Universal Insurance (UVE)
Market Price (3/15/2026): $34.28 | Market Cap: $947.7 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance
Universal Insurance (UVE)
Market Price (3/15/2026): $34.28Market Cap: $947.7 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Property & Casualty Insurance
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 22%, Dividend Yield is 2.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 18%, FCF Yield is 40% | |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -50% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Climate Resilience & Risk Management. Themes include Catastrophe Risk Modeling, Climate-Adjusted Underwriting, and Property Hardening & Mitigation. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 22%, Dividend Yield is 2.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 18%, FCF Yield is 40% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -50% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Climate Resilience & Risk Management. Themes include Catastrophe Risk Modeling, Climate-Adjusted Underwriting, and Property Hardening & Mitigation. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Universal Insurance Holdings reported a significant earnings beat for Q4 2025, with adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.17, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.30 by 66.92%. The company's revenue for the quarter also surpassed expectations, reaching $407.93 million and beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 9.37%. This strong financial performance led to a notable stock surge of 7.18% in premarket trading following the announcement.
2. The company demonstrated substantially improved underwriting performance and benefited from a stabilized Florida insurance market. The net combined ratio improved significantly to 87.5% in Q4 2025, down from 107.9% in the prior year quarter, primarily due to a lower net loss ratio of 61.3%. CEO Stephen Donaghy attributed these results to the positive impact of legislative reforms in Florida, which have contributed to market stabilization. The company also reported substantial progress in securing its 2026 reinsurance program.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 4.9% change in UVE stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 47.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 32.68 | 34.28 | 4.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,581 | 1,604 | 1.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.7% | 11.4% | 47.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.4 | 5.2 | -30.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 28 | 28 | 0.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 4.9% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| UVE | 4.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | -3.1% | -0.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | -8.3% | 17.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 42.5% change in UVE stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 169.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 24.06 | 34.28 | 42.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,567 | 1,604 | 2.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.2% | 11.4% | 169.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.1 | 5.2 | -48.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 28 | 28 | 1.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 42.5% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| UVE | 42.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.0% | 15.2% |
| Sector (XLF) | -9.1% | 34.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 59.9% change in UVE stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 194.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.44 | 34.28 | 59.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,521 | 1,604 | 5.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.9% | 11.4% | 194.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.2 | 5.2 | -49.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 28 | 28 | 1.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 59.9% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| UVE | 59.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.4% | 23.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | -5.3% | 38.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 99.6% change in UVE stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 38.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 17.18 | 34.28 | 99.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,223 | 1,604 | 31.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.4 | 0.6 | 38.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 30 | 28 | 10.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 99.6% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| UVE | 99.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 73.4% | 20.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 43.1% | 33.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| UVE Return | 18% | -34% | 58% | 37% | 65% | 1% | 183% |
| Peers Return | 1% | -34% | 232% | 45% | 54% | -9% | 348% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 80% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| UVE Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 58% | 67% | 83% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 40% | 70% | 55% | 58% | 27% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| UVE Max Drawdown | -14% | -48% | -3% | -0% | -10% | -15% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -23% | -48% | -8% | -7% | -12% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -2% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HCI, HRTG, ACIC, DGICA, UFCS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/13/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | UVE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -56.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 127.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 195 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 152.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,678 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -51.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 106.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -81.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 450.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,872 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to HCI, HRTG, ACIC, DGICA, UFCS
In The Past
Universal Insurance's stock fell -56.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/13/2022. A -56.0% loss requires a 127.1% gain to breakeven.
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About Universal Insurance (UVE)
AI Analysis | Feedback
A State Farm or Allstate specialized in residential insurance.
Imagine Progressive for home insurance, but also owning an online comparison site similar to Kayak.com for insurance policies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Personal Residential Insurance Products: Underwrites and markets various insurance policies for personal homes, including homeowners, renters/tenants, condo unit owners, and dwelling/fire, along with allied coverages like personal property and liability.
- Insurance Management Services: Provides a range of services supporting insurance operations, such as actuarial advising, claims administration, policy underwriting, and assistance with reinsurance negotiations.
- Reinsurance Placement and Management: Places and manages reinsurance programs specifically for insurance entities.
- Clovered.com Online Platform: Operates a digital platform offering consumers comparative insurance quotes from multiple carriers and educational resources on homeowners' insurance.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlUniversal Insurance Holdings, Inc. (UVE) primarily sells its insurance products to individuals. Based on the company description, its major customer categories include:
- Homeowners (including those seeking dwelling/fire policies)
- Renters/Tenants
- Condo Unit Owners
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| 02282026 | NDAQ | Nasdaq | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
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| 02272026 | PAYO | Payoneer Global | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02272026 | FOUR | Shift4 Payments | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
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| 10312018 | UVE | Universal Insurance | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -27.8% | -33.9% | -41.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 31.26 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.9 |
| Rev LTM | 940 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 192 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 142 |
| CFO LTM | 195 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 149 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 21.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 21.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.9 |
| P/S | 0.8 |
| P/EBIT | 5.3 |
| P/E | 7.3 |
| P/CFO | 6.2 |
| Total Yield | 16.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 19.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 11.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 25.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 162.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 2.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 9.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 6.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 91.2% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $34.28 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/06/2003 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -5.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $31.68 | $28.67 |
| DMA Trend | up | indeterminate |
| Distance from DMA | 8.2% | 19.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 37.8% | 35.0% |
| Downside Capture | -39.26 | 6.72 |
| Upside Capture | -19.22 | 55.48 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 0.1% | 24.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.05 | -0.19 | -0.06 | 0.51 | 0.43 | 0.55 |
| Up Beta | 0.70 | 1.10 | 1.33 | 1.36 | 0.52 | 0.43 |
| Down Beta | 1.13 | 0.68 | 0.50 | 0.75 | 0.55 | 0.57 |
| Up Capture | 73% | -80% | -45% | 68% | 39% | 39% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 15 | 23 | 33 | 68 | 135 | 386 |
| Down Capture | -197% | -127% | -106% | -43% | 1% | 77% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 6 | 18 | 28 | 56 | 114 | 360 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with UVE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVE | 70.6% | 35.1% | 1.57 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 3.6% | 19.3% | 0.06 | 37.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 19.6% | 18.9% | 0.81 | 23.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 71.9% | 26.3% | 2.05 | -0.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.3% | 17.3% | 0.89 | -0.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.2% | 16.3% | 0.19 | 29.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -15.3% | 44.2% | -0.25 | 4.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with UVE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVE | 21.5% | 41.6% | 0.59 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 9.3% | 18.7% | 0.38 | 32.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.1% | 17.0% | 0.61 | 23.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.1% | 17.3% | 1.14 | 0.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.2% | 19.0% | 0.47 | 0.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 18.8% | 0.16 | 22.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.3% | 56.7% | 0.33 | 7.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with UVE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVE | 10.4% | 41.2% | 0.38 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 12.5% | 22.2% | 0.52 | 42.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 17.9% | 0.70 | 35.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.4% | 15.6% | 0.77 | -0.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 9.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 33.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.4% | 66.8% | 1.07 | 8.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/24/2026 | 2.5% | 12.8% | |
| 10/23/2025 | 11.9% | 9.7% | 16.5% |
| 7/24/2025 | -7.4% | -4.6% | -0.1% |
| 2/25/2025 | 9.3% | 5.5% | 11.6% |
| 10/24/2024 | -4.3% | -0.8% | 13.8% |
| 2/22/2024 | 22.4% | 17.2% | 15.5% |
| 10/26/2023 | -2.8% | 10.6% | 19.6% |
| 7/27/2023 | -7.1% | -7.4% | -19.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 14 | 14 |
| # Negative | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| Median Positive | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.1% |
| Median Negative | -5.8% | -6.6% | -17.7% |
| Max Positive | 22.4% | 54.0% | 47.2% |
| Max Negative | -27.3% | -25.9% | -27.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/28/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/30/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/31/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/29/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/02/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peterson, Richard D | The RDP Revocable Trust dated August 11, 2011 | Sell | 12312025 | 33.61 | 1,855 | 62,347 | 279,602 | Form | |
| 2 | Donaghy, Stephen | CEO | Direct | Sell | 12312025 | 34.07 | 25,000 | 851,750 | 23,166,271 | Form |
| 3 | Donaghy, Stephen | CEO | Direct | Sell | 12312025 | 33.77 | 25,000 | 844,250 | 22,118,033 | Form |
| 4 | Downes, Sean P | Executive Chairman | Direct | Sell | 12192025 | 33.82 | 20,000 | 676,316 | 42,050,353 | Form |
| 5 | Downes, Sean P | Executive Chairman | Direct | Sell | 11282025 | 33.46 | 20,000 | 669,120 | 42,272,057 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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