Tearsheet

Tradeweb Markets (TW)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $104.6 | Market Cap: $22.3 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Capital Markets

Tradeweb Markets (TW)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $104.6
Market Cap: $22.3 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Diversified Capital Markets

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -6.7%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 25x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 22x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 38x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 55%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%
  Key risks
TW key risks include [1] significant revenue concentration from market data fees, Show more.
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -31%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Electronic Trading Platforms, Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 55%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -31%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Electronic Trading Platforms, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -6.7%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 25x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 22x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 38x
7 Key risks
TW key risks include [1] significant revenue concentration from market data fees, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TW Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points highlighting why Tradeweb Markets (TW) stock moved by approximately -15% in the approximate time period leading up to December 2025:

1. Analyst Downgrades and Price Target Reductions: Multiple financial institutions downgraded Tradeweb Markets' stock and reduced their price targets. Rothschild Redburn, for example, downgraded the stock from Buy to Neutral on September 18, 2025, cutting its price target from $157.00 to $129.00. Goldman Sachs also downgraded Tradeweb's stock from Buy to Neutral, setting a price target of $136.00. Later, on December 12, 2025, Barclays downgraded TW from Overweight to Equal-Weight and lowered its price target from $132 to $121. Raymond James similarly lowered its price target from $156.00 to $134.00 on October 14, 2025.

2. Growing Market Concerns Over Growth Outlook: Analysts expressed concerns regarding Tradeweb's future growth prospects. Rothschild Redburn's downgrade was notably driven by "growing market concerns about broader challenges in fixed-income trading and the company's growth outlook." The firm anticipated that Tradeweb's growth over the next five years, while still strong, would likely fall below investors' high expectations.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TW Return35%61%-35%41%45%-20%130%
Peers Return9%2%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TW Win Rate58%83%42%58%67%42% 
Peers Win Rate71%52%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TW Max Drawdown-22%-3%-48%-2%-2%-21% 
Peers Max Drawdown-13%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MKTX, ICE, CME, BGC. See TW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-48.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven95.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven486 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-30.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven43.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven29 days148 days

Compare to VEL, BETR, BTGO, DMNT, OMG


In The Past

Tradeweb Markets's stock fell -48.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/28/2021. A -48.8% loss requires a 95.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Tradeweb Markets (TW)

Better Bets than Tradeweb Markets (TW)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.4%4.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.5%-10.5%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.4%4.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.5%-10.5%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Tradeweb Markets

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TWMKTXICECMEBGCMedian
NameTradeweb.MarketAx.Intercon.CME BGC  
Mkt Price104.65181.88160.86273.748.91160.86
Mkt Cap22.36.792.298.54.222.3
Rev LTM1,99583912,5546,3972,7042,704
Op Inc LTM8113464,7934,157323811
FCF LTM9873464,0784,084400987
FCF 3Y Avg8103023,5263,674276810
CFO LTM1,0944004,8764,1614661,094
CFO 3Y Avg8883594,1513,756342888

Growth & Margins

TWMKTXICECMEBGCMedian
NameTradeweb.MarketAx.Intercon.CME BGC  
Rev Chg LTM22.2%3.4%16.3%5.8%26.0%16.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg19.7%6.0%10.0%8.9%14.8%10.0%
Rev Chg Q13.3%1.0%12.6%-3.0%32.8%12.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.1%0.3%3.0%-0.7%7.1%3.0%
Op Mgn LTM40.7%41.2%38.2%65.0%12.0%40.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg38.6%42.0%38.8%63.1%9.6%38.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.4%-0.3%0.7%-0.3%0.9%0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM54.8%47.6%38.8%65.0%17.2%47.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg54.6%45.1%37.8%63.3%15.1%45.1%
FCF/Rev LTM49.5%41.2%32.5%63.8%14.8%41.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg49.8%38.0%32.1%61.9%12.1%38.0%

Valuation

TWMKTXICECMEBGCMedian
NameTradeweb.MarketAx.Intercon.CME BGC  
Mkt Cap22.36.792.298.54.222.3
P/S11.97.77.715.21.67.7
P/EBIT25.417.319.919.412.719.4
P/E37.629.432.125.825.529.4
P/CFO21.616.119.823.49.119.8
Total Yield3.1%5.2%4.2%6.5%4.8%4.8%
Dividend Yield0.4%1.8%1.1%2.6%0.9%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.7%3.9%4.3%4.5%7.8%4.3%
D/E0.00.00.20.00.40.0
Net D/E-0.1-0.10.20.00.30.0

Returns

TWMKTXICECMEBGCMedian
NameTradeweb.MarketAx.Intercon.CME BGC  
1M Rtn-4.5%4.9%7.3%-1.5%2.9%2.9%
3M Rtn-10.6%-0.5%-6.3%4.8%-7.7%-6.3%
6M Rtn-24.4%-16.9%-10.0%1.5%-6.5%-10.0%
12M Rtn-21.2%-21.3%6.5%21.1%-0.0%-0.0%
3Y Rtn68.4%-32.1%66.0%83.7%-67.2%
1M Excs Rtn-5.2%4.1%6.6%-2.2%2.2%2.2%
3M Excs Rtn-8.2%0.3%-7.1%4.2%-10.7%-7.1%
6M Excs Rtn-36.8%-29.3%-22.4%-10.8%-18.9%-22.4%
12M Excs Rtn-31.2%-32.0%-6.2%9.5%-11.7%-11.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-6.7%-102.5%-9.0%5.3%--7.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Electronic marketplaces for the trading of products across the rates, credit, equities and money1,3381,1891,076893776
Total1,3381,1891,076893776


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,924,032
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202518.1%
Average Daily Volume1,169,664
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.50
Basic Shares Quantity213,359,090
Short % of Basic Shares1.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/2025-1.2%-1.0%1.4%
7/30/20255.6%1.6%-8.8%
4/30/20250.7%4.3%4.4%
2/6/2025-1.4%1.4%6.5%
10/30/2024-2.0%-1.8%3.5%
7/25/2024-2.9%3.3%8.4%
4/25/2024-0.8%0.9%7.5%
2/6/2024-0.3%2.8%7.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101818
# Negative1577
Median Positive1.9%3.3%7.3%
Median Negative-1.6%-1.8%-2.7%
Max Positive7.8%12.1%16.4%
Max Negative-5.6%-11.0%-14.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024207202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023209202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0BERNS STEVEN 5162025Sell141.3045063,585338,131Form
1Furber SaraChief Financial Officer4092025Sell127.601,786227,8947,324,368Form
2Peterson JustinChief Technology Officer3212025Sell141.504,635655,8595,842,455Form
3Furber SaraChief Financial Officer3212025Sell142.837,1391,019,6438,715,310Form
4Bruni EnricoMD, Co-Head of Global Markets3212025Sell141.481,797254,23312,792,985Form