Bank of New York Mellon (BNY)
Market Price (6/6/2026): $142.39 | Market Cap: $98.4 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Bank of New York Mellon (BNY)
Market Price (6/6/2026): $142.39Market Cap: $98.4 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 3.3 Bil Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 10 Bil Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Asset Custody, Wealth Management Technology, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.1%, Dist 3Y High is -1.1% Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -74% | Key risksBNY key risks include [1] intense competition from established institutions and fintech firms in its core custody and fund administration services, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 3.3 Bil |
| Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 10 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Asset Custody, Wealth Management Technology, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.1%, Dist 3Y High is -1.1% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -74% |
| Key risksBNY key risks include [1] intense competition from established institutions and fintech firms in its core custody and fund administration services, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BNY | ||
| Market (SPY) | 7.8% | 50.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 2.2% | 45.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BNY | ||
| Market (SPY) | 8.5% | 50.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | -1.1% | 45.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BNY | ||
| Market (SPY) | 26.6% | 50.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 4.2% | 45.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BNY | ||
| Market (SPY) | 83.4% | 50.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 72.8% | 45.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BNY Return | - | - | - | - | - | 4% | 4% |
| Peers Return | 36% | -14% | 7% | 28% | 31% | 7% | 124% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 102% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BNY Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 45% | 47% | 67% | 65% | 43% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 67% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BNY Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -13% | -40% | -29% | -13% | -23% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: STT, NTRS, JPM, BLK, SCHW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/5/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
BNY has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -15.5% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 80 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -10.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 26 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 270 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 467 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 289 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -19.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.5% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 123 days | 105 days |
In The Past
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
BNY has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 467 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 289 days | 140 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -21.4% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.3% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 272 days | 62 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.3% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 162 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -78.3% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 359.8% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2329 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Bank of New York Mellon (BNY)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Bank of New York Mellon:
The AWS for Wall Street.
The 'Intel Inside' for financial institutions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Global Custody & Trust Services: Safekeeping of assets, fiduciary, and administrative services for institutional clients globally.
- Fund Administration & Accounting: Comprehensive operational and accounting support for various investment funds, including ETFs and private equity.
- Clearing & Collateral Management: Services for processing and settling securities transactions and managing associated collateral.
- Investment Management: Developing and distributing diverse investment strategies and products for institutional and individual clients.
- Wealth Management & Private Banking: Integrated wealth and estate planning, custody, and private banking services for high-net-worth individuals and family offices.
- Cash & Payment Management: Solutions for corporate payments, foreign exchange, liquidity management, and trade finance.
- Securities Lending & Liquidity Services: Facilitating short-term borrowing and lending of securities and providing liquidity solutions.
- Technology & Data Solutions: Offering enterprise data management and technology platforms to financial institutions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The public company Bank of New York Mellon (BNY) primarily serves a diverse range of institutional clients and high-net-worth individuals. While specific customer names are not disclosed in the provided company description, its major customer categories include:
- Central banks and sovereigns
- Financial institutions
- Asset managers
- Insurance companies
- Corporations
- Local authorities
- High net-worth individuals
- Family offices
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Robin Vince, Chief Executive Officer
Robin Vince became CEO of BNY Mellon in 2022, having joined the company in 2020. Prior to his tenure at BNY Mellon, he spent 26 years at Goldman Sachs, where he held various leadership positions including chief risk officer, treasurer, head of operations, and CEO of Goldman Sachs International Bank.
Dermot McDonogh, Chief Financial Officer
Dermot McDonogh was appointed Chief Financial Officer of BNY Mellon, effective February 1, 2023, and joined the company in 2022. Before joining BNY Mellon, he worked at Goldman Sachs for over 25 years, where he held leadership roles such as Chief Operating Officer for EMEA and Chief Executive Officer of Goldman Sachs International Bank.
James T. Crowley, Executive Vice Chair
James T. Crowley serves as an Executive Vice Chair at BNY. He is also the Chief Executive Officer for Pershing, a BNY Mellon company, a role he assumed in July 2019. He previously served as Pershing's Chief Operating Officer. Crowley has held various roles in operations and relationship management during his career at Pershing, which he joined in August 2017. He is on the Board of Governors of FINRA.
Hani Kablawi, Executive Vice Chair, Head of Middle East, Africa and Asia Pacific
Hani Kablawi is an Executive Vice Chair and Head of Middle East, Africa and Asia Pacific for BNY. He joined the Bank of New York in 1997. His career at BNY Mellon has included roles such as CEO for the Middle East and Africa in 2008, CEO of global client management for EMEA, and CEO of EMEA asset servicing. Previously, he was also CEO of global asset servicing and chairman of EMEA.
Rajashree Datta, Chief Risk Officer
Rajashree Datta is the Chief Risk Officer at BNY and a member of the company's Executive Committee. She joined BNY in December 2024 as Deputy Chief Risk Officer and is set to succeed as Chief Risk Officer in 2025. Prior to BNY, Datta spent 24 years at Goldman Sachs, where she was a Partner and Global Head of Finance Risk, overseeing liquidity, capital, and accrual rate risks. She began her career in Investment Banking at Goldman Sachs in 2000.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The Bank of New York Mellon (BNY) faces several key risks inherent in the financial services industry, primarily stemming from intense competition, a dynamic regulatory and economic environment, and ongoing operational challenges, including those related to technology and cybersecurity.Key Risks to Bank of New York Mellon (BNY)
- Competition and Technological Disruption: The financial services sector in which BNY Mellon operates is highly competitive. The company faces significant challenges from both established financial institutions like JPMorgan Chase, State Street, and Northern Trust, as well as rapidly evolving fintech firms. These competitors are vying for market share across BNY Mellon's various segments, including custody and fund administration services. The rise of digital assets and advancements in artificial intelligence are reshaping the industry, presenting both opportunities and threats. Fintech innovation, in particular, poses a substantial risk to traditional service models, requiring BNY Mellon to continuously invest in technology and adapt its offerings to maintain its competitive edge and diversify revenue streams.
- Regulatory and Economic Environment: BNY Mellon is highly susceptible to evolving regulatory frameworks and shifts in global economic conditions. Changes in regulations, including those related to data privacy, cybersecurity, and capital requirements, can increase compliance costs and impact business operations. Macroeconomic factors such as interest rate sensitivity and inflation can also significantly affect the company's financial performance. Successfully navigating these complex and often unpredictable regulatory and economic landscapes is crucial for maintaining market share and profitability.
- Operational Risks, including Cybersecurity: Given BNY Mellon's extensive global operations and its role in managing trillions in assets and processing vast numbers of transactions, it is exposed to significant operational risks. These risks encompass potential failures in internal processes, systems, or human error, as well as external events such as natural disasters or geopolitical incidents. Cybersecurity threats are a particularly prominent operational risk. Successful cyberattacks or significant technology failures could lead to financial losses, reputational damage, and disruptions to client services, underscoring the critical need for robust risk controls and advanced security measures.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The clear emerging threat for Bank of New York Mellon (BNY) is the potential disintermediation of its core custody, clearing, settlement, and payment services due to the advancement and adoption of distributed ledger technology (DLT), including tokenized assets and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs). DLT has the capability to enable direct, peer-to-peer ownership and transfer of securities and other assets, potentially reducing the need for traditional intermediaries that provide safekeeping, accounting, and transfer agency functions. Similarly, CBDCs could fundamentally alter the infrastructure for payments and interbank settlements, impacting BNY's cash management and treasury services by offering alternative, direct pathways for funds flow.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation (BNY) operates across various financial services segments. The addressable markets for its main products and services, on a global basis, are sized as follows:
Securities Services
- The global securities services market was valued at $120.8 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $205.3 billion by 2033, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.1%.
- Specifically, the global custody services market size was estimated at $48.84 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to $75.87 billion by 2030 at a CAGR of 9.3%. North America was the largest region in this market in 2025. Other estimates place the global custody services market at USD 41.61 billion in 2023, projected to reach USD 85.33 billion by 2033.
Investment and Wealth Management
- The global wealth management market was valued at $1.87 trillion in 2025 and is projected to expand to $3.43 trillion by 2034, advancing at a CAGR of 6.9% over the forecast period 2026 to 2034. North America dominated with a 38.6% revenue share in 2025.
- The global asset management market, specifically for services, was valued at USD 432.77 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 1,122.04 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 12.6%. North America dominated this market with a 47.00% share in 2025.
- In terms of assets under management (AuM), the global asset management industry reached a record-breaking $128 trillion in 2024.
Cash Management Services
- The global cash management system market size was estimated at USD 17.6 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 36.92 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 13.3%.
- Another report indicates the cash management system market size is estimated at USD 21.78 billion in 2026, growing from USD 20.35 billion in 2025, and is projected to reach USD 30.56 billion by 2031. North America held a 39.05% share in 2025.
Foreign Exchange (FX) Services
- The global foreign exchange market size, focusing on the services aspect, was valued at USD 917.9 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 1,592.1 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.31%. North America dominates this market, holding a significant share of 25.8% in 2025.
- The daily turnover in the global foreign exchange market was $9.6 trillion in April 2025.
Prime Brokerage
- The global prime brokerage market was valued at $38.7 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $65.2 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 6.1%.
- Global prime brokerage equity finance revenues are projected to reach $37 billion in 2025.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The Bank of New York Mellon (BNY) anticipates several key drivers to fuel its revenue growth over the next two to three years:
- Net Interest Income (NII) Expansion: BNY Mellon expects continued growth in its net interest income, with guidance for approximately 10% year-over-year increase in NII for the full year 2026. This growth is primarily driven by the reinvestment of maturing securities at higher yields and overall balance sheet expansion.
- Broad-Based Fee Revenue Growth from Client Activity and New Business: The company is focused on generating broad-based fee revenue growth, particularly within its Securities Services and Market and Wealth Services segments. This growth is expected to come from higher client activity, strategic client wins, and the acquisition of new business across its diversified offerings.
- Strategic Investment and Expansion in Digital Assets and Artificial Intelligence (AI): BNY Mellon is heavily investing in and expanding its capabilities in digital assets, including custody services and leveraging AI. The integration of AI is aimed at developing new products, enhancing existing platforms, improving operational efficiency, and creating critical technical capabilities, with over 200 AI solutions already in production.
- Scaling Integrated, Multi-Platform Client Solutions: A core component of BNY Mellon's growth strategy involves deepening client relationships and delivering integrated, multi-platform solutions. This "One BNY" approach focuses on encouraging clients to utilize a wider range of the company's services across different business lines, thereby driving organic growth and increasing client engagement.
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Share Repurchases
- In April 2026, the Board of Directors approved a new share buyback program totaling $10 billion.
- The company authorized $6.0 billion for common share repurchases in April 2024, building upon an existing January 2023 authorization of up to $5.0 billion.
- In 2025, BNY repurchased 36.8 million common shares for a total of $3.5 billion.
Share Issuance
- The number of outstanding common shares has generally decreased over the last few years, primarily due to share repurchases.
- Outstanding shares decreased by 5.29% in 2024 and 5.48% in 2023.
- As of December 31, 2025, BNY had 688,236,337 common shares outstanding.
Outbound Investments
- BNY Mellon completed the acquisition of Archer, a technology-driven investment management solutions provider, noted as an accomplishment between 2022 and 2025.
Capital Expenditures
- Investments have focused on transforming the company into a "platform company" model to streamline client delivery and internal operations.
- Significant capital has been allocated to technology and innovation, including the development and embrace of artificial intelligence (AI) initiatives such as the Eliza AI platform.
- The company is committed to advancing global financial markets and infrastructure, including investments in distributed ledger and other emerging technologies.
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 166.11 |
| Mkt Cap | 154.6 |
| Rev LTM | 22,606 |
| Op Inc LTM | 8,384 |
| FCF LTM | 1,554 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,526 |
| CFO LTM | 2,884 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,674 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 14.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.5% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 9.8% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 10.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 32.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 35.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 10.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 154.6 |
| P/S | 4.5 |
| P/Op Inc | 18.4 |
| P/EBIT | 16.7 |
| P/E | 16.5 |
| P/CFO | 12.8 |
| Total Yield | 6.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.7% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | -0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 6.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 1.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 12.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 104.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -2.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -6.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -11.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 34.5% |
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/3/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/01/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/02/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/03/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/27/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Asset Management & Custody Banks Resources |
| Pensions & Investments |
| Institutional Investor |
| Ignites |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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