Tearsheet

Victory Capital (VCTR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $63.24 | Market Cap: $4.2 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Victory Capital (VCTR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $63.24
Market Cap: $4.2 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 3.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.1%, FCF Yield is 7.7%
 
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
 
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 44%
 
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
 
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
 
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Digital & Alternative Assets, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, Show more.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 3.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.1%, FCF Yield is 7.7%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 44%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Digital & Alternative Assets, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VCTR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



1. Victory Capital reported mixed financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on November 6, 2025. The company's revenue of $361.2 million missed analyst consensus estimates, which ranged from approximately $361.14 million to $370.9 million, despite adjusted earnings per share (EPS) beating expectations.

2. Negative market sentiment appeared to precede the Q3 2025 earnings release. In the month leading up to the November 6th earnings report, Victory Capital's stock had already declined by approximately 8.5%, suggesting that some investor caution or negative sentiment was already factored into the stock's price.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VCTR Return20%50%-24%33%96%-5%239%
Peers Return23%18%-13%10%1%1%42%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VCTR Win Rate50%75%42%75%75%50% 
Peers Win Rate67%50%35%56%48%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VCTR Max Drawdown-38%-14%-37%0%-5%-21% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-13%-31%-11%-12%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, BLKS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVCTRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-46.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven86.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven622 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven82.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven286 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-43.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven77.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven136 days120 days

Compare to VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, BLKS


In The Past

Victory Capital's stock fell -46.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/5/2021. A -46.4% loss requires a 86.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Victory Capital (VCTR)

Better Bets than Victory Capital (VCTR)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VCTR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
VCTR_6302024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%06302024VCTRVictory CapitalQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
40.8%37.3%-5.1%
VCTR_2292020_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%02292020VCTRVictory CapitalQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-13.6%21.6%-34.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
VCTR_6302024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%06302024VCTRVictory CapitalQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
40.8%37.3%-5.1%
VCTR_2292020_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%02292020VCTRVictory CapitalQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-13.6%21.6%-34.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Victory Capital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VCTRVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameVictory .Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Mkt Price62.39163.1616.02116.902.60-62.39
Mkt Cap4.11.10.90.30.1-0.9
Rev LTM1,16487410015216-152
Op Inc LTM509179-44-8-111
FCF LTM32970104-35-9-70
FCF 3Y Avg32212513816-10-125
CFO LTM33277104-32-9-77
CFO 3Y Avg32613213817-9-132

Growth & Margins

VCTRVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameVictory .Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Rev Chg LTM34.3%-1.2%-6.2%2.9%-8.5%--1.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.0%-2.4%159.6%-2.1%13.5%-11.0%
Rev Chg Q60.1%-4.8%8.2%-2.0%-37.1%--2.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM13.2%-1.2%2.1%-0.6%-16.9%--0.6%
Op Mgn LTM43.7%20.5%-28.8%-49.1%-24.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg44.6%18.9%-26.5%-74.1%-22.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.0%-0.1%--0.2%-6.5%--1.6%
CFO/Rev LTM28.5%8.9%104.5%-21.2%-55.2%-8.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg35.0%15.6%142.9%11.7%-56.6%-15.6%
FCF/Rev LTM28.2%8.0%104.5%-23.1%-55.2%-8.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg34.6%14.7%142.9%11.0%-66.7%-14.7%

Valuation

VCTRVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameVictory .Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Mkt Cap4.11.10.90.30.1-0.9
P/S3.71.58.32.53.4-3.4
P/EBIT9.33.6-8.72.8-6.1
P/E14.69.49.38.14.3-9.3
P/CFO12.916.68.0-11.8-6.1-8.0
Total Yield10.2%15.6%21.5%16.6%23.4%-16.6%
Dividend Yield3.4%5.0%10.7%4.3%0.0%-4.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.2%8.7%16.7%2.9%-17.7%-8.7%
D/E0.22.01.40.01.1-1.1
Net D/E0.21.60.9-0.1-0.9-0.2

Returns

VCTRVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameVictory .Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
1M Rtn1.0%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.4%-1.8%
3M Rtn-11.0%-14.1%-0.8%-14.0%-15.9%--14.0%
6M Rtn1.1%-1.2%0.7%-10.1%20.6%-0.7%
12M Rtn-7.4%-30.3%5.6%-24.3%43.6%--7.4%
3Y Rtn131.1%-7.0%43.3%-24.8%31.3%-31.3%
1M Excs Rtn1.0%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.5%-1.8%
3M Excs Rtn-18.5%-21.2%-6.9%-21.0%-18.7%--18.7%
6M Excs Rtn-13.6%-15.9%-14.1%-24.8%5.9%--14.1%
12M Excs Rtn-21.2%-44.0%-8.0%-37.4%29.3%--21.2%
3Y Excs Rtn73.4%-75.8%-22.7%-96.4%-43.4%--43.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Investment management fees641665675562467
Fund administration and distribution fees180190216213146
Total821855890775612


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,308,964
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-7.0%
Average Daily Volume448,881
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.37
Basic Shares Quantity66,206,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022306202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021314202210-K 12/31/2021