Redwood Trust (RWT)
Market Price (9/8/2026): $4.51 | Market Cap: $565.3 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Mortgage REITs
Redwood Trust (RWT)
Market Price (9/8/2026): $4.51Market Cap: $565.3 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Mortgage REITs
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, Dividend Yield is 17%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 99% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -56% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -61%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 4730% Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 99x Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6752%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6752% Key risksRWT key risks include [1] a liquidity shortfall that could force asset sales and threaten its REIT status, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, Dividend Yield is 17%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 99% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -56% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -61%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 4730% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 99x |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6752%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6752% |
| Key risksRWT key risks include [1] a liquidity shortfall that could force asset sales and threaten its REIT status, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Redwood Trust (RWT) stock has lost about 15% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Redwood Trust reported a GAAP net loss for fiscal Q2 2026 and a sequential decline in book value per share. The company posted a consolidated GAAP net loss of $(0.03) per basic and diluted common share for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. Although this was a narrower loss than the prior year's second quarter, it contributed to a 3% sequential drop in GAAP book value per common share, which stood at $6.90 at June 30, 2026, compared to $7.12 at March 31, 2026.
2. The company experienced a significant revenue miss in fiscal Q2 2026. Despite strong mortgage banking production exceeding $8 billion for the second consecutive quarter, Redwood Trust reported quarterly revenue of $56.01 million for fiscal Q2 2026, falling considerably short of the consensus analyst estimate of $89.45 million. This revenue miss negatively impacted investor sentiment and contributed to the stock's decline.
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Redwood Trust (RWT) stock has lost about 15% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Redwood Trust reported a GAAP net loss for fiscal Q2 2026 and a sequential decline in book value per share. The company posted a consolidated GAAP net loss of $(0.03) per basic and diluted common share for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. Although this was a narrower loss than the prior year's second quarter, it contributed to a 3% sequential drop in GAAP book value per common share, which stood at $6.90 at June 30, 2026, compared to $7.12 at March 31, 2026.
2. The company experienced a significant revenue miss in fiscal Q2 2026. Despite strong mortgage banking production exceeding $8 billion for the second consecutive quarter, Redwood Trust reported quarterly revenue of $56.01 million for fiscal Q2 2026, falling considerably short of the consensus analyst estimate of $89.45 million. This revenue miss negatively impacted investor sentiment and contributed to the stock's decline.
3. Losses from legacy investments significantly impacted GAAP earnings. A substantial $23.3 million loss in legacy investments overshadowed the positive performance of Redwood Trust's core mortgage banking segments during fiscal Q2 2026. These legacy investment losses "torpedoed" GAAP earnings, causing a roughly 113% miss against the consensus estimate for GAAP EPS, despite mortgage banking revenues exceeding expectations.
4. Analysts reduced price targets following the fiscal Q2 2026 earnings report. Post-earnings, several analysts lowered their price targets for Redwood Trust. For instance, UBS reduced its price target to $6.50 from $7.00, and J.P. Morgan trimmed its target to $5.50 from $6.00. These revisions, reflecting cautious optimism, added downward pressure on the stock's valuation.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -13.7% change in RWT stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -52.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312026 | 9072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.22 | 4.51 | -13.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 116 | 212 | 82.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 5.6 | 2.7 | -52.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 125 | 125 | -0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -13.7% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2026 to 9/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RWT | -13.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.8% | 25.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | 12.6% | 17.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -20.0% change in RWT stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -50.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 9072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.64 | 4.51 | -20.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 131 | 212 | 61.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 5.4 | 2.7 | -50.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 126 | 125 | 0.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -20.0% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 9/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RWT | -20.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.6% | 41.1% |
| Sector (XLF) | 13.6% | 28.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -15.8% change in RWT stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -60.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 9072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.36 | 4.51 | -15.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 107 | 212 | 98.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 6.7 | 2.7 | -60.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 133 | 125 | 6.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -15.8% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 9/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RWT | -15.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 20.4% | 21.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 8.9% | 15.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -21.1% change in RWT stock from 8/31/2023 to 9/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -73.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312023 | 9072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.71 | 4.51 | -21.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 64 | 212 | 228.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 10.1 | 2.7 | -73.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 114 | 125 | -9.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -21.1% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2023 to 9/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RWT | -21.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 77.1% | 41.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 76.6% | 40.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RWT Return | 60% | -42% | 22% | -3% | -4% | -13% | -9% |
| Peers Return | 14% | -19% | 25% | 4% | 21% | -2% | 43% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 106% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RWT Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 58% | 22% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 48% | 55% | 58% | 63% | 49% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 56% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RWT Max Drawdown | -11% | -54% | -34% | -24% | -24% | -29% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -15% | -38% | -28% | -11% | -18% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: RITM, STWD, NLY, AGNC, PMT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/4/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RWT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -20.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 21 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -28.7% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.3% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 92 days | 31 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -36.1% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.5% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 111 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -46.4% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 86.6% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 365 days | 15 days |
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.3% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 277 days | 1 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -30.0% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.9% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 319 days | 123 days |
In The Past
Redwood Trust's stock fell -20.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 25.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
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| Event | RWT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -20.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 21 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -28.7% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.3% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 92 days | 31 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -36.1% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.5% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 111 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -46.4% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 86.6% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 365 days | 15 days |
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.3% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 277 days | 1 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -30.0% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.9% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 319 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -70.7% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 240.8% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1575 days | 1085 days |
| Summer 2007 Credit Crunch | ||
| % Loss | -38.4% | -8.6% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 62.3% | 9.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 185 days | 47 days |
In The Past
Redwood Trust's stock fell -20.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 25.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Redwood Trust (RWT)
Redwood Trust (RWT) is a specialty finance company operating as a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on the U.S. housing market. The company primarily engages in mortgage banking activities, which involve acquiring and originating various types of residential and business purpose mortgage loans. These loans are then either sold, securitized into investment products, or retained within Redwood Trust's own investment portfolio.
The company's operations are divided into three key segments. Its Residential Mortgage Banking segment sources conventional residential loans from third-party originators, while its Business Purpose Mortgage Banking segment originates specialized loans for real estate investors, such as single-family rental and bridge loans. Both segments prepare these loans for onward sale, securitization, or internal investment, utilizing derivatives to manage associated market risks.
Redwood Trust's Investment Portfolio segment serves as a key component of its strategy, holding a diverse range of housing-related debt. This includes securities retained from its own securitization activities, direct investments in residential and small-balance multifamily bridge loans, and third-party mortgage-backed securities. As a REIT, Redwood Trust aims to distribute a significant portion of its taxable income as dividends to shareholders, offering investors exposure to the U.S. housing finance sector.
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Here are a few analogies for Redwood Trust (RWT):
- It's like a Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, but focused on acquiring, packaging, and investing in a broader range of residential and business-purpose mortgages, rather than just standard conforming loans.
- Imagine an investment bank solely dedicated to the mortgage market, originating, securitizing, and investing in various types of real estate loans and mortgage-backed securities.
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- Residential Mortgage Banking: Acquiring residential mortgage loans from third-party originators for subsequent sale, securitization, or transfer to its investment portfolio.
- Business Purpose Mortgage Banking: Originating and acquiring business purpose loans, such as single-family rental and bridge loans, for subsequent securitization, sale, or transfer to its investment portfolio.
- Investment Portfolio Management: Investing in a diverse portfolio of housing-related debt and mortgage-backed securities, including those retained from its own securitization activities and those issued by third parties.
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Redwood Trust (RWT) primarily sells its financial products and services to other companies and institutional entities rather than individual consumers for their personal mortgage needs. Its major customer categories include:
- Institutional Investors: These are entities such as asset managers, hedge funds, banks, insurance companies, and pension funds that purchase the mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) and other securitized products (e.g., from business purpose loans) that Redwood Trust issues or sells. They also purchase whole loans from Redwood Trust.
- Real Estate Investment Entities: For its Business Purpose Mortgage Banking segment, Redwood Trust originates and acquires loans for real estate investors, developers, and landlords. These customers borrow funds for single-family rental properties, bridge loans for property acquisition/rehabilitation, and small-balance multifamily properties. These borrowers often operate as companies or professional investment entities.
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The addressable markets for Redwood Trust's main products and services in the United States are substantial across several key segments.
Residential Mortgage Banking
Redwood Trust operates in the U.S. residential mortgage market. The total U.S. mortgage market, representing outstanding mortgage debt, is approximately $14.5 trillion. More specifically, the U.S. mortgage originations market is projected to reach $2.27 trillion in 2026.
Business Purpose Mortgage Banking
This segment focuses on business purpose loans, including single-family rental (SFR) and bridge loans, primarily within the U.S.
- Single-Family Rental (SFR) Loans: The U.S. single-family rental market has a valuation of well over $4 trillion. There are approximately 15.0 million SFR units in the United States. The number of SFR households is estimated to have reached 14.6 million in 2025.
- Bridge Loans: The U.S. bridging finance market is estimated to be between $30 billion and $40 billion annually. This market is seeing increased activity, partly due to a projected $2 trillion "maturity wall" for commercial real estate borrowers through the end of 2026, leading to a greater reliance on short-term financing solutions like bridge loans.
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Redwood Trust (RWT) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market tailwinds:
- Expansion and Performance of Mortgage Banking Platforms: Redwood Trust anticipates continued growth in its core mortgage banking platforms, Sequoia, CoreVest, and Aspire. The company exited 2025 with record production and strong margins across its mortgage banking activities. Sequoia, the residential mortgage banking segment, saw a significant increase in loan locks in Q4 2025 compared to the prior year. The Aspire platform, focused on alternative loan products and non-QM loans, is expected to grow significantly, with plans to launch its inaugural securitization platform imminently and target a substantial share of its addressable market. CoreVest, which handles business purpose mortgage banking, has also shown growth, particularly with a shift towards smaller balance products like residential transition loans (RTL) and DSCR loans. These platforms generated a record $23 billion in volume in 2025, the highest in the company's history.
- Strategic Capital Reallocation and Reduced Legacy Asset Exposure: A significant driver of future earnings quality and growth is Redwood Trust's ongoing strategy to redeploy capital from legacy investments into its higher-return mortgage banking and operating segments. By the end of 2025, over 80% of the company's capital was invested in core operating and related activities, an increase from 57% in 2024. The company has actively harvested capital from legacy assets, aiming to reduce its legacy exposure to 20% of total capital by year-end 2025, which frees up capital for reinvestment in its scalable and profitable operating platforms.
- Product Diversification and Niche Market Penetration: Redwood Trust is expanding its product offerings and deepening its penetration in targeted market niches. The Aspire platform has been broadened to include diverse alternative loan products beyond home equity, such as loans verified by bank statements or CPA-prepared profit-and-loss statements, and DSCR loans for housing investors. The company is also scaling its Home Equity Investment (HEI) platform, with multiple HEI securitizations completed in 2025, which helps diversify revenue streams away from interest-rate-sensitive mortgage banking. Furthermore, CoreVest is focusing on the growing build-for-rent (BFR) sector, targeting institutional developers, a segment projected to grow about 15% annually through 2026.
- Operational Efficiencies and Technology Leverage: Enhanced operational efficiencies and the strategic adoption of technology are expected to contribute to revenue growth by improving profitability. In 2025, mortgage banking volumes grew approximately six times faster than total operating expenses, leading to a reduction in the total operating expense as a percentage of production volume. The company achieved a 44% year-over-year decrease in operating cost per loan due to automation and process improvements. Redwood's venture arm, RWT Horizons, invests in fintech and proptech, with adopted tools reducing loan processing times by up to 40% and improving credit risk assessment accuracy through machine learning, further reinforcing operating leverage.
- Favorable Interest Rate Environment and Rebounding Securitization Market: An anticipated environment of lower interest rates is expected to significantly benefit Redwood Trust. Lower rates are projected to enhance mortgage banking income and stimulate demand for whole loan sales. Additionally, the securitization market is showing signs of rebounding from periods of peak interest rate volatility, with deal flow normalizing. This market recovery, coupled with improved credit spreads, could lead to mark-to-market appreciation and further support a positive outlook for the company's investment portfolio and overall financial performance.
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Share Repurchases
- In July 2025, Redwood Trust's Board of Directors increased the common stock repurchase authorization to $150 million, with no specified time limit for the program. The authorization also covers repurchases of preferred stock and corporate debt securities.
- During 2025, the company repurchased 9.2 million shares of common stock for $53 million, contributing an accretion of $0.13 to book value per share.
- The company initiated common stock repurchases in the second quarter of 2025.
Share Issuance
- Shares outstanding at December 31, 2023, were 131,486,000, which was an increase from 113,485,000 at December 31, 2022, indicating share issuance during that period.
- In the fourth quarter of 2023, the net effects of equity issuance, alongside the common dividend, contributed to a decline in book value per share.
Outbound Investments
- Redwood Trust operates a venture investing initiative called RWT Horizons®, which focuses on investing in early-stage companies that have a direct connection to its core operating platforms.
- In the first quarter of 2024, Redwood Trust deployed approximately $115 million into internally sourced and third-party investments, representing the largest quarterly deployment since the third quarter of 2022.
- The company's Investment Portfolio segment strategically invests in a variety of assets, including securities retained from its residential and business purpose securitization activities, as well as residential and small-balance multifamily bridge loans and third-party issued residential mortgage-backed securities.
Capital Expenditures
- Redwood Trust reported $0.00 in capital expenditures for all years from 2015 to 2025.
Peer Outperformance in Mortgage REITs
| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investment Banking & Brokerage | 13 | 9.8% | 133.2% | 146.5% | IBKR 503% · SNEX 243% · HOOD 205% |
| Reinsurance | 6 | 22.3% | 79.1% | 126.4% | SPNT 167% · RGA 140% · MTG 130% |
| Diversified Banks | 13 | 35.0% | 137.5% | 114.2% | CM 159% · JPM 156% · RY 147% |
| Life & Health Insurance | 20 | 17.1% | 58.5% | 100.6% | JXN 511% · UNM 327% · FG 229% |
| Multi-Sector Holdings | 6 | 4.2% | 43.1% | 80.4% | JONE 361% · JEF 84% · BRK-B 81% |
| Regional Banks | 265 | 27.6% | 88.1% | 69.5% | GCBC 376% · ESQ 349% · VBNK 328% |
| Property & Casualty Insurance | 42 | 11.5% | 75.5% | 68.2% | ASIC 2739900% · HRTG 422% · UVE 303% |
| Multi-line Insurance | 9 | 13.4% | 87.8% | 56.7% | GNW 184% · L 101% · SLF 94% |
| Consumer Finance | 30 | 10.1% | 90.6% | 37.6% | ENVA 609% · EZPW 406% · FCFS 168% |
| Financial Exchanges & Data | 15 | -0.2% | 22.4% | 32.4% | VIRT 222% · CBOE 155% · CME 79% |
| Insurance Brokers | 16 | -11.4% | 2.0% | 26.3% | LIFE 652% · AJG 91% · ARX 89% |
| Asset Management & Custody Banks | 82 | -9.8% | 21.6% | 22.8% | WT 344% · VCTR 295% · SII 294% |
| Diversified Financial Services | 4 | -0.5% | 7.9% | 16.0% | FRHC 165% · EQH 97% · TMS -65% |
| Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance | 12 | -39.6% | 30.5% | 8.2% | FNMA 514% · FMCC 497% · ESNT 66% |
| Specialized Finance | 3 | 15.7% | 48.8% | -7.0% | EFC 37% · CACC -7% · HASI -16% |
| Mortgage REITs ← | 33 | -10.9% | 11.0% | -11.5% | NREF 59% · RITM 53% · DX 41% |
| Diversified Capital Markets | 21 | -20.0% | -0.7% | -42.3% | BTCS 629% · OPY 209% · LPLA 151% |
| Transaction & Payment Processing Services | 15 | 3.6% | 0.7% | -42.9% | V 70% · MA 70% · CPAY 58% |
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 10.37 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.8 |
| Rev LTM | 1,606 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | -1,100 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -436 |
| CFO LTM | -498 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -413 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 69.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 48.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 100.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 18.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -14.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -43.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -33.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -45.3% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sequoia | 198 | 101 | 30 | -9 | 149 |
| Redwood Investments | 97 | 157 | 143 | 12 | 313 |
| CoreVest | 76 | 58 | 48 | 22 | 116 |
| Corporate/ Other | -64 | -71 | -55 | -32 | -37 |
| Legacy Investments | -131 | 12 | -0 | ||
| Total | 177 | 257 | 166 | -7 | 542 |
| $ Mil | 2015 | 2014 |
|---|---|---|
| Commercial Mortgage Banking and Investments | 0 | 0 |
| Corporate/ Other | 0 | 0 |
| Residential Investments | 0 | 0 |
| Sequoia | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sequoia | 126 | 61 | 10 | -22 | 82 |
| Redwood Investments | 68 | 133 | 121 | -10 | 293 |
| CoreVest | 20 | 2 | -13 | -44 | 39 |
| Corporate/ Other | -137 | -139 | -111 | -88 | -95 |
| Legacy Investments | -147 | -4 | -9 | ||
| Total | -70 | 54 | -2 | -164 | 320 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redwood Investments | 18,745 | 13,278 | 9,450 | 11,490 | 11,770 |
| Sequoia | 3,321 | 1,232 | 972 | 661 | 1,716 |
| Legacy Investments | 942 | 3,101 | 3,409 | ||
| CoreVest | 358 | 318 | 293 | 487 | 465 |
| Corporate/ Other | 335 | 330 | 381 | 393 | 755 |
| Total | 23,701 | 18,258 | 14,504 | 13,031 | 14,707 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $4.51 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 08/04/1995 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -27.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $4.77 | $5.15 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | down |
| Distance from DMA | -5.4% | -12.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 33.8% | 36.9% |
| Downside Capture | 113.72 | 80.85 |
| Upside Capture | 53.15 | 38.92 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 26.7% | 21.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.28 | 0.91 | 0.60 | 0.94 | 0.63 | 0.91 |
| Up Beta | 1.02 | 1.22 | 1.06 | 1.19 | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| Down Beta | 0.03 | 0.21 | 0.11 | 0.81 | 0.24 | 0.83 |
| Up Capture | 135% | 80% | 29% | 50% | 33% | 48% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 10 | 21 | 32 | 68 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 22 | 32 | 63 | 117 | 363 |
| Down Capture | 196% | 114% | 97% | 122% | 82% | 101% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 32 | 59 | 113 | 324 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 19 | 29 | 58 | 123 | 359 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RWT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RWT | -17.9% | 36.8% | -0.47 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.8% | 14.6% | 0.35 | 15.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 19.7% | 12.8% | 1.13 | 21.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.6% | 29.2% | 0.75 | 12.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 43.8% | 20.3% | 1.67 | -18.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 9.1% | 13.6% | 0.39 | 34.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -28.1% | 43.8% | -0.63 | 11.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RWT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RWT | -8.9% | 35.4% | -0.19 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 10.1% | 18.4% | 0.41 | 45.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.2% | 0.57 | 48.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.1% | 18.8% | 0.82 | 14.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.7% | 19.5% | 0.43 | 7.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.7% | 18.9% | -0.01 | 56.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 10.2% | 52.6% | 0.38 | 21.5% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RWT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RWT | -2.6% | 49.2% | 0.13 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.6% | 22.1% | 0.56 | 38.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 35.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.4% | 16.3% | 0.62 | 1.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.9% | 18.1% | 0.35 | 11.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 20.7% | 0.19 | 46.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 63.7% | 66.2% | 1.03 | 10.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 8/28/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 7/28/2026 | -5.5% | -6.5% | -4.5% |
| 4/29/2026 | -0.9% | -0.7% | -3.4% |
| 2/11/2026 | 20.6% | 13.0% | 5.2% |
| 10/29/2025 | -2.7% | -4.4% | 1.6% |
| 7/30/2025 | -7.9% | -6.4% | -1.2% |
| 4/30/2025 | -6.1% | -6.0% | -12.2% |
| 2/13/2025 | -1.2% | -0.3% | -1.2% |
| 10/30/2024 | -4.2% | -6.8% | -6.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 6 | 12 |
| # Negative | 17 | 19 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 6.4% | 9.1% | 4.9% |
| Median Negative | -2.8% | -4.5% | -4.5% |
| Max Positive | 20.6% | 14.5% | 12.9% |
| Max Negative | -8.6% | -16.2% | -14.0% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 7/28/2026 | -5.5% | -6.5% | -4.5% |
| 4/29/2026 | -0.9% | -0.7% | -3.4% |
| 2/11/2026 | 20.6% | 13.0% | 5.2% |
| 10/29/2025 | -2.7% | -4.4% | 1.6% |
| 7/30/2025 | -7.9% | -6.4% | -1.2% |
| 4/30/2025 | -6.1% | -6.0% | -12.2% |
| 2/13/2025 | -1.2% | -0.3% | -1.2% |
| 10/30/2024 | -4.2% | -6.8% | -6.3% |
| 8/1/2024 | -2.8% | -4.1% | 3.3% |
| 4/30/2024 | 11.8% | 14.5% | 12.8% |
| 2/20/2024 | -5.7% | -6.5% | -0.5% |
| 10/30/2023 | -8.6% | -1.0% | 3.6% |
| 7/27/2023 | 8.1% | 6.8% | 12.9% |
| 4/27/2023 | -5.1% | -16.2% | -11.0% |
| 2/9/2023 | -0.5% | 1.1% | -14.0% |
| 10/27/2022 | 5.5% | -3.2% | 10.8% |
| 7/28/2022 | -1.5% | -8.0% | -7.4% |
| 4/28/2022 | 7.2% | 11.4% | 12.8% |
| 2/9/2022 | -8.4% | -11.8% | -11.7% |
| 10/27/2021 | 3.0% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| 7/28/2021 | 2.6% | -0.7% | 4.6% |
| 4/28/2021 | -0.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| 2/10/2021 | 2.3% | -4.5% | 9.9% |
| 10/29/2020 | -1.3% | -2.3% | 0.5% |
| 7/31/2020 | -1.0% | -5.3% | -2.8% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 6 | 12 |
| # Negative | 17 | 19 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 6.4% | 9.1% | 4.9% |
| Median Negative | -2.8% | -4.5% | -4.5% |
| Max Positive | 20.6% | 14.5% | 12.9% |
| Max Negative | -8.6% | -16.2% | -14.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/03/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/01/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/03/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/01/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/06/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/25/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/04/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/04/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/07/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/26/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/06/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/10/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/15/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 03/02/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/08/2019 | 10-Q |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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