Tearsheet

Jefferies Financial (JEF)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $60.89 | Market Cap: $13.1 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Multi-Sector Holdings

Jefferies Financial (JEF)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $60.89
Market Cap: $13.1 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Multi-Sector Holdings

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 87%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 44%
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
Key risks
JEF key risks include [1] substantial financial exposure to the First Brands Group bankruptcy and associated regulatory investigations, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Private Equity, Private Credit, Show more.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 44%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Private Equity, Private Credit, Show more.
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 87%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%
6 Key risks
JEF key risks include [1] substantial financial exposure to the First Brands Group bankruptcy and associated regulatory investigations, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

JEF Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For Jefferies Financial (JEF), the stock moved by -5.2% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, due to several key factors.

1. Increased Operating Expenses in Q3 2025 Earnings
Jefferies Financial Group's stock experienced a decline of approximately 3.6% after the announcement of its third-quarter 2025 financial results on September 29, 2025 (for the fiscal quarter ending August 31, 2025). Despite exceeding analyst estimates for adjusted earnings and revenue, investor concerns arose from a notable 19.9% year-over-year increase in the company's total non-interest expenses, which reached $1.72 billion.

2. Significant Exposure to First Brands Group Bankruptcy
On October 8, 2025, Jefferies disclosed its substantial financial exposure, approximately $715 million, to First Brands Group, an auto parts supplier that filed for bankruptcy in September 2025. This exposure represented about 25% of the trade finance portfolio of Jefferies' Point Bonita Capital subsidiary, leading to an immediate 8% drop in JEF's stock price.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
JEF Return19%62%-8%28%99%-20%263%
Peers Return18%40%-14%25%47%37%255%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
JEF Win Rate83%67%33%58%83%58% 
Peers Win Rate65%67%42%52%68%73% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
JEF Max Drawdown-43%-6%-31%-11%-4%-47% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-2%-31%-12%-5%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GS, MS, JPM, BAC, EVR. See JEF Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventJEFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven636 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven96.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven208 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-41.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven70.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven780 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-80.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven419.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven5,610 days1,480 days

Compare to JPM, BAC, MS, GS, C


In The Past

Jefferies Financial's stock fell -40.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/3/2021. A -40.4% loss requires a 67.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Jefferies Financial (JEF)

Better Bets than Jefferies Financial (JEF)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to JEF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Jefferies Financial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

JEFGSMSJPMBACEVRMedian
NameJefferie.Goldman .Morgan S.JPMorgan.Bank of .Evercore  
Mkt Price61.04872.33174.80314.9854.55334.02244.89
Mkt Cap13.1270.1274.6870.1407.312.9272.3
Rev LTM10,72658,69864,247179,430107,2643,54361,472
Op Inc LTM4,693-----4,693
FCF LTM-1,97115,769-6,747-119,74861,4721,057-457
FCF 3Y Avg-1,927-31,511-23,827-65,10734,244717-12,877
CFO LTM-1,75017,888-3,679-119,74861,4721,135-307
CFO 3Y Avg-1,735-29,280-20,550-65,10734,244756-11,143

Growth & Margins

JEFGSMSJPMBACEVRMedian
NameJefferie.Goldman .Morgan S.JPMorgan.Bank of .Evercore  
Rev Chg LTM11.4%15.2%17.6%8.6%8.9%27.1%13.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg14.6%6.4%7.6%13.4%5.2%7.0%7.3%
Rev Chg Q12.0%19.6%19.1%8.8%10.8%41.5%15.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.0%4.4%4.5%2.1%2.6%9.4%3.7%
Op Mgn LTM43.8%-----43.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg43.7%-----43.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.9%------0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM-16.3%30.5%-5.7%-66.7%57.3%32.0%12.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-19.1%-60.4%-38.8%-36.4%32.7%24.9%-27.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-18.4%26.9%-10.5%-66.7%57.3%29.8%8.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-21.2%-64.7%-44.6%-36.4%32.7%23.6%-28.8%

Valuation

JEFGSMSJPMBACEVRMedian
NameJefferie.Goldman .Morgan S.JPMorgan.Bank of .Evercore  
Mkt Cap13.1270.1274.6870.1407.312.9272.3
P/S1.34.23.94.93.63.73.8
P/EBIT3.2-----3.2
P/E19.414.815.415.013.024.715.2
P/CFO-8.013.8-67.9-7.36.311.5-0.5
Total Yield5.2%6.8%6.5%6.7%7.7%5.1%6.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.1%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-16.7%-22.7%-15.6%-7.5%11.7%7.6%-11.5%
D/E1.71.51.40.60.90.11.2
Net D/E0.90.81.0-0.3-0.7-0.00.4

Returns

JEFGSMSJPMBACEVRMedian
NameJefferie.Goldman .Morgan S.JPMorgan.Bank of .Evercore  
1M Rtn16.3%13.0%9.6%4.9%6.5%13.0%11.3%
3M Rtn-7.6%10.4%11.7%1.5%6.7%-3.9%4.1%
6M Rtn16.3%38.7%33.6%16.1%22.4%36.0%28.0%
12M Rtn-20.8%54.9%40.7%34.9%23.9%16.5%29.4%
3Y Rtn99.2%171.6%122.7%162.3%86.2%226.9%142.5%
1M Excs Rtn15.6%12.3%8.9%4.1%5.8%12.2%10.6%
3M Excs Rtn-14.0%7.6%9.1%-0.3%3.8%-9.0%1.8%
6M Excs Rtn3.9%26.4%21.2%3.7%10.0%23.7%15.6%
12M Excs Rtn-33.6%41.0%30.0%23.0%11.1%3.3%17.1%
3Y Excs Rtn23.3%90.6%43.9%84.3%11.9%153.7%64.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Investment Banking and Capital Markets51,77745,54152,90344,83540,523
Asset Management6,1285,5173,2063,2313,314
Consolidation adjustments  -401-300-94
Corporate  2,4332,1792,432
Merchant Banking  2,2633,1733,286
Total57,90551,05860,40453,11849,460


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,337,083
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-6.8%
Average Daily Volume1,695,531
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.56
Basic Shares Quantity215,293,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
9/29/2025-1.9%-8.2%-16.7%
6/25/20250.3%1.3%2.9%
3/26/2025-9.9%-8.5%-22.4%
1/8/2025-10.8%-7.1%-8.6%
9/25/2024-1.3%0.6%4.2%
6/26/20246.3%11.0%23.8%
3/27/2024-4.4%-5.2%-5.6%
1/8/2024-2.0%-1.7%-1.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131413
# Negative111011
Median Positive3.1%3.9%10.8%
Median Negative-3.0%-7.3%-7.4%
Max Positive7.1%11.0%23.8%
Max Negative-10.8%-17.4%-22.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
83120251009202510-Q 8/31/2025
5312025709202510-Q 5/31/2025
2282025409202510-Q 2/28/2025
11302024128202510-K 11/30/2024
83120241009202410-Q 8/31/2024
5312024709202410-Q 5/31/2024
2292024405202410-Q 2/29/2024
11302023126202410-K 11/30/2023
83120231006202310-Q 8/31/2023
5312023707202310-Q 5/31/2023
2282023410202310-Q 2/28/2023
11302022127202310-K 11/30/2022
83120221007202210-Q 8/31/2022
5312022708202210-Q 5/31/2022
2282022408202210-Q 2/28/2022
11302021128202210-K 11/30/2021