Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.4%, FCF Yield is 7.5%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.3%, Dist 3Y High is -2.3%
Key risks
FCFS key risks include [1] a significant CFPB lawsuit and related securities class action claims alleging violations of the Military Lending Act.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Alternative Lending, and Second-hand Marketplaces.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.4%, FCF Yield is 7.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Alternative Lending, and Second-hand Marketplaces.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.3%, Dist 3Y High is -2.3%
5 Key risks
FCFS key risks include [1] a significant CFPB lawsuit and related securities class action claims alleging violations of the Military Lending Act.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FCFS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock movement for FirstCash (FCFS) by 9.5% between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, can be attributed to several key factors:

1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat. FirstCash reported exceptional third-quarter 2025 results on October 30, 2025, significantly surpassing analyst expectations for both revenue and earnings per share. The company reported revenue of $935.6 million, an 11.7% increase year-over-year, beating the consensus estimate of $873.5 million. Non-GAAP EPS reached $2.26, a 35% increase from the prior year, substantially exceeding analyst projections of $2.03 per share. This strong financial performance likely contributed to positive investor sentiment.

2. Robust Pawn Operations Growth. The company demonstrated strong performance across its pawn operations, with record pawn receivables of $788 million. Same-store pawn receivables grew 13% in the U.S., 18% in Latin America, and an impressive 25% in the U.K. This consistent growth in a core segment signals underlying business strength.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FCFS Return-13%7%18%26%-3%59%113%
Peers Return31%-27%51%31%22%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FCFS Win Rate42%75%42%58%58%83% 
Peers Win Rate57%53%45%57%48%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FCFS Max Drawdown-35%-20%-19%-0%-6%-1% 
Peers Max Drawdown-10%-46%-3%-9%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EZPW, OMF, ENVA, UPBD, PRG. See FCFS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFCFSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-36.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven233 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-40.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven308 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-28.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven122 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-70.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven243.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven928 days1,480 days

Compare to NNI, LC, NAVI, PRG, GFCX


In The Past

FirstCash's stock fell -36.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/26/2021. A -36.2% loss requires a 56.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About FirstCash (FCFS)

Better Bets than FirstCash (FCFS)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FCFS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
FCFS_11302021_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302021FCFSFirstCashDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
17.9%49.4%-5.6%
FCFS_3312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03312020FCFSFirstCashDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-21.7%-8.5%-27.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
FCFS_11302021_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302021FCFSFirstCashDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
17.9%49.4%-5.6%
FCFS_3312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03312020FCFSFirstCashDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-21.7%-8.5%-27.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for FirstCash

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FCFSEZPWOMFENVAUPBDPRGMedian
NameFirstCashEZCORP OneMain Enova In.Upbound PROG  
Mkt Price160.7719.7867.96163.7417.7930.6049.28
Mkt Cap7.11.28.14.11.01.22.7
Rev LTM3,4861,2744,8693,0424,5782,5073,264
Op Inc LTM530149-381245413381
FCF LTM5281103,0191,705141296412
FCF 3Y Avg436832,7161,387151221329
CFO LTM5771493,0191,751202305441
CFO 3Y Avg4931212,7161,432208231362

Growth & Margins

FCFSEZPWOMFENVAUPBDPRGMedian
NameFirstCashEZCORP OneMain Enova In.Upbound PROG  
Rev Chg LTM3.9%9.7%9.3%21.1%7.5%3.7%8.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg12.3%12.9%5.2%23.5%1.5%-1.5%8.7%
Rev Chg Q11.7%14.3%9.5%16.3%9.0%-1.8%10.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.9%3.4%2.3%3.8%2.1%-0.4%2.6%
Op Mgn LTM15.2%11.7%-12.5%5.4%16.5%12.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg13.3%10.0%-11.8%5.1%16.8%11.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.7%0.5%-0.6%-0.5%0.2%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM16.6%11.7%62.0%57.6%4.4%12.2%14.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.9%10.4%60.0%56.6%4.9%9.4%12.7%
FCF/Rev LTM15.1%8.7%62.0%56.1%3.1%11.8%13.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg13.2%7.1%60.0%54.7%3.6%9.0%11.1%

Valuation

FCFSEZPWOMFENVAUPBDPRGMedian
NameFirstCashEZCORP OneMain Enova In.Upbound PROG  
Mkt Cap7.11.28.14.11.01.22.7
P/S2.00.91.40.90.30.50.9
P/EBIT13.37.1-7.55.55.77.1
P/E22.611.09.59.815.97.810.4
P/CFO12.18.12.21.66.64.25.4
Total Yield5.4%9.1%18.0%10.2%12.7%14.4%11.5%
Dividend Yield1.0%0.0%7.5%0.0%6.4%1.6%1.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.9%11.9%47.8%63.6%9.8%15.1%13.5%
D/E0.40.63.31.41.40.51.0
Net D/E0.30.23.21.41.30.20.8

Returns

FCFSEZPWOMFENVAUPBDPRGMedian
NameFirstCashEZCORP OneMain Enova In.Upbound PROG  
1M Rtn4.0%10.4%19.1%35.6%10.5%15.4%12.9%
3M Rtn9.4%15.9%14.4%32.8%-30.9%-13.1%11.9%
6M Rtn25.8%49.2%31.3%67.7%-23.8%10.5%28.6%
12M Rtn55.2%64.8%36.3%65.3%-39.1%-29.0%45.7%
3Y Rtn88.7%134.4%156.9%335.4%-7.9%78.8%111.5%
1M Excs Rtn3.2%9.7%18.3%34.9%9.7%14.6%12.2%
3M Excs Rtn7.2%9.2%11.0%27.7%-33.7%-16.2%8.2%
6M Excs Rtn13.5%36.8%18.9%55.3%-36.2%-1.9%16.2%
12M Excs Rtn42.0%51.1%20.6%51.1%-50.4%-40.5%31.3%
3Y Excs Rtn13.5%67.9%69.6%246.3%-84.3%1.9%40.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
US Pawn1,3691,255   
Retail Point-Of-Sale (POS) Payment Solutions986803   
Latin America Pawn803675   
Corporate/ Eliminations-7-5   
Interest and fees on finance receivables  9  
Leased merchandise income  23  
Pawn loan fees  476458565
Retail merchandise sales  1,1341,0761,176
Wholesale scrap jewelry sales  579620
Consumer loan and credit services fees   2104
Total3,1522,7291,6991,6311,864


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
US Pawn2,4232,108   
Retail Point-Of-Sale (POS) Payment Solutions1,0121,048   
Latin America Pawn694620   
Corporate/ Eliminations162129   
Total4,2903,905   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity544,712
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-8.7%
Average Daily Volume278,092
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.96
Basic Shares Quantity44,211,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/20250.0%2.2%1.7%
7/24/20250.1%9.0%18.4%
4/24/20250.2%0.7%-2.9%
1/30/2025-2.9%-0.5%-0.2%
10/24/20243.2%1.2%2.5%
7/25/2024-0.3%0.4%5.9%
4/25/20241.0%0.2%3.9%
2/1/2024-3.0%-2.3%-3.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131513
# Negative10810
Median Positive1.0%2.2%5.6%
Median Negative-2.7%-1.6%-4.4%
Max Positive7.8%13.0%18.4%
Max Negative-3.4%-11.7%-24.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251103202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025728202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025428202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024203202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241028202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024729202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024429202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023205202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231030202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023731202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022206202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221031202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022801202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022502202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021