Tearsheet

Universal Insurance (UVE)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $32.45 | Market Cap: $903.8 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Universal Insurance (UVE)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $32.45
Market Cap: $903.8 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 20%, Dividend Yield is 3.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 16%, FCF Yield is 34%
 
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -64%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
 
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
 
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Climate Resilience & Risk Management. Themes include Catastrophe Risk Modeling, Climate-Adjusted Underwriting, and Property Hardening & Mitigation.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 20%, Dividend Yield is 3.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 16%, FCF Yield is 34%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -64%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Climate Resilience & Risk Management. Themes include Catastrophe Risk Modeling, Climate-Adjusted Underwriting, and Property Hardening & Mitigation.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

UVE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period for the stock movement (8/31/2025 to today, December 4, 2025) is in the future. As such, information regarding specific stock movements and their causes for this future period is not yet available. However, based on the most recent available information, Universal Insurance (UVE) has shown some notable activity and analyst sentiment. 1. 1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Performance. Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. reported strong third-quarter 2025 earnings, with adjusted diluted earnings per common share rising to $1.36 compared to an adjusted loss of $0.73 in the prior year quarter. This was driven by a lower net loss ratio and increases in net premiums earned, net investment income, and commission revenue. Core revenue for Q3 2025 grew by 4.9% year-over-year to $400 million, and the net combined ratio improved significantly to 96.4%, a decrease of 20.5 points from the previous year. 2. 2. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Increases. Analysts have a consensus "Strong Buy" rating for UVE based on recent reports. The average stock forecast for UVE in the next 12 months is $35.70, representing an upside of 7.05% from current prices, with a range of $35.35 to $36.75. One analyst recently increased Universal Insurance Holdings' price target by 20.69% to $35.70. 3.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
UVE Return-44%18%-34%58%37%58%52%
Peers Return4%27%11%16%31%12%151%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
UVE Win Rate33%58%50%58%67%80% 
Peers Win Rate60%57%53%62%68%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
UVE Max Drawdown-59%-14%-48%-3%-0%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-6%-11%-14%-1%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HIG, FNF, PGR, CB, TRV.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventUVES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-56.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven127.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven195 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-60.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven152.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1678 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-51.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven106.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-81.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven450.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1872 days1480 days

Compare to HIG, FNF, PGR, CB, TRV


In The Past

Universal Insurance's stock fell -56.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/13/2022. A -56.0% loss requires a 127.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Universal Insurance (UVE)

Better Bets than Universal Insurance (UVE)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to UVE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
UVE_10312018_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312018UVEUniversal InsuranceQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-27.8%-33.9%-41.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
UVE_10312018_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312018UVEUniversal InsuranceQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-27.8%-33.9%-41.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Universal Insurance

Peers to compare with:

Financials

UVEHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameUniversa.Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
Mkt Price32.62133.0458.19227.18295.05284.27180.11
Mkt Cap0.937.415.8133.2117.263.750.5
Rev LTM1,58127,69213,29782,37658,90048,40938,050
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM2505,8656,72716,47213,3219,9858,356
FCF 3Y Avg2174,9226,25012,35013,4098,6827,466
CFO LTM2545,9886,87216,80013,3219,9858,428
CFO 3Y Avg2225,1096,38812,63413,4098,6827,535

Growth & Margins

UVEHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameUniversa.Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
Rev Chg LTM4.6%6.9%7.4%21.5%6.7%6.7%6.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.2%8.6%-0.7%20.0%12.2%10.1%10.1%
Rev Chg Q3.5%6.4%16.8%21.3%8.2%4.8%7.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.9%1.6%4.0%4.9%2.2%1.2%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM16.1%21.6%51.7%20.4%22.6%20.6%21.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.9%19.6%51.9%18.0%24.8%19.4%19.5%
FCF/Rev LTM15.8%21.2%50.6%20.0%22.6%20.6%20.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg14.5%18.9%50.8%17.6%24.8%19.4%19.1%

Valuation

UVEHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameUniversa.Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
Mkt Cap0.937.415.8133.2117.263.750.5
P/S0.51.41.11.91.91.31.3
P/EBIT4.48.19.111.78.58.18.3
P/E6.010.514.215.011.610.711.1
P/CFO2.96.32.29.38.46.36.3
Total Yield19.8%11.1%10.6%8.5%10.0%10.2%10.4%
Dividend Yield3.0%1.6%3.6%1.8%1.3%0.8%1.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg37.2%15.8%50.1%10.3%12.9%17.2%16.5%
D/E0.10.10.30.00.20.10.1
Net D/E-0.6-0.5-1.8-0.0-0.2-1.4-0.6

Returns

UVEHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameUniversa.Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
1M Rtn5.0%7.5%5.1%11.5%6.0%6.2%6.1%
3M Rtn31.3%0.4%-1.7%-7.9%6.4%3.2%1.8%
6M Rtn19.2%4.9%9.4%-19.4%1.8%5.4%5.1%
12M Rtn50.9%12.0%-4.2%-11.7%4.5%10.9%7.7%
3Y Rtn231.6%85.9%75.3%76.6%40.7%58.9%75.9%
1M Excs Rtn5.0%7.6%5.1%11.6%6.1%6.2%6.2%
3M Excs Rtn22.8%-6.1%-8.2%-14.1%0.4%-3.2%-4.7%
6M Excs Rtn4.4%-9.9%-5.3%-34.1%-12.9%-9.3%-9.6%
12M Excs Rtn35.5%-3.4%-18.6%-27.3%-10.0%-4.9%-7.5%
3Y Excs Rtn180.9%16.1%-0.1%7.2%-29.7%-11.1%3.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment1,3921,2231,1221,073939
Total1,3921,2231,1221,073939


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity446,320
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202548.4%
Average Daily Volume209,607
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.13
Basic Shares Quantity27,851,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231030202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023731202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022502202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021