Tearsheet

Corpay (CPAY)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $308.92 | Market Cap: $21.7 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services

Corpay (CPAY)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $308.92
Market Cap: $21.7 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 44%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -5.6%
Key risks
CPAY key risks include [1] heightened vulnerability to cybersecurity threats due to its heavy reliance on technology for payments and [2] an ongoing investigation into its corporate governance for potential breaches of fiduciary duties.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
  
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.3%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
  
0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 44%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.3%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -5.6%
6 Key risks
CPAY key risks include [1] heightened vulnerability to cybersecurity threats due to its heavy reliance on technology for payments and [2] an ongoing investigation into its corporate governance for potential breaches of fiduciary duties.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CPAY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Analyst price target reductions by multiple firms. Between August and November 2025, several analyst firms, including JP Morgan, UBS, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, and Raymond James, lowered their price targets for Corpay (CPAY). For example, JP Morgan reduced its price target from $400 to $350 in November 2025, representing a 12.5% decrease.

2. Weaker-than-expected 2025 guidance and revenue miss. In February 2025, Corpay's shares experienced a 6% after-hours decline following its fourth-quarter earnings report, where revenue missed estimates, and the company issued a weaker outlook for its adjusted earnings per share and revenue for the full year 2025. The company's forecast for 2025 adjusted EPS was $20.75 to $21.25, below the anticipated $21.93, and its 2025 revenue guidance of $4.35 billion to $4.45 billion was also lower than the consensus estimate of $4.45 billion.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CPAY Return-5%-18%-18%54%20%-8%9%
Peers Return-13%-5%28%27%-23%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CPAY Win Rate58%42%50%67%50%42% 
Peers Win Rate62%47%50%55%62%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CPAY Max Drawdown-40%-26%-27%-2%-12%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-24%-6%-14%-41% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WEX, GPN, FISV, AXP, FOUR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCPAYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-44.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven78.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven462 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-47.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven91.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,656 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-23.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven60 days120 days

Compare to V, JKHY, MA, PYPL, XYZ


In The Past

Corpay's stock fell -44.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/3/2021. A -44.1% loss requires a 78.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Corpay (CPAY)

Better Bets than Corpay (CPAY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CPAY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
CPAY_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025CPAYCorpayDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
20.0%20.0%0.0%
CPAY_10312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312020CPAYCorpayDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
30.2%12.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
CPAY_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025CPAYCorpayDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
20.0%20.0%0.0%
CPAY_10312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312020CPAYCorpayDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
30.2%12.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Corpay

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CPAYWEXGPNFISVAXPFOURMedian
NameCorpay WEX Global P.Fiserv American.Shift4 P. 
Mkt Price308.58150.0382.2268.33375.6164.53116.12
Mkt Cap21.75.219.736.9259.94.420.7
Rev LTM4,3152,62410,68021,16070,4283,8787,497
Op Inc LTM1,8876552,1116,078-3021,887
FCF LTM1,1436432,8664,61918,9442992,005
FCF 3Y Avg1,5085562,2324,31216,9042801,870
CFO LTM1,3367983,5006,33921,1395412,418
CFO 3Y Avg1,6827072,8775,84818,8014652,280

Growth & Margins

CPAYWEXGPNFISVAXPFOURMedian
NameCorpay WEX Global P.Fiserv American.Shift4 P. 
Rev Chg LTM11.3%-1.2%21.0%5.2%9.1%23.2%10.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.9%5.7%6.8%6.8%11.6%27.9%7.9%
Rev Chg Q13.9%3.9%0.5%0.9%10.8%29.4%7.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.4%1.0%0.1%0.2%2.6%7.4%1.8%
Op Mgn LTM43.7%25.0%19.8%28.7%-7.8%25.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg43.8%25.5%19.8%27.0%-6.8%25.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%-0.7%-0.1%-1.3%-0.3%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM31.0%30.4%32.8%30.0%30.0%14.0%30.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg42.9%27.3%29.7%29.1%29.2%15.1%29.2%
FCF/Rev LTM26.5%24.5%26.8%21.8%26.9%7.7%25.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg38.5%21.5%23.0%21.5%26.3%9.2%22.2%

Valuation

CPAYWEXGPNFISVAXPFOURMedian
NameCorpay WEX Global P.Fiserv American.Shift4 P. 
Mkt Cap21.75.219.736.9259.94.420.7
P/S5.02.11.91.73.31.42.0
P/EBIT11.38.66.96.2-13.08.6
P/E20.619.111.410.221.827.219.9
P/CFO16.26.85.75.810.99.88.3
Total Yield4.8%5.2%10.0%9.8%4.6%3.7%5.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%1.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.5%8.1%9.4%5.5%10.7%6.2%7.8%
D/E0.40.90.80.80.30.90.8
Net D/E0.30.00.70.80.00.60.4

Returns

CPAYWEXGPNFISVAXPFOURMedian
NameCorpay WEX Global P.Fiserv American.Shift4 P. 
1M Rtn12.5%10.0%13.6%9.0%10.1%-4.6%10.0%
3M Rtn-0.7%-10.3%-3.4%-49.1%12.1%-25.7%-6.9%
6M Rtn-1.9%7.8%8.6%-57.7%27.4%-29.7%3.0%
12M Rtn-12.4%-13.7%-27.5%-66.5%26.0%-37.6%-20.6%
3Y Rtn70.3%-7.0%-10.6%-30.7%166.5%24.3%8.6%
1M Excs Rtn11.8%9.3%12.9%8.2%9.3%-5.3%9.3%
3M Excs Rtn-0.3%-12.2%-5.5%-49.9%8.9%-26.6%-8.9%
6M Excs Rtn-14.2%-4.6%-3.8%-70.0%15.0%-42.1%-9.4%
12M Excs Rtn-24.7%-25.9%-38.2%-77.7%14.6%-47.7%-32.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-5.6%-77.9%-83.2%-101.8%79.4%-45.6%-61.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Vehicle Payments2,0061,950   
Corporate payments981770600434450
Lodging Payments520457310207213
Other251251236244276
Brazil  368  
Fleet  1,320  
Fuel   1,0571,173
Gift   154180
Tolls   292357
Total3,7583,4272,8342,3892,649


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Vehicle Payments943884   
Corporate payments382274198  
Lodging Payments254219149  
Other777071  
Brazil  154  
Fleet  670  
Total1,6571,4471,243  


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,487,577
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202522.5%
Average Daily Volume569,551
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.61
Basic Shares Quantity70,318,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/20256.2%9.6%16.1%
8/6/2025-3.4%0.5%0.5%
5/6/2025-0.1%8.7%1.5%
2/5/20250.2%-5.5%-13.6%
11/7/20245.6%6.9%4.4%
8/7/20245.9%6.6%12.1%
5/8/2024-7.0%-8.4%-14.9%
2/7/2024-9.2%-6.7%0.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive81515
# Negative1699
Median Positive6.1%4.1%8.6%
Median Negative-3.1%-7.3%-9.5%
Max Positive7.8%10.1%16.1%
Max Negative-9.2%-10.9%-32.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0MACCHIA RICHARD 2102025Sell375.232,427910,6834,583,434Form