    FNMA Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026

     1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
    Beta-0.170.670.631.031.181.28
    Up Beta-1.28-0.34-0.650.600.671.04
    Down Beta3.212.351.112.871.981.62
    Up Capture49%49%57%43%52%501%
    Bmk +ve Days10213268138427
    Stock +ve Days1222294895338
    Down Capture-65%90%132%107%139%98%
    Bmk -ve Days11213259113324
    Stock -ve Days9192957114349

    [1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
    Based On 1-Year Data
    Annualized
    Return    		Annualized
    Volatility    		Sharpe
    Ratio    		Correlation
    with FNMA
    FNMA-46.1%94.7%-0.49-
    Sector ETF (XLF)9.0%14.6%0.3719.0%
    Equity (SPY)18.3%12.8%1.0317.0%
    Gold (GLD)19.0%29.2%0.591.2%
    Commodities (DBC)48.3%20.6%1.80-7.7%
    Real Estate (VNQ)7.6%13.6%0.296.0%
    Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-32.4%43.8%-0.7713.3%

    Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
    Based On 5-Year Data
    Annualized
    Return    		Annualized
    Volatility    		Sharpe
    Ratio    		Correlation
    with FNMA
    FNMA50.1%91.7%0.85-
    Sector ETF (XLF)10.2%18.4%0.4216.4%
    Equity (SPY)12.5%17.2%0.5515.8%
    Gold (GLD)18.7%18.8%0.81-1.6%
    Commodities (DBC)11.4%19.5%0.46-0.7%
    Real Estate (VNQ)0.7%18.9%-0.079.3%
    Bitcoin (BTCUSD)9.4%52.6%0.3613.0%

    Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
    Based On 10-Year Data
    Annualized
    Return    		Annualized
    Volatility    		Sharpe
    Ratio    		Correlation
    with FNMA
    FNMA13.9%82.2%0.52-
    Sector ETF (XLF)13.2%22.1%0.5421.6%
    Equity (SPY)15.2%17.9%0.7219.7%
    Gold (GLD)12.3%16.3%0.62-2.0%
    Commodities (DBC)8.7%18.1%0.396.7%
    Real Estate (VNQ)4.7%20.7%0.1913.2%
    Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.2%66.2%1.036.5%

    Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

    Short Interest

    Short Interest: As Of Date8312026
    Short Interest: Shares Quantity15.5 Mil
    Short Interest: % Change Since 81520261.2%
    Average Daily Volume3.2 Mil
    Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.8 days
    Basic Shares Quantity5,867.0 Mil
    Short % of Basic Shares0.3%

    Earnings Returns History

    Updated 8/31/2026
    Expand for More
     Forward Returns
    Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
    7/29/2026-2.5%-7.2%2.5%
    4/29/20260.0%12.4%2.9%
    2/11/20260.5%-2.7%-27.3%
    10/29/2025-4.5%-6.4%-14.7%
    7/30/20250.3%-1.7%30.9%
    4/30/2025-1.1%0.3%66.8%
    2/14/20255.4%8.6%-13.5%
    10/31/2024-2.8%35.7%118.9%
    ...
    SUMMARY STATS   
    # Positive12910
    # Negative121514
    Median Positive1.2%8.6%20.9%
    Median Negative-2.2%-3.3%-10.7%
    Max Positive6.6%35.7%118.9%
    Max Negative-4.5%-21.2%-27.3%
     Collapse to Preview
     Forward Returns
    Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
    7/29/2026-2.5%-7.2%2.5%
    4/29/20260.0%12.4%2.9%
    2/11/20260.5%-2.7%-27.3%
    10/29/2025-4.5%-6.4%-14.7%
    7/30/20250.3%-1.7%30.9%
    4/30/2025-1.1%0.3%66.8%
    2/14/20255.4%8.6%-13.5%
    10/31/2024-2.8%35.7%118.9%
    7/30/2024-1.5%-21.2%-6.1%
    4/30/2024-3.9%-2.6%-3.9%
    2/15/2024-0.4%-2.7%17.4%
    10/31/20232.6%1.6%2.9%
    8/1/20236.6%2.3%24.5%
    5/2/20231.5%13.1%2.6%
    2/14/2023-3.0%-3.5%-16.3%
    11/8/2022-3.6%-3.3%-19.7%
    7/29/20221.5%4.1%-2.3%
    5/3/2022-2.0%-7.0%-1.6%
    2/15/20220.9%-7.7%-11.7%
    10/29/2021-0.6%21.6%-0.7%
    8/3/20212.0%-3.2%-19.4%
    4/30/20210.2%-10.5%-9.7%
    2/12/2021-1.0%-1.6%-1.0%
    10/29/20200.0%-1.6%38.3%
    SUMMARY STATS   
    # Positive12910
    # Negative121514
    Median Positive1.2%8.6%20.9%
    Median Negative-2.2%-3.3%-10.7%
    Max Positive6.6%35.7%118.9%
    Max Negative-4.5%-21.2%-27.3%

    SEC Filings

    Expand for More
    Report DateFiling DateFiling
    06/30/202607/29/202610-Q
    03/31/202604/29/202610-Q
    12/31/202502/11/202610-K
    09/30/202510/29/202510-Q
    06/30/202507/30/202510-Q
    03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
    12/31/202402/14/202510-K
    09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
    06/30/202407/30/202410-Q
    03/31/202404/30/202410-Q
    12/31/202302/15/202410-K
    09/30/202310/31/202310-Q
    06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
    03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
    12/31/202202/14/202310-K
    09/30/202211/08/202210-Q
     Collapse to Preview
    Report DateFiling DateFiling
    06/30/202607/29/202610-Q
    03/31/202604/29/202610-Q
    12/31/202502/11/202610-K
    09/30/202510/29/202510-Q
    06/30/202507/30/202510-Q
    03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
    12/31/202402/14/202510-K
    09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
    06/30/202407/30/202410-Q
    03/31/202404/30/202410-Q
    12/31/202302/15/202410-K
    09/30/202310/31/202310-Q
    06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
    03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
    12/31/202202/14/202310-K
    09/30/202211/08/202210-Q
    06/30/202207/29/202210-Q
    03/31/202205/03/202210-Q
    12/31/202102/15/202210-K
    09/30/202110/29/202110-Q
    06/30/202108/03/202110-Q
    03/31/202104/30/202110-Q
    12/31/202002/12/202110-K
    09/30/202010/29/202010-Q
    06/30/202007/30/202010-Q
    03/31/202005/01/202010-Q
    12/31/201902/13/202010-K
    09/30/201910/31/201910-Q

    Insider Activity

    Updated 4/26/2026
    Expand for More
    #OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
    Value    		Value of
    Held Shares    		Form
    1Stucky, Michael DirectSell50820256.408,000  Form
    2Stucky, Michael DirectBuy50820256.418,00051,28051,280Form
     Collapse to Preview
    #OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
    Value    		Value of
    Held Shares    		Form
    1Stucky, Michael DirectSell50820256.408,000  Form
    2Stucky, Michael DirectBuy50820256.418,00051,28051,280Form

    Investor Activity (13F)

    Updated Sep 13, 2026
    13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

    Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

    Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
    CapWealth Advisors, LLC$181.2 Mil13.4%118Hold13F
    Active Manager
    Active Manager
    Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
    CapWealth Advisors, LLC$181.2 Mil13.4%118Hold13F

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