Tearsheet

Morgan Stanley (MS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $174.76 | Market Cap: $274.5 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Investment Banking & Brokerage

Morgan Stanley (MS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $174.76
Market Cap: $274.5 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Investment Banking & Brokerage

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Digital & Alternative Assets, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Show more.
Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 9.5%
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Digital & Alternative Assets, AI in Financial Services, and Sustainable Finance. Show more.
1 Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 9.5%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Morgan Stanley's stock experienced a notable upward movement of approximately 16.1% during the specified period, driven by a combination of strong financial performance and positive market conditions. Here are the key points contributing to this rise: 1. Strong Third-Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat. The company reported blockbuster third-quarter 2025 earnings, significantly surpassing Wall Street expectations for both earnings per share and revenue. This strong performance served as a major catalyst for the stock's surge.

2. Rebound in Investment Banking and Equities Trading. Morgan Stanley's investment banking revenue saw a substantial increase, driven by a resurgence in completed mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings, and fixed income underwriting activity. Concurrently, equities trading revenue also experienced a significant rise.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MS Return38%47%-10%14%40%38%300%
Peers Return2%31%-15%17%57%39%193%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MS Win Rate75%75%50%50%58%70% 
Peers Win Rate55%60%42%50%68%68% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MS Max Drawdown-45%-2%-25%-15%-10%-20% 
Peers Max Drawdown-42%-2%-31%-11%-2%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JPM, BAC, GS, C, IBKR. See MS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven845 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-51.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven106.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven238 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-37.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven700 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-87.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven704.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4431 days1480 days

Compare to JPM, BAC, GS, C, IBKR


In The Past

Morgan Stanley's stock fell -33.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2022. A -33.0% loss requires a 49.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Morgan Stanley (MS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Morgan Stanley

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MSJPMBACGSCIBKRMedian
NameMorgan S.JPMorgan.Bank of .Goldman .CitigroupInteract. 
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Growth & Margins

MSJPMBACGSCIBKRMedian
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Valuation

MSJPMBACGSCIBKRMedian
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Returns

MSJPMBACGSCIBKRMedian
NameMorgan S.JPMorgan.Bank of .Goldman .CitigroupInteract. 
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FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Institutional Securities (IS)810,506789,837792,135753,322691,201
Wealth Management (WM)365,168373,305378,438355,595197,682
Investment Management (IM)18,01917,08917,5676,9456,546
Total1,193,6931,180,2311,188,1401,115,862895,429


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity13,949,748
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-1.7%
Average Daily Volume5,313,618
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.63
Basic Shares Quantity1,571,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251103202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025804202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021