Corpay (CPAY)
Market Price (5/20/2026): $343.7 | Market Cap: $23.2 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services
Corpay (CPAY)
Market Price (5/20/2026): $343.7Market Cap: $23.2 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.1%, FCF Yield is 5.7% Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 43% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 3.5 Bil Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.7% Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -19%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -27% | Key risksCPAY key risks include [1] heightened vulnerability to cybersecurity threats due to its heavy reliance on technology for payments and [2] an ongoing investigation into its corporate governance for potential breaches of fiduciary duties. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.1%, FCF Yield is 5.7% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 43% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% |
| Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 3.5 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.7% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -19%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -27% |
| Key risksCPAY key risks include [1] heightened vulnerability to cybersecurity threats due to its heavy reliance on technology for payments and [2] an ongoing investigation into its corporate governance for potential breaches of fiduciary duties. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Exceptional Q1 2026 Financial Performance and Elevated Full-Year Guidance. Corpay reported robust financial results for the first quarter of 2026, with revenue increasing 25% year-over-year to $1.26 billion, surpassing analyst expectations. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) surged 29% to $5.80, significantly beating the consensus estimate of $5.40. The company also demonstrated consistent operational strength, achieving 11% organic revenue growth for the fourth consecutive quarter. Following this strong performance, Corpay raised its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance by $0.70, setting a new midpoint of $26.70, which implies a 25% year-over-year growth.
2. Strategic Capital Return Initiatives and Portfolio Optimization. Corpay actively returned capital to shareholders, repurchasing 2.4 million shares for $786 million during Q1 2026. Further signaling confidence in its cash generation capabilities, the Board of Directors approved an additional $1 billion increase in the share repurchase authorization, bringing the total authorized amount to $1.8 billion. This aggressive share buyback program was partly funded by the proceeds from the strategic divestiture of its PayByPhone parking business, which closed on March 31, 2026, and generated a pre-tax gain of $121.4 million. The company is also accelerating its portfolio rotation to focus on high-growth corporate payments segments.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 9.1% change in CPAY stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 10.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 314.63 | 343.14 | 9.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4,315 | 4,784 | 10.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 24.4% | 24.6% | 0.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 21.0 | 19.7 | -6.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 70 | 68 | 4.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 9.1% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CPAY | 9.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 6.3% | 29.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | -3.9% | 38.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 31.8% change in CPAY stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 14.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 260.35 | 343.14 | 31.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4,171 | 4,784 | 14.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 25.2% | 24.6% | -2.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 17.5 | 19.7 | 12.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 71 | 68 | 4.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 31.8% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CPAY | 31.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.2% | 32.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | -1.6% | 40.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 5.5% change in CPAY stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 20.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 325.37 | 343.14 | 5.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,975 | 4,784 | 20.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 25.3% | 24.6% | -2.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 22.7 | 19.7 | -13.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 70 | 68 | 3.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 5.5% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CPAY | 5.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 33.8% | 43.2% |
| Sector (XLF) | 6.4% | 52.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 60.4% change in CPAY stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 39.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 213.92 | 343.14 | 60.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,427 | 4,784 | 39.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 27.8% | 24.6% | -11.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 16.5 | 19.7 | 19.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 73 | 68 | 8.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 60.4% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CPAY | 60.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 83.3% | 55.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 61.7% | 60.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CPAY Return | -18% | -18% | 54% | 20% | -11% | 16% | 28% |
| Peers Return | -13% | -5% | 28% | 27% | -25% | -16% | -15% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 97% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CPAY Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 42% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 50% | 55% | 62% | 48% | 28% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CPAY Max Drawdown | -32% | -37% | -19% | -21% | -35% | -20% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -38% | -35% | -24% | -23% | -47% | -28% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: WEX, GPN, FISV, AXP, FOUR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/19/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CPAY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -12.1% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.7% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 41 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -11.0% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.4% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -29.0% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 197 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -46.5% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 87.0% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1656 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -22.4% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.8% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 58 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -24.8% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.9% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 183 days | 6 days |
In The Past
Corpay's stock fell -2.7% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 2.7% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | CPAY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -29.0% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 197 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -46.5% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 87.0% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1656 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -22.4% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.8% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 58 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -24.8% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.9% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 183 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -30.8% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.5% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 182 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -21.1% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.7% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 36 days | 15 days |
In The Past
Corpay's stock fell -2.7% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 2.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Corpay (CPAY)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Corpay:
- It's like SAP Concur meets Bill.com, but specifically tailored for fleet management, corporate travel, and lodging payments.
- Imagine Visa or Mastercard, but instead of consumer credit, they focus on issuing and managing specialized payment cards and solutions for business needs like fleet fuel, corporate travel, and cross-border payments.
- It's like Bill.com (BILL) for managing corporate accounts payable, but also provides specialized payment solutions and cards for vehicle fleets and lodging expenses.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```html- Vehicle Payment Solutions: Provides payment services for fuel, tolls, parking, and fleet maintenance, along with prepaid vouchers for transportation and food.
- Corporate Payment Solutions: Offers accounts payable automation, virtual cards, cross-border payment solutions, and purchasing/travel and entertainment card products for businesses.
- Lodging Payment Solutions: Facilitates payments for overnight stays for business travelers, airline/cruise line passengers, and insurance policyholders displaced from their homes.
- Gifts and Payroll Cards: Delivers prepaid cards for gifting purposes and for payroll distribution.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Corpay (CPAY) Major Customers
Corpay primarily serves other businesses (B2B) across various industries. While specific names of major customer companies are not provided in the background information, the company's services are utilized by the following categories of businesses:
- Fleet-based Businesses: Companies that manage fleets of vehicles (e.g., logistics, transportation, construction, field service companies) which utilize Corpay's solutions for fuel, tolls, parking, fleet maintenance, and long-haul transportation services.
- General Corporations and Enterprises: Businesses of various sizes seeking to streamline corporate payment processes, including accounts payable automation, virtual cards, cross-border solutions, and purchasing and travel & entertainment (T&E) card products.
- Travel and Insurance Sectors: Companies such as airlines, cruise lines, and insurance providers that require solutions for managing lodging expenses for their employees who travel overnight for work purposes, traveling crews, stranded passengers, or policyholders displaced from their homes due to damage or catastrophe.
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Ron Clarke, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board of Directors
Ron Clarke has served as Corpay's Chief Executive Officer since August 2000 and was appointed Chairman of the Board of Directors in March 2003. Under his leadership, the company, previously known as Fleetcor, went public on the New York Stock Exchange in 2010. He has been instrumental in the company's growth, overseeing more than 100 acquisitions valued at over US$9 billion, transforming it from a fuel card processor into a global payments company. Prior to Corpay, he held senior roles including President and Chief Operating Officer of AHL Services, Inc. (1999-2000), Chief Marketing Officer and Division President with Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (1990-1998), and a Principal at Booz Allen Hamilton (1987-1990). Earlier in his career, he was a marketing manager for General Electric Company. Corpay received early private equity backing from firms such as Summit Partners, Bain Capital, and Advent. He maintains a significant ownership stake in the company.
Peter Walker, Chief Financial Officer
Peter Walker is set to join Corpay as Chief Financial Officer effective July 21, 2025, overseeing the company's global financial functions. He brings nearly 20 years of experience as a CFO for both public and private companies. Most recently, he was the CFO of Instructure Holdings, Inc., where he led its privatization and sale to KKR. His previous roles include CFO positions at Sterling Check Corporation and Jackson Hewitt. He also spent over 17 years at Assurant in various finance, accounting, and strategy roles, culminating as CFO and Chief Strategy Officer. Walker is a Certified Public Accountant and began his career at Ernst & Young.
Alissa Vickery, Chief Accounting Officer
Alissa Vickery was appointed Corpay's Chief Accounting Officer in September 2020. She joined the company in 2011 and also holds the position of Senior Vice President of Accounting and Controls, overseeing external reporting, technical accounting, and internal audit. Before joining Corpay, Ms. Vickery held a Senior Director position at Worldpay and spent more than nine years in public accounting at Deloitte LLP and Arthur Andersen LLP. She also served as interim CFO during the transition period prior to Peter Walker's appointment.
Rick Fletcher, President of Corpay Payables
Rick Fletcher has been a senior leader at Corpay for over 15 years, contributing to significant organic growth across its Gift, Prepaid, and Corporate Payments lines of business. He was appointed President of Corpay Payables in March 2022. Prior to joining Corpay, Mr. Fletcher held strategy roles with Deloitte Consulting and GE Capital.
Mark Frey, Group President of Corpay Cross-Border Solutions
Mark Frey has led Corpay Cross-Border Solutions as Group President since March 2022, establishing it as a market leader in cross-border payments and currency risk management. With over 20 years of experience in trading and treasury operations, he has been with Corpay for more than a decade. He successfully led the acquisitions and integrations of AFEX and Global Reach. Before his tenure at Corpay, Mr. Frey was with Western Union.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Corpay's business operations are primarily centered around ongoing regulatory and litigation challenges, the ever-present threat of cybersecurity incidents, and intense competitive pressures in the rapidly evolving payments industry.
- Regulatory and Litigation Risks: Corpay faces significant risks related to regulatory scrutiny and ongoing litigation, particularly concerning its past billing practices. A permanent injunction from a 2019 Federal Trade Commission (FTC) lawsuit, stemming from allegations of collecting "hundreds of millions" in improper and hidden fees, bars Corpay from selling or charging for add-on services without express informed consent and from misrepresenting fees. This injunction places "onerous" terms on the company's operations and its relationship with customers, highlighting a substantial and ongoing legal and compliance burden that could impact its business model and financial performance. Corpay also faces general regulatory pressures and compliance costs associated with its international operations.
- Cybersecurity Risks: As a global payments company handling sensitive financial data for businesses and consumers, Corpay is highly susceptible to cybersecurity threats. Data breaches and other security incidents pose a significant concern, carrying the potential for substantial financial losses, legal liabilities, and severe damage to customer trust and market reputation. Continuous investment in information security controls and fraud detection programs is crucial to mitigate these risks.
- Competitive Pressures and Technological Disruption: Corpay operates in a highly competitive environment against a diverse range of rivals, including traditional financial institutions and specialized payment providers, some of whom possess greater financial resources and brand recognition. These competitors can erode Corpay's market share by offering bundled services at competitive prices or by more quickly adapting to emerging technologies, such as new corporate payment solutions, virtual cards, cross-border solutions, and the transition to electric vehicles (EVs) in the fleet management sector. The need to continuously innovate and adapt to these technological advancements and market shifts presents an ongoing challenge for the company.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The clear emerging threat to Corpay is the increasing prevalence of **embedded finance**. This trend involves non-financial companies integrating payment processing, virtual cards, and other financial services directly into their core software platforms (e.g., ERP systems, procurement software, travel booking platforms, fleet management systems). As these integrated solutions become more sophisticated and widely adopted, they could disintermediate specialized payment providers like Corpay by offering similar services seamlessly within a single ecosystem, challenging Corpay's distinct offerings in corporate payments, vehicle expense management, and lodging payments.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Corpay (CPAY) operates within a substantial global total addressable market for corporate payments. The company's main products and services are categorized into Corporate Payments, Vehicle Payments, and Lodging Payments, with a smaller "Other" segment that includes gift and payroll cards.
The total addressable market for Corpay's corporate payments solutions is estimated to be approximately $150 trillion globally. This figure aligns with the estimated $145 trillion businesses spend annually in transactions with other businesses.
Specific addressable market sizes for Corpay's individual product categories, such as Vehicle Payments, Lodging Payments, or Gift and Payroll Cards, were not explicitly quantified in the available information.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Corpay (CPAY) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market trends:
- Strong Growth in Corporate Payments, particularly Cross-Border and AP Automation: Corpay's Corporate Payments segment is a primary engine for growth, consistently delivering robust organic revenue increases. This segment grew 16% organically in Q4 2025, with projections for high teens to 20% growth in 2025. It is anticipated to account for 40% of total revenue in 2026, up from 36% in 2025. Key drivers within this segment include cross-border payment solutions, accounts payable (AP) automation, and the expansion of global bank accounts.
- Strategic Acquisitions: Acquisitions play a significant role in Corpay's expansion strategy. In 2024, the company deployed over $1 billion in M&A, with acquisitions like Paymerang and GPS Capital Markets expected to add over $200 million in revenue and $0.50 EPS accretion by 2025. The acquisition of Alpha Group in Q2 2025 further enhanced cross-border capabilities, particularly in the UK and EU. Corpay's 2026 outlook specifically includes growth from accretive acquisitions.
- Accelerated New Sales and Customer Acquisition: The company has demonstrated strong momentum in acquiring new customers. New sales increased 36% in Q4 2024 and 22% for the full year 2024. This trend continued into Q4 2025, with new sales (bookings) rising 29% year-over-year. Additionally, a notable 137% increase in U.S. commercial sales growth in Q4 2025 and a significant five-year, $1 billion contract with the Department of Homeland Security are expected to contribute to future revenue. Corpay also maintains a high customer retention rate of 92%.
- Consistent Organic Growth in Vehicle Payments: While the Corporate Payments segment leads in growth, the Vehicle Payments segment remains a substantial and steadily growing contributor to Corpay's revenue. This segment achieved 10% organic revenue growth in Q3 2025 and Q4 2025, and is projected to grow approximately 9% (high single digits) in 2026. The segment has shown sequential improvements throughout 2025.
- Technological Innovation and Digital Transformation: Corpay is investing in digital transformation, with a strong focus on enhancing its Accounts Payable (AP) automation offerings. Furthermore, the company is exploring advanced payment technologies, including the potential for on and off-ramping using stablecoins through a partnership with Circle, signaling an avenue for future innovation and service expansion.
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Share Repurchases
- Corpay repurchased 1.7 million shares for $500 million in the fourth quarter of 2025.
- For the full year 2025, Corpay repurchased 2.6 million shares for a total of $782 million.
- As of February 2026, approximately $1.5 billion remained authorized for future share repurchases.
Inbound Investments
- Mastercard invested $300 million in Corpay's cross-border business.
Outbound Investments
- Corpay completed the acquisition of Alpha Group International for approximately $2.2 billion (£1.81 billion), positioning the company strategically in B2B cross-border foreign exchange and investment funds in July 2025, with completion in November 2025.
- In 2024, Corpay acquired GPS Capital Markets and Paymerang, aimed at expanding and strengthening its corporate payments business.
- In 2025, Corpay made a strategic investment by forming a limited partnership with TPG to acquire a 33% equity stake in AvidXchange Holdings, Inc., an AP automation provider.
Capital Expenditures
- Corpay spent approximately $408 million in 2025 on operating and enhancing its technology.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
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| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04302026 | EEFT | Euronet Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04242026 | HOMB | Home BancShares | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| 03312026 | HBAN | Huntington Bancshares | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 7.1% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| 03312026 | NP | Neptune Insurance | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | JKHY | Jack Henry & Associates | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.3% | 0.3% | -4.0% |
| 10312025 | CPAY | Corpay | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.7% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| 10312020 | CPAY | Corpay | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 30.2% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 104.51 |
| Mkt Cap | 20.9 |
| Rev LTM | 6,825 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,080 |
| FCF LTM | 1,186 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,565 |
| CFO LTM | 1,665 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,997 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 12.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 18.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.2% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -2.1% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 10.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 24.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 25.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 23.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 27.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 17.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 20.9 |
| P/S | 1.9 |
| P/Op Inc | 8.3 |
| P/EBIT | 7.6 |
| P/E | 17.3 |
| P/CFO | 9.1 |
| Total Yield | 5.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.1% |
| D/E | 1.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -9.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -9.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -6.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -8.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -26.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -13.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -18.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -18.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -32.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -103.6% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vehicle Payments | 2,009 | 2,006 | 1,950 | ||
| Corporate payments | 1,222 | 981 | 770 | 600 | 434 |
| Lodging Payments | 489 | 520 | 457 | 310 | 207 |
| Other | 255 | 251 | 251 | 236 | 244 |
| Brazil | 368 | ||||
| Fleet | 1,320 | ||||
| Fuel | 1,057 | ||||
| Gift | 154 | ||||
| Tolls | 292 | ||||
| Total | 3,975 | 3,758 | 3,427 | 2,834 | 2,389 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vehicle Payments | 1,077 | 943 | 884 | ||
| Corporate payments | 498 | 382 | 274 | 198 | |
| Lodging Payments | 223 | 254 | 219 | 149 | |
| Other | -11 | 77 | 70 | 71 | |
| Brazil | 154 | ||||
| Fleet | 670 | ||||
| Total | 1,787 | 1,657 | 1,447 | 1,243 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $343.14 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 23.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/15/2010 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -3.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $312.39 | $308.56 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | down |
| Distance from DMA | 9.8% | 11.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 42.0% | 37.9% |
| Downside Capture | 121.62 | 155.83 |
| Upside Capture | 88.50 | 112.65 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 33.8% | 40.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.06 | 0.88 | 0.98 | 1.09 | 1.32 | 1.20 |
| Up Beta | 0.24 | 0.45 | 0.56 | 0.68 | 1.41 | 1.30 |
| Down Beta | 4.20 | 1.00 | 0.86 | 0.80 | 1.08 | 1.38 |
| Up Capture | 114% | 77% | 111% | 165% | 119% | 100% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 22 | 34 | 65 | 126 | 402 |
| Down Capture | 590% | 129% | 129% | 119% | 140% | 102% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 21 | 30 | 60 | 125 | 348 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CPAY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPAY | -0.1% | 37.8% | 0.07 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 0.6% | 14.6% | -0.18 | 51.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 25.0% | 12.1% | 1.55 | 40.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 40.0% | 26.8% | 1.23 | -2.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 49.4% | 18.5% | 2.03 | -11.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 9.7% | 13.4% | 0.45 | 36.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -25.6% | 41.9% | -0.59 | 8.3% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CPAY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPAY | 5.4% | 32.3% | 0.21 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.7% | 18.6% | 0.35 | 64.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.2% | 17.0% | 0.65 | 62.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.3% | 18.0% | 0.87 | 3.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.0% | 19.4% | 0.45 | 17.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.0% | 18.8% | 0.11 | 51.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 9.4% | 55.6% | 0.38 | 20.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CPAY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPAY | 8.6% | 32.9% | 0.33 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 12.5% | 22.2% | 0.52 | 63.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 63.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.0% | 16.0% | 0.67 | 0.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.9% | 0.38 | 26.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 52.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.2% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 13.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | 12.5% | 7.7% | |
| 2/4/2026 | 11.6% | 15.4% | 4.7% |
| 11/5/2025 | 6.2% | 9.6% | 16.1% |
| 8/6/2025 | -3.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| 5/6/2025 | -0.1% | 8.7% | 1.5% |
| 2/5/2025 | 0.2% | -5.5% | -13.6% |
| 11/7/2024 | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% |
| 8/7/2024 | 5.9% | 6.6% | 12.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 17 | 16 |
| # Negative | 15 | 8 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% |
| Median Negative | -2.9% | -7.5% | -7.9% |
| Max Positive | 12.5% | 15.4% | 16.1% |
| Max Negative | -9.2% | -10.9% | -14.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Revenue | 1.29 Bil | Higher New | |||||
| Q2 2026 EPS | 6.55 | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Revenue | 5.29 Bil | 0.5% | Raised | Guidance: 5.26 Bil for 2026 | |||
| 2026 Net Income | 1.39 Bil | 0.1% | Raised | Guidance: 1.39 Bil for 2026 | |||
| 2026 Adjusted Net Income | 1.79 Bil | -1.3% | Lowered | Guidance: 1.81 Bil for 2026 | |||
| 2026 EPS | 26.7 | 2.7% | Raised | Guidance: 26 for 2026 | |||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/4/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Organic Revenue Growth | 9.0% | Higher New | |||||
| Q1 2026 Adjusted EPS Growth | 20.0% | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Revenue | 5.21 Bil | 5.26 Bil | 5.32 Bil | 16.6% | Higher New | Guidance: 4.51 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Net Income | 1.34 Bil | 1.39 Bil | 1.44 Bil | 22.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 1.14 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted Net Income | 1.76 Bil | 1.81 Bil | 1.86 Bil | 19.6% | Higher New | Guidance: 1.51 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EPS | 25.5 | 26 | 26.5 | 22.4% | Higher New | Guidance: 21.2 for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sloan, Jeffrey Steven | Direct | Sell | 2182026 | 343.62 | 3,600 | 1,237,015 | 4,286,258 | Form | |
| 2 | Vickery, Alissa B | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 2122026 | 358.65 | 1,701 | 610,067 | 781,862 | Form |
| 3 | Stull, Steven T | Direct | Buy | 1052026 | 314.98 | 8,000 | 2,519,840 | 9,210,330 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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