Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 10%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -18%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 362%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.7%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -98%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -99%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, Private Credit, and Venture Capital.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 10%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, Private Credit, and Venture Capital.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -18%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 362%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.7%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -98%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -99%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RITM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

I cannot provide information on Rithm Capital's stock movement for the period from 8/31/2025 to 12/4/2025, as this time frame is in the future.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RITM Return-34%17%-14%46%11%12%19%
Peers Return8%35%-28%7%10%9%34%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RITM Win Rate67%58%42%67%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate50%63%45%50%53%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RITM Max Drawdown-79%-6%-29%-7%-5%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-9%-37%-27%-15%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KRG, KRC, HASI, IRT, BXMT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRITMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven61.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven700 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-81.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven429.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to KRG, KRC, HASI, IRT, BXMT


In The Past

Rithm Capital's stock fell -38.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/4/2022. A -38.2% loss requires a 61.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Rithm Capital (RITM)

Better Bets than Rithm Capital (RITM)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RITM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Rithm Capital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RITMKRGKRCHASIIRTBXMTMedian
NameRithm Ca.Kite Rea.Kilroy R.HA Susta.Independ.Blacksto. 
Mkt Price11.4222.6841.1633.3317.2519.7621.22
Mkt Cap6.25.04.94.24.03.44.5
Rev LTM2,9818571,127566652508754
Op Inc LTM-199335-122-199
FCF LTM-2,93628651-9212722489
FCF 3Y Avg-1,26026838-136936553
CFO LTM-2,931434565-92285224255
CFO 3Y Avg-1,216418570-13267365316

Growth & Margins

RITMKRGKRCHASIIRTBXMTMedian
NameRithm Ca.Kite Rea.Kilroy R.HA Susta.Independ.Blacksto. 
Rev Chg LTM25.7%3.6%0.8%36.9%0.8%-4.6%2.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.7%4.1%1.7%63.0%6.7%-4.5%2.9%
Rev Chg Q45.4%-1.1%-3.5%18,666.3%4.4%21.1%12.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.0%-0.3%-0.9%38.4%1.1%4.8%2.9%
Op Mgn LTM-23.2%29.7%-18.8%-23.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-19.2%29.3%-20.7%-20.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%-0.1%--0.4%--0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-98.3%50.7%50.2%-16.2%43.8%44.1%44.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-41.9%49.9%50.4%3.4%41.0%61.8%45.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-98.5%33.4%4.5%-16.2%19.4%44.1%12.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-43.8%32.0%3.4%3.4%10.6%61.8%7.0%

Valuation

RITMKRGKRCHASIIRTBXMTMedian
NameRithm Ca.Kite Rea.Kilroy R.HA Susta.Independ.Blacksto. 
Mkt Cap6.25.04.94.24.03.44.5
P/S2.15.74.46.85.96.25.8
P/EBIT-17.710.5-37.9-17.7
P/E7.035.015.512.4171.829.522.5
P/CFO-2.111.38.8-41.813.414.110.1
Total Yield14.4%7.7%11.6%13.4%4.5%13.6%12.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%4.8%5.2%5.4%3.9%10.2%5.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-19.8%5.3%0.9%-0.2%1.9%10.6%1.4%
D/E5.30.60.91.40.65.01.2
Net D/E3.60.60.91.30.64.91.1

Returns

RITMKRGKRCHASIIRTBXMTMedian
NameRithm Ca.Kite Rea.Kilroy R.HA Susta.Independ.Blacksto. 
1M Rtn3.2%2.8%-2.6%18.5%7.8%6.5%4.8%
3M Rtn-5.5%0.9%0.1%21.3%-1.1%4.3%0.5%
6M Rtn6.5%5.4%26.1%36.9%-5.0%10.7%8.6%
12M Rtn11.9%-11.4%7.9%15.2%-16.3%16.1%9.9%
3Y Rtn70.3%15.1%17.4%23.4%7.4%13.9%16.2%
1M Excs Rtn3.2%2.8%-2.6%18.5%7.8%6.6%4.9%
3M Excs Rtn-12.4%-5.7%-4.6%15.2%-7.3%-2.9%-5.2%
6M Excs Rtn-8.2%-9.3%11.3%22.2%-19.7%-4.0%-6.1%
12M Excs Rtn-2.5%-27.1%-8.5%-0.8%-31.7%0.1%-5.5%
3Y Excs Rtn1.3%-52.9%-52.4%-43.0%-60.9%-60.2%-52.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Investment Portfolio21,82417,480   
Origination and Servicing13,67212,590   
Mortgage servicing rights (MSRs)2,498    
Asset Management1,6950   
Corporate Category284128016291
Mortgage Loans Receivable 2,3681,684  
Consumer Loans  570754945
Mortgage servicing rights (MSR) Related Investments  5,0246,40810,625
Origination  10,4313,6491,761
Residential Securities, Properties and Loans  13,22617,83931,176
Servicing  8,5264,439266
Total39,71732,47939,74233,25244,863


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,612,922
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-24.0%
Average Daily Volume6,647,033
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.30
Basic Shares Quantity541,835,419
Short % of Basic Shares1.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024812202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022217202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/31/2021