Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.7%, FCF Yield is 6.8%

Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28%

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 181%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 61%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 61%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 18%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Capital Markets & Investment. Themes include Fixed Income Investing, Real Estate Debt Markets, and Interest Rate Risk Management.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.0%, Dist 3Y High is -4.0%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.0x

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -754%

Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 52%

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.7%, FCF Yield is 6.8%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 181%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 61%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 61%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 18%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Capital Markets & Investment. Themes include Fixed Income Investing, Real Estate Debt Markets, and Interest Rate Risk Management.
6 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.0%, Dist 3Y High is -4.0%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.0x
8 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -754%
9 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 52%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Dynex Capital (DX) stock has remained largely at the same level since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Mixed Q1 2026 Earnings and Book Value Decline. Dynex Capital reported a significant earnings per share (EPS) miss of -$0.41 against a forecasted $0.31 for the first quarter of 2026, leading to an initial stock drop of 3.45% in pre-market trading. This was further impacted by a decrease in book value per common share from $13.45 to $12.60 by March 31, 2026. However, these negative factors were partially offset by the company reporting a revenue beat, reaching $79.25 million against a forecast of $72.47 million, and a substantial increase in net interest income to $79.3 million, contributing to a balanced, largely flat movement in the stock price.

2. Impact of Widening Mortgage Spreads. A primary macroeconomic factor contributing to the stable stock movement was the significant impact of widening mortgage spreads late in the first quarter of 2026. This led to a net loss of $(140) million on the company's investment portfolio and $251.8 million in unrealized losses on investments, which directly drove the decrease in book value. This market volatility created headwinds that counteracted any positive operational performance, preventing significant upward momentum.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 2.0% change in DX stock from 1/31/2026 to 4/30/2026 was primarily driven by a 31.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120264302026Change
Stock Price ($)13.3613.622.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)23030431.9%
Net Income Margin (%)80.2%79.5%-0.8%
P/E Multiple9.811.314.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)136200-32.1%
Cumulative Contribution2.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 4/30/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DX2.0% 
Market (SPY)3.6%57.9%
Sector (XLF)-1.9%35.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 10.9% change in DX stock from 10/31/2025 to 4/30/2026 was primarily driven by a 31.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)103120254302026Change
Stock Price ($)12.2813.6210.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)23030431.9%
Net Income Margin (%)80.2%79.5%-0.8%
P/E Multiple9.011.324.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)136200-32.1%
Cumulative Contribution10.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 4/30/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DX10.9% 
Market (SPY)5.5%45.0%
Sector (XLF)0.4%29.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 29.3% change in DX stock from 4/30/2025 to 4/30/2026 was primarily driven by a 181.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)43020254302026Change
Stock Price ($)10.5313.6229.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)108304181.4%
Net Income Margin (%)65.5%79.5%21.5%
P/E Multiple13.511.3-16.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)90200-54.8%
Cumulative Contribution29.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 4/30/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DX29.3% 
Market (SPY)30.4%40.3%
Sector (XLF)8.6%32.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 75.5% change in DX stock from 4/30/2023 to 4/30/2026 was primarily driven by a 1548.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)43020234302026Change
Stock Price ($)7.7613.6275.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)183041548.7%
P/S Multiple22.79.0-60.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)54200-73.1%
Cumulative Contribution75.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 4/30/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DX75.5% 
Market (SPY)78.7%47.9%
Sector (XLF)65.0%46.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
DX Return2%-15%12%14%29%3%46%
Peers Return9%-20%0%3%-1%1%-11%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%4%90%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DX Win Rate58%50%50%67%58%75% 
Peers Win Rate57%48%43%55%57%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DX Max Drawdown-4%-29%-16%-6%-8%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-7%-36%-24%-12%-22%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TWO, IVR, RC, LOAN, NLY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/30/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventDXS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-17.5%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven21.3%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven110 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-25.5%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.2%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven48 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-21.6%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven61 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-29.9%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven42.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven672 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-56.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven128.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven259 days140 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-15.4%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.1%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven42 days62 days

Compare to TWO, IVR, RC, LOAN, NLY

In The Past

Dynex Capital's stock fell -17.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 21.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventDXS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-25.5%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.2%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven48 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-21.6%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven61 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-29.9%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven42.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven672 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-56.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven128.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven259 days140 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-23.6%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.9%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven151 days15 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-24.4%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.3%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven506 days1 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-20.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.7%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven74 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-29.1%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven41.1%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven180 days1085 days

Compare to TWO, IVR, RC, LOAN, NLY

In The Past

Dynex Capital's stock fell -17.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 21.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Dynex Capital (DX)

Dynex Capital, Inc., a mortgage real estate investment trust, invests in mortgage-backed securities (MBS) on a leveraged basis in the United States. It invests in agency and non-agency MBS consisting of residential MBS, commercial MBS (CMBS), and CMBS interest-only securities. Agency MBS have a guaranty of principal payment by an agency of the U.S. government or a U.S. government-sponsored entity, such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Non-Agency MBS have no such guaranty of payment. The company has qualified as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Glen Allen, Virginia.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Dynex Capital (DX):

  1. It's like a specialized Simon Property Group, but instead of owning physical malls and collecting rent, it owns bundles of mortgage debt and collects interest.
  2. It's like a highly focused bond fund from Vanguard or BlackRock, but exclusively investing in mortgage-backed securities (MBS).
  3. It's like Ally Financial, but instead of auto loans, it specializes in investing in bundles of residential and commercial mortgages.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS): These are investments in residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities that are guaranteed by a U.S. government agency or government-sponsored entity.
  • Non-Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS): These are investments in residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities that do not carry a guaranty of principal payment from a U.S. government entity.
  • Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS) Interest-Only Securities: These are investments specifically in the interest-only payment streams of commercial mortgage-backed securities.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Dynex Capital (DX) operates as a mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT). Its core business model involves investing in mortgage-backed securities (MBS) on a leveraged basis to generate income for its shareholders. The company acquires various types of MBS (agency and non-agency) and finances its investments primarily through repurchase agreements.

As an investment vehicle, Dynex Capital does not sell products or services to external "customers" in the traditional business-to-business (B2B) or business-to-consumer (B2C) sense. Therefore, it does not have major customers that purchase goods or services from it.

Instead, Dynex Capital's financial relationships primarily involve:

  • Shareholders: Who invest in the company and receive distributions (dividends) from its taxable income.
  • Financial Institutions: Who serve as counterparties for repurchase agreements (providing financing) or from whom Dynex Capital acquires MBS (sellers of assets). These entities are considered funding partners or asset suppliers, not customers.

The company's revenue is primarily derived from the net interest income generated by its portfolio of MBS assets.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Byron L. Boston Chairman of the Board and Co-Chief Executive Officer

Byron L. Boston serves as Chairman of the Board and Co-Chief Executive Officer, a role he was appointed to in December 2023. He joined the board in 2012 and has served as CEO or Co-CEO and Co-Chief Investment Officer since January 2014. Previously, he was President of the company from March 2012 to December 2020 and Chief Investment Officer since April 2008. Mr. Boston has an extensive background in U.S. real estate finance, asset management/investment banking, and fixed-income capital markets. His career includes building two successful public companies. He started in corporate banking with a focus on direct corporate loans and bond issuances, gaining experience with mortgage-backed securities and bond trading at Credit Suisse First Boston and Lehman Brothers. Recruited by Freddie Mac, he developed and led the initial investment plan to grow their retained portfolio. Following these successes, Mr. Boston launched Sunset Financial Resources, a mortgage Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) specializing in high-quality residential and commercial loans and securities, and led its initial public offering in March 2004. Sunset Financial Resources was sold in 2006. He consulted with Redwood Trust Inc. before joining Dynex Capital in 2008.

Smriti L. Popenoe Co-Chief Executive Officer and President

Smriti L. Popenoe joined the Board in September 2023 and is the Co-CEO and President of Dynex Capital. She previously served as Chief Investment Officer from 2014 through 2024. Ms. Popenoe has almost three decades of career success in finance and capital markets, bringing expertise in risk management, investment leadership, and portfolio optimization. She is accountable for raising, deploying, and managing the Company's capital. Prior to joining Dynex Capital, she served as Chief Risk Officer at PHH Corporation, a leading provider of mortgage banking and fleet management outsourcing services.

Michael Sartori Chief Financial Officer

Michael Sartori was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Dynex Capital, Inc. in February 2026. He has served as Dynex Capital's Head of Capital Markets and Financial Planning and Analysis (FP&A) since 2019, and joined the Company in 2013 as Assistant Controller. Mr. Sartori has advised on the Company's capital strategy and has been a key contributor to Dynex's strategic direction. In his role, he has overseen the identification and monitoring of performance drivers, developed financial models for transaction analysis, reviewed capital structure alternatives, and overseen forecasting and analysis. Before joining Dynex Capital, Mr. Sartori spent several years at Genworth, where he held various accounting management roles with a focus on derivatives accounting. He began his early career at Deloitte and Grant Thornton LLP.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable markets for Dynex Capital's main products and services, which include investments in mortgage-backed securities (MBS), are as follows:

  • U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) Market: The U.S. MBS market, which encompasses residential and commercial MBS, had over $11 trillion in outstanding securities as of mid-2023. The market size is estimated to reach USD 15.55 trillion in 2025. This market primarily consists of agency and non-agency MBS, with the bulk of MBS being backed by residential mortgages.
  • U.S. Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS) Market: The U.S. CMBS market had a market capitalization of approximately $1.8 trillion as of December 31, 2025.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Dynex Capital (DX) expects several key factors to drive its future revenue growth over the next two to three years:

  1. Expansion of the Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) Portfolio: The company has been actively growing its portfolio of mortgage-backed securities. For instance, the portfolio of TBAs and mortgages expanded significantly through 2025 and into early 2026, with current holdings at approximately $22 billion. This continuous deployment of capital into MBS is expected to increase interest-earning assets and, consequently, revenue.
  2. Optimized Leverage to Enhance Returns: Management is targeting leverage in the low-eights, anticipating mid-to-high teens return on equity (ROE). This strategic use of leverage aims to amplify returns from their investments, which can then be reinvested to further grow their asset base and revenue.
  3. Strategic Positioning for a Tighter Spread Regime: Dynex Capital is positioning itself for a return to a tighter spread environment, similar to that seen before the financial crisis. Management believes this environment will enhance the risk-return profile of their assets and provide attractive opportunities for ongoing capital deployment, leading to more profitable investments.
  4. Consistent Capital Raising: The company has a track record of raising substantial equity capital, with over $1.5 billion raised in the 13 months leading up to early 2026. This expanded capital base provides the necessary funding to increase the scale of its investment activities and grow its interest-earning assets.
  5. Benefiting from GSE Balance Sheet Activity and Increased Bank Demand: Dynex Capital anticipates positive impacts from the active participation of Government-Sponsored Entities (GSEs) in the market, which is expected to limit spread widening and enhance the risk-return profile of assets. Additionally, they project significant bank demand for mortgage-backed securities in 2026, which should create a favorable environment for their investment strategy.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Share Repurchases

  • Dynex Capital authorized a share repurchase program of up to $100 million on April 22, 2024, which is valid until April 30, 2026.

Share Issuance

  • On June 5, 2024, Dynex Capital priced an underwritten public offering of 10,500,000 shares of common stock, expecting gross proceeds of approximately $126 million.
  • The company amended its at-the-market (ATM) equity distribution agreement on January 27, 2026, increasing authorized common shares for potential sale by 60,000,000, with 67,354,187 shares remaining available for issuance under its current shelf registration.
  • Net proceeds from common stock issuances during the year ended December 31, 2025, included approximately $1.2 billion from ATM issuances.

Inbound Investments

  • EMG Holdings L.P. acquired a new stake in Dynex Capital, Inc. during the third quarter of a recent period (reported March 15, 2026), purchasing 695,711 shares valued at approximately $8,550,000.
  • Vanguard Group Inc. increased its holdings in Dynex Capital by 21.3% during the third quarter (reported March 6, 2026), holding 7,513,849 shares worth approximately $92,345,000.
  • In September 2025, Co-CEO and President Smriti Laxman Popenoe acquired 4,260 shares of Dynex Capital stock, and CFO and COO Robert Colligan purchased 4,200 shares.

Outbound Investments

  • Dynex Capital's primary business involves investing in mortgage-backed securities (MBS), including agency and non-agency MBS.
  • The company utilizes proceeds from share issuances to acquire additional investments, consistent with its investment policy.
  • As of December 31, 2025, the fair value of Dynex Capital's portfolio was $19.4 billion.
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Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to DX.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
EEFT_4302026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302026EEFTEuronet WorldwideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
HOMB_4242026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V204242026HOMBHome BancSharesInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
1.5%1.5%0.0%
HBAN_3312026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K03312026HBANHuntington BancsharesInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
7.1%7.1%0.0%
NP_3312026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K03312026NPNeptune InsuranceInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
3.9%3.9%0.0%
JKHY_3272026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03272026JKHYJack Henry & AssociatesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.3%0.3%-4.0%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DXTWOIVRRCLOANNLYMedian
NameDynex Ca.Two Harb.Invesco .Ready Ca.Manhatta.Annaly C. 
Mkt Price13.6211.578.131.894.3322.909.85
Mkt Cap2.71.20.60.30.016.50.9
Rev LTM304232120-2472,390176
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM184-701574325-1,58181
FCF 3Y Avg889219325351,115142
CFO LTM184341574325-55295
CFO 3Y Avg8823019325351,996211

Growth & Margins

DXTWOIVRRCLOANNLYMedian
NameDynex Ca.Two Harb.Invesco .Ready Ca.Manhatta.Annaly C. 
Rev Chg LTM181.4%7.5%50.6%-148.0%-6.9%173.2%29.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg228.6%166.1%649.8%-77.0%0.6%290.4%197.3%
Rev Chg Q-753.7%372.1%557.7%-83.9%-6.7%85.4%39.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-18.3%102.0%65.7%-154.4%-1.8%6.8%2.5%
Op Inc Chg LTM-------
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-------
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM60.6%14.5%131.1%-73.6%-23.1%60.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg44.2%79.2%2,011.2%-70.6%-74.9%
FCF/Rev LTM60.6%-30.1%131.1%-73.6%-66.2%60.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg44.2%35.3%2,011.2%-70.6%-57.4%

Valuation

DXTWOIVRRCLOANNLYMedian
NameDynex Ca.Two Harb.Invesco .Ready Ca.Manhatta.Annaly C. 
Mkt Cap2.71.20.60.30.016.50.9
P/S9.05.24.8-7.36.96.9
P/Op Inc-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E11.3-3.55.7-1.39.97.66.6
P/CFO14.836.13.70.79.9-30.06.8
Total Yield8.9%-15.1%17.5%-37.8%20.8%13.2%11.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%13.2%0.0%37.1%10.6%0.0%5.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.4%6.4%39.7%49.8%8.7%12.8%10.8%
D/E0.00.90.011.50.42.10.6
Net D/E-0.30.5-0.110.90.42.10.4

Returns

DXTWOIVRRCLOANNLYMedian
NameDynex Ca.Two Harb.Invesco .Ready Ca.Manhatta.Annaly C. 
1M Rtn8.1%1.3%2.1%16.7%-0.4%8.3%5.1%
3M Rtn-2.9%-10.2%-4.5%-13.9%-1.7%-1.3%-3.7%
6M Rtn11.9%30.8%25.3%-34.6%-7.1%17.8%14.8%
12M Rtn29.3%11.4%33.9%-54.4%-7.6%33.7%20.3%
3Y Rtn81.6%27.1%36.1%-74.8%10.4%77.3%31.6%
1M Excs Rtn-2.4%-9.1%-8.3%6.2%-10.8%-2.1%-5.3%
3M Excs Rtn-6.3%-13.7%-8.0%-17.4%-5.2%-4.8%-7.1%
6M Excs Rtn4.3%20.9%17.3%-44.5%-14.5%11.3%7.8%
12M Excs Rtn-1.7%-23.2%1.7%-84.2%-38.1%4.0%-12.4%
3Y Excs Rtn1.1%-47.7%-41.1%-151.1%-65.4%3.4%-44.4%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Investing in Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and funding these investments with repurchase15027177128200
Total15027177128200


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$13.62 
Market Cap ($ Bil)2.7 
First Trading Date06/30/1989 
Distance from 52W High-4.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$13.09$12.49
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA4.1%9.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility22.9%17.5%
Downside Capture0.470.25
Upside Capture50.0962.06
Correlation (SPY)53.4%40.4%
DX Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.971.080.810.650.570.68
Up Beta1.201.191.130.710.610.56
Down Beta-0.341.951.200.710.590.66
Up Capture77%71%47%66%50%56%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days14223265133402
Down Capture-55%91%70%55%52%91%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days8213057112334

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DX
DX28.1%17.5%1.25-
Sector ETF (XLF)8.8%14.7%0.3631.9%
Equity (SPY)30.6%12.5%1.8840.3%
Gold (GLD)38.6%27.2%1.1822.4%
Commodities (DBC)48.6%18.0%2.07-8.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.9%13.5%0.7147.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-19.3%42.1%-0.3910.6%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DX
DX5.5%23.9%0.20-
Sector ETF (XLF)10.0%18.7%0.4147.9%
Equity (SPY)12.9%17.1%0.5950.5%
Gold (GLD)20.6%17.9%0.9415.6%
Commodities (DBC)14.4%19.1%0.6212.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.6%18.8%0.0958.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)8.3%56.2%0.3618.8%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DX
DX8.3%29.9%0.32-
Sector ETF (XLF)12.7%22.2%0.5343.1%
Equity (SPY)14.9%17.9%0.7142.7%
Gold (GLD)13.5%15.9%0.708.7%
Commodities (DBC)9.7%17.7%0.4615.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.9%20.7%0.2550.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.1%66.9%1.0614.2%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10.9 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 3312026-13.7%
Average Daily Volume4.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity200.1 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares5.5%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/20/20260.8%2.4% 
1/26/2026-0.1%-5.1%-3.4%
10/20/20250.4%1.4%2.2%
7/21/20250.1%3.1%0.9%
4/21/2025-1.8%6.3%8.6%
1/27/20251.2%5.1%11.1%
10/21/2024-0.6%-0.7%-0.1%
7/22/20241.0%0.1%1.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151514
# Negative101010
Median Positive1.2%3.1%6.5%
Median Negative-2.5%-2.6%-2.8%
Max Positive9.6%14.6%12.2%
Max Negative-5.6%-8.9%-10.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202604/27/202610-Q
12/31/202502/25/202610-K
09/30/202510/27/202510-Q
06/30/202507/28/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202402/28/202510-K
09/30/202410/28/202410-Q
06/30/202407/26/202410-Q
03/31/202404/26/202410-Q
12/31/202302/26/202410-K
09/30/202311/06/202310-Q
06/30/202307/28/202310-Q
03/31/202304/28/202310-Q
12/31/202202/27/202310-K
09/30/202210/31/202210-Q
06/30/202208/01/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/20/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Tax Hedge Gains Amortization 95.23 Mil -0.8% LoweredGuidance: 95.97 Mil for 2026
2027 Tax Hedge Gains Amortization 90.41 Mil -1.1% LoweredGuidance: 91.38 Mil for 2027
2028 Tax Hedge Gains Amortization 84.37 Mil -1.1% LoweredGuidance: 85.35 Mil for 2028
2029 Tax Hedge Gains Amortization 276.03 Mil -3.3% LoweredGuidance: 285.53 Mil for 2029

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/26/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Projected Amortization of Tax Hedge Gains 95.97 Mil -2.0% LoweredGuidance: 97.92 Mil for 2026
2027 Projected Amortization of Tax Hedge Gains 91.38 Mil -2.1% LoweredGuidance: 93.33 Mil for 2027
2028 Projected Amortization of Tax Hedge Gains 85.35 Mil    

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Popenoe, Smriti LaxmanCo-CEO and PresidentDirectBuy330202612.192,00024,3806,712,131Form
2Popenoe, Smriti LaxmanCo-CEO and PresidentDirectBuy929202512.164,26051,7844,951,555Form
3Colligan, Robert SCFO and COODirectBuy929202512.124,20050,9041,464,787Form