Tearsheet

Greene County Bancorp (GCBC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $24.57 | Market Cap: $418.3 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

Greene County Bancorp (GCBC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $24.57
Market Cap: $418.3 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.8%, FCF Yield is 7.5%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -25%
Key risks
GCBC key risks include [1] significant interest rate exposure due to its portfolio of fixed-rate residential mortgage loans and [2] heightened credit risk from increased loan growth in commercial real estate.
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -99%
  
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
  
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.8%, FCF Yield is 7.5%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -99%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -25%
7 Key risks
GCBC key risks include [1] significant interest rate exposure due to its portfolio of fixed-rate residential mortgage loans and [2] heightened credit risk from increased loan growth in commercial real estate.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GCBC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



Here are the key points explaining Greene County Bancorp's (GCBC) stock movement of 3.8% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Record High Net Income in Fiscal Year 2025. Greene County Bancorp reported a record-high net income of $31.1 million for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2025, representing a 25.7% growth compared to the previous fiscal year. This marked the 16th time in the past 17 years that the company achieved record earnings.

2. Strong Q1 FY2026 Earnings. For the three months ended September 30, 2025 (Q1 Fiscal Year 2026), the company announced a net income of $8.9 million, a significant 41.7% increase from the same period in the prior year. This translated to earnings of $0.52 per basic and diluted share, up from $0.37 per share.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GCBC Return-10%47%58%99%-1%-8%281%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GCBC Win Rate58%67%83%50%58%42% 
Peers Win Rate66% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GCBC Max Drawdown-41%-7%-5%-19%-15%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGCBCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-39.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven29 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven73.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven446 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-29.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven42.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven909 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-38.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven62.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven253 days1,480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

Greene County Bancorp's stock fell -39.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/30/2022. A -39.2% loss requires a 64.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Greene County Bancorp (GCBC)

Better Bets than Greene County Bancorp (GCBC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GCBC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Greene County Bancorp

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GCBCNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameGreene C.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Price24.7912.0823.7117.2714.7215.8616.56
Mkt Cap0.40.30.20.30.177.50.3
Rev LTM802696396279,60088
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM32-520193593,66626
FCF 3Y Avg27-22916-51,96816
CFO LTM33-519203994,04026
CFO 3Y Avg28-22818-52,18818

Growth & Margins

GCBCNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameGreene C.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM23.0%21.8%18.0%-10.2%22.3%21.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.5%31.6%0.3%-1.2%62.1%4.5%
Rev Chg Q27.5%20.7%22.9%26.1%20.2%30.2%24.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.1%4.7%5.2%6.3%4.8%7.1%5.7%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM41.0%-193.4%31.5%41.2%34.3%42.1%37.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg38.4%-91.8%31.1%-20.2%21.7%21.7%
FCF/Rev LTM39.8%-193.4%30.8%36.8%32.1%38.2%34.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg36.5%-91.9%27.1%-18.9%18.7%18.9%

Valuation

GCBCNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameGreene C.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Cap0.40.30.20.30.177.50.3
P/S5.31.12.92.94.08.13.5
P/EBIT-------
P/E12.54.911.2-54.116.030.611.9
P/CFO12.9-0.69.17.011.819.210.4
Total Yield8.9%20.2%12.9%-1.8%7.5%3.3%8.2%
Dividend Yield0.9%0.0%4.0%0.0%1.3%0.0%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.3%-76.1%-----34.9%
D/E0.12.6--0.0-0.1
Net D/E-1.01.8---1.2--1.0

Returns

GCBCNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameGreene C.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
1M Rtn14.3%23.4%14.5%15.6%3.2%1.7%14.4%
3M Rtn6.5%2.2%17.2%9.7%13.5%-0.6%8.1%
6M Rtn14.4%19.4%40.0%--29.6%24.5%
12M Rtn-20.4%-2.1%49.7%--35.6%16.7%
3Y Rtn50.1%-21.9%21.2%--306.7%35.6%
1M Excs Rtn13.6%22.7%13.8%14.9%2.5%0.9%13.7%
3M Excs Rtn-0.7%-3.3%14.5%7.1%11.7%-2.2%3.2%
6M Excs Rtn2.0%7.0%27.6%--17.2%12.1%
12M Excs Rtn-30.8%-19.5%37.0%--21.8%1.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-25.3%-87.9%-50.4%--226.1%-37.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Banking6573706353
Total6573706353


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity51,075
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-0.8%
Average Daily Volume10,837
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.71
Basic Shares Quantity17,026,828
Short % of Basic Shares0.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/21/2025-1.1%1.8%-1.7%
7/23/2025-3.2%-6.7%-10.1%
4/22/2025-0.9%2.7%6.2%
1/22/2025-3.0%2.0%1.6%
10/22/20240.6%1.5%11.7%
7/23/2024-3.8%-1.1%-12.8%
4/23/2024-2.1%0.5%8.6%
1/23/2024-1.0%-7.0%-6.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive71415
# Negative17109
Median Positive2.2%1.9%6.2%
Median Negative-1.1%-3.1%-3.8%
Max Positive6.3%9.6%18.0%
Max Negative-3.8%-8.4%-12.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025905202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024207202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024906202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023209202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023908202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022210202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022909202210-K 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021211202210-Q 12/31/2021