Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.4%, FCF Yield is 7.5%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -0.4%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Alternative Lending, and Second-hand Marketplaces.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.4%, FCF Yield is 7.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Alternative Lending, and Second-hand Marketplaces.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -0.4%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FCFS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why FirstCash (FCFS) stock moved by 10.5% between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025:

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat. FirstCash reported robust third-quarter 2025 earnings on October 30, 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of $2.26, significantly surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.91 by $0.35. The company's revenue also exceeded expectations, reaching $935.6 million (or $904.27 million depending on the source) against an anticipated $845.28 million or $873.5 million, marking an 11.7% increase year-over-year. This strong financial performance was largely driven by robust pawn operations and strategic acquisitions.

2. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Increases. Following the impressive Q3 results, FirstCash provided an optimistic outlook for the remainder of 2025, projecting continued growth and raising its full-year revenue growth expectations. Several analysts reiterated or upgraded their ratings and increased their price targets for FCFS during this period. For example, TD Cowen raised its target price to $188.00 from $181.00 on October 31st, and Zacks Research upgraded FCFS to a "strong-buy" rating on October 10th. The consensus among analysts is a "Buy" or "Strong Buy" rating with an average 12-month price objective of $167.00.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FCFS Return-13%7%18%26%-3%57%110%
Peers Return-4%69%-38%25%30%2%67%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FCFS Win Rate42%75%42%58%58%80% 
Peers Win Rate48%62%40%46%46%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FCFS Max Drawdown-35%-20%-19%-0%-6%-1% 
Peers Max Drawdown-40%-10%-50%-16%-14%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NNI, LC, NAVI, PRG, GFCX. See FCFS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFCFSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-36.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven233 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-40.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven308 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-28.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven122 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-70.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven243.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven928 days1480 days

Compare to NNI, LC, NAVI, PRG, GFCX


In The Past

FirstCash's stock fell -36.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/26/2021. A -36.2% loss requires a 56.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About FirstCash (FCFS)

Better Bets than FirstCash (FCFS)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FCFS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
FCFS_11302021_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302021FCFSFirstCashDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
17.9%49.4%-5.6%
FCFS_3312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03312020FCFSFirstCashDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-21.7%-8.5%-27.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
FCFS_11302021_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302021FCFSFirstCashDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
17.9%49.4%-5.6%
FCFS_3312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03312020FCFSFirstCashDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-21.7%-8.5%-27.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for FirstCash

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FCFSNNILCNAVIPRGGFCXMedian
NameFirstCashNelnet LendingC.Navient PROG GoodFait. 
Mkt Price162.28133.1818.8012.6030.17-30.17
Mkt Cap7.24.82.21.21.2-2.2
Rev LTM3,4861,3489507242,507-1,348
Op Inc LTM530---413-472
FCF LTM528447-2,151275296-296
FCF 3Y Avg436420-1,938536221-420
CFO LTM577466-2,009275305-305
CFO 3Y Avg493469-1,854536231-469

Growth & Margins

FCFSNNILCNAVIPRGGFCXMedian
NameFirstCashNelnet LendingC.Navient PROG GoodFait. 
Rev Chg LTM3.9%27.7%25.7%-23.1%3.7%-3.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg12.3%-0.5%-4.8%-27.7%-1.5%--1.5%
Rev Chg Q11.7%57.6%31.9%-9.0%-1.8%-11.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.9%11.3%7.3%-2.2%-0.4%-2.9%
Op Mgn LTM15.2%---16.5%-15.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg13.3%---16.8%-15.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.7%---0.2%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM16.6%34.6%-211.5%38.0%12.2%-16.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.9%41.3%-224.6%53.4%9.4%-14.9%
FCF/Rev LTM15.1%33.2%-226.5%38.0%11.8%-15.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg13.2%36.8%-233.9%53.4%9.0%-13.2%

Valuation

FCFSNNILCNAVIPRGGFCXMedian
NameFirstCashNelnet LendingC.Navient PROG GoodFait. 
Mkt Cap7.24.82.21.21.2-2.2
P/S2.03.41.81.80.5-1.8
P/EBIT13.3---5.7-9.5
P/E22.610.516.8-25.87.8-10.5
P/CFO12.19.8-0.94.74.2-4.7
Total Yield5.4%10.4%5.9%1.2%14.4%-5.9%
Dividend Yield1.0%0.9%0.0%5.0%1.6%-1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.9%10.4%-144.9%31.4%15.1%-10.4%
D/E0.41.70.035.50.5-0.5
Net D/E0.31.4-0.535.00.2-0.3

Returns

FCFSNNILCNAVIPRGGFCXMedian
NameFirstCashNelnet LendingC.Navient PROG GoodFait. 
1M Rtn2.4%3.7%6.9%3.3%6.0%-3.7%
3M Rtn8.7%4.9%14.9%-7.6%-13.9%-4.9%
6M Rtn31.2%17.5%80.9%-4.9%5.2%-17.5%
12M Rtn54.1%24.1%19.4%-12.5%-36.2%-19.4%
3Y Rtn80.3%39.2%84.7%-16.7%56.7%-56.7%
1M Excs Rtn2.5%3.7%7.0%3.3%6.0%-3.7%
3M Excs Rtn2.5%-1.4%7.3%-13.8%-19.9%--1.4%
6M Excs Rtn16.5%2.8%66.2%-19.6%-9.5%-2.8%
12M Excs Rtn37.3%10.2%-0.6%-28.9%-50.4%--0.6%
3Y Excs Rtn9.2%-31.0%14.1%-84.7%-7.6%--7.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
US Pawn1,3691,255   
Retail Point-Of-Sale (POS) Payment Solutions986803   
Latin America Pawn803675   
Corporate/ Eliminations-7-5   
Interest and fees on finance receivables  9  
Leased merchandise income  23  
Pawn loan fees  476458565
Retail merchandise sales  1,1341,0761,176
Wholesale scrap jewelry sales  579620
Consumer loan and credit services fees   2104
Total3,1522,7291,6991,6311,864


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
US Pawn2,4232,108   
Retail Point-Of-Sale (POS) Payment Solutions1,0121,048   
Latin America Pawn694620   
Corporate/ Eliminations162129   
Total4,2903,905   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity596,791
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202512.2%
Average Daily Volume239,602
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.49
Basic Shares Quantity44,211,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251103202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025728202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025428202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024203202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241028202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024729202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024429202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023205202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231030202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023731202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022206202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221031202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022801202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022502202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021