Tearsheet

Northern Trust (NTRS)


Market Price (4/12/2026): $152.34 | Market Cap: $28.6 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Northern Trust (NTRS)


Market Price (4/12/2026): $152.34
Market Cap: $28.6 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.2%, Dividend Yield is 2.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.2%, FCF Yield is 17%

Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -219%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 68%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59%, CFO LTM is 5.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.8 Bil

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 2.6 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Digital & Alternative Assets, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, Show more.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.1%, Dist 3Y High is -1.1%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.5%

Key risks
NTRS key risks include [1] intense competition from established rivals like State Street and BNY Mellon, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.2%, Dividend Yield is 2.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.2%, FCF Yield is 17%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -219%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 68%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59%, CFO LTM is 5.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.8 Bil
3 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 2.6 Bil
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Digital & Alternative Assets, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, Show more.
6 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.1%, Dist 3Y High is -1.1%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.5%
8 Key risks
NTRS key risks include [1] intense competition from established rivals like State Street and BNY Mellon, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Northern Trust (NTRS) stock has gained about 10% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Performance and Positive Outlook.

Northern Trust reported better-than-expected financial results for the fourth quarter of 2025 on January 22, 2026. The company announced an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $2.42, surpassing the analyst forecast of $2.36. Revenue also exceeded expectations, reaching $2.14 billion against a projection of $2.06 billion. This positive earnings surprise led to a 4.56% pre-market increase in the stock price. Furthermore, management provided an optimistic outlook for 2026, projecting mid-single-digit revenue growth and targeting a 33% pre-tax margin, alongside plans to return over 100% of earnings to shareholders.

2. Multiple Analyst Upgrades and Raised Price Targets.

Northern Trust experienced a wave of positive revisions from financial analysts during the period. On April 7, 2026, Goldman Sachs upgraded NTRS to Neutral from Sell and increased its price target to $151 from $148. This upgrade was attributed to an improved net interest income outlook, supported by stronger-than-expected deposit balances and a more favorable interest rate trajectory from European central banks. Around April 6, 2026, BMO also upgraded Northern Trust to Outperform with a $168 price target, citing the firm's focus on wealth management, anticipated productivity gains, and potential for capital return.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 12.1% change in NTRS stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120254112026Change
Stock Price ($)135.83152.2312.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)7,9238,0862.1%
Net Income Margin (%)21.8%21.5%-1.4%
P/E Multiple15.016.49.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1901871.4%
Cumulative Contribution12.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 4/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NTRS12.1% 
Market (SPY)-5.4%58.4%
Sector (XLF)-7.3%74.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 14.4% change in NTRS stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)93020254112026Change
Stock Price ($)133.05152.2314.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)7,8668,0862.8%
Net Income Margin (%)22.0%21.5%-2.5%
P/E Multiple14.816.411.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1931872.8%
Cumulative Contribution14.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 4/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NTRS14.4% 
Market (SPY)-2.9%57.4%
Sector (XLF)-5.4%75.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 58.2% change in NTRS stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 75.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120254112026Change
Stock Price ($)96.23152.2358.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8,2908,086-2.5%
Net Income Margin (%)24.5%21.5%-12.3%
P/E Multiple9.316.475.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1971875.2%
Cumulative Contribution58.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2025 to 4/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NTRS58.2% 
Market (SPY)16.3%71.1%
Sector (XLF)3.0%76.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 90.0% change in NTRS stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 31.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120234112026Change
Stock Price ($)80.10152.2390.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,7578,08619.7%
Net Income Margin (%)19.8%21.5%8.6%
P/E Multiple12.516.431.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)20818711.2%
Cumulative Contribution90.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2023 to 4/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NTRS90.0% 
Market (SPY)63.3%57.9%
Sector (XLF)64.9%68.0%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NTRS Return32%-24%-1%26%37%12%92%
Peers Return38%-17%9%34%36%5%139%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-0%82%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NTRS Win Rate58%33%42%67%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate67%45%47%65%68%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NTRS Max Drawdown-4%-34%-27%-8%-17%-1% 
Peers Max Drawdown-4%-31%-20%-7%-18%-8% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BAC, MS, BK, USB, STT. See NTRS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/10/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNTRSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-52.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven111.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven705 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven75.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven392 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-30.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven44.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven856 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-60.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven152.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,939 days1,480 days

Compare to BAC, MS, BK, USB, STT

In The Past

Northern Trust's stock fell -52.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -52.8% loss requires a 111.9% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Northern Trust (NTRS)

Northern Trust Corporation, a financial holding company, provides wealth management, asset servicing, asset management, and banking solutions for corporations, institutions, families, and individuals worldwide. It operates in two segments, Corporate & Institutional Services (C&IS) and Wealth Management. The C&IS segment offers asset servicing and related services, including custody, fund administration, investment operations outsourcing, investment management, investment risk and analytical services, employee benefit services, securities lending, foreign exchange, treasury management, brokerage services, transition management services, banking, and cash management services. This segment serves corporate and public retirement funds, foundations, endowments, fund managers, insurance companies, sovereign wealth funds, and other institutional investors. The Wealth Management segment offers trust, investment management, custody, and philanthropic; financial consulting; guardianship and estate administration; family business consulting; family financial education; brokerage services; and private and business banking services. This segment serves high-net-worth individuals and families, business owners, executives, professionals, retirees, and established privately held businesses. The company also provides asset management services, such as active and passive equity; active and passive fixed income; cash management; alternative asset classes comprising private equity and hedge funds of funds; and multi-manager advisory services and products through separately managed accounts, bank common and collective funds, registered investment companies, exchange traded funds, non-U.S. collective investment funds, and unregistered private investment funds. In addition, it offers overlay and other risk management services. The company was founded in 1889 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • It's like **JPMorgan Chase's** private banking and wealth management division, but exclusively for the ultra-rich and families.
  • It's the 'Amazon Web Services' for large institutional investors, handling all the complex asset servicing and management behind the scenes.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Wealth Management: Provides comprehensive financial planning, investment management, trust, custody, and private banking services for high-net-worth individuals and families.
  • Asset Servicing: Offers institutional clients a suite of services including global custody, fund administration, investment operations outsourcing, and securities lending.
  • Asset Management: Manages investment portfolios across various asset classes like equities, fixed income, and alternatives for both institutional and individual clients.
  • Banking Solutions: Delivers treasury management, foreign exchange, and general banking services to support client liquidity and operational needs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Northern Trust (NTRS) serves a diverse client base that includes both large institutional clients and high-net-worth individuals. Due to the confidential nature of its institutional client relationships, specific names of major customer companies are not publicly disclosed and are not available in the provided background information.

However, Northern Trust's Wealth Management segment primarily serves individuals and families. The major categories of customers served by this segment include:

  • High-net-worth individuals and families
  • Business owners
  • Executives, professionals, and retirees

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Michael G. O'Grady Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Michael G. O'Grady is the Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Northern Trust, a position he has held since 2019 and 2018 respectively. He joined Northern Trust in 2011 and previously served as President (since 2017), President of Corporate & Institutional Services (2014–2016), and Chief Financial Officer (2011–2014) for the company. Before joining Northern Trust, he spent a decade at Bank of America Merrill Lynch (2000–2011) as a Managing Director in the firm's Investment Banking Group and head of the Depository Institutions Group for the Americas. He began his career at Merrill Lynch in 1992 as an associate, and prior to that, he worked for Price Waterhouse from 1987 to 1990.

David W. Fox, Jr. Chief Financial Officer

David W. Fox, Jr. was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Northern Trust Corporation, effective October 1, 2024. He joined Northern Trust in 2012. Before becoming CFO, he served as President of Northern Trust's Global Family & Private Investment Offices from 2015 to September 2024. Prior to that, he was Head of the Americas for the Asset Servicing business from 2012 to 2015. Before his tenure at Northern Trust, Mr. Fox held various leadership roles at J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. for over 25 years, including Vice Chairman of Investment Banking and CEO of Midwest Investment Banking.

Jason J. Tyler President, Wealth Management

Jason J. Tyler assumed the role of President of Wealth Management at Northern Trust, effective October 1, 2024. He previously served as Chief Financial Officer of Northern Trust. Mr. Tyler joined Northern Trust in 2011, and his past roles with the company include Global Head of Corporate Strategy, Global Head of the Institutional Group in the Asset Management business, and Chief Financial Officer for Wealth Management. Prior to joining Northern Trust, he spent eight years at Ariel Investments as Director of Research Operations and a member of the firm's Investment Committee. Earlier in his career, he held various leadership positions in Corporate Finance and Banking at American National Bank/Bank One.

Peter B. Cherecwich Chief Operating Officer

Peter B. Cherecwich was appointed Chief Operating Officer of Northern Trust, effective October 1, 2024. In this newly created role, he is responsible for ensuring operational excellence and resiliency across the firm. Prior to this appointment, Mr. Cherecwich served as President of Asset Servicing.

Daniel E. Gamba President, Asset Management

Daniel E. Gamba serves as the President of Northern Trust Asset Management.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Northern Trust's business are:

  1. Market Volatility and Fee-Revenue Pressure: Northern Trust's business model is significantly dependent on fee-based services derived from its substantial assets under custody/administration (AUC/A) and assets under management (AUM). Consequently, fluctuations and downturns in global financial markets directly impact the value of these assets, leading to reduced fee income and pressure on its top-line revenue.
  2. Evolving Regulatory and Legal Risks: As a global financial holding company, Northern Trust is subject to extensive and continuously evolving government regulations and supervision across various jurisdictions (U.S., UK, EU). These regulations encompass prudential standards (e.g., Basel III, CCAR/DFAST), liquidity and capital requirements, and emerging obligations in areas such as data privacy (GDPR, CCPA, EU AI Act) and sustainable finance. Navigating these complex and changing regulatory landscapes can lead to increased compliance costs, operational adjustments, and potential legal liabilities, negatively impacting its financial condition and operations.
  3. Operational and Cybersecurity Risks: Northern Trust heavily relies on intricate information technology systems and networks, many of which are managed by third parties, to deliver its wealth management, asset servicing, and banking solutions. This dependency exposes the company to significant operational risks, including system failures, service disruptions, and sophisticated cybersecurity threats such as cyber-attacks and data breaches. Such incidents could severely impair operations, compromise sensitive data, damage the company's reputation, and result in substantial financial losses.

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The rise of Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT) and blockchain-based platforms for asset servicing and custody. These technologies have the potential to disintermediate traditional financial processes by enabling more efficient, transparent, and real-time settlement, potentially reducing the need for multiple intermediaries and the associated costs in areas like custody, fund administration, and securities lending, which are core services offered by Northern Trust's Corporate & Institutional Services segment.

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Northern Trust's Addressable Market Sizes for Key Services

Northern Trust (NTRS) operates within several large addressable markets globally, primarily encompassing wealth management, asset servicing (including custody and fund administration), and asset management. These markets demonstrate substantial scale and consistent growth.

Wealth Management

The global wealth management market was valued at approximately USD 1.83 trillion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 5.95 trillion by 2033, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14% from 2026 to 2033. Another estimate indicates the global wealth management market was worth around USD 1.64 trillion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach approximately USD 4.89 trillion by 2034, with a CAGR of 10.6% between 2025 and 2034. In 2020, the global wealth management industry generated USD 1.25 trillion, with a projection to reach USD 3.43 trillion by 2030 at a CAGR of 10.7% from 2021 to 2030.

Asset Servicing

The global asset servicing market was valued at approximately USD 93 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 181.1 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 11.8% from 2024 to 2030. Other estimates place the global asset servicing market at USD 84.71 billion in 2023, with a projection to reach USD 194.52 billion by 2031 at a CAGR of 10.95% from 2024 to 2031. Additionally, the market was valued at USD 97.61 billion in 2024 and is poised to grow to USD 295.55 billion by 2033, at a CAGR of 13.1% during the forecast period (2026–2033). Within asset servicing, key components include:
  • Custody Services: The global custody services market was valued at USD 4.54 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 9.15 billion by 2033, at a CAGR of 8.1% from 2026 to 2033. Another source reported the custody service market at $45.19 billion in 2024, projected to reach $48.84 billion in 2025 with an 8.1% CAGR. North America holds the largest share of the global custody services market, accounting for approximately 45%.
  • Fund Administration: The global fund administration services market size was valued at USD 12.8 billion in 2024 and is forecasted to reach USD 23.6 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 7.1%. Another report indicates a global market size of USD 12.9 billion in 2024, with a projected growth to USD 25.8 billion by 2033 at a CAGR of 8.2%.

Asset Management

The global asset management industry's assets under management (AuM) reached a record-breaking USD 128 trillion in 2024. Global AuM is further expected to climb from USD 139 trillion in 2024 to USD 200 trillion by 2030, at a CAGR of 6.2%. North America remained the dominant market for global AuM in 2024.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Northern Trust (NTRS) anticipates future revenue growth over the next two to three years will be driven by several key factors:

  1. Growth in Trust, Investment, and Other Servicing Fees: A primary driver for Northern Trust is the expansion of its core fee-based services. The company reported a 7% increase in trust fees in Q4 2025 and a 6% increase in Q3 2025, excluding notables. This growth is supported by favorable equity markets, net new business, and an increase in Assets Under Custody/Administration (AUC/AUA) and Assets Under Management (AUM), with AUM for asset servicing clients up 12% year-over-year in Q4 2025.
  2. Net Interest Income (NII) Expansion: Northern Trust has seen significant growth in its Net Interest Income, which increased by 14% year-over-year in Q4 2025, reaching a new record. For 2026, the company forecasts low to mid-single-digit NII growth, indicating continued contribution from its banking solutions, even with potential rate cycle headwinds.
  3. Strategic Expansion in Wealth Management: The Wealth Management segment is a strong contributor to revenue growth, with Assets Under Management for wealth management clients rising 13% year-over-year to $507 billion in Q4 2025. The Global Family Office (GFO) within this segment achieved record new business in 2025, including significant flows, and Family Office Solutions (FOS) exceeded client and asset targets by focusing on ultra-high-net-worth families.
  4. Asset Servicing New Business and Private Markets Traction: The Corporate & Institutional Services (C&IS) segment, encompassing asset servicing, continues to secure new mandates and experience strong growth. Asset servicing fees increased by 6% over the prior year in Q3 2025. The company has noted strong traction and new business wins in private markets, reinforcing its position in providing integrated solutions for institutional investors.
  5. Innovation and Product Launches: Northern Trust is focusing on enhancing its offerings through new products and technological integration. In 2025, the company launched 11 new ETF strategies and expanded its fixed income Separately Managed Accounts (SMAs) platform, achieving over $35 billion in net flows. Additionally, the company has introduced innovative products like tokenized money market funds and is embedding AI in its operations to drive productivity and potentially new service capabilities.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Capital Allocation Decisions for Northern Trust (NTRS) Over the Last 3-5 Years

Share Repurchases

  • In July 2025, Northern Trust's Board of Directors approved a new common stock repurchase authorization of up to $2.5 billion, which replaced a previous program from October 2021 and has no expiration date.
  • Northern Trust returned $1.9 billion to shareholders in 2025, including a record $1.3 billion through share repurchases, resulting in a 5% reduction in shares outstanding.
  • An October 2021 share repurchase program authorized the buyback of up to 25 million shares. As of December 31, 2025, approximately 1.9 million shares remained available under this plan.

Share Issuance

  • Northern Trust utilizes repurchased shares for general purposes, including the issuance of shares under stock option and other equity incentive plans.
  • The company's shares outstanding were 0.192 billion in 2025, representing a 4.77% decline from 2024.

Outbound Investments

  • In May 2021, Northern Trust acquired Parilux Investment Technology, a provider of Portfolio Management Solutions, to enhance its Front Office Solutions platform.

Capital Expenditures

  • Total capital expenditures were $774.2 million in 2025 and $745.5 million in 2024.
  • These capital expenditures are primarily focused on technology investments aimed at infrastructure modernization, including the use of external cloud technologies, increasing operational efficiency and resiliency, and developing capabilities for secure and innovative client solutions.
  • Northern Trust also continues to invest in renovation and relocation efforts.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to NTRS.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
HBAN_3312026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K03312026HBANHuntington BancsharesInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
0.0%0.0%0.0%
NP_3312026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K03312026NPNeptune InsuranceInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
0.0%0.0%0.0%
JKHY_3272026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03272026JKHYJack Henry & AssociatesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
3.1%3.1%0.0%
MKTX_3202026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03202026MKTXMarketAxessDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.2%-5.2%-5.7%
RYAN_3202026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V203202026RYANRyan SpecialtyInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
-2.7%-2.7%-8.5%
NTRS_10312023_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V210312023NTRSNorthern TrustInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
27.4%59.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NTRSBACMSBKUSBSTTMedian
NameNorthern.Bank of .Morgan S.Bank of .U.S. Ban.State St. 
Mkt Price152.2352.54177.64127.5655.66139.42133.49
Mkt Cap28.5386.9278.089.186.539.087.8
Rev LTM8,086113,09765,96619,75928,54013,96524,150
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM4,75912,613-20,7875,1777,97010,8436,574
FCF 3Y Avg1,82616,263-19,9453,0299,238-1,1402,427
CFO LTM5,53412,613-17,8896,7307,97011,8987,350
CFO 3Y Avg2,55816,263-16,6884,4439,238-2073,500

Growth & Margins

NTRSBACMSBKUSBSTTMedian
NameNorthern.Bank of .Morgan S.Bank of .U.S. Ban.State St. 
Rev Chg LTM-2.5%6.8%14.5%8.2%4.4%8.1%7.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.7%6.0%9.7%7.0%5.9%4.9%6.4%
Rev Chg Q8.3%6.4%11.4%7.3%5.1%7.5%7.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.1%1.7%2.7%1.8%1.3%1.9%1.8%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM68.4%11.2%-27.1%34.1%27.9%85.2%31.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg33.8%15.5%-30.3%24.0%33.1%-3.8%19.8%
FCF/Rev LTM58.9%11.2%-31.5%26.2%27.9%77.6%27.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg24.3%15.5%-36.0%16.3%33.1%-10.9%15.9%

Valuation

NTRSBACMSBKUSBSTTMedian
NameNorthern.Bank of .Morgan S.Bank of .U.S. Ban.State St. 
Mkt Cap28.5386.9278.089.186.539.087.8
P/S3.53.44.24.53.02.83.5
P/EBIT-------
P/E16.412.716.516.111.413.314.7
P/CFO5.230.7-15.513.210.93.38.0
Total Yield8.2%7.9%6.1%7.9%12.4%7.5%7.9%
Dividend Yield2.1%0.0%0.0%1.6%3.7%0.0%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.9%5.7%-11.1%5.6%12.4%-6.6%5.7%
D/E0.50.91.30.40.80.70.8
Net D/E-2.2-0.70.9-1.6-0.8-3.0-1.2

Returns

NTRSBACMSBKUSBSTTMedian
NameNorthern.Bank of .Morgan S.Bank of .U.S. Ban.State St. 
1M Rtn10.9%11.5%15.1%8.9%9.2%13.9%11.2%
3M Rtn5.0%-5.4%-4.1%7.6%1.9%5.9%3.4%
6M Rtn23.5%9.2%18.3%23.2%25.4%27.3%23.3%
12M Rtn76.8%49.4%68.7%67.7%53.3%80.5%68.2%
3Y Rtn88.4%99.4%129.4%202.5%80.8%96.8%98.1%
1M Excs Rtn7.4%7.7%9.8%8.3%7.1%10.8%8.0%
3M Excs Rtn7.6%-4.4%-1.8%8.2%2.8%7.2%5.0%
6M Excs Rtn16.9%5.6%14.5%20.5%19.9%20.1%18.4%
12M Excs Rtn48.0%16.6%45.0%40.4%22.6%53.5%42.7%
3Y Excs Rtn26.3%36.7%65.0%144.0%16.3%40.0%38.4%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Asset Servicing4,3604,1364,1013,6653,486
Wealth Management3,2132,8842,9422,8572,668
Other717-246-236-21-18
Total8,2906,7746,8076,5006,135


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Wealth Management908732807936729
Asset Servicing685675762641521
Other438-299-233-32-41
Total2,0311,1071,3361,5451,209


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$152.23 
Market Cap ($ Bil)28.5 
First Trading Date03/26/1990 
Distance from 52W High-1.1% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$143.12$133.43
DMA Trendupindeterminate
Distance from DMA6.4%14.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility29.4%25.9%
Downside Capture0.440.57
Upside Capture163.74150.03
Correlation (SPY)53.6%56.9%
NTRS Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.941.251.321.161.121.08
Up Beta-0.630.740.980.720.940.97
Down Beta1.700.950.941.011.131.07
Up Capture84%158%194%158%178%153%
Bmk +ve Days7162765139424
Stock +ve Days9193368137396
Down Capture66%132%128%119%113%104%
Bmk -ve Days12233358110323
Stock -ve Days13233058115353

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NTRS
NTRS85.3%28.4%2.16-
Sector ETF (XLF)16.9%17.3%0.7474.9%
Equity (SPY)31.2%17.3%1.4767.5%
Gold (GLD)60.1%27.8%1.694.0%
Commodities (DBC)29.8%16.6%1.589.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)21.3%15.2%1.0742.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-4.3%43.7%0.0238.7%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NTRS
NTRS10.6%29.3%0.37-
Sector ETF (XLF)9.7%18.7%0.4076.0%
Equity (SPY)11.1%17.0%0.5063.1%
Gold (GLD)22.1%17.8%1.024.3%
Commodities (DBC)11.8%18.8%0.5217.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.7%18.8%0.1053.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.3%56.5%0.3023.3%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NTRS
NTRS11.7%30.3%0.43-
Sector ETF (XLF)12.7%22.2%0.5381.3%
Equity (SPY)13.8%17.9%0.6668.4%
Gold (GLD)14.2%15.9%0.74-4.4%
Commodities (DBC)8.6%17.6%0.4126.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.1%20.7%0.2252.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.6%66.9%1.0717.1%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 31520267.1%
Average Daily Volume1.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.1 days
Basic Shares Quantity187.5 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.2%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
1/22/20266.0%4.0%0.2%
10/22/2025-2.4%-0.9%-2.0%
7/23/2025-1.8%4.0%1.1%
4/22/20253.0%6.6%23.7%
1/23/20252.0%4.9%5.2%
10/23/20247.0%6.8%12.6%
7/17/2024-5.1%-4.7%-6.6%
4/16/2024-5.0%-0.2%3.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101017
# Negative14147
Median Positive2.5%4.0%3.9%
Median Negative-5.0%-4.8%-5.9%
Max Positive13.4%9.3%23.7%
Max Negative-9.3%-10.6%-15.3%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/24/202610-K
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q
06/30/202507/30/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202402/24/202510-K
09/30/202410/29/202410-Q
06/30/202408/01/202410-Q
03/31/202404/23/202410-Q
12/31/202302/27/202410-K
09/30/202310/31/202310-Q
06/30/202307/25/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/28/202310-K
09/30/202210/25/202210-Q
06/30/202207/26/202210-Q
03/31/202205/03/202210-Q

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1South, Thomas AExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell12152025139.035,000695,1509,994,589Form
2Landers, JohnControllerDirectSell11182025124.3576695,252909,372Form
3Fradkin, Steven LVice ChairmanTrustSell11072025128.004,688600,06419,316,224Form
4Fradkin, Steven LVice ChairmanGift TrustSell11072025128.004,688600,0645,076,352Form
5Levy, Susan CohenEVP and General CounselDirectSell11052025128.1327,5913,535,3266,183,329Form