Unum (UNM)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $73.32 | Market Cap: $12.5 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Life & Health Insurance
Unum (UNM)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $73.32Market Cap: $12.5 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Life & Health Insurance
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.2%, Dividend Yield is 2.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.0%, FCF Yield is 5.2% | |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -244% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, Digital Health & Telemedicine, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Geriatric Care, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.2%, Dividend Yield is 2.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.0%, FCF Yield is 5.2% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -244% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, Digital Health & Telemedicine, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Geriatric Care, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
UNM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points that likely influenced Unum (UNM) stock movement during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Miss: Unum Group reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 3, 2025, announcing an earnings per share (EPS) of $2.09, which missed the consensus estimate of $2.15. The company's revenue of $3.25 billion also fell short of analyst estimates of $3.31 billion, despite being up 5.0% year-over-year.
2. Mixed Analyst Ratings and Price Target Adjustments: Throughout October and November 2025, analysts issued various ratings and price target adjustments. While Evercore ISI and Wolfe Research upgraded ratings or raised price targets (e.g., Evercore ISI to $99.00 with an "outperform" rating on November 5, 2025, and Wolfe Research to "strong-buy" on September 16, 2025), JPMorgan Chase & Co. lowered its price objective to $92.00 with a "neutral" rating on November 4, 2025. The overall consensus from analysts remained a "Moderate Buy".
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| UNM Return | -16% | 12% | 74% | 14% | 66% | 4% | 220% |
| Peers Return | -10% | 39% | 13% | 5% | 25% | 9% | 103% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| UNM Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 58% | 75% | 67% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 63% | 58% | 60% | 65% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| UNM Max Drawdown | -64% | -4% | 0% | -10% | -0% | -5% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -54% | -2% | -10% | -21% | -1% | -9% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TRV, MET, AIG, HIG, PRU. See UNM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | UNM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -29.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 128 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -65.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 191.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 413 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -57.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 133.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1857 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -71.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 245.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1470 days | 1480 days |
Compare to TRV, MET, AIG, HIG, PRU
In The Past
Unum's stock fell -29.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2021. A -29.8% loss requires a 42.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| UNM Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Unum Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 68.5% in 2024 and 51.0% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average) | |||
| Unum (UNM) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Unum (UNM) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Unum Market Price | Market Price | ||
| Unum vs. S&P500 Correlation | Correlation | ||
| Unum Price Volatility | Volatility | ||
| Fundamental Metrics: ... | |||
| Time To Buy Unum Stock? | Buy or Fear | ||
| Unum Group (UNM) Stock Has 53% Chance Of Rise In The Next One Month | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| How Will Unum Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings? | October 31st, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to UNM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 15.2% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.5% | -2.5% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.2% | -6.2% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 15.2% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.5% | -2.5% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.2% | -6.2% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Unum
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 93.54 |
| Mkt Cap | 40.8 |
| Rev LTM | 38,050 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 5,570 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 5,351 |
| CFO LTM | 5,631 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 5,445 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | -0.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 15.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 40.8 |
| P/S | 1.2 |
| P/EBIT | 8.4 |
| P/E | 13.7 |
| P/CFO | 6.6 |
| Total Yield | 10.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 15.4% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | -1.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 2.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 1.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 45.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -12.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -13.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -24.2% |
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Closed Block | 35,273 | 33,777 | 38,288 | 38,187 | 37,009 |
| Unum United States (US) | 15,561 | 16,356 | 18,696 | 19,034 | 18,586 |
| Colonial Life | 4,830 | 4,575 | 4,896 | 4,864 | 4,629 |
| Corporate | 4,218 | 3,311 | 4,149 | 4,334 | 2,920 |
| Unum International | 3,373 | 3,129 | 4,086 | 4,206 | 3,869 |
| Total | 63,255 | 61,148 | 70,116 | 70,626 | 67,013 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2202024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Life & Health Insurance Resources |
| Insurance Business America |
| A.M. Best |
| National Underwriter |
| Insurance News |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |