Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -83%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 40x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 186x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 91%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 86%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.9%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 22%
  High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 158%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -83%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 91%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 86%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 22%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 40x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 186x
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.9%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 158%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

ARX Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ARX Return0%0%0%0%0%8%19%
Peers Return3%22%-15%-10%4%-29%-30%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ARX Win Rate0%0%0%0%0%11% 
Peers Win Rate36%47%28%37%57%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ARX Max Drawdown0%0%0%0%0%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-12%-4%-26%-19%-13%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WTW, TIRX, ZBAO, MMC, AON.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/30/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

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In The Past

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Accelerant (ARX)

Better Bets than Accelerant (ARX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ARX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
HLNE_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025HLNEHamilton LaneDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-14.4%-14.4%-14.4%
CNS_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CNSCohen & SteersDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-1.6%
JKHY_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025JKHYJack Henry & AssociatesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.3%0.3%-2.1%
FDS_9192025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09192025FDSFactSet Research SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.7%-7.7%-7.7%
IBKR_9052025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09052025IBKRInteractive BrokersQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
15.0%15.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
HLNE_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025HLNEHamilton LaneDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-14.4%-14.4%-14.4%
CNS_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CNSCohen & SteersDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-1.6%
JKHY_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025JKHYJack Henry & AssociatesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.3%0.3%-2.1%
FDS_9192025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09192025FDSFactSet Research SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.7%-7.7%-7.7%
IBKR_9052025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09052025IBKRInteractive BrokersQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
15.0%15.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Accelerant

Financials

ARXWTWTIRXZBAOMMCAONMedian
NameAccelera.Willis T.Tian Rui.Zhibao T.Marsh & .Aon  
Mkt Price11.35317.000.981.00178.67328.1995.01
Mkt Cap2.531.4--87.771.051.2
Rev LTM6349,808--26,45316,75213,280
Op Inc LTM-2,206--6,1464,3054,305
FCF LTM5451,179--4,8252,9122,046
FCF 3Y Avg-1,010--4,0572,9252,925
CFO LTM5771,407--5,0873,1492,278
CFO 3Y Avg-1,246--4,3983,1653,165

Growth & Margins

ARXWTWTIRXZBAOMMCAONMedian
NameAccelera.Willis T.Tian Rui.Zhibao T.Marsh & .Aon  
Rev Chg LTM-1.3%--10.5%18.3%10.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.4%--8.3%10.6%8.3%
Rev Chg Q101.2%-0.2%--11.5%10.5%11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM19.3%-0.0%--2.5%2.4%2.5%
Op Mgn LTM-22.5%--23.2%25.7%23.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-20.5%--23.1%27.3%23.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%---0.3%0.3%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM91.0%14.3%--19.2%18.8%19.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-13.0%--18.1%22.0%18.1%
FCF/Rev LTM86.0%12.0%--18.2%17.4%17.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-10.6%--16.7%20.3%16.7%

Valuation

ARXWTWTIRXZBAOMMCAONMedian
NameAccelera.Willis T.Tian Rui.Zhibao T.Marsh & .Aon  
Mkt Cap2.531.4--87.771.051.2
P/S3.93.2--3.34.23.6
P/EBIT39.955.1--13.617.228.5
P/E186.3229.1--21.327.3106.8
P/CFO4.322.3--17.222.519.8
Total Yield0.5%1.3%--6.6%4.5%2.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.9%--1.9%0.8%0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.6%--4.0%4.2%4.0%
D/E0.10.2--0.20.30.2
Net D/E-0.80.1--0.20.10.1

Returns

ARXWTWTIRXZBAOMMCAONMedian
NameAccelera.Willis T.Tian Rui.Zhibao T.Marsh & .Aon  
1M Rtn-23.8%-8.2%-52.4%0.0%-11.3%-8.0%-9.8%
3M Rtn-58.8%0.6%-80.8%14.9%-9.9%-7.7%-8.8%
6M Rtn8.1%4.1%-85.9%-10.3%-19.5%-6.4%-8.4%
12M Rtn8.1%9.2%-89.9%-68.3%-17.9%-10.5%-14.2%
3Y Rtn8.1%51.0%-98.6%-15.7%19.2%15.7%
1M Excs Rtn-21.6%-9.5%-54.5%-7.3%-12.9%-10.5%-11.7%
3M Excs Rtn-67.1%-8.4%-89.2%-7.3%-18.6%-16.5%-17.6%
6M Excs Rtn-13.6%-17.7%-107.7%-32.1%-41.3%-28.2%-30.1%
12M Excs Rtn-9.1%-7.4%-107.7%-85.2%-35.3%-28.2%-31.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-68.7%-20.9%-175.4%--54.8%-56.7%-56.7%

Financials

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,944,868
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025-37.6%
Average Daily Volume1,428,745
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.36
Basic Shares Quantity219,986,563
Short % of Basic Shares0.9%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/28/2025-26.4%-29.8%-49.4%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative111
Median Positive   
Median Negative-26.4%-29.8%-49.4%
Max Positive   
Max Negative-26.4%-29.8%-49.4%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025828202510-Q 6/30/2025
123120247252025424B4 12/31/2024
930202311292023DRS/A 9/30/2023
1231202210202023DRS 12/31/2022

Insider Activity

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