Riot Platforms (RIOT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $15.66 | Market Cap: $5.4 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Capital Markets
Riot Platforms (RIOT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $15.66Market Cap: $5.4 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Diversified Capital Markets
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 104% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -30% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -324 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -51% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, Datacenter Power, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Cryptocurrency Mining, Show more. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 10x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 36x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 40x |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -89%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -256% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 103% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 104% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Crypto & Blockchain, Datacenter Power, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Cryptocurrency Mining, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -30% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -324 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -51% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 10x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 36x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 40x |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -89%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -256% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 103% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RIOT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the approximate 13.7% movement in Riot Platforms (RIOT) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Significant Decline in Bitcoin Price
The price of Bitcoin, a primary driver for Riot Platforms' valuation, experienced a notable decline during this period. From around $108,000-$110,000 in late August 2025, Bitcoin's value fell to approximately $92,000-$93,000 by early December 2025. This overall bearish trend in the cryptocurrency market exerted significant downward pressure on RIOT shares.
2. Decreased Monthly Bitcoin Production and Lower Average Selling Prices
Riot Platforms reported a consecutive drop in its monthly Bitcoin production across the period, decreasing from 477 BTC in August to 445 BTC in September, 437 BTC in October, and further to 428 BTC in November 2025. Concurrently, the average net price per Bitcoin sold also fell significantly, from $115,035 in August to $96,560 in November, directly impacting the company's revenue and perceived operational efficiency.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RIOT Return | 1417% | 31% | -85% | 356% | -34% | 49% | 1259% |
| Peers Return | 12% | 21% | -13% | -10% | -3% | -4% | 0% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RIOT Win Rate | 75% | 58% | 25% | 67% | 33% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 53% | 37% | 35% | 35% | 36% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RIOT Max Drawdown | -42% | -3% | -85% | -1% | -59% | -38% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -32% | -6% | -31% | -28% | -24% | -29% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CSGS, DGII, UIS, FORR, ABTC. See RIOT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RIOT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -95.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2267.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -61.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 158.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 51 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -97.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 3346.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 406 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -91.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1058.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to CSGS, DGII, UIS, FORR, ABTC
In The Past
Riot Platforms's stock fell -95.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/17/2021. A -95.8% loss requires a 2267.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| With Riot Platforms Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | Return | ||
| How Does Riot Platforms Stock Compare With Peers? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Riot Platforms (RIOT) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Riot Platforms (RIOT) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Riot Platforms (RIOT) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Riot Platforms (RIOT) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Riot Platforms (RIOT) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Riot Platforms (RIOT) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Riot Platforms (RIOT) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| Day 7 of Gains Streak for Riot Platforms Stock with 21% Return (vs. 44% YTD) [7/24/2025] | Notification | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| How Can RIOT Platforms Value Double? | September 29th, 2025 | ||
| Is It Time To Buy Riot Platforms Stock? | August 21st, 2025 | ||
| RIOT Stock Up 21% after 7-Day Win Streak | July 25th, 2025 | ||
| Should You Pick Riot Platforms Stock After An 18% Rise In A Week? | May 21st, 2024 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RIOT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Riot Platforms
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 11.37 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.6 |
| Rev LTM | 637 |
| Op Inc LTM | 44 |
| FCF LTM | 19 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 11 |
| CFO LTM | 22 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 15 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -2.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 2.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 5.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.6 |
| P/S | 1.5 |
| P/EBIT | 12.9 |
| P/E | 21.3 |
| P/CFO | 8.8 |
| Total Yield | 2.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -14.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -5.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 23.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 28.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 4.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -14.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -9.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 9.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 10.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -68.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3022023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8152022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3162022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Les Jason | CEO | 7232025 | Sell | 15.12 | 100,000 | 1,512,000 | 13,909,054 | Form |
| 1 | Mouton Douglas | 3192025 | Buy | 7.74 | 8,384 | 64,892 | 157,772 | Form | |
| 2 | Cho Hannah | 3182025 | Sell | 7.70 | 12,000 | 92,400 | 456,340 | Form | |
| 3 | Marleau Hubert | 3052025 | Sell | 9.58 | 61,000 | 584,380 | 47,900 | Form | |
| 4 | Les Jason | CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER | 12122024 | Sell | 11.34 | 50,000 | 567,000 | 11,565,791 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |