State Street (STT)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $128.27 | Market Cap: $36.4 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
State Street (STT)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $128.27Market Cap: $36.4 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.9% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.9%, Dist 3Y High is -1.9% | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -41%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -48% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -328% | Key risksSTT key risks include [1] the high sensitivity of its fee revenue to market volatility's impact on the valuation of assets under custody and management, Show more. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Digital & Alternative Assets, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.9% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -328% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Digital & Alternative Assets, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.9%, Dist 3Y High is -1.9% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -41%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -48% |
| Key risksSTT key risks include [1] the high sensitivity of its fee revenue to market volatility's impact on the valuation of assets under custody and management, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
STT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The approximate 11.4% movement in State Street's (STT) stock between August 31, 2025, and December 17, 2025, can be attributed to several key factors that reflect the company's strong performance and positive market sentiment.
1. Strong Quarterly Financial Performance. State Street reported robust financial results, with both third-quarter and fourth-quarter 2024 earnings surpassing analyst expectations. In Q3 2024, the company achieved a record earnings per share (EPS) of $2.26, an 81% year-over-year increase, and total revenue of $3.26 billion, up 21% from the previous year. This strong performance continued into Q4 2024, with adjusted EPS of $2.60 exceeding estimates and total revenues increasing by 12.1% year-over-year to $3.41 billion. These consistent beats likely fostered investor confidence and drove stock appreciation.
2. Significant Growth in Assets Under Custody/Administration (AUC/A) and Assets Under Management (AUM). The company demonstrated substantial growth in its core business metrics. As of September 30, 2024, assets under custody and administration (AUC/A) increased by 17% year-over-year to $46.8 trillion, while assets under management (AUM) rose by 29% to $4.7 trillion, driven by higher market levels and net new business. By December 31, 2024, AUC/A grew 11.4% year over year to $46.56 trillion, and AUM increased 14.9% to $4.72 trillion. This expansion indicates a healthy business pipeline and increasing market share, positively influencing the stock.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| STT Return | -5% | 31% | -14% | 4% | 30% | 35% | 97% |
| Peers Return | -0% | 26% | -20% | 17% | 39% | 41% | 131% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 110% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| STT Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 50% | 33% | 58% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 57% | 38% | 52% | 72% | 70% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| STT Max Drawdown | -45% | -4% | -35% | -17% | -8% | -22% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -44% | -4% | -35% | -14% | -4% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BK, BLK, NTRS, JPM, C. See STT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | STT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -42.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 73.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1077 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -47.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 91.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 352 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -56.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 130.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2171 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -82.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 473.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3061 days | 1480 days |
Compare to JPM, MS, SCHW, BLK, BK
In The Past
State Street's stock fell -42.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -42.3% loss requires a 73.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to STT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for State Street
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 132.71 |
| Mkt Cap | 123.6 |
| Rev LTM | 20,908 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,721 |
| FCF LTM | -2,448 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 476 |
| CFO LTM | -1,532 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,301 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 33.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 35.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -11.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -17.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 123.6 |
| P/S | 3.7 |
| P/EBIT | 20.6 |
| P/E | 14.9 |
| P/CFO | 3.8 |
| Total Yield | 8.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -1.2% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | -1.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 8.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 28.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 34.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 122.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 4.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 14.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 21.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 44.8% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/17/2025 | -1.4% | 1.5% | 3.4% |
| 7/15/2025 | -7.3% | -1.8% | 1.3% |
| 4/17/2025 | 2.0% | 10.0% | 23.4% |
| 1/17/2025 | -2.8% | -1.4% | -0.0% |
| 10/15/2024 | 1.0% | -0.8% | 4.7% |
| 7/16/2024 | 7.4% | 6.4% | -0.2% |
| 4/12/2024 | 2.5% | -1.2% | 3.6% |
| 1/19/2024 | 2.1% | 0.5% | -2.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 9 | 14 |
| # Negative | 11 | 15 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 2.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% |
| Median Negative | -7.0% | -3.7% | -3.7% |
| Max Positive | 9.7% | 13.3% | 25.2% |
| Max Negative | -12.1% | -10.9% | -40.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10262022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4272022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2172022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
