SmartFinancial (SMBK)
Market Price (6/24/2026): $45.805 | Market Cap: $770.5 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks
SmartFinancial (SMBK)
Market Price (6/24/2026): $45.805Market Cap: $770.5 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Regional Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.3%, FCF Yield is 7.3% Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -89% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 26% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, and Online Banking & Lending. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | Key risksSMBK key risks include [1] a slightly liability-sensitive position that makes income vulnerable to rising interest rates and [2] challenges from its development and deployment of artificial intelligence models, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.3%, FCF Yield is 7.3% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -89% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 26% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, and Online Banking & Lending. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Key risksSMBK key risks include [1] a slightly liability-sensitive position that makes income vulnerable to rising interest rates and [2] challenges from its development and deployment of artificial intelligence models, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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SmartFinancial (SMBK) stock has gained about 15% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. SmartFinancial reported robust financial performance in its fiscal Q1 2026, surpassing analyst expectations.
The company announced net income of $13.7 million, or $0.81 per diluted common share, for the first quarter of 2026, which was an increase from $11.3 million, or $0.67 per diluted common share, in fiscal Q1 2025. This exceeded earnings estimates of $0.79 per share and revenue estimates of $53.31 million, with actual revenue reaching $53.82 million. Key drivers included net organic loan and lease growth of $155 million, representing a 14% annualized quarter-over-quarter increase, and deposit growth of $95 million, or 7% annualized quarter-over-quarter, excluding brokered deposits. The net interest margin also expanded by over 10 basis points quarter-over-quarter.
2. The company initiated a new share repurchase program and increased its quarterly cash dividend.
Effective March 1, 2026, SmartFinancial authorized a new stock repurchase plan allowing for the purchase of up to an aggregate amount of $10 million of its common stock. Furthermore, on April 30, 2026, SmartFinancial's board of directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.09 per share, marking a 12.5% increase over the previous quarterly dividend. These actions indicate management's confidence in the company's financial health and its commitment to returning value to shareholders.
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SmartFinancial (SMBK) stock has gained about 15% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. SmartFinancial reported robust financial performance in its fiscal Q1 2026, surpassing analyst expectations.
The company announced net income of $13.7 million, or $0.81 per diluted common share, for the first quarter of 2026, which was an increase from $11.3 million, or $0.67 per diluted common share, in fiscal Q1 2025. This exceeded earnings estimates of $0.79 per share and revenue estimates of $53.31 million, with actual revenue reaching $53.82 million. Key drivers included net organic loan and lease growth of $155 million, representing a 14% annualized quarter-over-quarter increase, and deposit growth of $95 million, or 7% annualized quarter-over-quarter, excluding brokered deposits. The net interest margin also expanded by over 10 basis points quarter-over-quarter.
2. The company initiated a new share repurchase program and increased its quarterly cash dividend.
Effective March 1, 2026, SmartFinancial authorized a new stock repurchase plan allowing for the purchase of up to an aggregate amount of $10 million of its common stock. Furthermore, on April 30, 2026, SmartFinancial's board of directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.09 per share, marking a 12.5% increase over the previous quarterly dividend. These actions indicate management's confidence in the company's financial health and its commitment to returning value to shareholders.
3. Positive analyst sentiment and upgraded price targets contributed to investor confidence.
Zacks upgraded SmartFinancial to a "Buy" rating on January 23, 2026, citing an upward trend in earnings estimates, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the fiscal year ending December 2026 increasing by 5.6% over three months. Additionally, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods raised their price target for SmartFinancial from $42.00 to $46.00. As of June 19, 2026, the stock held a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating from five Wall Street analysts, with an average 12-month price target of $45.88 and a high estimate of $50.00.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 16.9% change in SMBK stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 7.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6232026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 39.12 | 45.74 | 16.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 190 | 203 | 7.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 24.4% | 25.9% | 6.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 14.2 | 14.6 | 2.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 17 | 17 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 16.9% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SMBK | 16.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.2% | 24.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 5.3% | 48.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 26.7% change in SMBK stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6232026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 36.11 | 45.74 | 26.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 190 | 203 | 7.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 24.4% | 25.9% | 6.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.1 | 14.6 | 11.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 17 | 17 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 26.7% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SMBK | 26.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.0% | 25.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 1.9% | 52.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 45.2% change in SMBK stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 21.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6232026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 31.50 | 45.74 | 45.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 178 | 203 | 14.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 21.3% | 25.9% | 21.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.9 | 14.6 | 5.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 17 | 17 | -0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 45.2% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SMBK | 45.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 25.9% | 33.2% |
| Sector (XLF) | 7.4% | 55.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 124.0% change in SMBK stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 96.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6232026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 20.42 | 45.74 | 124.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 171 | 203 | 19.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 27.1% | 25.9% | -4.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.4 | 14.6 | 96.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 17 | 17 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 124.0% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/23/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SMBK | 124.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 82.4% | 41.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 78.1% | 59.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SMBK Return | 52% | 2% | -10% | 28% | 21% | 22% | 163% |
| Peers Return | 45% | -5% | -3% | 25% | 3% | 11% | 87% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 99% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SMBK Win Rate | 83% | 33% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 71% | 44% | 46% | 58% | 58% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SMBK Max Drawdown | -10% | -18% | -29% | -23% | -26% | -13% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -21% | -28% | -41% | -15% | -26% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FBK, RNST, SFBS, TRMK, PNFP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/23/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SMBK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -24.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.8% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 83 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.9% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.3% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 49 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -27.8% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.6% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 441 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -16.6% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 103 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -44.3% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 79.4% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 326 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -28.8% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.5% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 806 days | 105 days |
In The Past
SmartFinancial's stock fell -24.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 32.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
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| Event | SMBK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -24.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.8% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 83 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -27.8% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.6% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 441 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -44.3% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 79.4% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 326 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -28.8% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.5% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 806 days | 105 days |
In The Past
SmartFinancial's stock fell -24.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 32.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About SmartFinancial (SMBK)
SmartFinancial, Inc. (SMBK) is a bank holding company that operates primarily through its subsidiary, SmartBank, serving as a comprehensive financial services provider. The company acts as a community-focused institution, offering a wide array of banking and financial solutions to both individual consumers and corporate clients. Its fundamental business revolves around accepting various types of deposits and extending loans across multiple segments.
The company's main products and services encompass a full suite of deposit accounts, including non-interest and interest-bearing checking, savings, money market, and time deposit accounts, alongside IRAs and Certificates of Deposit. On the lending side, SmartFinancial provides commercial and residential real estate loans, consumer real estate loans, construction and land development financing, and commercial and industrial loans, in addition to mortgage and direct consumer installment loans. Complementary services include wealth management, insurance, and modern digital banking solutions like internet and mobile banking.
SmartFinancial primarily serves individuals and corporate customers within specific geographic regions. Its market presence is concentrated in East and Middle Tennessee, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle. As of early 2022, the company maintained a substantial operational footprint with 41 full-service branches and two loan production offices spread across these key markets, all managed from its headquarters in Knoxville, Tennessee.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for SmartFinancial (SMBK):
- Think of it as a smaller, more regionally focused version of Regions Financial, serving parts of Tennessee, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle.
- It's like First Horizon, but with a tighter geographic concentration in specific markets across East/Middle Tennessee, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle.
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- Deposit Accounts: A variety of savings and checking accounts, including certificates of deposit, money market accounts, and individual retirement accounts, for individuals and businesses.
- Loan Products: Various credit facilities such as commercial and residential real estate loans, consumer real estate loans, construction and land development loans, commercial and industrial loans, and direct consumer installment loans.
- Wealth Management Services: Professional services for managing investments and providing financial planning advice to clients.
- Insurance Services: Offerings that provide coverage and protection against various risks.
- Mortgage Origination: Services focused on the creation and processing of new mortgage loans for clients.
- Digital Banking Services: Convenient internet and mobile banking platforms enabling customers to manage accounts and conduct transactions remotely.
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SmartFinancial (SMBK), through its subsidiary SmartBank, provides a broad range of financial services to a diverse customer base, primarily serving both individuals and corporate customers rather than having a few "major" identifiable customers. Based on the company's description, its customers can be categorized as:
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Individuals (Consumers): This category includes individuals seeking personal banking services such as noninterest-bearing and interest-bearing checking accounts, savings accounts, money market accounts, time deposits, individual retirement accounts, and consumer loans. These loans include residential real estate loans (mortgages), direct consumer installment loans, educational loans, and other revolving credit. Individuals also utilize the bank's wealth management, insurance, and internet/mobile banking services.
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Commercial Businesses: This category encompasses various corporate customers across different industries who utilize SmartBank for their business financial needs. Services for these customers include commercial and financial loans, as well as business deposit accounts and treasury management services (implied by serving "corporate customers"). These businesses benefit from the bank's presence in East and Middle Tennessee, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle.
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Real Estate Developers and Investors: This is a specialized segment of business customers focused on real estate-related activities. They typically seek commercial real estate loans and construction and land development loans. Given the explicit mention of "Commercial Real Estate" and "Construction and Land Development" as key operating segments, this group represents a significant portion of the bank's commercial lending activities.
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William Y. ("Billy") Carroll, Jr. President & Chief Executive Officer
William Y. ("Billy") Carroll, Jr. has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of SmartFinancial since August 2015. He is a co-founder of SmartBank, established in 2007. Prior to his time at SmartBank, Mr. Carroll held various management positions, including Board Member, Executive Vice President, and Chief Financial Officer at Citizens National Bank in Sevierville, Tennessee. He began his career at Kraft CPAs in Nashville, Tennessee. Currently, Mr. Carroll serves as a director for the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta and as chairman of the Tennessee Bankers Association.
Ron Gorczynski Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer
Ron Gorczynski is the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for SmartFinancial and SmartBank. Before joining SmartBank, he was the Chief Accounting Officer for the Bank of North Carolina, where he played a significant role in its high-growth strategy, which included overseeing 15 acquisitions and growing assets from $1.6 billion to $7.5 billion. Mr. Gorczynski also previously served as Chief Financial Officer for Square 1 Bank in Durham, North Carolina. He is a Certified Public Accountant.
Wesley M. ("Miller") Welborn Chairman of the Board
Wesley M. ("Miller") Welborn serves as the Chairman of the Board of Directors for SmartFinancial and SmartBank. He is a co-founder of SmartBank and SmartFinancial. Mr. Welborn's career includes co-founding Partner of Lamp Post Group, a venture capital incubator in Chattanooga, Tennessee, from 2010 to 2015. He also served for over two decades as President of Welborn & Associates, Inc., a transportation consulting firm, and was the former President and Chief Executive Officer of the publicly traded trucking company, Boyd Bros. Transportation, Inc. Notably, he helped grow Access America, a transportation and logistics company that was later acquired by Coyote and then UPS. Prior to his current role, he was Chairman of the Board of Cornerstone Community Bank and led the organization through its merger with SmartFinancial, Inc.
William Y. ("Bill") Carroll, Sr. Vice Chairman of the Board
William Y. ("Bill") Carroll, Sr. is the Vice Chairman of the Board for SmartFinancial and SmartBank, and is also a co-founder of SmartBank. His extensive banking career began in 1963 with Hamilton National Bank. He joined Citizens National Bank in 1973, progressing through roles from Vice President to President, Chief Executive Officer, and Chairman of the Board. From 2007 to 2019, he served as SmartBank's Director of Business Development.
Rhett Jordan Executive Vice President, Chief Credit Officer
Rhett Jordan is the Executive Vice President and Chief Credit Officer for SmartBank. He possesses over 20 years of experience in the financial industry. Before joining SmartBank, Mr. Jordan held positions as Senior Vice President & East TN Credit Officer for Regions Bank in Knoxville and as Chief Credit Officer for BankEast in Knoxville.
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Key Risks to SmartFinancial (SMBK)
- Interest Rate Risk: As a bank holding company, SmartFinancial's profitability is highly sensitive to changes in interest rates. The company is in a position where its net interest income is expected to decrease with rising short-term interest rates. Decisions by the Federal Reserve regarding monetary policy and interest rate adjustments significantly influence the company's financial performance.
- Credit Risk and Economic Conditions in Market Areas: SmartFinancial's financial results are closely tied to the economic health of its specific market areas, including East and Middle Tennessee, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle. The company's diverse loan portfolio, which includes commercial real estate, construction and land development, commercial and industrial, and consumer loans, exposes it to significant credit risk. An economic downturn, including factors such as inflation, recession, or natural disasters in these regions, could lead to increased loan defaults and negatively impact the company's asset quality and financial performance.
- Operational and Cybersecurity Risks: SmartFinancial is heavily reliant on information technology systems and third-party servicers for its operations. Any failures, interruptions, or security breaches, including cyber-attacks, data breaches, or risks associated with emerging technologies like artificial intelligence, could adversely affect the company's operations, financial condition, and reputation. Such incidents could lead to financial losses, regulatory penalties, and a loss of customer trust.
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The clear emerging threat for SmartFinancial is the rapid expansion and adoption of digital-first financial service providers, including neobanks, fintech platforms, and large technology companies entering the financial space. These entities leverage technology to offer banking, lending, payment, and wealth management services with lower overhead costs, often superior digital user experiences, and competitive pricing, directly challenging SmartFinancial's traditional branch-based model and customer acquisition strategies.
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Banking Services (Deposits and General Banking)
The U.S. commercial banking market was estimated at USD 765.53 billion in 2026 and is projected to reach USD 954.48 billion by 2031. Another report indicates the U.S. commercial banking market was valued at USD 231.9 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 351.8 billion by 2033. The U.S. retail banking market stands at USD 0.87 trillion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 1.08 trillion by 2030. SmartFinancial operates within these larger U.S. commercial and retail banking markets through its regional presence.Lending Services
SmartFinancial provides a variety of lending products, including commercial and residential real estate, consumer real estate, construction and land development, commercial and industrial, mortgage, and direct consumer installment loans.- Real Estate Loans: The U.S. Real Estate Loan Market was valued at approximately USD 3.5 trillion in 2024 and is projected to grow at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 10.6%. North America, with the U.S. as a primary contributor, held more than 33.2% of the global real estate loan market in 2024, generating USD 3.78 trillion in revenue. The residential segment alone accounted for over 61% of the total global real estate loan market share in 2024. Specific regional data shows the market size of the Real Estate Loans & Collateralized Debt industry in Alabama is USD 3.8 billion in 2026.
- Commercial Lending: The global commercial lending market size was valued at USD 10,923.28 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 28,369.38 billion by 2034.
- Consumer Lending: The global consumer lending market size was valued at USD 13.05 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 18.80 billion by 2033. Another estimate places the global consumer lending market size at USD 1311.02 billion in 2026, projected to grow to USD 2157.11 billion by 2035. North America is expected to be the largest regional contributor, accounting for approximately 35% of the consumer lending market between 2026 and 2035. The broader U.S. consumer lending market, encompassing traditional mortgages and other consumer credit products, has a market size of USD 27 trillion and is growing.
- Loan Brokering: The market size for the Loan Brokers industry in Tennessee is estimated at USD 121.2 million in 2026.
Wealth Management Services
The U.S. wealth management market is extensive. The global wealth management market size was approximately USD 1636.83 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach around USD 4893.17 billion by 2034. North America contributed about two-thirds of the global wealth management market revenue in 2022. The North American wealth management platform market alone was valued at USD 1.26 billion in 2025 and USD 1.4 billion in 2026.Insurance Services
The U.S. insurance market size was USD 3.7 trillion in 2024 and is forecast to grow to USD 9.1 trillion by 2032. The South region of the U.S., which includes SmartFinancial's operating states of Florida, Alabama, and Tennessee, held the largest market share (40%) in 2024 due to its large population, strong economies, and consistent exposure to climatic risks. The United States life and non-life insurance market was valued at USD 3.239 trillion in 2025 and is estimated to grow to USD 3.98 trillion by 2031. The South region led this market with a 33.88% share in 2025.AI Analysis | Feedback
- Organic Loan and Deposit Growth: SmartFinancial anticipates continued expansion in its core banking activities, with projections indicating high single-digit loan growth. The company has demonstrated strong organic growth in both net loans and non-brokered deposits, which is expected to persist as it deepens its presence in existing markets and adds new client relationships.
- Net Interest Margin (NIM) Expansion: The company is strategically focused on improving its net interest margin. Management has provided guidance for NIM expansion, projecting a range of 3.40%–3.45% for Q1 2026, with potential for further modest upside by year-end if interest rates remain stable. This is driven by effective management of deposit costs and enhanced yields on its securities portfolio.
- Geographic Expansion and Deeper Market Penetration: SmartFinancial is actively pursuing growth by expanding its footprint into new strategic markets, such as Columbus, GA, and continuing to penetrate more deeply into its current operational areas. This strategy includes the recruitment of experienced regional bankers and sales teams to capitalize on opportunities in markets where the company still has relatively small share.
- Growth in Non-Interest Income: Non-interest income is expected to remain a solid contributor to overall revenue. SmartFinancial offers a variety of services, including wealth management, insurance, and mortgage origination, which collectively bolster non-interest revenue streams. The company has seen non-interest income rise, with projections for continued growth in this area.
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Share Repurchases
- SmartFinancial's Board of Directors authorized a new $10 million stock repurchase program (the "2026 Repurchase Plan") on January 30, 2026, which is set to commence on March 1, 2026, and expire on February 28, 2027, unless extended.
- This new program allows the company to repurchase up to 1.5% of its outstanding common stock through open market transactions.
- The 2026 Repurchase Plan will replace SmartFinancial's prior stock repurchase plan.
Share Issuance
- In March 2026, SmartFinancial granted restricted shares as equity compensation to executives, including 3,414 shares to its EVP & Chief Credit Officer and 990 shares to its Chief Risk Officer, with vesting scheduled for March 10, 2030.
- As of Q3 2025, SmartFinancial had 17 million shares outstanding.
- The 2024 Form 10-K report indicated a slight decrease in common stock outstanding during 2024.
Inbound Investments
- First Eagle Investment Management LLC acquired a new stake of 32,000 shares in SmartFinancial, valued at approximately $1.143 million in Q3 (likely 2025).
- CSM Advisors LLC also purchased a new stake in SmartFinancial, valued at approximately $5.996 million in Q2 (likely 2025).
- Institutional ownership accounts for approximately 59.25% of the company, reflecting significant stakeholder confidence.
Capital Expenditures
- SmartFinancial's Property, Plant & Equipment on the balance sheet increased from $77.48 million at the end of 2020 to $89.25 million as of September 30, 2025, demonstrating ongoing investment in fixed assets.
- Capital expenditures for Q3 2025 were $328K.
- The primary focus of capital allocation includes continued investment in treasury management and technology/AI.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| With SmartFinancial Stock Down 7.1% In A Month, How Confident Are You? | 10/17/2025 | |
| SmartFinancial (SMBK) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 02/17/2025 | |
| SmartFinancial (SMBK) Net Income Comparison | 02/16/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 50.23 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.4 |
| Rev LTM | 648 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 240 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 177 |
| CFO LTM | 262 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 203 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 35.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 26.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 6.1% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 32.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 32.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 29.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 28.0% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $45.74 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/21/2015 | |
| Distance from 52W High | 0.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $42.22 | $38.81 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 8.3% | 17.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 23.9% | 25.7% |
| Downside Capture | 7.21 | 51.05 |
| Upside Capture | 64.50 | 79.40 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 20.2% | 33.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.16 | 1.12 | 0.74 | 0.73 | 0.86 | 0.85 |
| Up Beta | 1.75 | 1.20 | 0.78 | 0.85 | 1.20 | 0.78 |
| Down Beta | 1.23 | 1.13 | 0.39 | 0.53 | 0.70 | 0.87 |
| Up Capture | 51% | 73% | 76% | 80% | 78% | 78% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 27 | 40 | 71 | 138 | 376 |
| Down Capture | 159% | 171% | 89% | 70% | 79% | 95% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 13 | 22 | 51 | 110 | 369 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SMBK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMBK | 46.2% | 25.8% | 1.43 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.7% | 14.6% | 0.35 | 54.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 24.6% | 12.5% | 1.48 | 32.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.8% | 27.6% | 0.70 | -0.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 16.7% | 18.8% | 0.69 | -25.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.3% | 13.8% | 0.60 | 40.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -38.0% | 42.5% | -1.01 | 12.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SMBK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMBK | 14.7% | 28.3% | 0.50 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 9.6% | 18.6% | 0.39 | 57.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.1% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 43.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 16.8% | 18.3% | 0.74 | 0.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.3% | 19.4% | 0.28 | 5.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.4% | 18.9% | 0.03 | 45.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 9.7% | 54.1% | 0.38 | 11.7% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SMBK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMBK | 12.0% | 34.8% | 0.42 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.3% | 22.2% | 0.55 | 55.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 47.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.9% | 16.1% | 0.61 | -0.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.25 | 14.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.5% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 44.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 57.0% | 66.5% | 0.97 | 10.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/2/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/20/2026 | 0.9% | -0.5% | -4.1% |
| 1/20/2026 | 3.6% | 1.2% | 6.3% |
| 10/21/2025 | 3.0% | 0.5% | -1.3% |
| 7/21/2025 | -1.8% | -2.1% | -2.3% |
| 4/21/2025 | 6.7% | 6.3% | 13.9% |
| 1/21/2025 | 8.1% | 10.9% | 10.7% |
| 10/21/2024 | 3.0% | 9.7% | 18.9% |
| 7/22/2024 | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 16 | 17 |
| # Negative | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% |
| Median Negative | -1.4% | -2.0% | -4.1% |
| Max Positive | 8.1% | 10.9% | 18.9% |
| Max Negative | -5.1% | -9.9% | -7.8% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/20/2026 | 0.9% | -0.5% | -4.1% |
| 1/20/2026 | 3.6% | 1.2% | 6.3% |
| 10/21/2025 | 3.0% | 0.5% | -1.3% |
| 7/21/2025 | -1.8% | -2.1% | -2.3% |
| 4/21/2025 | 6.7% | 6.3% | 13.9% |
| 1/21/2025 | 8.1% | 10.9% | 10.7% |
| 10/21/2024 | 3.0% | 9.7% | 18.9% |
| 7/22/2024 | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| 4/22/2024 | 2.8% | 4.8% | 18.4% |
| 1/22/2024 | -1.3% | 4.1% | -7.2% |
| 10/23/2023 | -1.0% | 2.1% | 4.9% |
| 7/24/2023 | -2.1% | 1.9% | -7.8% |
| 4/24/2023 | 0.3% | -3.5% | 3.5% |
| 1/23/2023 | 0.8% | -1.8% | 0.6% |
| 10/24/2022 | 2.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% |
| 7/25/2022 | -1.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% |
| 4/25/2022 | -1.4% | -1.8% | 0.3% |
| 1/24/2022 | -5.1% | -4.7% | -7.3% |
| 10/19/2021 | 1.4% | 1.0% | 3.8% |
| 7/20/2021 | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% |
| 4/20/2021 | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% |
| 1/19/2021 | -1.4% | -1.9% | 1.5% |
| 10/20/2020 | -1.4% | 1.7% | 17.2% |
| 7/21/2020 | -3.8% | -9.9% | -3.8% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 16 | 17 |
| # Negative | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% |
| Median Negative | -1.4% | -2.0% | -4.1% |
| Max Positive | 8.1% | 10.9% | 18.9% |
| Max Negative | -5.1% | -9.9% | -7.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/11/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/16/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/17/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/15/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/11/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/16/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/17/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/15/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/14/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/09/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/09/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/10/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 03/16/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/06/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/10/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/11/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 03/12/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/08/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/08/2019 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Updated 6/12/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan, Rhett D | EVP & CHIEF CREDIT OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 6122026 | 45.00 | 400 | 18,000 | 531,090 | Form |
| 2 | Barrett, Victor Lynn | Direct | Buy | 6102026 | 43.78 | 3,000 | 131,340 | 6,642,477 | Form | |
| 3 | Ackermann, Cathy G | Direct | Buy | 6042026 | 42.12 | 3,000 | 126,360 | 835,282 | Form | |
| 4 | Shomaker, Kelli D | Direct | Buy | 5042026 | 41.30 | 290 | 11,977 | 87,556 | Form | |
| 5 | Jordan, Rhett D | EVP & CHIEF CREDIT OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 4242026 | 41.85 | 500 | 20,925 | 510,654 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan, Rhett D | EVP & CHIEF CREDIT OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 6122026 | 45.00 | 400 | 18,000 | 531,090 | Form |
| 2 | Barrett, Victor Lynn | Direct | Buy | 6102026 | 43.78 | 3,000 | 131,340 | 6,642,477 | Form | |
| 3 | Ackermann, Cathy G | Direct | Buy | 6042026 | 42.12 | 3,000 | 126,360 | 835,282 | Form | |
| 4 | Shomaker, Kelli D | Direct | Buy | 5042026 | 41.30 | 290 | 11,977 | 87,556 | Form | |
| 5 | Jordan, Rhett D | EVP & CHIEF CREDIT OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 4242026 | 41.85 | 500 | 20,925 | 510,654 | Form |
| 6 | Welborn, Wesley Miller | CHAIRMAN OF THE BOARD | Direct | Buy | 2102026 | 43.13 | 835 | 36,014 | 4,160,665 | Form |
| 7 | Shomaker, Kelli D | Direct | Buy | 1282026 | 39.38 | 255 | 10,042 | 40,246 | Form | |
| 8 | Tucker, Steven B | Direct | Sell | 12112025 | 38.01 | 10,625 | 403,856 | 1,897,231 | Form | |
| 9 | Jordan, Rhett D | EVP & CHIEF CREDIT OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 11182025 | 35.00 | 250 | 8,750 | 353,640 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Regional Banks Resources |
| Bank Director |
| Independent Banker |
| S&P Global Market Intelligence |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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