Tearsheet

Corpay (CPAY)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $300.28 | Market Cap: $21.2 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services

Corpay (CPAY)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $300.28
Market Cap: $21.2 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CPAY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Peer Performance and Industry Headwinds: Corpay's shares experienced a 5.3% drop on October 29, 2025, after Fiserv, a peer company, reported a decline in revenue for its Financial Solutions segment. This created concerns about the health of the broader financial technology industry, overshadowing positive news for Corpay at the time.

2. Analyst Price Target Reductions: Several analysts lowered their price targets for Corpay's stock during this period. For example, JPMorgan cut its price target from $400 to $350 on November 6, 2025, and Morgan Stanley reduced its target from $360 to $356 on August 11, 2025. UBS also adjusted its price target from $340 to $315 on November 6, 2025. These downward revisions, even while maintaining generally positive ratings, can contribute to negative investor sentiment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CPAY Return-5%-18%-18%54%20%-13%3%
Peers Return83%-8%-25%11%21%-9%54%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CPAY Win Rate58%42%50%67%50%30% 
Peers Win Rate65%53%38%58%65%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CPAY Max Drawdown-40%-26%-27%-2%-12%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-26%-18%-35%-18%-8%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: V, JKHY, MA, PYPL, XYZ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCPAYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-44.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven78.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven462 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-47.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven91.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1656 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-23.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven60 days120 days

Compare to V, JKHY, MA, PYPL, XYZ


In The Past

Corpay's stock fell -44.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/3/2021. A -44.1% loss requires a 78.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Corpay (CPAY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CPAY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
CPAY_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025CPAYCorpayDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
CPAY_10312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312020CPAYCorpayDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
30.2%12.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
CPAY_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025CPAYCorpayDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
CPAY_10312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312020CPAYCorpayDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
30.2%12.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Corpay

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CPAYVJKHYMAPYPLXYZMedian
NameCorpay Visa Jack Hen.Masterca.PayPal Block  
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Mkt Cap-------
Rev LTM-------
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-------
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Growth & Margins

CPAYVJKHYMAPYPLXYZMedian
NameCorpay Visa Jack Hen.Masterca.PayPal Block  
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QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-------
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FCF/Rev LTM-------
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Valuation

CPAYVJKHYMAPYPLXYZMedian
NameCorpay Visa Jack Hen.Masterca.PayPal Block  
Mkt Cap-------
P/S-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E-------
P/CFO-------
Total Yield-------
Dividend Yield-------
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-------
D/E-------
Net D/E-------

Returns

CPAYVJKHYMAPYPLXYZMedian
NameCorpay Visa Jack Hen.Masterca.PayPal Block  
1M Rtn-------
3M Rtn-------
6M Rtn-------
12M Rtn-------
3Y Rtn-------
1M Excs Rtn-------
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Vehicle Payments2,0061,9501,690  
Corporate payments981770598434450
Lodging Payments520457310207213
Other251251236244276
Fuel   1,0571,173
Gift   154180
Tolls   292357
Total3,7583,4272,8342,3892,649


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Vehicle Payments943884812  
Corporate payments382274210  
Lodging Payments254219149  
Other777071  
Total1,6571,4471,243  


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,214,407
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120253.3%
Average Daily Volume777,562
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.56
Basic Shares Quantity70,546,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211109202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0MACCHIA RICHARD 2102025Sell375.232,427910,6834,583,434Form