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Robinhood Markets (HOOD)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $115.77 | Market Cap: $102.9 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Investment Banking & Brokerage

Robinhood Markets (HOOD)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $115.77
Market Cap: $102.9 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Investment Banking & Brokerage

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 75%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 30x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 64x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 108x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 58x
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 48%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 178%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 168%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Crypto & Blockchain, AI in Financial Services, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Show more.
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4%
4  Key risks
HOOD key risks include [1] regulatory threats targeting its core payment for order flow (PFOF) revenue model and [2] scrutiny over past and present compliance, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 75%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 48%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Crypto & Blockchain, AI in Financial Services, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Show more.
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 30x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 64x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 108x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 58x
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 178%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 168%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4%
8 Key risks
HOOD key risks include [1] regulatory threats targeting its core payment for order flow (PFOF) revenue model and [2] scrutiny over past and present compliance, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HOOD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points highlighting the movement of Robinhood Markets (HOOD) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

**1. Robinhood's Inclusion in the S&P 500 Index.** The announcement in early September 2025 that Robinhood would join the S&P 500 index, effective September 22, 2025, led to a significant surge in the stock price. This inclusion generated immediate buying pressure as fund managers adjusted their portfolios to align with the index, with shares soaring by approximately 15.8% on September 8, 2025.

**2. Robust Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Strong October Operating Data.** Robinhood reported record revenues of approximately $1.3 billion for Q3 2025, more than doubling year-over-year, and EPS more than tripled to $0.61, surpassing estimates. This positive momentum continued into October, with the company reporting increased equity notional trading volumes (up 34% month-over-month and 153% year-over-year), options contracts traded (up 22% month-over-month and 69% year-over-year), and crypto notional trading volumes (up 38% month-over-month and 480% year-over-year).

**3. Explosive Growth in Prediction Markets and Strategic Acquisition.** Robinhood's prediction markets, launched in August 2025, demonstrated rapid acceleration, reaching an estimated $100 million in annualized revenues by Q3 2025 and tracking towards a $300 million run rate. Further solidifying this growth area, Robinhood agreed to acquire a 90% stake in MIAXdx, a CFTC-licensed derivatives exchange and clearinghouse, in partnership with Susquehanna, aiming to enhance infrastructure and boost long-term margins. This segment drew positive analyst commentary, with Mizuho maintaining an "Outperform" rating due to its growth potential.

**4. Strategic International Expansion into Indonesia.** In December 2025, Robinhood announced its entry into Indonesia through agreements to acquire an Indonesian brokerage (PT Buana Capital Sekuritas) and a licensed digital financial asset trader (PT Pedagang Aset Kripto). This move is set to accelerate Robinhood's expansion across Southeast Asia and globally, leveraging Indonesia's growing capital market and crypto investor base.

**5. Mixed November 2025 Operating Data Leading to a Stock Decline.** Despite strong year-over-year growth in total platform assets (up 67%) and margin balances (up 147%), Robinhood's November 2025 operating data, reported in December, showed sequential declines in key metrics. Funded customers decreased by 130,000 from October (primarily due to the escheatment of approximately 280,000 low-balance accounts), and trading volumes for equities, options, and crypto also saw month-over-month decreases. This mixed report contributed to a stock drop of 9.1% on December 11, 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HOOD Return-54%57%192%220%
Peers Return-35%104%52%39%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HOOD Win Rate20%50%42%58%67% 
Peers Win Rate52%45%55%58%63% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HOOD Max Drawdown-61%-3%-17%-8% 
Peers Max Drawdown-49%-14%-18%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SCHW, IBKR, COIN, SOFI, MS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHOODS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-90.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven921.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,083 days464 days

Compare to SCHW, COIN, IBKR, FRHC, MS


In The Past

Robinhood Markets's stock fell -90.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/4/2021. A -90.2% loss requires a 921.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Robinhood Markets (HOOD)

Better Bets than Robinhood Markets (HOOD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HOOD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Robinhood Markets

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HOODSCHWIBKRCOINSOFIMSMedian
NameRobinhoo.Charles .Interact.Coinbase.SoFi Tec.Morgan S. 
Mkt Price115.8096.6162.45244.1925.27174.80106.20
Mkt Cap103.0174.527.862.329.6274.682.6
Rev LTM4,20422,9149,9047,0083,32264,2478,456
Op Inc LTM2,004-8,4671,890--2,004
FCF LTM1,119-1,39715,9801,807-3,179-6,747-139
FCF 3Y Avg1,2199,4379,093797-4,671-23,8271,008
CFO LTM1,175-75316,0401,807-2,951-3,679211
CFO 3Y Avg1,26010,0759,147828-4,506-20,5501,044

Growth & Margins

HOODSCHWIBKRCOINSOFIMSMedian
NameRobinhoo.Charles .Interact.Coinbase.SoFi Tec.Morgan S. 
Rev Chg LTM74.6%22.3%10.1%48.6%34.0%17.6%28.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg47.5%5.4%48.1%23.3%33.4%7.6%28.4%
Rev Chg Q100.0%26.6%12.9%3.3%38.6%19.1%22.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM17.9%6.0%3.2%0.7%8.8%4.5%5.2%
Op Mgn LTM47.7%-85.5%27.0%--47.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.9%-84.1%2.9%--9.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM5.1%-1.6%-6.0%--1.6%
CFO/Rev LTM27.9%-3.3%162.0%25.8%-88.8%-5.7%11.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg47.4%54.3%98.3%10.6%-204.8%-38.8%29.0%
FCF/Rev LTM26.6%-6.1%161.3%25.8%-95.7%-10.5%9.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg45.9%51.2%97.6%9.6%-211.1%-44.6%27.8%

Valuation

HOODSCHWIBKRCOINSOFIMSMedian
NameRobinhoo.Charles .Interact.Coinbase.SoFi Tec.Morgan S. 
Mkt Cap103.0174.527.862.329.6274.682.6
P/S30.37.53.112.39.33.98.4
P/EBIT63.5-3.524.2--24.2
P/E58.020.933.430.148.315.431.8
P/CFO108.4-229.01.947.7-10.5-67.9-4.3
Total Yield1.7%4.8%3.4%3.3%2.1%6.5%3.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.2%7.9%45.0%0.5%-50.4%-15.6%2.8%
D/E0.10.20.00.10.11.40.1
Net D/E0.0-0.4-0.1-0.1-0.11.0-0.1

Returns

HOODSCHWIBKRCOINSOFIMSMedian
NameRobinhoo.Charles .Interact.Coinbase.SoFi Tec.Morgan S. 
1M Rtn-0.1%5.1%-1.4%-7.5%-6.5%9.6%-0.8%
3M Rtn-2.4%5.2%0.3%-23.8%-6.9%11.7%-1.0%
6M Rtn47.8%8.1%19.0%-17.3%64.5%33.6%26.3%
12M Rtn178.2%27.4%40.4%-21.6%51.7%40.7%40.5%
3Y Rtn1,244.9%29.1%265.4%567.2%444.6%122.7%355.0%
1M Excs Rtn-0.9%4.4%-2.1%-8.2%-7.3%8.9%-1.5%
3M Excs Rtn-5.6%2.5%-5.0%-30.2%-11.5%9.1%-5.3%
6M Excs Rtn35.4%-4.3%6.6%-29.7%52.1%21.2%13.9%
12M Excs Rtn177.0%11.9%28.8%-32.5%44.4%30.0%29.4%
3Y Excs Rtn1,040.3%-42.7%173.7%404.8%399.4%43.9%286.6%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment1,8651,3581,815959
Total1,8651,3581,815959


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity41,594,190
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-8.8%
Average Daily Volume31,702,340
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.31
Basic Shares Quantity889,261,220
Short % of Basic Shares4.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/31/20250.2%-11.2%-9.0%
7/30/2025-2.9%-0.4%-2.3%
4/30/2025-5.1%1.8%34.7%
1/31/2025-0.1%7.5%-11.0%
10/30/2024-16.7%5.8%33.1%
7/31/2024-1.6%-16.8%-1.9%
4/30/20241.0%9.1%32.4%
1/31/20241.6%2.4%54.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive8128
# Negative959
Median Positive1.8%5.5%18.0%
Median Negative-2.8%-11.2%-9.0%
Max Positive11.7%21.9%54.4%
Max Negative-16.7%-16.8%-17.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021