Tradeweb Markets (TW)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $104.775 | Market Cap: $22.4 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Capital Markets
Tradeweb Markets (TW)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $104.775Market Cap: $22.4 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Diversified Capital Markets
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 55%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -6.4% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 11x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 20x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 35x |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -31% | Key risksTW key risks include [1] significant revenue concentration from market data fees, Show more. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Electronic Trading Platforms, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 55%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -31% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Electronic Trading Platforms, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -26%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -6.4% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 11x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 20x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 35x |
| Key risksTW key risks include [1] significant revenue concentration from market data fees, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
TW Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points highlighting why Tradeweb Markets (TW) stock moved by -15.1% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 21, 2025: 1. Decline in overall market share for Tradeweb. The company's total market share decreased from 22.4% in the third quarter of 2024 to 21.2% in the third quarter of 2025. This decline was primarily attributed to a substantial reduction in European client-related compression volumes, which are associated with lower fee rates. 2. Persistent risks from margin compression and fee pressures in core markets. Despite reporting strong third-quarter 2025 earnings, an investment narrative highlighted "ongoing risk from margin compression as variable fees decline in core markets" and "fee pressure in core segments" as critical concerns for investors. 3.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TW Return | 35% | 61% | -35% | 41% | 45% | -21% | 129% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | 9% | 2% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TW Win Rate | 58% | 83% | 42% | 58% | 67% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | 71% | 52% | 54% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TW Max Drawdown | -22% | -3% | -48% | -2% | -2% | -21% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | -13% | -13% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MKTX, ICE, CME, BGC. See TW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -48.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 95.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 486 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -30.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 43.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 29 days | 148 days |
Compare to VEL, BETR, BTGO, DMNT, OMG
In The Past
Tradeweb Markets's stock fell -48.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/28/2021. A -48.8% loss requires a 95.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to TW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.0% | 2.0% | -0.5% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.8% | -4.8% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.8% | 5.8% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.1% | -12.1% | -12.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.0% | 2.0% | -0.5% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.8% | -4.8% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.8% | 5.8% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.1% | -12.1% | -12.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Tradeweb Markets
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 160.30 |
| Mkt Cap | 22.3 |
| Rev LTM | 2,704 |
| Op Inc LTM | 811 |
| FCF LTM | 987 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 810 |
| CFO LTM | 1,094 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 888 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 16.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 40.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 38.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 47.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 45.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 41.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 38.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 22.3 |
| P/S | 7.9 |
| P/EBIT | 19.0 |
| P/E | 30.1 |
| P/CFO | 18.8 |
| Total Yield | 4.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -5.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -9.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 3.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 64.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -23.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -11.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -8.5% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | -1.2% | -1.0% | 1.4% |
| 7/30/2025 | 5.6% | 1.6% | -8.8% |
| 4/30/2025 | 0.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% |
| 2/6/2025 | -1.4% | 1.4% | 6.5% |
| 10/30/2024 | -2.0% | -1.8% | 3.5% |
| 7/25/2024 | -2.9% | 3.3% | 8.4% |
| 4/25/2024 | -0.8% | 0.9% | 7.5% |
| 2/6/2024 | -0.3% | 2.8% | 7.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 18 | 18 |
| # Negative | 15 | 7 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 1.9% | 3.3% | 7.3% |
| Median Negative | -1.6% | -1.8% | -2.7% |
| Max Positive | 7.8% | 12.1% | 16.4% |
| Max Negative | -5.6% | -11.0% | -14.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2072025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7252024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2092024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | BERNS STEVEN | 5162025 | Sell | 141.30 | 450 | 63,585 | 338,131 | Form | |
| 1 | Furber Sara | Chief Financial Officer | 4092025 | Sell | 127.60 | 1,786 | 227,894 | 7,324,368 | Form |
| 2 | Peterson Justin | Chief Technology Officer | 3212025 | Sell | 141.50 | 4,635 | 655,859 | 5,842,455 | Form |
| 3 | Furber Sara | Chief Financial Officer | 3212025 | Sell | 142.83 | 7,139 | 1,019,643 | 8,715,310 | Form |
| 4 | Bruni Enrico | MD, Co-Head of Global Markets | 3212025 | Sell | 141.48 | 1,797 | 254,233 | 12,792,985 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |