Tearsheet

Northern Trust (NTRS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $132.43 | Market Cap: $25.2 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Northern Trust (NTRS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $132.43
Market Cap: $25.2 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Digital & Alternative Assets, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Digital & Alternative Assets, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NTRS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Northern Trust (NTRS) experienced a 1.3% stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, influenced by several key developments:

1. Northern Trust reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings, with an earnings per share (EPS) of $2.29, surpassing analyst expectations of $2.25. However, revenue of $2.03 billion met expectations, and despite the EPS beat, the stock experienced an initial decline in pre-market trading.

2. The company issued $1.25 billion in new debt securities in November 2025, comprising $500 million of Senior Notes due 2030 and $750 million of Subordinated Notes due 2040. This strategic move aimed to enhance Northern Trust's financial position and support future growth initiatives.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NTRS Return-9%32%-24%-1%26%30%47%
Peers Return-2%38%-17%9%34%29%112%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NTRS Win Rate50%58%33%42%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate55%67%45%47%65%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NTRS Max Drawdown-41%-4%-34%-27%-8%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-47%-4%-31%-20%-7%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BAC, MS, BK, USB, STT. See NTRS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNTRSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-52.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven111.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven705 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven75.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven392 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-30.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven44.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven856 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-60.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven152.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2939 days1480 days

Compare to BAC, MS, BK, USB, STT


In The Past

Northern Trust's stock fell -52.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -52.8% loss requires a 111.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Northern Trust (NTRS)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NTRS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Northern Trust

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NTRSBACMSBKUSBSTTMedian
NameNorthern.Bank of .Morgan S.Bank of .U.S. Ban.State St. 
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Growth & Margins

NTRSBACMSBKUSBSTTMedian
NameNorthern.Bank of .Morgan S.Bank of .U.S. Ban.State St. 
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Valuation

NTRSBACMSBKUSBSTTMedian
NameNorthern.Bank of .Morgan S.Bank of .U.S. Ban.State St. 
Mkt Cap-------
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Returns

NTRSBACMSBKUSBSTTMedian
NameNorthern.Bank of .Morgan S.Bank of .U.S. Ban.State St. 
1M Rtn-------
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Asset Servicing4,1364,1013,6653,4863,541
Wealth Management2,8842,9422,8572,6682,582
Other-246-236-21-18-17
Total6,7746,8076,5006,1356,106


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Wealth Management732807936729796
Asset Servicing675762641521714
Other-299-233-32-41-18
Total1,1071,3361,5451,2091,492


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,425,990
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-5.4%
Average Daily Volume871,619
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.78
Basic Shares Quantity190,053,947
Short % of Basic Shares1.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024224202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024423202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023725202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221025202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022726202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Landers JohnController11182025Sell124.3576695,252909,372Form
1FRADKIN STEVEN LVice Chairman11072025Sell128.004,688600,06419,316,224Form
2Moritz Robert Edward Jr. 11052025Buy128.573,891500,266859,619Form
3Moritz Robert Edward Jr. 10282025Buy126.6627034,198354,015Form