Credit Acceptance (CACC)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $457.47 | Market Cap: $5.1 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Consumer Finance
Credit Acceptance (CACC)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $457.47Market Cap: $5.1 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Consumer Finance
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.5%, FCF Yield is 21% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -51%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 121% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 13.91, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Key risksCACC key risks include [1] a notable decline in forecasted collection rates from its subprime loan portfolio and [2] a significant joint lawsuit from the CFPB and New York Attorney General alleging deceptive and fraudulent practices. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Subprime Automotive Lending. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.5%, FCF Yield is 21% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Subprime Automotive Lending. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -51%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 13.91, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 121% |
| Key risksCACC key risks include [1] a notable decline in forecasted collection rates from its subprime loan portfolio and [2] a significant joint lawsuit from the CFPB and New York Attorney General alleging deceptive and fraudulent practices. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CACC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For Credit Acceptance (CACC), several key factors contributed to a negative movement in its stock price around the period from late August to mid-December 2025:
1. Credit Acceptance's Q3 2025 revenue fell short of analyst expectations. The company reported revenues of $582.4 million, missing the forecasted $593.77 million by 1.91% for the quarter ended September 2025.
2. The company experienced a decline in its market share within the subprime auto financing sector. Market share decreased from 6.5% to 5.1%, with competitive pressures and vehicle affordability issues cited as significant factors impacting performance.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CACC Return | -22% | 99% | -31% | 12% | -12% | -3% | 3% |
| Peers Return | 50% | 55% | -50% | 232% | 66% | 26% | 701% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CACC Win Rate | 50% | 83% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 73% | 65% | 32% | 60% | 58% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CACC Max Drawdown | -51% | -6% | -41% | -20% | -22% | -12% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -62% | -7% | -61% | -7% | -15% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ALLY, CPSS, OMF, KMX, CVNA. See CACC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CACC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -45.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 84.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -53.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 116.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 63 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -23.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 114 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -65.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 185.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 343 days | 1480 days |
Compare to AFRM, OMF, SLM, DCOM, GFCX
In The Past
Credit Acceptance's stock fell -45.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/4/2021. A -45.7% loss requires a 84.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CACC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
| 09302021 | CACC | Credit Acceptance | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -6.0% | -25.2% | -25.2% |
| 04302020 | CACC | Credit Acceptance | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 26.7% | -7.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
| 09302021 | CACC | Credit Acceptance | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -6.0% | -25.2% | -25.2% |
| 04302020 | CACC | Credit Acceptance | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 26.7% | -7.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Credit Acceptance
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 56.30 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.1 |
| Rev LTM | 6,758 |
| Op Inc LTM | 570 |
| FCF LTM | 616 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 767 |
| CFO LTM | 1,150 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,064 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 47.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 52.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 25.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 33.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.1 |
| P/S | 1.4 |
| P/EBIT | 9.2 |
| P/E | 15.4 |
| P/CFO | 3.9 |
| Total Yield | 8.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 16.5% |
| D/E | 1.8 |
| Net D/E | 1.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 18.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 8.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 10.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 9.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 62.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 18.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 5.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -1.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -2.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -12.1% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | -1.1% | -7.9% | 3.1% |
| 7/31/2025 | -8.7% | -5.5% | 5.0% |
| 4/30/2025 | -4.0% | -0.6% | -2.1% |
| 1/30/2025 | -1.2% | 1.1% | -7.1% |
| 10/30/2024 | -8.0% | -0.8% | 7.7% |
| 7/31/2024 | -14.9% | -20.2% | -17.8% |
| 4/30/2024 | -4.1% | 2.9% | -5.1% |
| 1/31/2024 | 7.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 10 | 13 |
| # Negative | 16 | 13 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 7.5% | 8.8% | 5.0% |
| Median Negative | -7.7% | -4.8% | -7.2% |
| Max Positive | 20.2% | 13.0% | 20.2% |
| Max Negative | -14.9% | -20.2% | -17.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2122025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4302024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2122024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10302023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5012023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2102023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8012022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5022022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2112022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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