Tearsheet

Starwood Property Trust (STWD)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $18.31 | Market Cap: $6.6 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Mortgage REITs

Starwood Property Trust (STWD)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $18.31
Market Cap: $6.6 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Mortgage REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, Dividend Yield is 9.4%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.1x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 102%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 93%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -17%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 21%
  Key risks
STWD key risks include [1] a history of thin or insufficient dividend coverage from distributable earnings, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers. Themes include Private Credit, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, Dividend Yield is 9.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 102%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 93%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 21%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers. Themes include Private Credit, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.1x
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -17%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13%
7 Key risks
STWD key risks include [1] a history of thin or insufficient dividend coverage from distributable earnings, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

STWD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Starwood Property Trust (STWD) stock moved by -7.8% between August 31, 2025, and December 17, 2025:

1. Lower-than-expected Q3 2025 Earnings: Starwood Property Trust reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 10, 2025, which significantly missed analyst expectations. The company's earnings per share (EPS) of $0.40 fell short of the $0.45 forecast by 11.11%, and its revenue of $488.88 million missed the anticipated $494.03 million. This financial underperformance led to a notable decline in the stock price, including a 1.6% drop in premarket trading and a 2.88% decline on the day of the announcement.

2. Decline in Book Value Per Share (BVPS): A critical metric for real estate investment trusts, Starwood Property Trust's book value per share (BVPS) experienced a decline, reaching $18.54 as of September 30, 2025. This represented a 4.3% decrease from $19.39 in the prior-year quarter, signaling a reduction in the company's underlying asset value.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
STWD Return-12%36%-17%27%-1%5%31%
Peers Return-21%28%-17%18%-14%11%-5%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
STWD Win Rate58%42%50%50%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate58%67%47%53%50%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
STWD Max Drawdown-65%-5%-20%-10%-10%-7% 
Peers Max Drawdown-70%-4%-26%-19%-23%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BXMT, KREF, ARI, ACRE, LADR. See STWD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSTWDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-37.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven58.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-66.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven197.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven441 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-14.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven16.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven84 days120 days

Compare to REXR, BRX, NNN, KRC, NLY


In The Past

Starwood Property Trust's stock fell -37.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/24/2021. A -37.1% loss requires a 58.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Starwood Property Trust (STWD)

Better Bets than Starwood Property Trust (STWD)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to STWD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Starwood Property Trust

Peers to compare with:

Financials

STWDBXMTKREFARIACRELADRMedian
NameStarwood.Blacksto.KKR Real.Apollo C.Ares Com.Ladder C. 
Mkt Price18.2420.178.509.925.3711.2110.57
Mkt Cap7.03.50.61.40.21.41.4
Rev LTM7675081202746230252
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM714224715622-1864
FCF 3Y Avg30336512310538137130
CFO LTM7852247418424-18129
CFO 3Y Avg34436512721738137177

Growth & Margins

STWDBXMTKREFARIACRELADRMedian
NameStarwood.Blacksto.KKR Real.Apollo C.Ares Com.Ladder C. 
Rev Chg LTM-27.4%-4.6%-27.1%36.3%257.3%-14.4%-9.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-16.5%-4.5%-9.4%-5.8%48.9%-5.3%-5.5%
Rev Chg Q-13.2%21.1%-36.8%221.0%14.5%-17.6%0.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.9%4.8%-11.1%76.6%32.1%-5.0%0.5%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM102.3%44.1%61.4%67.2%367.0%-8.0%64.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg41.6%61.8%79.8%93.3%848.7%46.6%70.8%
FCF/Rev LTM93.1%44.1%59.0%20.5%346.5%-8.0%51.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg36.8%61.8%76.9%44.6%841.9%46.6%54.2%

Valuation

STWDBXMTKREFARIACRELADRMedian
NameStarwood.Blacksto.KKR Real.Apollo C.Ares Com.Ladder C. 
Mkt Cap7.03.50.61.40.21.41.4
P/S9.16.24.95.138.25.96.1
P/EBIT-------
P/E19.029.5-1,070.210.2-32.217.213.7
P/CFO8.914.18.07.610.4-74.18.5
Total Yield14.6%13.6%11.4%19.8%9.3%14.4%14.0%
Dividend Yield9.4%10.2%11.5%10.0%12.4%8.6%10.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-10.6%15.8%7.5%-9.9%10.2%
D/E-5.06.05.3-1.95.2
Net D/E-4.95.75.2-1.65.0

Returns

STWDBXMTKREFARIACRELADRMedian
NameStarwood.Blacksto.KKR Real.Apollo C.Ares Com.Ladder C. 
1M Rtn2.3%9.0%2.3%0.4%8.9%4.8%3.5%
3M Rtn-7.4%6.9%-6.6%-3.3%16.0%0.4%-1.5%
6M Rtn-3.6%11.4%-1.1%7.5%18.9%11.4%9.4%
12M Rtn-0.3%16.7%-16.3%20.9%-9.8%2.9%1.3%
3Y Rtn28.8%26.3%-17.2%28.2%-26.4%43.6%27.2%
1M Excs Rtn1.3%8.0%1.3%-0.6%7.9%3.8%2.6%
3M Excs Rtn-10.9%3.9%-11.2%-6.3%12.7%-1.9%-4.1%
6M Excs Rtn-17.2%-2.2%-14.8%-6.2%5.2%-2.2%-4.2%
12M Excs Rtn-13.0%3.3%-30.1%6.8%-26.4%-10.7%-11.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-49.5%-53.0%-95.4%-49.5%-100.8%-35.4%-51.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Securitization Variable interest entity (VIEs)42,15550,73359,73262,75660,736
Commercial and Residential Lending Segment19,85621,06417,72912,09811,042
Property Segment2,9632,7452,0212,1192,197
Infrastructure Lending Segment2,7882,6622,2831,7691,761
Investing and Servicing Segment1,5421,6221,9511,7351,914
Corporate201218135396393
Total69,50479,04383,85080,87478,042


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11,742,227
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-6.6%
Average Daily Volume3,097,208
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.79
Basic Shares Quantity360,136,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/16/2025-5.5%-4.2%-4.4%
11/1/20220.7%-1.2%3.6%
8/4/20220.6%2.1%-3.6%
2/25/20222.0%0.5%2.9%
11/9/20210.3%1.0%-4.5%
8/5/20210.2%0.8%0.3%
5/6/2021-1.1%-6.5%1.3%
2/25/2021-2.2%0.2%6.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive879
# Negative564
Median Positive0.7%1.0%3.0%
Median Negative-2.5%-2.7%-4.4%
Max Positive2.6%9.8%14.6%
Max Negative-5.5%-7.9%-65.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021