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Travelers Companies (TRV)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $291.11 | Market Cap: $65.2 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Travelers Companies (TRV)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $291.11
Market Cap: $65.2 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.0%, FCF Yield is 16%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.3%, Dist 3Y High is -1.3%
Key risks
TRV key risks include [1] substantial losses from catastrophic events exacerbated by climate change, Show more.
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -143%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -7.7%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, CFO LTM is 10.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 10.0 Bil
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include AI in Financial Services, Cybersecurity, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Sustainable Infrastructure, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.0%, FCF Yield is 16%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -143%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, CFO LTM is 10.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 10.0 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include AI in Financial Services, Cybersecurity, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Sustainable Infrastructure, Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.3%, Dist 3Y High is -1.3%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -7.7%
7 Key risks
TRV key risks include [1] substantial losses from catastrophic events exacerbated by climate change, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TRV Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Travelers Companies (TRV) experienced an approximate 7.5% increase in its stock price between August 31, 2025, and December 17, 2025, driven by several key factors: **1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance.** Travelers reported excellent third-quarter 2025 results on October 16, 2025. The company announced a core income of $1.9 billion, or $8.14 per diluted share, representing a 55% increase from the prior year. This strong performance also led to a core return on equity of 22.6% for the quarter. Underwriting income more than doubled to $1.4 billion pre-tax, supported by an improved underlying combined ratio of 83.9%. Net investment income also rose significantly by 15% after-tax to $850 million.

**2. Favorable Catastrophe Loss Experience.** A significant contributor to the strong underwriting results in the third quarter was a substantial reduction in catastrophe losses. These losses were reported at $402 million pre-tax, which was considerably lower than the $939 million recorded in the same quarter of the previous year. This benign catastrophe environment allowed for improved profitability for the insurer.

**3. Robust Capital Management and Shareholder Returns.** Travelers demonstrated a strong commitment to returning capital to shareholders. During the third quarter of 2025, the company returned nearly $900 million in excess capital, including $628 million through share repurchases. Furthermore, Travelers outlined plans for increased share repurchases in the fourth quarter, projecting approximately $1.3 billion, with a total outlook of about $3.5 billion in repurchases spanning from Q3 2025 through Q1 2026, targeting a 5% reduction in share count.

**4. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upward Price Target Revisions.** Throughout October and November 2025, several financial analysts revised their price targets for Travelers upward. For instance, Morgan Stanley raised its price target from $285.00 to $295.00 in November, and Piper Sandler increased its target from $320.00 to $322.00 in October. This reflects a generally positive outlook and increased confidence in the company's future stock performance from the analyst community.

**5. Strategic Business Realignment.** Travelers advanced its strategic repositioning efforts, notably by securing all regulatory approvals for the sale of its Canadian personal insurance and most of its commercial insurance businesses to Definity Financial Corporation. This transaction, initially announced in mid-2025, is expected to close in early 2026 and could be viewed positively by investors as it streamlines the company's focus and potentially enhances its core business efficiency.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TRV Return5%14%22%4%29%23%141%
Peers Return1%29%17%10%33%15%159%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TRV Win Rate67%58%58%58%75%58% 
Peers Win Rate53%52%62%62%65%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TRV Max Drawdown-40%-4%-2%-14%0%-4% 
Peers Max Drawdown-40%-5%-7%-18%-0%-6% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PGR, CB, ALL, HIG, AIG. See TRV Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTRVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-19.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven24.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven58 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven73.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven301 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven172 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-46.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven86.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven755 days1480 days

Compare to ALL, MET, AIG, PRU, PGR


In The Past

Travelers Companies's stock fell -19.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/25/2022. A -19.8% loss requires a 24.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Travelers Companies (TRV)

Better Bets than Travelers Companies (TRV)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TRV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Travelers Companies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TRVPGRCBALLHIGAIGMedian
NameTraveler.Progress.Chubb Allstate Hartford.American. 
Mkt Price289.61231.81311.04209.51137.7784.54220.66
Mkt Cap64.9144.8123.655.138.746.860.0
Rev LTM48,40985,16658,90066,20627,69227,39053,654
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM9,98517,04913,3218,6365,8652,8039,310
FCF 3Y Avg8,68213,42013,4096,8554,9224,1207,768
CFO LTM9,98517,38613,3218,8265,9882,8039,406
CFO 3Y Avg8,68213,69013,4097,0835,1094,1207,883

Growth & Margins

TRVPGRCBALLHIGAIGMedian
NameTraveler.Progress.Chubb Allstate Hartford.American. 
Rev Chg LTM6.7%18.4%6.7%6.9%6.9%2.9%6.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.1%20.6%12.2%10.1%8.6%9.8%10.1%
Rev Chg Q4.8%14.2%8.2%3.4%6.4%-5.2%5.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.2%3.4%2.2%0.9%1.6%-1.3%1.4%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM20.6%20.4%22.6%13.3%21.6%10.2%20.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg19.4%18.7%24.8%11.4%19.6%21.6%19.5%
FCF/Rev LTM20.6%20.0%22.6%13.0%21.2%10.2%20.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg19.4%18.4%24.8%11.0%18.9%21.6%19.1%

Valuation

TRVPGRCBALLHIGAIGMedian
NameTraveler.Progress.Chubb Allstate Hartford.American. 
Mkt Cap64.9144.8123.655.138.746.860.0
P/S1.31.71.90.91.41.61.5
P/EBIT8.1-8.55.18.18.48.1
P/E10.713.511.66.710.513.311.1
P/CFO6.38.38.46.46.315.57.4
Total Yield10.2%9.4%10.0%16.6%11.1%9.7%10.1%
Dividend Yield0.8%2.0%1.3%1.8%1.6%2.3%1.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg17.2%-12.9%14.8%15.8%9.2%14.8%
D/E0.1-0.20.10.10.20.1
Net D/E-1.4--0.2-0.0-0.5-0.6-0.5

Returns

TRVPGRCBALLHIGAIGMedian
NameTraveler.Progress.Chubb Allstate Hartford.American. 
1M Rtn1.2%2.9%5.6%-1.8%3.4%9.3%3.2%
3M Rtn6.9%-5.3%14.7%7.2%6.7%11.3%7.1%
6M Rtn10.4%-12.7%10.3%6.7%10.7%1.5%8.5%
12M Rtn19.5%-5.5%14.3%9.5%26.5%19.8%16.9%
3Y Rtn67.7%88.8%53.4%71.3%96.8%44.5%69.5%
1M Excs Rtn0.2%2.0%4.6%-2.8%2.4%8.3%2.2%
3M Excs Rtn2.7%-7.8%11.6%3.7%2.9%7.6%3.3%
6M Excs Rtn-3.3%-26.4%-3.3%-6.9%-3.0%-12.2%-5.1%
12M Excs Rtn8.3%-14.9%2.4%-1.3%13.9%7.4%4.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-7.7%11.7%-22.8%2.0%22.8%-27.5%-2.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Business Insurance93,56586,52290,35388,42283,896
Personal Insurance20,07218,27518,98318,32817,015
Bond & Specialty Insurance11,47810,11910,1469,4208,599
Other assets863801984594612
Total125,978115,717120,466116,764110,122


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,996,373
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520251.8%
Average Daily Volume1,325,843
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.01
Basic Shares Quantity224,100,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/16/2025-2.9%-0.4%6.7%
7/17/20253.8%5.0%6.5%
4/16/20251.1%3.8%8.5%
1/22/20253.2%3.9%0.9%
10/17/20249.0%5.9%5.6%
7/19/2024-7.8%-5.2%-1.8%
4/17/2024-7.4%-3.9%-3.9%
1/19/20246.7%6.6%9.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151517
# Negative10108
Median Positive3.2%4.0%5.6%
Median Negative-4.7%-4.5%-4.3%
Max Positive9.0%8.7%20.7%
Max Negative-8.3%-8.9%-8.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251016202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025717202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025416202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241017202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024719202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024417202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231018202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023720202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023419202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221019202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022721202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022419202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/31/2021