Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.6%, FCF Yield is 12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -5.8%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -24%
 
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -134%
Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 10%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
  
4 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 15%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Wealth Management Technology, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.6%, FCF Yield is 12%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -134%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
4 Uninsured deposits are low
Uninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 15%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Wealth Management Technology, Show more.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -5.8%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -24%
7 Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 10%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FBP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -8.1% stock movement for First BanCorp (FBP) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Q3 2025 Revenue Miss: First BanCorp's reported revenue of $248.71 million for the third quarter of 2025 fell short of the projected $256.25 million, despite adjusted earnings per share (EPS) surpassing forecasts. This revenue miss led to a 2.29% drop in the stock price immediately after the earnings announcement on October 23, 2025.

2. Lowered Analyst Price Targets: Several analysts revised their price targets for FBP downwards, with targets being lowered from a previous range of $25-$26 to around $23-$24. This adjustment reflected reduced expectations for net interest margin expansion and a perceived limitation in the stock's upside potential.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FBP Return-10%53%-5%35%17%10%127%
Peers Return-2%12%-18%18%1%19%28%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FBP Win Rate50%75%42%58%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate22%25%28%35%27%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FBP Max Drawdown-65%-2%-13%-15%-6%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-2%-23%-16%-10%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFBPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven215 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-64.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven183.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven337 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-33.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven194 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-88.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven803.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

First BanCorp's stock fell -34.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/15/2022. A -34.1% loss requires a 51.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About First BanCorp (FBP)

Better Bets than First BanCorp (FBP)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FBP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for First BanCorp

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FBPNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameFirst Ba.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Price20.2511.3121.9516.4715.0917.4416.95
Mkt Cap3.20.30.2--84.21.8
Rev LTM9452696090268,967180
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM430-52020-843,65712
FCF 3Y Avg390-22916-52,31716
CFO LTM438-51920-443,94112
CFO 3Y Avg405-22818-52,50618

Growth & Margins

FBPNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameFirst Ba.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM6.2%21.8%13.1%-2.1%23.7%13.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.0%31.6%-2.3%-0.0%70.1%3.0%
Rev Chg Q4.7%20.7%19.4%-16.5%20.4%19.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.1%4.7%4.6%-4.0%5.0%4.6%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM46.4%-193.4%33.7%-4.2%17.4%44.0%25.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg44.3%-91.8%31.7%-19.2%37.8%31.7%
FCF/Rev LTM45.5%-193.4%33.0%-8.3%15.3%40.8%24.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg42.6%-91.9%27.6%-17.8%34.9%27.6%

Valuation

FBPNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameFirst Ba.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Cap3.20.30.2--84.21.8
P/S3.71.12.7--7.43.2
P/EBIT-------
P/E10.54.911.6--28.811.1
P/CFO8.0-0.67.9--16.87.9
Total Yield12.7%20.2%13.5%--3.5%13.1%
Dividend Yield3.2%0.0%4.9%--0.0%1.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.8%-76.1%9.6%--4.3%6.9%
D/E0.12.60.2--0.00.1
Net D/E-1.31.8-4.5---0.4-0.9

Returns

FBPNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameFirst Ba.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
1M Rtn3.8%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.0%8.1%7.1%
3M Rtn-7.3%-6.0%13.0%9.1%13.4%17.0%11.1%
6M Rtn2.8%10.7%29.3%--46.1%20.0%
12M Rtn2.1%-14.3%32.6%--49.4%17.4%
3Y Rtn50.5%-24.8%8.7%--291.0%29.6%
1M Excs Rtn3.9%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.1%8.2%7.1%
3M Excs Rtn-13.8%-12.1%4.9%1.3%9.3%11.9%3.1%
6M Excs Rtn-11.9%-4.0%14.6%--31.3%5.3%
12M Excs Rtn-12.1%-30.2%21.1%--25.6%4.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-23.7%-94.1%-60.5%--240.5%-42.1%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Consumer (Retail) Banking577521351272296
Commercial and Corporate Banking153128208148103
Mortgage Banking871151299886
United States Operations7883705965
Virgin Islands Operations6532333334
Treasury and Investments-30406010273
Total930918851712658


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,845,943
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120255.4%
Average Daily Volume1,256,242
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.86
Basic Shares Quantity159,291,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021