Northern Trust (NTRS)


Market Price (10/5/2026): $171.43 | Market Cap: $31.5 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Northern Trust (NTRS)


Market Price (10/5/2026): $171.43
Market Cap: $31.5 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.2%

Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -171%

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 3.1 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Digital & Alternative Assets, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, Show more.

Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 60x

Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.4%

Key risks
NTRS key risks include [1] intense competition from established rivals like State Street and BNY Mellon, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.2%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -171%
2 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 3.1 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Digital & Alternative Assets, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, Show more.
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 60x
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.4%
7 Key risks
NTRS key risks include [1] intense competition from established rivals like State Street and BNY Mellon, Show more.

NTRS in ETFs

Weight = NTRS's share of each fund

SPY0.05%
VOO0.05%
IVV0.05%
VTI0.04%
ITOT0.04%
IWB0.05%
RSP0.19%
VTV0.12%
+28 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 10/1/2026

Northern Trust (NTRS) stock has remained largely at the same level since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Q2 2026 Performance and Shareholder Returns. Northern Trust reported robust fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on July 22, 2026, with earnings per share (EPS) of $4.23, exceeding analyst estimates of $2.71 by $1.52. Revenue grew 35.1% year-over-year to $2.71 billion, surpassing analyst estimates of $2.69 billion. This performance included an eighth consecutive quarter of positive organic trust-fee growth and more than 700 basis points of operating leverage. Further demonstrating financial strength, the company increased its quarterly common stock dividend by 10%, or $0.08 per share, to $0.88, payable on October 1, 2026. These company-specific achievements likely provided a strong foundational support for the stock, preventing a significant decline.

2. Broad Financial Sector Pressure from Rising Treasury Yields and Federal Reserve Policy. Despite company-specific strengths, the broader financial sector faced headwinds from macroeconomic factors during fiscal Q3 2026. Elevated 10- and 30-year Treasury yields pressured financial sector valuations, and a significant sell-off across major banks and financial services occurred when the 10-year Treasury yield climbed near 5% after the Federal Reserve raised its rate to 3.75%-4.00%. This upward movement in rates, coupled with persistent inflation and the Fed's focus on price containment, introduced uncertainty regarding net interest margin expectations and broader economic conditions, creating a cautious environment for financial stocks like Northern Trust.

Show more
Updated on 10/1/2026

Northern Trust (NTRS) stock has remained largely at the same level since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Q2 2026 Performance and Shareholder Returns. Northern Trust reported robust fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on July 22, 2026, with earnings per share (EPS) of $4.23, exceeding analyst estimates of $2.71 by $1.52. Revenue grew 35.1% year-over-year to $2.71 billion, surpassing analyst estimates of $2.69 billion. This performance included an eighth consecutive quarter of positive organic trust-fee growth and more than 700 basis points of operating leverage. Further demonstrating financial strength, the company increased its quarterly common stock dividend by 10%, or $0.08 per share, to $0.88, payable on October 1, 2026. These company-specific achievements likely provided a strong foundational support for the stock, preventing a significant decline.

2. Broad Financial Sector Pressure from Rising Treasury Yields and Federal Reserve Policy. Despite company-specific strengths, the broader financial sector faced headwinds from macroeconomic factors during fiscal Q3 2026. Elevated 10- and 30-year Treasury yields pressured financial sector valuations, and a significant sell-off across major banks and financial services occurred when the 10-year Treasury yield climbed near 5% after the Federal Reserve raised its rate to 3.75%-4.00%. This upward movement in rates, coupled with persistent inflation and the Fed's focus on price containment, introduced uncertainty regarding net interest margin expectations and broader economic conditions, creating a cautious environment for financial stocks like Northern Trust.

3. Neutral Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets. Leading into and throughout fiscal Q3 2026, analyst sentiment for Northern Trust remained largely neutral, contributing to the stock's stable performance. Across 13 to 15 analysts, the consensus rating was predominantly "Hold," with an average 12-month price target ranging from $180.27 to $186.58. This suggested a modest upside potential of approximately 4.47% to 6.92% from the stock's price around $172-$175 in late September 2026, indicating that the market did not anticipate significant upward or downward catalysts in the short term, thus supporting a sideways trend.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -0.9% change in NTRS stock from 6/30/2026 to 10/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -18.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)630202610042026Change
Stock Price ($)173.02171.40-0.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8,3529,0528.4%
Net Income Margin (%)22.4%24.8%10.6%
P/E Multiple17.214.1-18.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1851840.8%
Cumulative Contribution-0.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2026 to 10/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NTRS-0.9% 
Market (SPY)3.1%46.0%
Sector (XLF)-0.2%60.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 24.0% change in NTRS stock from 3/31/2026 to 10/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 15.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)331202610042026Change
Stock Price ($)138.27171.4024.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8,0869,05211.9%
Net Income Margin (%)21.5%24.8%15.3%
P/E Multiple14.914.1-5.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1871841.9%
Cumulative Contribution24.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 10/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NTRS24.0% 
Market (SPY)18.6%34.6%
Sector (XLF)8.7%52.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 30.0% change in NTRS stock from 9/30/2025 to 10/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 15.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)930202510042026Change
Stock Price ($)131.81171.4030.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)7,8669,05215.1%
Net Income Margin (%)22.0%24.8%12.3%
P/E Multiple14.714.1-4.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1931844.8%
Cumulative Contribution30.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 10/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NTRS30.0% 
Market (SPY)16.5%47.7%
Sector (XLF)0.5%64.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 168.6% change in NTRS stock from 9/30/2023 to 10/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 37.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)930202310042026Change
Stock Price ($)63.82171.40168.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,7769,05233.6%
Net Income Margin (%)18.0%24.8%37.9%
P/E Multiple10.914.129.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)20818412.9%
Cumulative Contribution168.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2023 to 10/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NTRS168.6% 
Market (SPY)86.2%58.7%
Sector (XLF)68.3%69.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NTRS Return32%-24%-1%26%37%26%115%
Peers Return38%-17%7%30%31%8%126%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%104%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NTRS Win Rate58%33%42%67%67%56% 
Peers Win Rate67%46%44%60%67%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%44% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NTRS Max Drawdown-13%-41%-35%-11%-25%-12% 
Peers Max Drawdown-14%-37%-33%-14%-28%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BAC, MS, USB, STT, FGC. See NTRS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/2/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventNTRSS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-25.2%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.6%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven76 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-18.7%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven23.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven35 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-29.1%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven41.1%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven517 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-34.7%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven53.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven767 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-39.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven64.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven304 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-25.8%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.8%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven308 days105 days

Compare to BAC, MS, USB, STT, RVII

In The Past

Northern Trust's stock fell -25.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 33.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventNTRSS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-25.2%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.6%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven76 days79 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-29.1%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven41.1%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven517 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-34.7%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven53.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven767 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-39.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven64.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven304 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-25.8%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.8%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven308 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-29.1%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven41.0%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven272 days62 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-25.4%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.0%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven162 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-55.6%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven125.1%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven2078 days1085 days

Compare to BAC, MS, USB, STT, RVII

In The Past

Northern Trust's stock fell -25.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 33.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Northern Trust (NTRS)

Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) is a financial holding company providing a comprehensive suite of wealth management, asset servicing, asset management, and banking solutions to clients worldwide. The company essentially acts as a trusted partner for both large institutions and affluent individuals, helping them manage, grow, and protect their financial assets through a range of specialized services.

The company operates primarily through two segments. Its Corporate & Institutional Services (C&IS) segment caters to institutional clients such as corporate and public retirement funds, foundations, endowments, and sovereign wealth funds. For these clients, Northern Trust offers essential services including custody, fund administration, investment operations outsourcing, securities lending, and treasury management. Concurrently, the Wealth Management segment focuses on high-net-worth individuals, families, business owners, and executives, providing services like trust and investment management, financial consulting, private and business banking, and estate administration. Northern Trust also offers extensive asset management services across various asset classes, from equities and fixed income to alternative investments, delivering these through diverse investment vehicles.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • It's like **JPMorgan Chase's** private banking and wealth management division, but exclusively for the ultra-rich and families.
  • It's the 'Amazon Web Services' for large institutional investors, handling all the complex asset servicing and management behind the scenes.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Wealth Management: Provides comprehensive financial planning, investment management, trust, custody, and private banking services for high-net-worth individuals and families.
  • Asset Servicing: Offers institutional clients a suite of services including global custody, fund administration, investment operations outsourcing, and securities lending.
  • Asset Management: Manages investment portfolios across various asset classes like equities, fixed income, and alternatives for both institutional and individual clients.
  • Banking Solutions: Delivers treasury management, foreign exchange, and general banking services to support client liquidity and operational needs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Northern Trust (NTRS) serves a diverse client base that includes both large institutional clients and high-net-worth individuals. Due to the confidential nature of its institutional client relationships, specific names of major customer companies are not publicly disclosed and are not available in the provided background information.

However, Northern Trust's Wealth Management segment primarily serves individuals and families. The major categories of customers served by this segment include:

  • High-net-worth individuals and families
  • Business owners
  • Executives, professionals, and retirees

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Michael G. O'Grady Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Michael G. O'Grady is the Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Northern Trust, a position he has held since 2019 and 2018 respectively. He joined Northern Trust in 2011 and previously served as President (since 2017), President of Corporate & Institutional Services (2014–2016), and Chief Financial Officer (2011–2014) for the company. Before joining Northern Trust, he spent a decade at Bank of America Merrill Lynch (2000–2011) as a Managing Director in the firm's Investment Banking Group and head of the Depository Institutions Group for the Americas. He began his career at Merrill Lynch in 1992 as an associate, and prior to that, he worked for Price Waterhouse from 1987 to 1990.

David W. Fox, Jr. Chief Financial Officer

David W. Fox, Jr. was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Northern Trust Corporation, effective October 1, 2024. He joined Northern Trust in 2012. Before becoming CFO, he served as President of Northern Trust's Global Family & Private Investment Offices from 2015 to September 2024. Prior to that, he was Head of the Americas for the Asset Servicing business from 2012 to 2015. Before his tenure at Northern Trust, Mr. Fox held various leadership roles at J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. for over 25 years, including Vice Chairman of Investment Banking and CEO of Midwest Investment Banking.

Jason J. Tyler President, Wealth Management

Jason J. Tyler assumed the role of President of Wealth Management at Northern Trust, effective October 1, 2024. He previously served as Chief Financial Officer of Northern Trust. Mr. Tyler joined Northern Trust in 2011, and his past roles with the company include Global Head of Corporate Strategy, Global Head of the Institutional Group in the Asset Management business, and Chief Financial Officer for Wealth Management. Prior to joining Northern Trust, he spent eight years at Ariel Investments as Director of Research Operations and a member of the firm's Investment Committee. Earlier in his career, he held various leadership positions in Corporate Finance and Banking at American National Bank/Bank One.

Peter B. Cherecwich Chief Operating Officer

Peter B. Cherecwich was appointed Chief Operating Officer of Northern Trust, effective October 1, 2024. In this newly created role, he is responsible for ensuring operational excellence and resiliency across the firm. Prior to this appointment, Mr. Cherecwich served as President of Asset Servicing.

Daniel E. Gamba President, Asset Management

Daniel E. Gamba serves as the President of Northern Trust Asset Management.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Northern Trust's business are:

  1. Market Volatility and Fee-Revenue Pressure: Northern Trust's business model is significantly dependent on fee-based services derived from its substantial assets under custody/administration (AUC/A) and assets under management (AUM). Consequently, fluctuations and downturns in global financial markets directly impact the value of these assets, leading to reduced fee income and pressure on its top-line revenue.
  2. Evolving Regulatory and Legal Risks: As a global financial holding company, Northern Trust is subject to extensive and continuously evolving government regulations and supervision across various jurisdictions (U.S., UK, EU). These regulations encompass prudential standards (e.g., Basel III, CCAR/DFAST), liquidity and capital requirements, and emerging obligations in areas such as data privacy (GDPR, CCPA, EU AI Act) and sustainable finance. Navigating these complex and changing regulatory landscapes can lead to increased compliance costs, operational adjustments, and potential legal liabilities, negatively impacting its financial condition and operations.
  3. Operational and Cybersecurity Risks: Northern Trust heavily relies on intricate information technology systems and networks, many of which are managed by third parties, to deliver its wealth management, asset servicing, and banking solutions. This dependency exposes the company to significant operational risks, including system failures, service disruptions, and sophisticated cybersecurity threats such as cyber-attacks and data breaches. Such incidents could severely impair operations, compromise sensitive data, damage the company's reputation, and result in substantial financial losses.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The rise of Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT) and blockchain-based platforms for asset servicing and custody. These technologies have the potential to disintermediate traditional financial processes by enabling more efficient, transparent, and real-time settlement, potentially reducing the need for multiple intermediaries and the associated costs in areas like custody, fund administration, and securities lending, which are core services offered by Northern Trust's Corporate & Institutional Services segment.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Northern Trust's Addressable Market Sizes for Key Services

Northern Trust (NTRS) operates within several large addressable markets globally, primarily encompassing wealth management, asset servicing (including custody and fund administration), and asset management. These markets demonstrate substantial scale and consistent growth.

Wealth Management

The global wealth management market was valued at approximately USD 1.83 trillion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 5.95 trillion by 2033, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14% from 2026 to 2033. Another estimate indicates the global wealth management market was worth around USD 1.64 trillion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach approximately USD 4.89 trillion by 2034, with a CAGR of 10.6% between 2025 and 2034. In 2020, the global wealth management industry generated USD 1.25 trillion, with a projection to reach USD 3.43 trillion by 2030 at a CAGR of 10.7% from 2021 to 2030.

Asset Servicing

The global asset servicing market was valued at approximately USD 93 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 181.1 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 11.8% from 2024 to 2030. Other estimates place the global asset servicing market at USD 84.71 billion in 2023, with a projection to reach USD 194.52 billion by 2031 at a CAGR of 10.95% from 2024 to 2031. Additionally, the market was valued at USD 97.61 billion in 2024 and is poised to grow to USD 295.55 billion by 2033, at a CAGR of 13.1% during the forecast period (2026–2033). Within asset servicing, key components include:
  • Custody Services: The global custody services market was valued at USD 4.54 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 9.15 billion by 2033, at a CAGR of 8.1% from 2026 to 2033. Another source reported the custody service market at $45.19 billion in 2024, projected to reach $48.84 billion in 2025 with an 8.1% CAGR. North America holds the largest share of the global custody services market, accounting for approximately 45%.
  • Fund Administration: The global fund administration services market size was valued at USD 12.8 billion in 2024 and is forecasted to reach USD 23.6 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 7.1%. Another report indicates a global market size of USD 12.9 billion in 2024, with a projected growth to USD 25.8 billion by 2033 at a CAGR of 8.2%.

Asset Management

The global asset management industry's assets under management (AuM) reached a record-breaking USD 128 trillion in 2024. Global AuM is further expected to climb from USD 139 trillion in 2024 to USD 200 trillion by 2030, at a CAGR of 6.2%. North America remained the dominant market for global AuM in 2024.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Northern Trust (NTRS) anticipates future revenue growth over the next two to three years will be driven by several key factors:

  1. Growth in Trust, Investment, and Other Servicing Fees: A primary driver for Northern Trust is the expansion of its core fee-based services. The company reported a 7% increase in trust fees in Q4 2025 and a 6% increase in Q3 2025, excluding notables. This growth is supported by favorable equity markets, net new business, and an increase in Assets Under Custody/Administration (AUC/AUA) and Assets Under Management (AUM), with AUM for asset servicing clients up 12% year-over-year in Q4 2025.
  2. Net Interest Income (NII) Expansion: Northern Trust has seen significant growth in its Net Interest Income, which increased by 14% year-over-year in Q4 2025, reaching a new record. For 2026, the company forecasts low to mid-single-digit NII growth, indicating continued contribution from its banking solutions, even with potential rate cycle headwinds.
  3. Strategic Expansion in Wealth Management: The Wealth Management segment is a strong contributor to revenue growth, with Assets Under Management for wealth management clients rising 13% year-over-year to $507 billion in Q4 2025. The Global Family Office (GFO) within this segment achieved record new business in 2025, including significant flows, and Family Office Solutions (FOS) exceeded client and asset targets by focusing on ultra-high-net-worth families.
  4. Asset Servicing New Business and Private Markets Traction: The Corporate & Institutional Services (C&IS) segment, encompassing asset servicing, continues to secure new mandates and experience strong growth. Asset servicing fees increased by 6% over the prior year in Q3 2025. The company has noted strong traction and new business wins in private markets, reinforcing its position in providing integrated solutions for institutional investors.
  5. Innovation and Product Launches: Northern Trust is focusing on enhancing its offerings through new products and technological integration. In 2025, the company launched 11 new ETF strategies and expanded its fixed income Separately Managed Accounts (SMAs) platform, achieving over $35 billion in net flows. Additionally, the company has introduced innovative products like tokenized money market funds and is embedding AI in its operations to drive productivity and potentially new service capabilities.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Capital Allocation Decisions for Northern Trust (NTRS) Over the Last 3-5 Years

Share Repurchases

  • In July 2025, Northern Trust's Board of Directors approved a new common stock repurchase authorization of up to $2.5 billion, which replaced a previous program from October 2021 and has no expiration date.
  • Northern Trust returned $1.9 billion to shareholders in 2025, including a record $1.3 billion through share repurchases, resulting in a 5% reduction in shares outstanding.
  • An October 2021 share repurchase program authorized the buyback of up to 25 million shares. As of December 31, 2025, approximately 1.9 million shares remained available under this plan.

Share Issuance

  • Northern Trust utilizes repurchased shares for general purposes, including the issuance of shares under stock option and other equity incentive plans.
  • The company's shares outstanding were 0.192 billion in 2025, representing a 4.77% decline from 2024.

Outbound Investments

  • In May 2021, Northern Trust acquired Parilux Investment Technology, a provider of Portfolio Management Solutions, to enhance its Front Office Solutions platform.

Capital Expenditures

  • Total capital expenditures were $774.2 million in 2025 and $745.5 million in 2024.
  • These capital expenditures are primarily focused on technology investments aimed at infrastructure modernization, including the use of external cloud technologies, increasing operational efficiency and resiliency, and developing capabilities for secure and innovative client solutions.
  • Northern Trust also continues to invest in renovation and relocation efforts.

Peer Outperformance in Asset Management & Custody Banks

NTRS has outperformed 79% of its 82 Asset Management & Custody Banks peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it are BNY and STT. Asset Management & Custody Banks ranks 13th of 18 industries in Financials by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Asset Management & Custody Banks constituents that NTRS has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
90%
of 102 industry peers · 32.2% return
3Y
91%
of 93 industry peers · 179.9% return
5Y
79%
of 82 industry peers · 79.2% return
Asset Management & Custody Banks peers with revenue growth within 4pp of NTRS's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
NTRS Northern Trust 10.3% 14.1x 32.2%179.9%79.2% —
BNY Bank of New York Mellon 7.7% 15.8x 38.8%275.2%206.0% +127pp
STT State Street 7.2% 14.1x 54.8%199.6%132.0% +53pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Financials sector, ranked by 5Y. Asset Management & Custody Banks is NTRS's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Reinsurance 6 15.9%64.6%115.6% SPNT 160% · RNR 142% · RGA 135%
Investment Banking & Brokerage 13 -3.8%100.8%100.0% IBKR 441% · SNEX 231% · HOOD 168%
Diversified Banks 12 28.5%131.2%96.2% CM 145% · RY 131% · JPM 122%
Life & Health Insurance 20 6.1%51.5%90.5% JXN 532% · UNM 286% · FG 191%
Multi-Sector Holdings 4 3.8%52.4%74.5% JONE 361% · BRK-B 81% · VOYA 68%
Property & Casualty Insurance 42 3.1%71.0%60.8% ASIC 2616900% · HRTG 408% · UVE 305%
Multi-line Insurance 9 4.5%70.2%53.8% GNW 135% · L 92% · AIZ 82%
Regional Banks 264 26.4%92.0%52.2% GCBC 319% · ESQ 310% · PBAM 251%
Financial Exchanges & Data 15 -2.9%15.3%30.0% VIRT 182% · CBOE 140% · CME 64%
Diversified Financial Services 4 -8.4%23.4%19.4% FRHC 175% · EQH 95% · TMS -56%
Consumer Finance 30 -0.7%86.0%17.9% ENVA 388% · EZPW 296% · FCFS 159%
Insurance Brokers 16 -25.2%-10.1%11.7% LIFE 300% · ARX 88% · CRD-A 62%
Asset Management & Custody Banks ← 83 -8.0%20.3%11.4% WT 356% · VCTR 285% · AAMI 265%
Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance 14 -53.1%25.2%1.0% FNMA 460% · FMCC 422% · ACT 172%
Specialized Finance 3 8.6%37.5%-13.7% EFC 16% · HASI -14% · CACC -14%
Mortgage REITs 33 -18.7%4.8%-29.8% NREF 54% · RITM 33% · DX 22%
Transaction & Payment Processing Services 17 -4.3%-7.1%-45.0% V 67% · MA 66% · CPAY 51%
Diversified Capital Markets 20 -36.2%14.6%-58.2% OPY 180% · LPLA 100% · GOLD 59%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NTRSBACMSUSBSTTFGCMedian
NameNorthern.Bank of .Morgan S.U.S. Ban.State St.FG Commu. 
Mkt Price171.4353.78190.0057.51175.947.04114.47
Mkt Cap31.5384.6295.389.448.6-89.4
Rev LTM9,052121,09873,05329,58315,056222,320
Op Inc LTM------22-22
FCF LTM-21894,742-18,58212,5252,019-131,003
FCF 3Y Avg1,76139,706-16,7179,905-4,922-6878
CFO LTM52994,742-15,58712,5253,474-132,002
CFO 3Y Avg2,51839,706-13,4599,905-3,792-61,256

Growth & Margins

NTRSBACMSUSBSTTFGCMedian
NameNorthern.Bank of .Morgan S.U.S. Ban.State St.FG Commu. 
Rev Chg LTM15.1%9.7%18.8%6.7%12.8%271.1%14.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.3%6.5%13.5%3.2%7.2%62.6%8.7%
Rev Chg Q35.0%15.0%27.4%10.2%16.7%16.9%16.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.4%3.5%6.2%2.5%4.0%1.5%3.8%
Op Inc Chg LTM------143.6%-143.6%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-------
Op Mgn LTM------932.3%-932.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM------9.8%-9.8%
CFO/Rev LTM5.8%78.2%-21.3%42.3%23.1%-540.9%14.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg32.3%34.5%-21.2%35.0%-30.5%-412.3%5.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-2.4%78.2%-25.4%42.3%13.4%-540.9%5.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg23.0%34.5%-26.6%35.0%-38.8%-414.9%-1.8%

Valuation

NTRSBACMSUSBSTTFGCMedian
NameNorthern.Bank of .Morgan S.U.S. Ban.State St.FG Commu. 
Mkt Cap31.5384.6295.389.448.6-89.4
P/S3.53.24.03.03.2-3.2
P/Op Inc-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E14.111.414.610.914.1-14.1
P/CFO59.64.1-18.97.114.0-7.1
Total Yield9.0%11.3%9.1%12.7%9.5%-9.5%
Dividend Yield1.9%2.5%2.3%3.6%2.4%-2.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.5%11.2%-7.3%13.2%-19.0%-9.5%
D/E0.41.01.41.10.6-1.0
Net D/E-1.7-0.50.9-0.7-2.6--0.7

Returns

NTRSBACMSUSBSTTFGCMedian
NameNorthern.Bank of .Morgan S.U.S. Ban.State St.FG Commu. 
1M Rtn-8.1%-14.2%-12.7%-8.4%-9.0%-6.1%-8.7%
3M Rtn-2.4%-8.0%-10.7%-6.0%3.6%-6.1%-6.1%
6M Rtn21.6%10.0%15.8%10.6%38.0%-6.1%13.2%
12M Rtn32.2%8.5%23.3%24.2%54.8%-6.1%23.8%
3Y Rtn179.9%121.8%163.2%105.0%199.5%-6.1%142.5%
1M Excs Rtn-7.1%-14.4%-11.0%-8.3%-7.7%-6.9%-8.0%
3M Excs Rtn-7.4%-12.2%-16.4%-10.1%-1.9%-8.6%-9.4%
6M Excs Rtn4.3%-7.3%-1.5%-6.8%20.7%-23.7%-4.1%
12M Excs Rtn18.4%-6.7%8.8%9.7%43.8%-21.4%9.2%
3Y Excs Rtn92.0%31.2%74.6%23.3%110.6%-88.0%52.9%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Asset Servicing4,7654,3604,1364,1013,665
Wealth Management3,3773,2132,8842,9422,857
Other-55717-246-281-21
Total8,0868,2906,7746,7616,500


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20152014201320122011
Wealth Management704624608  
Corporate and Institutional Services697504449404462
Treasury and Other8862193214
Personal Financial Services   598425
Total1,4901,1901,0761,033901


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Wealth Management981908729807936
Asset Servicing883685677762641
Other-126438-299-233-32
Total1,7372,0311,1071,3361,545


Assets by Segment
$ Mil2023202120042003
Asset Servicing101,473120,883  
Wealth Management41,17735,480  
Other00  
Corporate and Institutional Services  21,19817,132
Personal Financial Services  16,18515,868
Treasury and other  3,9166,115
Total142,649156,36341,30039,115


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$171.40 
Market Cap ($ Bil)31.5 
First Trading Date03/26/1990 
Distance from 52W High-10.1% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$181.88$161.50
DMA Trendupindeterminate
Distance from DMA-5.8%6.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility21.7%25.1%
Downside Capture140.82101.81
Upside Capture104.21116.81
Correlation (SPY)45.6%48.2%
NTRS Betas & Captures as of 9/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.990.600.910.670.921.01
Up Beta-0.080.220.390.460.550.95
Down Beta-1.060.860.690.290.821.06
Up Capture92%42%103%92%124%131%
Bmk +ve Days6162766132424
Stock +ve Days11243776144417
Down Capture216%121%126%79%102%99%
Bmk -ve Days16263760120328
Stock -ve Days11182750108334

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NTRS
NTRS33.6%25.0%1.10-
Sector ETF (XLF)1.4%14.8%-0.1364.6%
Equity (SPY)16.2%13.0%0.8848.2%
Gold (GLD)6.8%29.6%0.2215.6%
Commodities (DBC)44.9%20.8%1.67-7.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.5%13.6%-0.1520.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-28.9%44.3%-0.6429.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NTRS
NTRS12.7%29.3%0.42-
Sector ETF (XLF)8.7%18.3%0.3473.8%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.2%0.5862.0%
Gold (GLD)18.4%18.9%0.795.1%
Commodities (DBC)10.3%19.6%0.4111.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)0.7%18.8%-0.0752.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)14.6%52.2%0.4524.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NTRS
NTRS12.5%30.3%0.44-
Sector ETF (XLF)12.6%22.1%0.5280.2%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7267.4%
Gold (GLD)11.5%16.4%0.57-1.6%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%18.1%0.3722.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.2%20.7%0.1652.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)64.1%66.2%1.0417.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3.9 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 83120265.2%
Average Daily Volume0.9 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.3 days
Basic Shares Quantity184.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/24/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/22/2026-3.5%-2.3%0.2%
4/21/20268.0%5.5%3.7%
1/22/20266.0%4.0%0.2%
10/22/2025-2.4%-0.9%-2.0%
7/23/2025-1.8%4.0%1.1%
4/22/20253.0%6.6%23.7%
1/23/20252.0%4.9%5.2%
10/23/20247.0%6.8%12.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111018
# Negative13146
Median Positive3.0%4.4%3.4%
Median Negative-4.6%-4.8%-4.6%
Max Positive13.4%9.3%23.7%
Max Negative-9.3%-10.6%-15.3%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/22/2026-3.5%-2.3%0.2%
4/21/20268.0%5.5%3.7%
1/22/20266.0%4.0%0.2%
10/22/2025-2.4%-0.9%-2.0%
7/23/2025-1.8%4.0%1.1%
4/22/20253.0%6.6%23.7%
1/23/20252.0%4.9%5.2%
10/23/20247.0%6.8%12.6%
7/17/2024-5.1%-4.7%-6.6%
4/16/2024-5.0%-0.2%3.1%
1/18/2024-2.4%-2.5%-2.6%
10/18/2023-6.6%-10.0%6.0%
7/19/202313.4%9.3%6.7%
4/25/2023-9.3%-10.6%-15.3%
1/19/2023-8.6%-4.7%-3.3%
10/19/2022-9.2%-6.4%3.9%
7/20/2022-4.0%-5.8%1.3%
4/26/20222.1%-1.2%0.4%
1/20/2022-4.6%-8.4%-5.9%
10/20/20213.4%1.5%1.2%
7/21/20211.6%0.4%2.3%
4/20/20211.1%2.8%10.5%
1/21/2021-0.6%-4.8%1.6%
10/21/20200.0%-5.9%8.1%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111018
# Negative13146
Median Positive3.0%4.4%3.4%
Median Negative-4.6%-4.8%-4.6%
Max Positive13.4%9.3%23.7%
Max Negative-9.3%-10.6%-15.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/30/202610-Q
03/31/202604/30/202610-Q
12/31/202502/24/202610-K
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q
06/30/202507/30/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202402/24/202510-K
09/30/202410/29/202410-Q
06/30/202408/01/202410-Q
03/31/202404/23/202410-Q
12/31/202302/27/202410-K
09/30/202310/31/202310-Q
06/30/202307/25/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/28/202310-K
09/30/202210/25/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/30/202610-Q
03/31/202604/30/202610-Q
12/31/202502/24/202610-K
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q
06/30/202507/30/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202402/24/202510-K
09/30/202410/29/202410-Q
06/30/202408/01/202410-Q
03/31/202404/23/202410-Q
12/31/202302/27/202410-K
09/30/202310/31/202310-Q
06/30/202307/25/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/28/202310-K
09/30/202210/25/202210-Q
06/30/202207/26/202210-Q
03/31/202205/03/202210-Q
12/31/202102/28/202210-K
09/30/202110/26/202110-Q
06/30/202107/27/202110-Q
03/31/202104/27/202110-Q
12/31/202002/23/202110-K
09/30/202010/27/202010-Q
06/30/202007/28/202010-Q
03/31/202004/27/202010-Q
12/31/201902/25/202010-K
09/30/201910/28/201910-Q

Insider Activity

Updated 9/3/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1South, Thomas AExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell8252026184.901,800332,82017,180,353Form
2Moritz, Robert Edward JR DirectBuy7302026179.5725545,7901,508,388Form
3Hallinan, AengusExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell6042026167.363,668613,8801,583,402Form
4Moritz, Robert Edward JR DirectBuy5042026166.4122537,4421,355,409Form
5Bellows, CliveCo-President Asset ServicingDirectSell4282026165.022,800462,0564,656,369Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1South, Thomas AExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell8252026184.901,800332,82017,180,353Form
2Moritz, Robert Edward JR DirectBuy7302026179.5725545,7901,508,388Form
3Hallinan, AengusExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell6042026167.363,668613,8801,583,402Form
4Moritz, Robert Edward JR DirectBuy5042026166.4122537,4421,355,409Form
5Bellows, CliveCo-President Asset ServicingDirectSell4282026165.022,800462,0564,656,369Form
6Gibson, GuyCo-President Asset ServicingDirectSell3062026142.393,009428,4524,176,583Form
7Fox, David W JREVP & Chief Financial OfficerDirectSell2262026144.051,450208,8732,904,336Form
8Gibson, GuyCo-President Asset ServicingDirectSell2132026147.431,043153,7695,161,967Form
9Bellows, CliveCo-President Asset ServicingDirectSell2132026145.261,148166,7584,958,160Form
10Petrino, Richard DirectBuy2052026148.911,000148,910496,182Form
11Moritz, Robert Edward JR DirectBuy2032026151.8524537,2031,052,472Form
12Cherecwich, PeterChief Operating OfficerTrustSell1272026149.6225,0003,740,5003,928,872Form
13South, Thomas AExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell12152025139.035,000695,1509,994,589Form
14Landers, JohnControllerDirectSell11182025124.3576695,252909,372Form
15Fradkin, Steven LVice ChairmanTrustSell11072025128.004,688600,06419,316,224Form
16Fradkin, Steven LVice ChairmanGift TrustSell11072025128.004,688600,0645,076,352Form
17Levy, Susan CohenEVP and General CounselDirectSell11052025128.1327,5913,535,3266,183,329Form
18Moritz, Robert Edward JR DirectBuy11052025128.573,891500,266859,619Form
19Moritz, Robert Edward JR DirectBuy10282025126.6627034,198354,015Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 10/4/2026